Coronavirus - Data Analysis Thread

[RSTurboPaul]

Ethical Skeptic on Twitter puts forward that Omicron may have been an older version of Covid-19 than the Wuhan and 'early' strains:

https://twitter.com/EthicalSkeptic/status/16266580...



(Cross posting on the Worse than the Disease thread and the Data Analysis thread.)

[RSTurboPaul]

Dr John Campbell and Professor Normal Fenton discuss the issues with the latest ONS dataset release and look at some analyses:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FSL1fRRhJX0



It's all interesting and the summary page and the prior graphs may be particularly relevant for this thread:







(Cross-posted to the Worse Than The Disease thread also.)

[RSTurboPaul]

Dr John Campbell discusses a Norwegian pre-print on the question:

Is there a Link between the 2021 COVID-19 Vaccination Uptake in Europe and 2022 Excess All-Cause Mortality?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iyo2UNQcdpQ



https://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202302.0350/v...

Paper on 2021 injection uptake vs 2022 Excess ACM said:

Abstract

We primarily study a possible link between 2021 COVID-19 vaccination uptake in Europe and monthly 2022 excess all-cause mortality, i.e., mortality higher than before the pandemic.

Analyses of 31 countries weighted by population size show that all-cause mortality during the first nine months of 2022 increased more the higher the 2021 vaccination uptake; a one percentage point increase in 2021 vaccination uptake was associated with a monthly mortality increase in 2022 by 0.105 percent (95% CI, 0.075-0.134).

When controlling for alternative explanations, the association remained robust, and we discuss the result emphasizing causality as well as potential ecological fallacy.

Also, the study shows that 2021 all-cause mortality was lower the higher the vaccination uptake, but this association became non-significant when controlling for alternative explanations.

(Cross-posted from the Worse than the Disease thread.)