Scottish Politics / Independence - Vol 12

Scottish Politics / Independence - Vol 12

Author
Discussion

sherman

13,402 posts

216 months

Monday 29th April
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Humza speaking at Noon

Rusty Old-Banger

3,954 posts

214 months

Monday 29th April
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I don't know if I can hold off for another hour and three quarters.

Evercross

6,052 posts

65 months

Monday 29th April
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(Stolen from Wings)

rider73

3,064 posts

78 months

Monday 29th April
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tbh - if i was him, i'd not resign and call an election instead - as it seems to me he's been utterly shafted by his own party advisors, then why not go out all guns blazing - it would certainly wake up all the SNP and greens into suddenly realising the money gravy train could be about to end for everyone, and they cannot not back him in an election without fear of utter devastation....

wobert

5,059 posts

223 months

Monday 29th April
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rider73 said:
tbh - if i was him, i'd not resign and call an election instead - as it seems to me he's been utterly shafted by his own party advisors, then why not go out all guns blazing - it would certainly wake up all the SNP and greens into suddenly realising the money gravy train could be about to end for everyone, and they cannot not back him in an election without fear of utter devastation....
The SNP gave no funds for an election, either Westminster or Holyrood.

Given we’re likely to see a Westminster election in the not too distant future, another campaign will almost certainly bankrupt the SNP, which would be a shame rofl

renmure

4,253 posts

225 months

Monday 29th April
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Quote on the BBC referring to Useless trying to get on the front foot then promptly shooting himself in it made me laugh.

I agree that Forbes would be the best bet of a bad bunch in general terms for the SNP in relation to perhaps having a couple of years of being better at governing and trying to make things a little less Scottishy for the sake of it. No doubt that’s why it won’t happen.

sherman

13,402 posts

216 months

Monday 29th April
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wobert said:
rider73 said:
tbh - if i was him, i'd not resign and call an election instead - as it seems to me he's been utterly shafted by his own party advisors, then why not go out all guns blazing - it would certainly wake up all the SNP and greens into suddenly realising the money gravy train could be about to end for everyone, and they cannot not back him in an election without fear of utter devastation....
The SNP gave no funds for an election, either Westminster or Holyrood.

Given we’re likely to see a Westminster election in the not too distant future, another campaign will almost certainly bankrupt the SNP, which would be a shame rofl
Their best hope to not go bankrupt is a double election on the same day.
Rishi on Sunday suggested a July election.
Humza might play for that.

Leithen

10,986 posts

268 months

Monday 29th April
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renmure said:
Quote on the BBC referring to Useless trying to get on the front foot then promptly shooting himself in it made me laugh.

I agree that Forbes would be the best bet of a bad bunch in general terms for the SNP in relation to perhaps having a couple of years of being better at governing and trying to make things a little less Scottishy for the sake of it. No doubt that’s why it won’t happen.
Forbes gives off a more serious countenance, but she's still indicative of the complete lack of experience, talent and ability the SNP have. Her time as Finance Secretary was just a continuation of the existing smoke and mirrors of splurge now extract the cost from future budgets.

sherman

13,402 posts

216 months

Monday 29th April
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This time next week rofl

Scotty2

1,277 posts

267 months

Monday 29th April
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Ha!
On R5 Live they have switched from discussing Useless to Assisted Dying...

Quite apt really considering...

People trying to defend the SNP is quite sad. No Deluded.

Vanden Saab

14,176 posts

75 months

Monday 29th April
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I think you are all being very unfair. Useless has achieved the amazing feat of making the Tories look competent. You have to give him credit for that.

hutchst

3,706 posts

97 months

Monday 29th April
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Just as an aside, and maybe jumping the gun a bit, but I don't think thr PO has a casting vote in appointing a new FM. So the SNP will be 2 votes short of a majority, which could be significant.

Evercross

6,052 posts

65 months

Monday 29th April
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hutchst said:
Just as an aside, and maybe jumping the gun a bit, but I don't think thr PO has a casting vote in appointing a new FM. So the SNP will be 2 votes short of a majority, which could be significant.
PO can vote however they want, but to avoid collapsing the parliament and becoming an affront to modern democracy should always vote to maintain the status quo, so the status quo would be no FM appointed.

