UK asylum seekers expected to be flown to Rwanda

UK asylum seekers expected to be flown to Rwanda

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Mojooo

12,744 posts

181 months

Monday 22nd April
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p1stonhead said:
Why the fk are they fighting so hard for this?

Labour have already said they’ll quite rightly repeal it and stop wasting money on such nonsense.
If they can get a few on the plane then it creates that bit of doubt for those wanting to vote Labour/Reform etc

E63eeeeee...

3,915 posts

50 months

Monday 22nd April
quotequote all
p1stonhead said:
Why the fk are they fighting so hard for this?

Labour have already said they’ll quite rightly repeal it and stop wasting money on such nonsense.
Because what else have they got? They basically gave up actual government a year or more ago, if they hadn't done this nonsense parliament would virtually have been redundant this year, they've got no actual solutions to anything, so they're just pretending to govern at this point. Rwanda is just a squirrel, neither the PM or HS even think it will work.

Condi

17,241 posts

172 months

Monday 22nd April
quotequote all
p1stonhead said:
Why the fk are they fighting so hard for this?

Labour have already said they’ll quite rightly repeal it and stop wasting money on such nonsense.
Target fixation. Denial of reality?

It's like the Captain of the Titanic desperately hanging off the wheel in the bridge, in his head he knows it can't turn harder and it won't miss the iceberg, but he can't do anything else other than try.

Ridgemont

6,596 posts

132 months

Monday 22nd April
quotequote all
p1stonhead said:
Why the fk are they fighting so hard for this?

Labour have already said they’ll quite rightly repeal it and stop wasting money on such nonsense.
I’ll put a fair amount down that if this gets passed and up and running there is no way Labour will repeal it.

ATG

20,616 posts

273 months

Monday 22nd April
quotequote all
Ridgemont said:
p1stonhead said:
Why the fk are they fighting so hard for this?

Labour have already said they’ll quite rightly repeal it and stop wasting money on such nonsense.
I’ll put a fair amount down that if this gets passed and up and running there is no way Labour will repeal it.
But the policy won't actually work. It is going to continue to be exceedingly expensive and even if it runs smoothly it'll be sending so few people to Rwanda that it won't be any kind of a deterrent. If the policy is allowed to run for a few months it'll be blindingly obvious to everyone that it is a failure. So why wouldn't Labour scrap it? They won't even have to do it on a point of principal.

Ridgemont

6,596 posts

132 months

Monday 22nd April
quotequote all
ATG said:
Ridgemont said:
p1stonhead said:
Why the fk are they fighting so hard for this?

Labour have already said they’ll quite rightly repeal it and stop wasting money on such nonsense.
I’ll put a fair amount down that if this gets passed and up and running there is no way Labour will repeal it.
But the policy won't actually work. It is going to continue to be exceedingly expensive and even if it runs smoothly it'll be sending so few people to Rwanda that it won't be any kind of a deterrent. If the policy is allowed to run for a few months it'll be blindingly obvious to everyone that it is a failure. So why wouldn't Labour scrap it? They won't even have to do it on a point of principal.
Because the politics will be like shooting fish in a barrel. This is the Tories version of the environmental act courtesy of Miliband at the tail end of the last Labour administration. Sure the act is terrible, but the optics of overturning it will be political poison.

And being sure how Rwanda plays out is a fools errand: there were lots of people who were (and probably still are) convinced not a single person will end up on the plane to Rwanda. That I suspect is not how this is going to play out now. And I genuinely don’t know the impact of it becoming operational on immigration flow. None of us do.

ATG

20,616 posts

273 months

Monday 22nd April
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Look at the numbers involved. If you've got thousands of people already prepared to live in squalor in northern France just to get the opportunity to put their lives at serious risk in a crappy boat just to then get detained in the UK ... and you're only going to send a few hundred people to Rwanda ... why would the slight additional risk of being sent to Rwanda change anyone's behaviour?

Would it change yours?? Seriously, put yourself in the position of someone trying to cross the channel. Think it through from their perspective.

glazbagun

14,282 posts

198 months

Monday 22nd April
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I still think this is a cover for going after our membership of the ECHR. It can't be all about pleasing a few nutters in the Tory party membership. They'll pick an unsympathetic candidate with a solid legal defence and let them use the ECHR to defend themselves, then use the outrage as fuel to withdraw from the court.

Ridgemont

6,596 posts

132 months

Monday 22nd April
quotequote all
ATG said:
Look at the numbers involved. If you've got thousands of people already prepared to live in squalor in northern France just to get the opportunity to put their lives at serious risk in a crappy boat just to then get detained in the UK ... and you're only going to send a few hundred people to Rwanda ... why would the slight additional risk of being sent to Rwanda change anyone's behaviour?

Would it change yours?? Seriously, put yourself in the position of someone trying to cross the channel. Think it through from their perspective.
Because Rwanda bar the afghani British Army connection appears to be a one way trip. To Rwanda.
Look your point is valid: it could be argued that its impact will be minimal. But obversely we don’t know how the impact of well televised flights with Home Office literature being peppered over the north of France will play out.
Sunak has just announced it will be scaled to 2500 rapidly. Without limit.

