Japan Fukushima nuclear thread

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Welshbeef

49,633 posts

199 months

Saturday 4th February 2017
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mcdjl said:
Welshbeef said:
So what's the solution ?

Can they use robots to remove the reactive bits and ship to selefield?
They'll have to be careful if they do. The noise on the camera image is being caused by the radiation. It will cause noise in any electronic component (which will be worse the smaller it is). Depending on what the component is you'll get different effects. Camera = bad image motor controller =random movement etc. Until it just dies that is. And then you've got a dead, radioactive robot on top of the pile.
So do they simply need to create a vast concrete dome and seal it up for a thousand years job done?

llewop

3,591 posts

212 months

Saturday 4th February 2017
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Welshbeef said:
So do they simply need to create a vast concrete dome and seal it up for a thousand years job done?
Not really - remote vehicles is the obvious way to investigate and try to clear things. But those sort of dose rates are not necessarily 'unusual' inside a reactor core with lots of fission products and fuel - although I'm not sure its something you actually make a habit of measuring!

I can't speculate on that hole and what it might be/what caused it.

Regarding sealing it for 100 years: both too long and not long enough! But that aside, more tricky than Chernobyl as they have 3, maybe 4 reactors they need to investigate and stabilise - the one 'good' thing about the Chernobyl accident was it was one reactor... and the one at the end of the block so access less complicated than it might have been (but still not easy).

If they can remove fuel elements, even damaged ones, that would reduce dose rates. The 'next step' at Chernobyl is to get the NSC functional and start to dismantle the sarcophagus and remains of the reactor: 31 years after the accident for comparison.

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

199 months

Saturday 4th February 2017
quotequote all
llewop said:
Welshbeef said:
So do they simply need to create a vast concrete dome and seal it up for a thousand years job done?
Not really - remote vehicles is the obvious way to investigate and try to clear things. But those sort of dose rates are not necessarily 'unusual' inside a reactor core with lots of fission products and fuel - although I'm not sure its something you actually make a habit of measuring!

I can't speculate on that hole and what it might be/what caused it.

Regarding sealing it for 100 years: both too long and not long enough! But that aside, more tricky than Chernobyl as they have 3, maybe 4 reactors they need to investigate and stabilise - the one 'good' thing about the Chernobyl accident was it was one reactor... and the one at the end of the block so access less complicated than it might have been (but still not easy).

If they can remove fuel elements, even damaged ones, that would reduce dose rates. The 'next step' at Chernobyl is to get the NSC functional and start to dismantle the sarcophagus and remains of the reactor: 31 years after the accident for comparison.
What is the risk associated with sealing it for generations without investigating the other reactors? At some point the reaction will end.

llewop

3,591 posts

212 months

Saturday 4th February 2017
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Welshbeef said:
What is the risk associated with sealing it for generations without investigating the other reactors? At some point the reaction will end.
uncertainty mostly - it has undergone a physical insult/trauma so the state and stability isn't known or predictable.

jmorgan

36,010 posts

285 months

Saturday 4th February 2017
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I suppose there is always the fear of another tsunami.

MartG

20,689 posts

205 months

Saturday 4th February 2017
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And the simple economic fact that the remaining fuel is actually quite valuable

hidetheelephants

24,451 posts

194 months

Saturday 4th February 2017
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davepoth said:
Digby said:
"Radiation level at Fukushima reactor highest since 2011 disaster"

"Feb 3, 2017: The new radiation level, described by some experts as “unimaginable,”

http://enenews.com/record-high-radiation-levels-at...
Well yes, if you measure the radiation inside the containment vessel, you'd expect quite a lot of it. That's normal. What's not normal is the 2m wide hole in the containment vessel. "Uruguay Syndrome" anyone?
Typical screechy fact-and-analysis-free hysteria from the media, there's no evidence of a hole in anything other than the floor grating; it's possible that the damage was caused by a corium escape, but it's also possible the damage was caused by radiant heating. Estimating radiation levels from interference in a CCTV feed is flaky at best, so 'unimaginable' is literally true.

saaby93

32,038 posts

179 months

Saturday 4th February 2017
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With a photo like that, are they worried that with such high levels it might explode?

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

199 months

Saturday 4th February 2017
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How long would it take for all the fuel to be used up/how many months or years?

I cannot imagine a nuclear plant is fuelled once every decade or few decades

hidetheelephants

24,451 posts

194 months

Saturday 4th February 2017
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saaby93 said:


With a photo like that, are they worried that with such high levels it might explode?
It's not going to explode, set itself on fire or melt down and burn through to the earth to emerge in Slough, although there's no shortage of aholes, feather merchants and outright liars like Arnie Gundersen or Helen Caldicott who will tell you Fukushima is a portal to Hades and old Nick himself is about to emerge.
Welshbeef said:
How long would it take for all the fuel to be used up/how many months or years?

I cannot imagine a nuclear plant is fuelled once every decade or few decades
Most water cooled reactors will have a refuelling cycle every 12-18 months, some fuel elements will be replaced and others will be shuffled around inside to avoid hot spots and get even usage of fuel. How long a fuel element lasts before it's ready for reprocessing depends on the reactor type, but solid fuel is generally ready for reprocessing once ~1% of the actual fissile is used up, which is why solid fuel sucks from an efficiency perspective and why so-called High Level Waste isn't waste at all, it's mostly still fuel.

