Crypto Currency Thread

Crypto Currency Thread

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NickCQ

5,392 posts

97 months

Tuesday 27th November 2018
quotequote all
Behemoth said:
Meanwhile, bitcoin still works. It works at pretty much any $ price
That’s not entirely true - higher dollar prices brings in more mining, which improves chain security and subsidises transaction costs.

Behemoth

2,105 posts

132 months

Tuesday 27th November 2018
quotequote all
NickCQ said:
That’s not entirely true - higher dollar prices brings in more mining, which improves chain security and subsidises transaction costs.
Isn't it? How does this stop it working?

NickCQ

5,392 posts

97 months

Tuesday 27th November 2018
quotequote all
Behemoth said:
NickCQ said:
That’s not entirely true - higher dollar prices brings in more mining, which improves chain security and subsidises transaction costs.
Isn't it? How does this stop it working?
Semantics - I think you get my point, which is yes, it works, but less well.

Guvernator

13,164 posts

166 months

Tuesday 27th November 2018
quotequote all
Behemoth said:
Isn't it? How does this stop it working?
I think he means it requires a certain amount of computing power for the network to function. The miners provide that at the moment because it makes them money. If it drops too far in value, what incentive do they have to support the network?

Condi

17,231 posts

172 months

Tuesday 27th November 2018
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
All the PR money has been pulled. Hence no advertorials.
Apparently people are still being paid to write positive reports though. Who'd have thought all those evangelists were being paid for it??

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-crypto-currenci...


Behemoth

2,105 posts

132 months

Tuesday 27th November 2018
quotequote all
Guvernator said:
I think he means it requires a certain amount of computing power for the network to function. The miners provide that at the moment because it makes them money. If it drops too far in value, what incentive do they have to support the network?
The network is constructed to work with whatever incentive exists. If value drops, so does the difficulty of mining. This gets recalculated every 2016 blocks. The reason it always works is down to game theory. Realistically, some state actor might try and overwhelm it if price dropped too far. But that would be money down the drain, so likely a political attack rather than one with a profit motive. I think it's far too late for that to happen now - the opportunity was many years ago.

DonkeyApple

55,408 posts

170 months

Tuesday 27th November 2018
quotequote all
Condi said:
DonkeyApple said:
All the PR money has been pulled. Hence no advertorials.
Apparently people are still being paid to write positive reports though. Who'd have thought all those evangelists were being paid for it??

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-crypto-currenci...

Just like the penny share market place. Again! wink

There is absolutely nothing new with all this crypto stuff. It’s the same old business model packaged in yet another way. What is new is that it’s probably been the first ever global and decentralised wheeze.

Half the time you don’t even need to pay the stooges as they just want the kudos of being first to put pen to paper.

anonymous-user

55 months

Tuesday 27th November 2018
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
Just like the penny share market place. Again! wink

There is absolutely nothing new with all this crypto stuff. It’s the same old business model packaged in yet another way. What is new is that it’s probably been the first ever global and decentralised wheeze.

Half the time you don’t even need to pay the stooges as they just want the kudos of being first to put pen to paper.
Always reminds me of the AIM oil and gas shares, how many people have lost a fortune on those? I remember Sound Energy being hyped on here when it went from 16 pence to 91 pence in the space of 10 weeks. This was all on the back of rumours with nothing to back them up and everybody was bragging about how rich they were going to be.

There was always some massive potential oil discovery about to be announced according to the posters on the LSE message board. I remember reading a post by someone who was convinced they had found something big due to the body language of the CEO in some presentation. When the price started to fall and people were talking about selling it was the same "shaking out the week hands" and "They want you to sell so they can buy cheaply"

It's currently 14 pence a share after a slow decline over the last 18 months.

Replace Sound Energy with Crypto (especially Ripple) and it is new boss same as the old boss.

Behemoth

2,105 posts

132 months

Tuesday 27th November 2018
quotequote all
Financial scams are as old as the hills. Whenever there's money to be had with some new technology or idea, snake oil salesmen will dust off their patter as sure as night follows day. Two of my favourites from centuries past:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Railway_Mania

https://www.history.com/news/the-con-man-who-inven...

Condi

17,231 posts

172 months

Tuesday 27th November 2018
quotequote all
But never before has one achieved such widespread promotion and investment. When not only your barber is talking about it, but a barber in China and one in Brazil is also talking about it, its gone far beyond any normal bubble.

Maybe in future years the History website will be writing about someone who created their own currency and managed to persuade people it was worth something. Very nearly as audacious and unlikely as someone creating their own country. We'll laugh at the people who bought into it, and marvel at how much computing power and energy was spent of an ultimately, and obviously, flawed system.

Some Gump

12,705 posts

187 months

Tuesday 27th November 2018
quotequote all
Behemoth said:
Financial scams are as old as the hills. Whenever there's money to be had with some new technology or idea, snake oil salesmen will dust off their patter as sure as night follows day. Two of my favourites from centuries past:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Railway_Mania

https://www.history.com/news/the-con-man-who-inven...
You're only saying that about the railways because you don't understand. That was just a branch line diversion for those who didn't understand the train theory being played out. Those that truly understood went long, knowing that bearded prick was going to be able to charge 1 hundred and 20 fking pounds to stand on a delayed carriage between London and Manchester in 2018.

