Thames Water- Finished?

Author
Discussion

Condi

17,271 posts

172 months

Saturday 30th March
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Oh yes, our utilities and infrastructure are Government owned, just not by our government!

hidetheelephants

24,577 posts

194 months

Saturday 30th March
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Ian Geary said:
It's the age old argument of privatisation

Yes: money has to be spent if you want something to happen. Be it from bill payers or taxpayer (who are the same anyway in the round)

But the balance is the "reward" to shareholders versus the "efficiency premium"of the private sector.

Do we know this? I don't see how it's possible to calculate, so people largely base it on their gut feeling/politics / how they were brought up.

I was a kid when things were privatised so have no real memory if things were the "good old days" or "bad old days".


But I think we can agree wealth leaving London bill payers into to Canada, dubai etc is lost to the UK economy.

If it is the puported £72bn of reward, I would be happy if improvements of at least £72bn or more were delivered by TW from shareholder investment, other things being equal of course.
I think that's the figure for the whole water industry, not just TW.

Bonefish Blues

26,886 posts

224 months

Saturday 30th March
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hidetheelephants said:
think that's the figure for the whole water industry, not just TW.
It is.

hidetheelephants

24,577 posts

194 months

Friday 5th April
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s1962a said:
rofl How it is to be a multi-billion £ corporation in trouble, you can ask your creditors to "not to take any action as it explores its options." and not be laughed out of town while the bailiffs come through your door and take your sofa away along with your collection of Thunderbirds DVDs.

President Merkin

3,105 posts

20 months

Friday 5th April
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I see we're moving from gradually to suddenly. QV The Body shop, CRC Wiggle et al.

redrabbit29

1,379 posts

134 months

Friday 5th April
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I don't see the issue. The Government and us (the public) will just raise extra money to cover their shortfalls and negligence. Mean while they continue to pollute the rivers and waters, and neglect to fix leaks properly alongside raising bills once again.

... hang on a second... :-\

otolith

56,276 posts

205 months

Friday 5th April
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Ian Geary said:
I was a kid when things were privatised so have no real memory if things were the "good old days" or "bad old days".
Bad old days. Things improved in terms of water quality. They’ve only really gone down the stter since the Conservatives decided not to regulate the industry anymore.

You can get the outcome you want in public or private ownership, but if it’s private you absolutely must not give an inch in regulation because they’ll have your trousers down and laugh at you.

It does look as if financial regulation of the industry failed long before environmental regulation did, mind. Did nobody understand what was going on?

Condi

17,271 posts

172 months

Friday 5th April
quotequote all
otolith said:
It does look as if financial regulation of the industry failed long before environmental regulation did, mind. Did nobody understand what was going on?
No, because the water regulator thought they were regulating the water aspects of the job. The financial aspects were either ignored or at least certainty not understood until the damage was done.

hidetheelephants

24,577 posts

194 months

Friday 5th April
quotequote all
otolith said:
Ian Geary said:
I was a kid when things were privatised so have no real memory if things were the "good old days" or "bad old days".
Bad old days. Things improved in terms of water quality. They’ve only really gone down the stter since the Conservatives decided not to regulate the industry anymore.

You can get the outcome you want in public or private ownership, but if it’s private you absolutely must not give an inch in regulation because they’ll have your trousers down and laugh at you.

It does look as if financial regulation of the industry failed long before environmental regulation did, mind. Did nobody understand what was going on?
The vampire squid debt-loading seems to have been a 21st century innovation, presumably the regulators nodded it through because most of the regulators will have been seconded vampire squid staff who naturally think vampire squids are misunderstood and maligned creatures.

borcy

2,966 posts

57 months

Friday 5th April
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Condi said:
otolith said:
It does look as if financial regulation of the industry failed long before environmental regulation did, mind. Did nobody understand what was going on?
No, because the water regulator thought they were regulating the water aspects of the job. The financial aspects were either ignored or at least certainty not understood until the damage was done.
Was the financial aspect within OFWAT's remit to look into at a sufficient level to stop this overloading of debt?


loafer123

15,454 posts

216 months

Friday 5th April
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It really doesn’t matter.

Probably it will go bust.

Possibly the government will own it briefly and make money when it is resold, or possibly there will be a pre-pack admin.

Either way, the current equity and debt will take the pain when it gets put back into a sustainable form with right sized debt.

Ofwat doing exactly the right thing so far.


Bonefish Blues

26,886 posts

224 months

Friday 5th April
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borcy said:
Condi said:
otolith said:
It does look as if financial regulation of the industry failed long before environmental regulation did, mind. Did nobody understand what was going on?
No, because the water regulator thought they were regulating the water aspects of the job. The financial aspects were either ignored or at least certainty not understood until the damage was done.
Was the financial aspect within OFWAT's remit to look into at a sufficient level to stop this overloading of debt?
It was the other way round. They have a duty, and the powers to prevent the payment of dividends if their level means that there's inadequate investment in the supply system.

loafer123

15,454 posts

216 months

Friday 5th April
quotequote all
Bonefish Blues said:
It was the other way round. They have a duty, and the powers to prevent the payment of dividends if their level means that there's inadequate investment in the supply system.
There haven’t been any divis since 2017. The mistakes were made years ago by people long gone from TW and Ofwat.

The losers, who should have known better, will be the pension funds and investors who bought an overleveraged bag of spanners.

Bonefish Blues

26,886 posts

224 months

Friday 5th April
quotequote all
loafer123 said:
Bonefish Blues said:
It was the other way round. They have a duty, and the powers to prevent the payment of dividends if their level means that there's inadequate investment in the supply system.
There haven’t been any divis since 2017. The mistakes were made years ago by people long gone from TW and Ofwat.

The losers, who should have known better, will be the pension funds and investors who bought an overleveraged bag of spanners.
I thought/am pretty sure I saw a chart that indicated it carried on (the debt burden increasing) on the same trajectory until covid under Omers' part ownership. How would that have happened in terms of the financial mechanism?

loafer123

15,454 posts

216 months

Friday 5th April
quotequote all
Bonefish Blues said:
loafer123 said:
Bonefish Blues said:
It was the other way round. They have a duty, and the powers to prevent the payment of dividends if their level means that there's inadequate investment in the supply system.
There haven’t been any divis since 2017. The mistakes were made years ago by people long gone from TW and Ofwat.

The losers, who should have known better, will be the pension funds and investors who bought an overleveraged bag of spanners.
I thought/am pretty sure I saw a chart that indicated it carried on (the debt burden increasing) on the same trajectory until covid under Omers' part ownership. How would that have happened in terms of the financial mechanism?
Presumably funding capex through debt rather than equity until it fell over like the Vasa in Stockholm harbour.