Where to go for best odds on US election?

Where to go for best odds on US election?

Author
Discussion

g4ry13

16,993 posts

255 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
quotequote all
BlackLabel said:
Biden just gone favourite again.
Spoke too soon!

I don't see how Biden wins if Trump takes Pennsylvania (which he's crushing).

MaxFromage

1,887 posts

131 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
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Matched off my bets now with a good win either way. Current stats look like a win for Trump IMO so have adjusted to favour him. I'm going 284-254.

BerlinChris

64 posts

99 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
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Pretty much evens now for both. WI looks to go to Biden, MI to Trump, it all rests on PA now.


MaxFromage

1,887 posts

131 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
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Looks like Biden needs nearly 2/3rds of the remaining PA votes to take it?

BlackLabel

13,251 posts

123 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
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Biden now back into the low 1.6s. More swings than a children’s playground in this market.

Wonder if the guy who put down £1m on Biden lays off?

snuffy

9,767 posts

284 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
quotequote all
I've was watching the odds all last night, Trump started at around 2.4, shortened to around 1.4 and then slowly lengthened is now around 2.4 again.

Not that I've bet on it. Last time I put £100 on I think at around 10 or 11 and picked up a £1000. But not this time, since the odds were so short on him.


g4ry13

16,993 posts

255 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
quotequote all
The thought crossed my mind to put some money down on Trump at 1.40 but glad I didn't.

Must admit that the current Trump odds look a bit tempting.

snuffy

9,767 posts

284 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
quotequote all
2.6 on The Donald now. But is it because people are backing him, or because the bookies think he's not going to win ?

Murph7355

37,726 posts

256 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
quotequote all
MaxFromage said:
Looks like Biden needs nearly 2/3rds of the remaining PA votes to take it?
Maybe all the Bidens were at the bottom of the bag...

Going to be very close, which will mean we won't hear the end of this for quite some time I suspect.

Looks to me like Trump needs to win all the ones he's currently ahead in, but the numbers seem very close in at least 2 of them (Georgia and North Carolina).

craig_m67

949 posts

188 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
Maybe all the Bidens were at the bottom of the bag...
.
Isn’t that exactly what the media analysis is saying

The Biden’s were expected to pre-poll and mail-in their ballots, which won’t start to be counted until tomorrow. Donald asked his flock to vote on the day. So we have an early red mist (#IWON) which will be tempered by a blue shift later as the rest of the votes are counted...

As I understand it



vaud

50,524 posts

155 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
quotequote all
craig_m67 said:
Isn’t that exactly what the media analysis is saying

The Biden’s were expected to pre-poll and mail-in their ballots, which won’t start to be counted until tomorrow. Donald asked his flock to vote on the day. So we have an early red mist (#IWON) which will be tempered by a blue shift later as the rest of the votes are counted...

As I understand it
That is my understanding as well. Mail in favours Dems?

g4ry13

16,993 posts

255 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
quotequote all
snuffy said:
2.6 on The Donald now. But is it because people are backing him, or because the bookies think he's not going to win ?
Clearly that they think Biden will pick up a large % of the uncounted postal votes and swing Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin and Michigan to win.

snuffy

9,767 posts

284 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
quotequote all
g4ry13 said:
snuffy said:
2.6 on The Donald now. But is it because people are backing him, or because the bookies think he's not going to win ?
Clearly that they think Biden will pick up a large % of the uncounted postal votes and swing Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin and Michigan to win.
He's drifting longer again.

tigamilla

507 posts

80 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
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Cashed in on Trump earlier this morning when odds 1.5 having bet when they were around 3.2 a few weeks ago

g4ry13

16,993 posts

255 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
quotequote all
snuffy said:
g4ry13 said:
snuffy said:
2.6 on The Donald now. But is it because people are backing him, or because the bookies think he's not going to win ?
Clearly that they think Biden will pick up a large % of the uncounted postal votes and swing Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin and Michigan to win.
He's drifting longer again.
Yes, but my understanding is that the underlying data has not changed a great deal in the last few hours. I don't feel confident enough to pick Trump up at 3.15 though!

snuffy

9,767 posts

284 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
quotequote all
g4ry13 said:
Yes, but my understanding is that the underlying data has not changed a great deal in the last few hours. I don't feel confident enough to pick Trump up at 3.15 though!
That's what I mean, nothing has changed as you say, but people are betting on Biden, hence Trump's odds are lengthening.


snuffy

9,767 posts

284 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
quotequote all
Donald is flying out now.

blackrabbit

939 posts

45 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
quotequote all
craig_m67 said:
Murph7355 said:
Maybe all the Bidens were at the bottom of the bag...
.
Isn’t that exactly what the media analysis is saying

The Biden’s were expected to pre-poll and mail-in their ballots, which won’t start to be counted until tomorrow. Donald asked his flock to vote on the day. So we have an early red mist (#IWON) which will be tempered by a blue shift later as the rest of the votes are counted...

As I understand it
Same media analysis who predicted a blue wave......... I trust the bookies more............

snuffy

9,767 posts

284 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
quotequote all
blackrabbit said:
Same media analysis who predicted a blue wave......... I trust the bookies more............
The bookies that last time offered around 10.0 on Trump and pretty much the same on Brexit. Those bookies you mean ?


scrubchub

1,844 posts

140 months

Wednesday 4th November 2020
quotequote all
Trump now at 3.7 and drifting.