Behemoth

2,105 posts

132 months

Tuesday 27th November 2018
quotequote all
Some Gump said:
You're only saying that about the railways because you don't understand. That was just a branch line diversion for those who didn't understand the train theory being played out. Those that truly understood went long, knowing that bearded prick was going to be able to charge 1 hundred and 20 fking pounds to stand on a delayed carriage between London and Manchester in 2018.
laughbeer

Condi

17,231 posts

172 months

Tuesday 27th November 2018
quotequote all
Some Gump said:
You're only saying that about the railways because you don't understand. That was just a branch line diversion for those who didn't understand the train theory being played out. Those that truly understood went long, knowing that bearded prick was going to be able to charge 1 hundred and 20 fking pounds to stand on a delayed carriage between London and Manchester in 2018.
hehe


And to be fair, Railway Mania did manage to totally change the country enabling mass movement of transport of people and goods in a way not seen before, so the comparison is a little unfair. There were tangible benefits, actual companies and actual income produced from some/most of the ventures.

EddieSteadyGo

11,985 posts

204 months

Tuesday 27th November 2018
quotequote all
Behemoth said:
Financial scams are as old as the hills. Whenever there's money to be had with some new technology or idea, snake oil salesmen will dust off their patter as sure as night follows day. Two of my favourites from centuries past:
Out of interest, do you mind me asking how much you have invested in this crypto stuff?

(Feel free to tell me to FO, I'm just wondering to what extent are you backing your own viewpoint)

wisbech

2,980 posts

122 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
quotequote all
Behemoth said:
The network is constructed to work with whatever incentive exists. If value drops, so does the difficulty of mining. This gets recalculated every 2016 blocks. The reason it always works is down to game theory. Realistically, some state actor might try and overwhelm it if price dropped too far. But that would be money down the drain, so likely a political attack rather than one with a profit motive. I think it's far too late for that to happen now - the opportunity was many years ago.
Stupid question- how does that reconcile with the 21m limit? Miners then get paid by transaction fees, not new coins?

Fast and Spurious

1,331 posts

89 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
quotequote all
Condi said:
But never before has one achieved such widespread promotion and investment. When not only your barber is talking about it, but a barber in China and one in Brazil is also talking about it, its gone far beyond any normal bubble.

Maybe in future years the History website will be writing about someone who created their own currency and managed to persuade people it was worth something. Very nearly as audacious and unlikely as someone creating their own country. We'll laugh at the people who bought into it, and marvel at how much computing power and energy was spent of an ultimately, and obviously, flawed system.
I've been laughing about it for months.

200Plus Club

10,773 posts

279 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
quotequote all
How does the supposedly altruistic intent behind BTC sit with the vast waste of energy in running the "mining" operations behind it, for anyone actually involved/passionate rather than out to make a fast buck?

Edited by 200Plus Club on Wednesday 28th November 08:44

tertius

6,858 posts

231 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
quotequote all
wisbech said:
Behemoth said:
The network is constructed to work with whatever incentive exists. If value drops, so does the difficulty of mining. This gets recalculated every 2016 blocks. The reason it always works is down to game theory. Realistically, some state actor might try and overwhelm it if price dropped too far. But that would be money down the drain, so likely a political attack rather than one with a profit motive. I think it's far too late for that to happen now - the opportunity was many years ago.
Stupid question- how does that reconcile with the 21m limit? Miners then get paid by transaction fees, not new coins?
Correct, also the reducing coinbase reward (currently 12.5 BTC per block) is meant to encourage a shift towards fee-based rewards for mining.

Behemoth

2,105 posts

132 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
quotequote all
200Plus Club said:
How does the supposedly altruistic intent behind BTC sit with the vast waste of energy in running the "mining" operations behind it, for anyone actually involved/passionate rather than out to make a fast buck?
I would struggle to describe Bitcoin altruistic.

Mining takes a lot of energy, but it isn't wasted. It secures the ledger. The effort put in is directly related to value. It serves the same purpose as the entire complex and fragmented infrastructures that hold together a normal sovereign currency.

Energy efficiency is important enough for miners to relocate where electricity is cheap. The kWHr price is absolutely crucial to mining competition and profitability. There's currently a wide mix of sources stretching from unreasonably cheap state supplied electricity in China to miners placed next to geothermal & hydro plants. These supply market asymmetries are disappearing. Electricity is impossible to move long distances (energy loss along existing transmission lines in the US is about 6%), whilst Bitcoin mining is very easy to relocate and of course Bitcoin can be sent across the planet almost instantaneously. The net effect is that Bitcoin will eventually soak up excess capacity and create value from it wherever it can be found & isn't used for something else. Gas flaring is one example of a bunch of energy innovations in this area. Bitcoin mining will always move to where electrical energy is abundant and cheap.

US xmas lights use up more energy than entire countries . People are free to buy and do whatever they want with energy & there are vast quantities of it to go around.

NickCQ

5,392 posts

97 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
quotequote all
Behemoth said:
People are free to buy and do whatever they want with energy & there are vast quantities of it to go around.
I really don’t agree with this. Energy is a scarce resource and the production of electricity has massive negative externalities (ie climate change) that we would do well to avoid.

Xmas lights use as much energy as El Salvador.. bitcoin uses as much energy as Ireland or Belgium.
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