I see Wings gave four scenarios and then picked the wrong one of the four.

The problem I see now is whether the Greens Marxists are going to be happy to settle for a pig-in-a-poke. The SNP don't have time to go through the process of appointing a new leader before the VoNC in the government, so an interim choice that pleases the Greens Marxists could become a trojan for the SNP appointing someone they don't like but would co-operate with other parties.

They might decide not to risk that and vote the government down.

Again it comes down to what Salmond said - who is the most scared of an election and I think that is the SNP. The Greens Marxists might even believe they can make gains at the expense of the SNP if there's a snap election (and I think they might be right).

Edited by Evercross on Monday 29th April 11:32

Roderick Spode

3,139 posts

50 months

Monday 29th April
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rider73 said:
tbh - if i was him, i'd not resign and call an election instead
Much as I would love to see a snap election where the Scumbag Nats would get rinsed, and one that they definitely cannot afford to campaign for, I think it doesn't lie within the First Minister's competence to call an election. It can only be voted for by a 2/3rds majority of MSPs.

The only way to achieve an election in the near term is for the SNP to lose one or preferably both VONC, and Holyrood be unable to elect another FM.

The following have been rumored as FM -

John 'under the bus' Swinney - old guard Sturgeonite. Expect more incompetence.
Neil 'whooooo?' Gray - lurking back bencher & salary hooverer. The John Major option.
Jenny 'thick as a brick' Gilruth - ultra woke Sturgeonite. Will probably get back into bed with the loony Greens.
Shona 'hilariously incompetent' Robison - the unthinking cretin's cretin. Amazed she's able to make a pot of tea without burning her house down.
Stephen 'not an MSP' Flynn - almost a Tory compared to the rest. Maybe a candidate in 2026 if he can find a safe seat in Holyrood.
Mhairi 'loves KitKats' Black - student activist and hyper woke radical. Not a unifying force, to put it mildly.
Kate 'wee free' Forbes - sensible, credible, competent. No idea why she's in the SNP. Not woke, despised by the Greens.

For the complete destruction of the SNP and alienating of their core vote, it has to be Gilruth. Imagine nearly two years of that imbecile running the show. The collateral damage to the country would be incredible - take Sturgeon's radical policies, add a few of Humza's hate bills, then insert a radical hyper woke cretin to push them on. Disastrous.

For a couple of years competent governance, and any chance of reversing the insanity of the last decade, Forbes would be a good choice. There's a very real risk that she might make the SNP look competent and credible by association, however, come the 2026 election.

hutchst

3,706 posts

97 months

Monday 29th April
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Evercross said:
PO can vote however they want, but to avoid collapsing the parliament and becoming an affront to modern democracy should always vote to maintain the status quo, so the status quo would be no FM appointed.
Is that what 11.5.5 of the Parliamentary Standing Orders says?

Baroque attacks

4,429 posts

187 months

Monday 29th April
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Think he’ll do a Pedro Sanchez?

sherman

13,402 posts

216 months

Monday 29th April
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Baroque attacks said:
Think he’ll do a Pedro Sanchez?
Pedro Sanchez actually has the backing of the people.
Humza doesnt even have the backing of his party.

Mammasaid

3,887 posts

98 months

Monday 29th April
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sherman said:
Baroque attacks said:
Think he’ll do a Pedro Sanchez?
Pedro Sanchez actually has the backing of the people.
Humza doesn't even have the backing of his household (apparently).
EFA

alangla

4,861 posts

182 months

Monday 29th April
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Is there not something in the SNP standing orders that the leader has to be an MSP? That would exclude Flynn and Black, though I agree Flynn will probably be somewhere on the Holyrood ballot in 2026 if not in a snap 2024 election

Ecosseven

1,987 posts

218 months

Monday 29th April
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Who knows when the next Scottish election will be but I can still see the SNP being the largest party, especially if they have Kate Forbes as FM. I don't want this to happen but I think its possible.

I don't think they will have a majority and will need to rely on Labour and the Lib Dems to get anything voted through. They will never work with the Tories as it would destroy their previous narrative that all Tories are evil............

Tories will return far fewer MSP's at the next election and will be probably be the 4th largest party.