Will the legislation work. Who knows. I am absolutely convinced that if it gets up and running Labour will be extremely reluctant to overturn once established especially if it has an impact on small boat numbers.

Ridgemont

6,596 posts

132 months

Monday 22nd April
quotequote all
glazbagun said:
I still think this is a cover for going after our membership of the ECHR. It can't be all about pleasing a few nutters in the Tory party membership. They'll pick an unsympathetic candidate with a solid legal defence and let them use the ECHR to defend themselves, then use the outrage as fuel to withdraw from the court.
There is no Tory PP numbers for that.
That said if the ECHR intervenes (somehow) again that may switch.

Ridgemont

6,596 posts

132 months

Monday 22nd April
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Personally I think what will kill the policy eventually is a number of well publicised, by UK Media, ‘travesties of justice’ where someone who should have been given asylum ended up plonked in a stockade in Rwanda for years.

Given the media appetite for that monster Begum in Syria I suspect it won’t take long for evidence to be assembled that suggests that a miscarriage of justice has occurred. But that stuff plays out over many years.

With lots of court action all the way up to Supreme level. Labour won’t touch this with a barge pole in the meanwhile.

don'tbesilly

13,939 posts

164 months

Tuesday 23rd April
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ATG

20,616 posts

273 months

Tuesday 23rd April
quotequote all
Ridgemont said:
ATG said:
Look at the numbers involved. If you've got thousands of people already prepared to live in squalor in northern France just to get the opportunity to put their lives at serious risk in a crappy boat just to then get detained in the UK ... and you're only going to send a few hundred people to Rwanda ... why would the slight additional risk of being sent to Rwanda change anyone's behaviour?

Would it change yours?? Seriously, put yourself in the position of someone trying to cross the channel. Think it through from their perspective.
Because Rwanda bar the afghani British Army connection appears to be a one way trip. To Rwanda.
Look your point is valid: it could be argued that its impact will be minimal. But obversely we don’t know how the impact of well televised flights with Home Office literature being peppered over the north of France will play out.
Sunak has just announced it will be scaled to 2500 rapidly. Without limit.

Will the legislation work. Who knows. I am absolutely convinced that if it gets up and running Labour will be extremely reluctant to overturn once established especially if it has an impact on small boat numbers.
You can keep repeating yourself, but repetition doesn't make the argument more convincing.

Ridgemont

6,596 posts

132 months

Tuesday 23rd April
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ATG said:
You can keep repeating yourself, but repetition doesn't make the argument more convincing.
Convincing or not that is what is happening. You can suck your thumb and hope it doesn’t but the political calculus suggests otherwise.

jdw100

4,126 posts

165 months

Tuesday 23rd April
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https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/gal...

Interesting quick read.

“ the UN was there watching people get killed, because they were afraid. They took their planes, they went abroad with their dogs. Instead of protecting the citizens who were killed, they evacuated their dogs. I lost all my uncles. I don’t consider Rwanda before 1994. I just consider Rwanda after. After 1994, it’s a great country with a good leadership, and we’re being proud of being Rwandans”

Edited by jdw100 on Tuesday 23 April 02:00

S600BSB

4,712 posts

107 months

Tuesday 23rd April
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Media in France reporting that the National Audit Office has estimated it will cost the UK £540 million to deport the first 300 migrants – nearly £2 million per person.

272BHP

5,109 posts

237 months

Tuesday 23rd April
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Good to see the French police push a boat back and physically stop a migrant launch live on BBC this morning.

Biker 1

7,744 posts

120 months

Tuesday 23rd April
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S600BSB said:
Media in France reporting that the National Audit Office has estimated it will cost the UK £540 million to deport the first 300 migrants – nearly £2 million per person.
Furthermore, someone mentioned on Times Radio that more people crossed the channel last weekend than the total amount projected to be deported to Rwanda in a year, & also pointed out that the returns will diminish even further during warm settled summer weather.
Surely it would make more sense to send someone with a Stanley knife over to France to slash the boats & also to build a tent camp processing facility on an exposed, remote Scottish island - the inmates would soon clamour to return home.

272BHP

5,109 posts

237 months

Tuesday 23rd April
quotequote all
272BHP said:
Good to see the French police push a boat back and physically stop a migrant launch live on BBC this morning.
Scrap that.

It looks as though the police have given up and are letting it go frown

thetapeworm

11,244 posts

240 months

Tuesday 23rd April
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272BHP said:
Good to see the French police push a boat back and physically stop a migrant launch live on BBC this morning.
Yet now it's footage of them stood on a beach watching them struggle to start the outboard and then slowly drifting towards the UK.

I can only presume this bill has been passed because they all know it won't actually do anything other than possibly give an opportunity for a couple of empty planes to fly to Rwanda for photo ops.