CV19 - Cure worse than the disease? (Vol 5)

CV19 - Cure worse than the disease? (Vol 5)

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GMT13

1,048 posts

188 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
TheDrBrian said:
Anyway on to more positive news

25.5% of 18-24 year olds in America seriously considered suicide in June.

I’m sure it’s worth it.
Jesus Christ.

It seems all the talk on mental health the last few years were just empty words, pointless virtue signalling. When push comes to shove a significant proportion of the population are cowardly and selfish. They want a lockdown on the off chance that it provides them with extra protection from a nothing burger virus at the expense of everybodys way of life.

Alucidnation

16,810 posts

171 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
mondeoman said:
Alucidnation said:
Herd immunity is pie in the sky.
roflroflrofl

BOT BOT BOT
laugh

Sorry to be the voice of reason.


Why do you think we have vaccines for Flu every year?

H.I. isn't really working for that has it?

Twinfan

10,125 posts

105 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
Alucidnation said:
laugh

Sorry to be the voice of reason.


Why do you think we have vaccines for Flu every year?

H.I. isn't really working for that has it?
I think it's because flu mutates to another form quite quickly. Coronaviruses are more stable.

MikeT66

2,681 posts

125 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
ORD said:
Back on topic, ‘cases’ rising doesn’t concern me at all. There’s no other way out of this. We have to remember how to be courageous and show some backbone. We used to be a very proud and impressive people.
My thinking. I know cases can slightly increase deaths/hospitalisations, but overall it is a meaningless statistic to me. Deaths (obviously) and hospital attendance due to covid (not just 'with it') are the main parameters to me.

anonymous-user

55 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
That’s because the strain of flu changes every year and there are several flu viruses

fastraxx

8,308 posts

104 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
Twinfan said:
I think it's because flu mutates to another form quite quickly. Coronaviruses are more stable.
I didn't know that was a widely known scientifically agreed fact. How much more stable are they?

Elysium

13,859 posts

188 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
paulw123 said:
Yet more obsession with lockdowns on the news this morning. No thoughts of an end game. Lockdowns are totally unsustainable and with education being unaffected are totally pointless
In March Italy, France and Spain did the equivalent of shouting ‘fire’ in a crowded theatre and we stampeded.

Our Govt have fed us relentless death statistics for COVID in a deliberate propaganda campaign, to keep us cowering in fear for the last 7 months. People were just starting to wake up, but I am dismayed by the speed with which they are once again again putting fear over logic.

The first lockdowns, unfortunately, gave some very misguided people the illusion of control. The rational position in May was to realise COVID was less deadly than feared and that we could coexist with it. Unfortunately, these people became convinced we could crush it and avoid all COVID deaths.

All of our thoughts about controlling this are dangerous daydreams. We need to act like adults, accept it, take reasonable steps to mitigate it and stop this endless despairing handwringing.

The only certainty in life is that we are all going to die of something. In the meantime, let’s live.

We understood this in the 60’s:

https://youtu.be/LCRZZC-DH7M

s2art

18,937 posts

254 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
fastraxx said:
Twinfan said:
I think it's because flu mutates to another form quite quickly. Coronaviruses are more stable.
I didn't know that was a widely known scientifically agreed fact. How much more stable are they?
Compared to flu? A lot.

MrBarry123

6,029 posts

122 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
scrubchub said:
JagLover said:
V1nce Fox said:
i’m going to take st for saying this but imho closing schools should be one of the last resorts. the damage there already is pretty bad.
You are completely correct.

A society that would sacrifice its children's future, in a foolish and futile attempt to prevent the very elderly from passing away naturally, has lost is bearings.
I'm a primary school teacher in year 6 and you're both absolutely correct. The things that I have had to cover this year to try and catch up...... I don't think people realise how far behind our children are.
clap

king arthur

6,581 posts

262 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
Alucidnation said:
laugh

Sorry to be the voice of reason.


Why do you think we have vaccines for Flu every year?

H.I. isn't really working for that has it?
MX5Biologist gave a very good explanation of why, if only you'd read and learn.

ETA: Apologies, it's in the other thread, so easy to forget where things get posted in this pandemic of Covid threads.

Edited by king arthur on Thursday 29th October 09:17

anonymous-user

55 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
Germany of course was much praised for its stupendously marvellous test & trace system - "the key to getting on top of this is test & trace"

Well, where is Germany now?


isaldiri

18,627 posts

169 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
johnboy1975 said:
Are you saying 300 / 400 / 500 deaths a day all winter? yikes

Won't infections peak shortly, followed by deaths in about 2 weeks time?
250-300 seems entirely possible. That would be a doubling of the last reported weekly (16 Oct) ons reported for deaths per day. Not sure about 'all winter' though and 400/500 sounds too high...for now.

EddieSteadyGo said:
On the vaccine, I am wondering if there is a case to offer vaccinations to be over 70's before the Phase III trial is completed.

We know it should be safe, and we know it looks to be safe, so far. So I wouldn't advocate offering it to a healthy 30 year old, but considering the IFR is so high if you are over 80 for example, maybe the small risk of the vaccine is lower than the larger risk of catching covid?
Most over 70s or even 80s still survive. Surely the better option is for them simply to avoid circumstances that they might get covid than subject them Russia style to a vaccine that hasn't completed phase 3.

croyde

22,986 posts

231 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
God forbid they close the school's again. The last closure turned my lovable yet hormone ridden 14 year old into an utter monster.

