Coronavirus - Is this the killer flu that will wipe us out?

Coronavirus - Is this the killer flu that will wipe us out?

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cptsideways

13,547 posts

252 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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Vanden Saab said:
magpie215 said:
Crumpet said:
Anyone started ‘prepping’?
That is prepping... Jeez.. If Mrs VS ever had that few in the house she would be in full on panic mode...
Yeah but just one blue roll of workshop stuff would do the job just as well and last a year. Might involve some self preparing or just buy some scissors.

Sn1ckers

581 posts

58 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
People should read “State of Fear” by Michael Crichton.

My wife has MS. We saw the doctors today and asked about corona virus as her immune system is depressed due to her medication. He told us we should be more concerned about the various flu bugs going round the UK every winter and in either case we should not worried.

I think the media need something else to talk about. A flu bug is, I suspect, likely to be much worse for a reasonably healthy individual than the coronavirus.

Gregmitchell

1,745 posts

117 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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I assume as part of the intense testing they're going to do some of it it will be based on the info below, I am expecting a spike tomorrow.....

If you have returned from these specific areas since February 19, you should call NHS111 and stay indoors and avoid contact with other people even if you do not have symptoms:

Iran
Specific lockdown areas in Northern Italy as designated by the Government of Italy
Special care zones in South Korea as designated by the Government of the Republic of South Korea
Hubei province (returned in the past 14 days)

jurbie

2,343 posts

201 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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ABZ RS6 said:
Interested to see when the first case pops up in Scotland give the 6 Nations fixture in Rome last weekend. Vast majority of Italian rugby supporters hail from the north of the country.
My boss went to that but he lives in Liverpool. I briefly met him this morning and then this afternoon he casually mentions on Wattsapp that he's on the phone to NHS Direct to find out if he needs to self isolate. Nothing from him since so I assume not.

red_slr

17,234 posts

189 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Sn1ckers said:
People should read “State of Fear” by Michael Crichton.

My wife has MS. We saw the doctors today and asked about corona virus as her immune system is depressed due to her medication. He told us we should be more concerned about the various flu bugs going round the UK every winter and in either case we should not worried.

I think the media need something else to talk about. A flu bug is, I suspect, likely to be much worse for a reasonably healthy individual than the coronavirus.
Safe and secure..

Jim on the hill

5,072 posts

190 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Sn1ckers said:
People should read “State of Fear” by Michael Crichton.

My wife has MS. We saw the doctors today and asked about corona virus as her immune system is depressed due to her medication. He told us we should be more concerned about the various flu bugs going round the UK every winter and in either case we should not worried.

I think the media need something else to talk about. A flu bug is, I suspect, likely to be much worse for a reasonably healthy individual than the coronavirus.
For the Flu virus your wife would be entitled to the flu jab.

No jab for Coronavirus and likely at least 20 times more deadly. Worrying these people are giving advice, can't remember the last time a European county put 100,000 people in lockdown.

LimSlip

800 posts

54 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
p1stonhead said:
Could this possibly be SO mild that it doesn’t even come up as positive in tests for most people? But they can still spread it?
The evidence suggests the test is not particularly reliable,.

red_slr

17,234 posts

189 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
I must say both the US and Russia are doing amazingly well so far. Also India.

anonymous-user

Original Poster:

54 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Jim on the hill said:
Sn1ckers said:
People should read “State of Fear” by Michael Crichton.

My wife has MS. We saw the doctors today and asked about corona virus as her immune system is depressed due to her medication. He told us we should be more concerned about the various flu bugs going round the UK every winter and in either case we should not worried.

I think the media need something else to talk about. A flu bug is, I suspect, likely to be much worse for a reasonably healthy individual than the coronavirus.
For the Flu virus your wife would be entitled to the flu jab.

No jab for Coronavirus and likely at least 20 times more deadly. Worrying these people are giving advice, can't remember the last time a European county put 100,000 people in lockdown.
Sorry to hear about your wife Sn1ckers it can’t be easy - my neighbour has MS and some days are better than others. There’s not a lot doc could have said or done though as it’s all future what-ifs. As Jim says it’s getting more serious but doc could have made a few suggestions on isolating or avoiding IF there’s a problem in your area, but I presume he thought you’d look it up and do what you thought necessary anyway. Good luck with it.

Sn1ckers

581 posts

58 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Jim on the hill said:
For the Flu virus your wife would be entitled to the flu jab.

No jab for Coronavirus and likely at least 20 times more deadly. Worrying these people are giving advice, can't remember the last time a European county put 100,000 people in lockdown.

In a good year the flu jab is about 20% effective and not really worth it. As far as how deadly, yes the coronavirus is worse than the flu but at about 1 to 2% fatality rates and those are primarily in people with pre existing conditions does it really warrant the hysteria we are seeing around the world?

isaldiri

18,580 posts

168 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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red_slr said:
jacobingonzo said:
some might think this is the real reason the WHO are reluctant to declare a pandemic? cant have all those private investors losing their money on these bonds that have made them squillions since 2017!!


https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-02415-9
Wow so July 2020 all of a sudden it will be a pandemic!
Well in theory it has to fit certain criteria to get called a pandemic....which it might not have given lack of worldwide spread so far. And the WHO was criticised in 2009 for calling the H1N1 swine flu outbreak a pandemic too quickly to benefit the pharmaceutical companies who got a heap of windfall gains from governments buying stuff like tamiflu and extra flu vaccines which mostly weren't needed....so someone somewhere is always going to be finding fault either way I suppose...

Jim on the hill

5,072 posts

190 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Sn1ckers said:
Jim on the hill said:
For the Flu virus your wife would be entitled to the flu jab.

