Climate change - the POLITICAL debate.

Climate change - the POLITICAL debate.

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AJS-

15,366 posts

237 months

Sunday 14th October 2012
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In true tabloid style the Mail seems to have missed the more important point about the data. Temperatures did rise between 1997 and 2010, then fell sharply in the last 2 years, enough to neutralise the trend.

It seems like it goes in large unpredictable swings rather than a long predictable trend.

But credit where credit is due, at least they are now seeing and pointing out the holes in this epic scale fraud, and that is a step forward from 5 years ago when none of the mainstream media would.

turbobloke

104,014 posts

261 months

Sunday 14th October 2012
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Yes...but...all that warming...it's so scary...we must increase taxes (again) now or quite obviously we're doomed!



It's hidden and invisible but much worse than previously thought, after all, 15+ years is real climate is it not? Politicians need to act wake up and smell the rat.

Jasandjules

69,931 posts

230 months

Sunday 14th October 2012
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Happy82 said:
And aggressive! It's amazing how angry a "save the planet peace for all" individual can get when you question their religion with facts.
Yep.

Quite saddened to discover that someone I thought was intelligent is it seems a zealot.

dickymint

24,384 posts

259 months

Sunday 14th October 2012
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Spiritual_Beggar said:
Excellent read clap

dickymint

24,384 posts

259 months

Sunday 14th October 2012
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Blib said:
nelly1 said:
Gene Vincent said:
This Global Warming is getting everywhere!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-19932...
Fear not!

With a bit of Media Spinning©, this story becomes a 'Grim Prediction'...
article said:
Ironically, this season has been one of the best for snow in years, but such good conditions are becoming the exception.
The morons are so brainwashed and in denial that they ignore the evidence staring them in the face. God, how dumb can one get?
The dumbest part of all is that it's not even smoke coming out of those cooling towers - it's just heat and water vapour. banghead

Lost_BMW

12,955 posts

177 months

Sunday 14th October 2012
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Greenpies at it again:


http://www.thelocal.se/43764/20121012/


Jail time please...

Happy82

15,077 posts

170 months

Sunday 14th October 2012
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Considering that a lot of these temperature stations are next to artificial heat sources (such as a heating vent, apartment blocks, airports etc IIRC from a few years back), does this mean that temperatures are probably dropping rather than rising / remaining stable?




Jasandjules

69,931 posts

230 months

Sunday 14th October 2012
quotequote all
Happy82 said:
Considering that a lot of these temperature stations are next to artificial heat sources (such as a heating vent, apartment blocks, airports etc IIRC from a few years back), does this mean that temperatures are probably dropping rather than rising / remaining stable?
That would be in line with predictions given the solar activity a few years ago.


Globs

13,841 posts

232 months

Sunday 14th October 2012
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Lost_BMW said:
Greenpies at it again:


http://www.thelocal.se/43764/20121012/


Jail time please...
From there was an interesting list of windfarm accidents: http://www.caithnesswindfarms.co.uk/fullaccidents....
The death toll should be added to the list of fuel poverty deaths, and compared to the deaths caused by Global Warming - i.e. Zero.

kerplunk

7,068 posts

207 months

Sunday 14th October 2012
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The met office responds:

http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/

kerplunk

7,068 posts

207 months

Sunday 14th October 2012
quotequote all
Speaking of cherry-picking, a review of other global data (Nasa surface data, UAH lower troposphere data, ocean heat content data) indicates the 'no warming since 1997' claim lacks across the board robustness.

Edited by kerplunk on Sunday 14th October 17:11

Blib

44,195 posts

198 months

Sunday 14th October 2012
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How's that link between man made CO2 and climate change coming along, KP?

Lost_BMW

12,955 posts

177 months

Sunday 14th October 2012
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Guam said:
kerplunk said:
The met office responds:

http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/
Classic stuff from the met smile
Love this bit smile

As we’ve stressed before, choosing a starting or end point on short-term scales can be very misleading. Climate change can only be detected from multi-decadal timescales due to the inherent variability in the climate system. If you use a longer period from HadCRUT4 the trend looks very different. For example, 1979 to 2011 shows 0.16°C/decade (or 0.15°C/decade in the NCDC dataset, 0.16°C/decade in GISS). Looking at successive decades over this period, each decade was warmer than the previous – so the 1990s were warmer than the 1980s, and the 2000s were warmer than both. Eight of the top ten warmest years have occurred in the last decade.