Edited by hidetheelephants on Saturday 4th February 16:48

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

199 months

Saturday 4th February 2017
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hidetheelephants said:
Most water cooled reactors will have a refuelling cycle every 12-18 months, some fuel elements will be replaced and others will be shuffled around inside to avoid hot spots and get even usage of fuel. How long a fuel element lasts before it's ready for reprocessing depends on the reactor type, but solid fuel is generally ready for reprocessing once ~1% of the actual fissile is used up, which is why solid fuel sucks from an efficiency perspective and why so-called High Level Waste isn't waste at all, it's mostly still fuel.

Edited by hidetheelephants on Saturday 4th February 16:48
But this disaster happened in 2011 how can thee be any reaction ongoing now 6 years later? Surely it's now in half life territory?how is it possible for reactivity to increase 6 years later when no more fuel added to the reaction?

WatchfulEye

500 posts

129 months

Saturday 4th February 2017
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Welshbeef said:
But this disaster happened in 2011 how can thee be any reaction ongoing now 6 years later? Surely it's now in half life territory?how is it possible for reactivity to increase 6 years later when no more fuel added to the reaction?
It is unlikely that there has been any further reaction since the early stages of the accident - indeed, it's far from clear that there has been any further reaction since the earthquake caused a reactor trip, indeed, it's doesn't seem particularly likely as the core geometry is important for reactivity. All the damage, including melted reactor vessel bottom head, and melted grates can be adequately explained by radioactive decay heat (which is substantial in the early phase of the accident).

The high radiation readings in the current story are a reflection of deeper exploration into the containment structure. Previous attempts to access the containment structure, have been from the top. The most recent attempt is via a fuel pool transfer channel, through which the robot was able to get access to the containment below the reactor (which is where the fuel would have been expected to have escaped to). It is not surprising that radiation levels at this location are substantially higher than elsewhere.

hidetheelephants

24,451 posts

194 months

Saturday 4th February 2017
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Welshbeef said:
But this disaster happened in 2011 how can thee be any reaction ongoing now 6 years later? Surely it's now in half life territory?how is it possible for reactivity to increase 6 years later when no more fuel added to the reaction?
Fission stopped the second the Tepco Homers pressed the stop button and the control rods were fully inserted, which happened pretty much as the earthquake hit; the shenanigans that followed had nothing to do with fission and everything to do with having a lot of decay heat and no means of getting rid of it fast enough once the power to run the cooling water circulation pumps disappeared when the wave destroyed the fuel supply for the emergency generators.

TL;DR - no reaction occurred after the earthquake.

Gandahar

9,600 posts

129 months

Saturday 4th February 2017
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Is there an estimate for total cost yet? I guess not as they don't actually really know full extent and therefore the effort needed to neutralise it. What's total cost up to now been so far?

It's surprising not more is heard about it, are the Japanese typically low key? If this was in the USA updates would have been far more pressed for.


hidetheelephants

24,451 posts

194 months

Saturday 4th February 2017
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Gandahar said:
Is there an estimate for total cost yet? I guess not as they don't actually really know full extent and therefore the effort needed to neutralise it. What's total cost up to now been so far?

It's surprising not more is heard about it, are the Japanese typically low key? If this was in the USA updates would have been far more pressed for.
Which bit? The hysterical knee-jerk response of shutting down safe and functioning reactors has cost upwards of $25bn a year since 2011 in extra gas, oil and coal imports.

Talksteer

4,883 posts

234 months

Saturday 4th February 2017
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MartG said:
And the simple economic fact that the remaining fuel is actually quite valuable
No it's not!

The economics of reprocessing spent fuel is negative compared to just making new fuel from enriched uranium. Having to extract the uranium from bits of melted plant will cost vastly more than it's worth.

V8 Fettler

7,019 posts

133 months

Sunday 5th February 2017
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Gandahar said:
Is there an estimate for total cost yet? I guess not as they don't actually really know full extent and therefore the effort needed to neutralise it. What's total cost up to now been so far?

It's surprising not more is heard about it, are the Japanese typically low key? If this was in the USA updates would have been far more pressed for.
£151billion is the latest estimate

https://eandt.theiet.org/content/articles/2016/12/...

Reactors designed for submarines are best used for submarines.

eldar

21,791 posts

197 months

Sunday 5th February 2017
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Talksteer said:
No it's not!

The economics of reprocessing spent fuel is negative compared to just making new fuel from enriched uranium. Having to extract the uranium from bits of melted plant will cost vastly more than it's worth.
Too simplistic. Include the cost of storage/security of spent fuel - which still has 96% of its energy potential available - and it isn't clear. HMG has been scratching its head for decades over this calculation.

hidetheelephants

24,451 posts

194 months

Monday 6th February 2017
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eldar said:
Talksteer said:
No it's not!

The economics of reprocessing spent fuel is negative compared to just making new fuel from enriched uranium. Having to extract the uranium from bits of melted plant will cost vastly more than it's worth.
Too simplistic. Include the cost of storage/security of spent fuel - which still has 96% of its energy potential available - and it isn't clear. HMG has been scratching its head for decades over this calculation.
The costs of dry cask storage and associated security plus buying new fuel is tiny compared to that of deep geological storage or reprocessing(at least as far as current tech is concerned); if economics is the only consideration then it's an easy choice.

I don't think there's any comparison to be drawn between the well-defined costs of reprocessing fuel that's still in its cladding and the completely undefined costs of extracting and processing corium that's welded to the core support assembly. More adventurous MSR advocates have claimed that with appropriate reactor design it will be possible to simply reduce spent solid fuel(and by corollary also difficult waste like corium) to salts and consume them without any further treatment.

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

199 months

Monday 6th February 2017
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Whereas the cost of making a vast dome tomb over it sealing for ever is easily known. Why not go the easy route?

The reaction has finished forever in thousands of years time the radiation might be at levels which are safe until then seal it up.