Coronavirus - Is this the killer flu that will wipe us out?

Coronavirus - Is this the killer flu that will wipe us out?

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p1stonhead

25,556 posts

168 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Don’t worry all we have state of the art facilities here.

https://reddit.com/r/CasualUK/comments/f8ss5s/out_...

EddieSteadyGo

11,973 posts

204 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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red_slr said:
Gooose said:
Have any children died of it yet?
There was a video last week showing dead children in a hospital in Wuhan, some people said it was fake but tbh it looked genuine to me.
That was so fake it is hard to believe it fooled anyone.

At the time we didn't have the stats (link above) which showed children seem not to be seriously affected by this virus. Now that data exists, why you would still believe it is beyond me.

MaxFromage

1,891 posts

132 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Figures from the John Hopkins tracker WITHOUT Hubei Province:

Confirmed cases: 15,366
Deaths: 136
Recovered: 8,795

In comparison to yesterday, 293 more confirmed cases, 12 more deaths and an increase of 560 in recovered patients.

Deaths/(Deaths+Recovered) has been steady at 1.5% over the last week.

p1stonhead

25,556 posts

168 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
MaxFromage said:
Figures from the John Hopkins tracker WITHOUT Hubei Province:

Confirmed cases: 15,366
Deaths: 136
Recovered: 8,795

In comparison to yesterday, 293 more confirmed cases, 12 more deaths and an increase of 560 in recovered patients.

Deaths/(Deaths+Recovered) has been steady at 1.5% over the last week.
Can you do one for just outside of mainland China?

Munter

31,319 posts

242 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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philv said:
.

So 2% of anyone who catches this, diagnosed or never diagnosed, will die.

That's my take on it, and that is very scary.
10-15% would start to worry me. I'd think getting on for 2% of the people who catch it would have pre existing conditions making them vulnerable to many viruses.

anonymous-user

Original Poster:

55 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
menguin said:
Most importantly, make it law that toilet doors are push to EXIT! Why the fk these are still designed so you have to use a hand to open a door where at least 50% of males don't wash their hands is beyond me. Unless the designers of toilets typically sit within that majority.
It’s the one thing I think of leaving a pub bog. Instead of an open out door it’s a pull, on strong springs with a tiny D handle generally still wet from the last undried hands. I’ve often reached up and knocked the door closer to open.

Munter

31,319 posts

242 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
V6 Pushfit said:
menguin said:
Most importantly, make it law that toilet doors are push to EXIT! Why the fk these are still designed so you have to use a hand to open a door where at least 50% of males don't wash their hands is beyond me. Unless the designers of toilets typically sit within that majority.
It’s the one thing I think of leaving a pub bog. Instead of an open out door it’s a pull, on strong springs with a tiny D handle generally still wet from the last undried hands. I’ve often reached up and knocked the door closer to open.
Come on guys. Think it through a little more. I'll give you a hint. Do toilet doors have windows in them?

anonymous-user

Original Poster:

55 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Munter said:
10-15% would start to worry me. I'd think getting on for 2% of the people who catch it would have pre existing conditions making them vulnerable to many viruses.
Sample sizes are too small outside of China so Wuhan would the statistical best fit still.

My first reaction when I saw the figures some time ago and heard the WHO estimates was ‘where are all the other recoveries then’ ????

WHO really need to look at this - maybe they are already. But I have to say I don’t hold much confidence in them now it all seems too cursory an involvement.

anonymous-user

Original Poster:

55 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
anonymous said:
[redacted]
In most cases you'd be safer if the handle was covered in urine rather than water.

Gary C

12,484 posts

180 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Yey.

Feeling fine this morning. Obviously not C19.

anonymous-user

Original Poster:

55 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Munter said:
V6 Pushfit said:
menguin said:
Most importantly, make it law that toilet doors are push to EXIT! Why the fk these are still designed so you have to use a hand to open a door where at least 50% of males don't wash their hands is beyond me. Unless the designers of toilets typically sit within that majority.
It’s the one thing I think of leaving a pub bog. Instead of an open out door it’s a pull, on strong springs with a tiny D handle generally still wet from the last undried hands. I’ve often reached up and knocked the door closer to open.
Come on guys. Think it through a little more. I'll give you a hint. Do toilet doors have windows in them?
I’d have accuracy problems pissing through a bog window

anonymous-user

Original Poster:

55 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Early days and with every caveat, but the #cases line is much less steep on thewuhanvirus.com chart today



Fewer cases in multiple countries should enable the combination of quarantine and less stressed health systems to get on top of things better than Wuhan could previously.

Nowhere near out of the woods yet and I think there could be more "Italy" situations in other developed countries and who knows what in Africa / LatAm.

Maybe, just maybe, the rate of new cases and deaths has peaked. Let's see

Mr Whippy

29,056 posts

242 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Ridgemont said:
isaldiri said:
philv said:
That's my take on it, and that is very scary.
Back at the end of January you were predicting that the UK would now (ie almost a month later) be where China was at in january with thousands of cases and practically asking for something akin to martial law, mass building of hospitals and internment of all chinese tourists and you were getting ready to lock yourself away for 6 months.

I am genuinely impressed you have managed to keep up that the state of panic for so long.
This is an important thing to consider though.
By now we should have seeing blooms all over the place. The lack of screening at certainly U.K. airports combined with the ongoing pneumonia monitoring and testing suggests something a bit odd about this outbreak. Because really by this point we ought to be well in advance of Italy. Cast your minds back to UK patient zero: he was all over the shop. They quarantined other doctors. They chased up other contacts after his chalet spree in Switzerland.
Nothing.
All patients have been released and the U.K. tests are still showing naff all apart from the 13 infected (superspeader + Chinese evacuees + ship evacuees).
Odd.
I would love to know if the monitoring is seeing any pneumonia spikes U.K. wide.
Still enough oddities to make it look, err, odd.

I still think China are over ascribing cases to wuflu for some other reason, or, this virus is ‘that bad’ but only against East Asians.

W12GT

3,531 posts

222 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
This will definitely spread in the UK. We had 4 fights home yesterday and at EVERY leg we were thermo scanned and had forms to fill in. Except for landing at Heathrow. The authorities here are not taking this seriously.

We were even scanned with some very state of the art technology at the smallest domestic airport I’ve ever flow to/from - the building was about 15mx10m!

It’s just ridiculous....


Vanity Projects

2,442 posts

162 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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I’m prepping ph style today...wife is sending me back to the shop because I forgot to get tahini...how will we make humus on lockdown without it? No I’m not joking smile

Let’s hope the tail off in numbers is genuine, there are enough contrarian videos on twitter and stories of undercounting so it would be good to get a less state controlled view.

magpie215

4,403 posts

190 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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Gary C said:
Yey.

Feeling fine this morning. Obviously not C19.
Isn't it feeling fine then a rapid onset of return of symptoms and pneumonia. ..?

nffcforever

793 posts

192 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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V6 Pushfit said:
Can’t argue with that he’s correct with what he said there if that’s exactly the way he put it.

It tallies with the figures I gave yesterday and worded to spin a nice rosy picture from dire stats. Again, assuming it’s what he said.
It isn’t.

Exige77

6,518 posts

192 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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anonymous said:
[redacted]
Yup, urine pretty sterile (at first anyway)

anonymous-user

Original Poster:

55 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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nffcforever said:
It isn’t.
What

Earthdweller

13,591 posts

127 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Seems a hotel in Tenerife is on lockdown after an Italian tourist staying there tested positive

Not good at half term with tourists from all over Europe and the UK there


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