Maybe they should tell just about everyone on the Ecoloon side that snippet!

"Cherrypicking" has been done to death by the Pro AGW Brigade, indeed years ago we had extensive debates on just that point on here.

We heard the same stuff when Phil Jones let it slip out <furiously walked back by the "industry" now we hear the same again. smile

In another four years <we commented at the 12 year mark IIRC> they will make the same point if it remains the same.
Indeed I reckon before they accept their "view" is screwed we will all be in the ground.

You see the Mean is acceptable when it works for them, when it doesnt lets pick out some outlier Temps and throw them in to the discussion.

Too funny.
Just think of all that money they've begged and bribed for their new and more fandangly computers when for £2.99 we could have bought them a new clutch of straws.

Lost_BMW

12,955 posts

177 months

Sunday 14th October 2012
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Readers may recall my mention of writing to Owen Paterson to encourage his attempts to shift govt. energy policy from the current Huhne/Davey madness.

His ppa has replied (below) and states that he would like to meet to discuss the issues. I can't make it and wondered if anyone here - better placed/informed than me too! - who wants to (maybe) influence policy might like to take my place? I was thinking perhaps of TB? Or Kerplunk...


.... only joking!

If so PM me and I'll try to organise something.

"Dear PH

Owen has asked me to thank you for your recent message. He would like to meet and wondered if you might be free to come to do so when he is next in Market Drayton? Friday 23 November looks possible- could we arrange this?



Rose Paterson * Constituency Office *The Rt Hon Owen Paterson MP

MP for North Shropshire & Secretary of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs

dickymint

24,384 posts

259 months

Sunday 14th October 2012
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kerplunk said:
The met office responds:

http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/
"Q.1 “First, please confirm that they do indeed reveal no warming trend since 1997.”

The linear trend from August 1997 (in the middle of an exceptionally strong El Nino) to August 2012 (coming at the tail end of a double-dip La Nina) is about 0.03°C/decade, amounting to a temperature increase of 0.05°C over that period, but equally we could calculate the linear trend from 1999, during the subsequent La Nina, and show a more substantial warming"

Talking about hundredths of a degree!!!!! FFS!!!!!!!!!!!

rovermorris999

5,203 posts

190 months

Monday 15th October 2012
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dickymint said:
"Q.1 “First, please confirm that they do indeed reveal no warming trend since 1997.”

The linear trend from August 1997 (in the middle of an exceptionally strong El Nino) to August 2012 (coming at the tail end of a double-dip La Nina) is about 0.03°C/decade, amounting to a temperature increase of 0.05°C over that period, but equally we could calculate the linear trend from 1999, during the subsequent La Nina, and show a more substantial warming"

Talking about hundredths of a degree!!!!! FFS!!!!!!!!!!!
Indeed. I'd ask them how accurate the measurements are. Show me the error bars!

Apache

39,731 posts

285 months

Monday 15th October 2012
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rovermorris999 said:
dickymint said:
"Q.1 “First, please confirm that they do indeed reveal no warming trend since 1997.”

The linear trend from August 1997 (in the middle of an exceptionally strong El Nino) to August 2012 (coming at the tail end of a double-dip La Nina) is about 0.03°C/decade, amounting to a temperature increase of 0.05°C over that period, but equally we could calculate the linear trend from 1999, during the subsequent La Nina, and show a more substantial warming"

Talking about hundredths of a degree!!!!! FFS!!!!!!!!!!!
Indeed. I'd ask them how accurate the measurements are. Show me the error bars!
That is, frankly, laughable

kerplunk

7,068 posts

207 months

Monday 15th October 2012
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rovermorris999 said:
Indeed. I'd ask them how accurate the measurements are. Show me the error bars!
Indeed but the error bars affect David Rose's claim as well of course.

rovermorris999

5,203 posts

190 months

Monday 15th October 2012
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Absolutely. All I want is clarity and honesty whoever the claims are from. So lets see the facts. Plus or minus what?

rovermorris999

5,203 posts

190 months

Monday 15th October 2012
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Yes, too many 'adjustments'.
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