Christmas fantasy PH share league

[Dave 500]

Oh wait a sec.....

Nope its gone through the floor

[B17NNS]

Market is being very cruel today. Awaiting news on the Fed.

Shame about MARL but you've got to be chuffed with SOLG. You in proper Kieran?

Good to see some new players. Good luck all

[kiethton]

B17NNS said:

Market is being very cruel today. Awaiting news on the Fed.

Shame about MARL but you've got to be chuffed with SOLG. You in proper Kieran?

Good to see some new players. Good luck all

Only in proper on MARL, still see it settling about even today although up would be nice.

Not in on SOLG unfortunatly but plan to enter in a week or 2 ahead of their expected results, just need to get out of NMG or BMN soon (the latter has had a good day thus far though)

If you look at the trend today it looks like people exited MARL and went straight into SOLG this morning causing that spike. With no news expected there until 4 Dec onwards I can see it slipping a little in the meantime whilst MARL grows a bit as people return/more news comes out next week.

Edited by kiethton on Wednesday 20th November 12:22

[eps]

I'm in... but will probably swan dive right to the bottom!!

[escargot]

Sod it, I'm all in

[B17NNS]

Interesting bit of historical research for anyone who is stuck for a stock or two to pick.

Performance is calculated using closing prices of 31st Nov and 31st Dec.

FTSE100 flagship index:
Risen in 18 of the last 20 Decembers
Gains ranging from a 0.3% to 7.9%.
On 7 occasions it has risen more than 3% (‘93, ’97, ’99, ’03, ’08, ’09, and ’10)

Individual Stocks: (over the last 20 years)
CRH (CRH) which has risen 17 times for an average gain of 6.7% (worst -20%, best +21.8%),
WPP (WPP), up 15 times for an average 4.9% (range: -12.9%, +15.2%)
Unilever (ULVR), also up 15 times for an average 4.0% (range: -1.9%, +11.8%).
Aberdeen Asset Management (ADN), up 14 times with an average return of 7.7%,
Wolseley (WOS) up 14 times for an average 6.2% and
Travis Perkins (TPK) up 13 times for an average 5.6%.

Heavyweight Stocks:
Barclays (BARC) Gained in 9 of 19 Decembers, with an average return of -0.7%*
Lloyds banking Group (LLOY) up in 12 of 20 for an average 1.0% and fellow bailout peer
Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) up 12 times for an average 1.2%.
Rio Tinto (RIO) is up 10 for an average 3.0%,
Tesco (TSCO) up 14 for 3.4%,
Vodafone (VOD) up 12 for 2.5%
BP (BP) up 9 times in the last 20 Decembers for an average profit of 1.3%.

[Hoddo]

Why does it do this more often than not in December? Traders got that festive feeling?

[trashbat]

I think I killed myself going big on MARL. Oh well.

[OtherBusiness]

Partly a self fulfilling prophecy,and also:

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/santaclauseffe...

[kiethton]

trashbat said:

I think I killed myself going big on MARL. Oh well.

Welcome to the club

[B17NNS]

Hoddo said:

Why does it do this more often than not in December? Traders got that festive feeling?

In the most simple of ways to some extent yes. A general feeling of positivity, Christmas bonuses, bears away from their desks to get away from the festivities.

All anecdotal but it sort of has a snowball effect. Everyone hopes there will be a rally and invests (financially and thus in the idea) and the positivity gets infectious.

Doesn't always happen though. If however you're ever going to take a bet on the FTSE, this is historically a very good time to do it.

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/santaclauseffe...

Edited by B17NNS on Wednesday 20th November 14:39

[Hoddo]

Thank you OtherBusiness + B17NNS. Helpful as ever. Should make the next month very interesting.

[HarryCush]

First PH post from long time lurker. I have just joined the lse game and thought I'd say hi.

Have been following the chat in the share tips thread and I think I'll fit right in (losing money on ramped AIM shares!!!).

Will update with my losses once i get my fantasy portfolio going.

[HarryCush]

First PH post from long time lurker. I have just joined the lse game and thought I'd say hi.

Have been following the chat in the share tips thread and I think I'll fit right in (losing money on ramped AIM shares!!!).

Will update with my losses once i get my fantasy portfolio going.

[B17NNS]

HarryCush said:

Will update with my losses once i get my fantasy portfolio going.

Think positive thoughts. Good luck Harry

[kiethton]

B17NNS said:

HarryCush said:

Will update with my losses once i get my fantasy portfolio going.

Think positive thoughts. Good luck Harry

True, I've set the bar pretty low!! Can't view it at work but think I've worked out that I'm about £2,000 down....in 7 hours!

[escargot]

That was a bit of fun today. Ended up at -£40 on the day with the full £10k invested. RMG was my only positive investment though, might have to look at that

[B17NNS]

kiethton said:

I'm about £2,000 down....in 7 hours!

You're a true hero K. Just think. If you'd stayed in bed all day only answering the door to hookers, coke dealers and dominoes you'd be richer than you are having spent a day at work.

[kiethton]

B17NNS said:

kiethton said:

I'm about £2,000 down....in 7 hours!

You're a true hero K. Just think. If you'd stayed in bed all day only answering the door to hookers, coke dealers and dominoes you'd be richer than you are having spent a day at work.

Indeed! Atleast it's only play cash but what little pride I have is at stake

The interview went well so hopefully getting up this morning was a positive thing! - doubt the GF would be impressed if I'd done the above - I'm well built enough as it is!

[plfrench]

This sounds like a bit of fun, I'm in. Username as per PH.

I'm a bit confused though, as the LSE site shows AZN as having an increase of 3.7% on the day, whereas Yahoo show it as 0.02% increase today... why is there a difference?