We have even bankrupted ourselves to move him from his awful State school to a lovely little private one.

First half term was very hard trying to get him into school just for a few days a week.

If that closes he'll be a lost cause.

I have another son, just turned 18 who has autism and other problems. Help has been non existent since Covid so we have had to pay out for private as well.

Then I have a daughter just settled at Uni who does not want to have to move back home. Why should she, she has started her new life.

ant1973

5,693 posts

206 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
EddieSteadyGo said:
the-photographer said:
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/scientists-hope...

Oxford has lost its lead in the race, however great news if it happens

The government believes that a German vaccine backed by Pfizer could be ready to distribute before Christmas, with the first doses earmarked for the elderly and vulnerable.

Albert Bourla, the chief executive of Pfizer, said that the vaccine was in the “last mile” and that the pharmaceutical company expected results within a matter of weeks.

This is a more balanced article though

https://uk.reuters.com/article/pfizer-results/pfiz...
On the vaccine, I am wondering if there is a case to offer vaccinations to be over 70's before the Phase III trial is completed.

We know it should be safe, and we know it looks to be safe, so far. So I wouldn't advocate offering it to a healthy 30 year old, but considering the IFR is so high if you are over 80 for example, maybe the small risk of the vaccine is lower than the larger risk of catching covid?
Even if Pfizer had results, they would not announce them pre-election. It's way too political.

The vaccine is bound to come with some risk - particularly for older people. The real issue will be the politicians having to explain that the vaccine is not "risk free". The impression created to date by the politicians is that a vaccine would represent a complete answer.

NerveAgent

3,334 posts

221 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
JPJPJP said:
Germany of course was much praised for its stupendously marvellous test & trace system - "the key to getting on top of this is test & trace"

Well, where is Germany now?
Well Germany is close to Sweden so some can probably just start pretending it doesn't exist too.

anonymous-user

55 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
JPJPJP said:
Germany of course was much praised for its stupendously marvellous test & trace system - "the key to getting on top of this is test & trace"

Well, where is Germany now?
It’s almost as though this thing is acting like a virus and doing what a virus does scratchchin

MikeT66

2,681 posts

125 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
Elysium said:
In March Italy, France and Spain did the equivalent of shouting ‘fire’ in a crowded theatre and we stampeded.

Our Govt have fed us relentless death statistics for COVID in a deliberate propaganda campaign, to keep us cowering in fear for the last 7 months. People were just starting to wake up, but I am dismayed by the speed with which they are once again again putting fear over logic.

The first lockdowns, unfortunately, gave some very misguided people the illusion of control. The rational position in May was to realise COVID was less deadly than feared and that we could coexist with it. Unfortunately, these people became convinced we could crush it and avoid all COVID deaths.

All of our thoughts about controlling this are dangerous daydreams. We need to act like adults, accept it, take reasonable steps to mitigate it and stop this endless despairing handwringing.

The only certainty in life is that we are all going to die of something. In the meantime, let’s live.

We understood this in the 60’s:

https://youtu.be/LCRZZC-DH7M
Excellent - and in a similar vein, may I suggest...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TjJHnKw7YNA

smashing

1,613 posts

162 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
GMT13 said:
TheDrBrian said:
Anyway on to more positive news

25.5% of 18-24 year olds in America seriously considered suicide in June.

I’m sure it’s worth it.
Jesus Christ.

It seems all the talk on mental health the last few years were just empty words, pointless virtue signalling. When push comes to shove a significant proportion of the population are cowardly and selfish. They want a lockdown on the off chance that it provides them with extra protection from a nothing burger virus at the expense of everybodys way of life.
It's not just young people, I said previously but there have been several incidents within the workforce I am in which have prompted a big push on the well being narrative within the business.

All work/no work and no play does not lead to a happy population

Pupbelly

1,413 posts

130 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
ant1973 said:
EddieSteadyGo said:
the-photographer said:
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/scientists-hope...

Oxford has lost its lead in the race, however great news if it happens

The government believes that a German vaccine backed by Pfizer could be ready to distribute before Christmas, with the first doses earmarked for the elderly and vulnerable.

Albert Bourla, the chief executive of Pfizer, said that the vaccine was in the “last mile” and that the pharmaceutical company expected results within a matter of weeks.

This is a more balanced article though

https://uk.reuters.com/article/pfizer-results/pfiz...
On the vaccine, I am wondering if there is a case to offer vaccinations to be over 70's before the Phase III trial is completed.

We know it should be safe, and we know it looks to be safe, so far. So I wouldn't advocate offering it to a healthy 30 year old, but considering the IFR is so high if you are over 80 for example, maybe the small risk of the vaccine is lower than the larger risk of catching covid?
Even if Pfizer had results, they would not announce them pre-election. It's way too political.

The vaccine is bound to come with some risk - particularly for older people. The real issue will be the politicians having to explain that the vaccine is not "risk free". The impression created to date by the politicians is that a vaccine would represent a complete answer.
That's the issue this miracle vaccine won't actually prevent Covid or stop the deaths, it is a supposed comfort blanket that the government will used to reassure the masses. The technical details of each vaccine developer was posted many pages back, ultimately it won't stop the infections or deaths but will be seen as a way out of the madness, reporting will stop and life will return to some kind of normality as we move on to a different moan such as errrr Brexit for example!!

cymatty

589 posts

71 months

Thursday 29th October 2020
quotequote all
As Elysium has not done these for a few days, I hope he doesn't mind me updating smile






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