No jab for Coronavirus and likely at least 20 times more deadly. Worrying these people are giving advice, can't remember the last time a European county put 100,000 people in lockdown.

In a good year the flu jab is about 20% effective and not really worth it. As far as how deadly, yes the coronavirus is worse than the flu but at about 1 to 2% fatality rates and those are primarily in people with pre existing conditions does it really warrant the hysteria we are seeing around the world?
Agreed it does seem a little overkill but only by some countries which is confusing.

We have MS in the family also unfortunately, the flu jab does seem beneficial as it's the flu strains expected to be seen each year.

I'd like to think the hysteria is to protect the old and the ones most at risk but who knows.

Narcisus

8,074 posts

280 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Sn1ckers said:
Jim on the hill said:
For the Flu virus your wife would be entitled to the flu jab.

No jab for Coronavirus and likely at least 20 times more deadly. Worrying these people are giving advice, can't remember the last time a European county put 100,000 people in lockdown.

In a good year the flu jab is about 20% effective and not really worth it. As far as how deadly, yes the coronavirus is worse than the flu but at about 1 to 2% fatality rates and those are primarily in people with pre existing conditions does it really warrant the hysteria we are seeing around the world?
Interested to hear why the Flu jab is only 20% effective and why you think it’s not really worth it. I’ve paid a tenner for the last I don’t know how many years and spent 10 mins at Boots.

Shall I not bother in future then a?

LandRoverManiac

402 posts

92 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Sn1ckers said:

In a good year the flu jab is about 20% effective and not really worth it. As far as how deadly, yes the coronavirus is worse than the flu but at about 1 to 2% fatality rates and those are primarily in people with pre existing conditions does it really warrant the hysteria we are seeing around the world?
It is entirely your call as to how serious a threat you view it. Just a few points to take into consideration.

In China - one of the most densely populated urban groupings of people on the planet - the virus is not universal to the entire population. Let's assume the Communists are telling porkies and the infected number is actually 1,000,0000. 1 MILLION. Not quite likely but let's run with it.

So that's 7% of the their entire population. Of this unlucky 7% - the 'kill-rate' is sub 5%. According to most figures - 80% of people have mild symptoms. So of the small percentage of their population to contract it, a smaller percentage are actually taken quite ill with it. A smaller of this already small percentage die from it.

The upshot is that you'd have to be quite unlucky to be one of the population to catch it. You'd then further need to be unlucky to the degree that you happen to be one of the 1 in 5 people who don't have mild symptoms. You then need to be even more unlucky to be one of those that they simply cannot help and thus doomed to kicking the bucket.

Concern? Yes.

Rabid hysteria and running around in panic like your trousers are on fire? Probably not.



(I say this as someone with a compromised immune system and thus likely to fall into the bucket-kicking category).


anonymous-user

Original Poster:

54 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Sn1ckers said:
Jim on the hill said:
For the Flu virus your wife would be entitled to the flu jab.

No jab for Coronavirus and likely at least 20 times more deadly. Worrying these people are giving advice, can't remember the last time a European county put 100,000 people in lockdown.

In a good year the flu jab is about 20% effective and not really worth it. As far as how deadly, yes the coronavirus is worse than the flu but at about 1 to 2% fatality rates and those are primarily in people with pre existing conditions does it really warrant the hysteria we are seeing around the world?
Rubbish :-
“Across all age groups including children, the flu vaccine prevented 52% of flu cases in 2015-16, 40% of flu cases in 2016-17, 15% of flu cases in 2017-2018 and 44% of flu cases in 2018-19 “

Gregmitchell

1,745 posts

117 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Jimboka said:
Rubbish :-
“Across all age groups including children, the flu vaccine prevented 52% of flu cases in 2015-16, 40% of flu cases in 2016-17, 15% of flu cases in 2017-2018 and 44% of flu cases in 2018-19 “
I got the flu twice in 17/18 so I concur those stats! Honestly the worst illness I’ve ever had!

Not-The-Messiah

3,620 posts

81 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Sn1ckers said:
People should read “State of Fear” by Michael Crichton.

My wife has MS. We saw the doctors today and asked about corona virus as her immune system is depressed due to her medication. He told us we should be more concerned about the various flu bugs going round the UK every winter and in either case we should not worried.

I think the media need something else to talk about. A flu bug is, I suspect, likely to be much worse for a reasonably healthy individual than the coronavirus.
I'm personally not that bothered about the virus it's the impact it as. The lock downs I've got a holiday booked to Tenerife in a few weeks will it still be worth going if it starts to spread their. I don't fancy getting quarantine in a hotel room for 2 weeks and then possibly another 2 weeks at home.

The worse thing is if it does take off here and 20% are serious and need medical assistance. Then this will more than likely cripple the NHS. So if you need to go to the hospital for any reason be it the virus or anything else like you crash your car, break a leg, have a heart attack whatever. The service you will receive will be nothing like what you would normally expect.

Just hope you or no one in your family hurt themselves or are ill at the same time.

Exige77

6,518 posts

191 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
red_slr said:
I must say both the US and Russia are doing amazingly well so far. Also India.
They both stopped travellers who had been in China in last 14 days.

Maybe something to do with it ?


Jim on the hill

5,072 posts

190 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all


Maybe things are changing a little bit for public awareness

Gareth79

7,670 posts

246 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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Harpoon said:
magpie215 said:
Good friends of ours have a son & partner who work in Hong Kong. Apparently there's a major shortage of toilet roll, so they are posting it over from the UK. However, it's liable to get nicked en-route if ID'd so they have to take the cardboard roll out the middle and flatten it, then wrap it in old clothes to hide it!
Toilet paper is disgusting in general, I have a bidet toilet seat and get through about 2 rolls a year.

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