Crypto Currency Thread

Crypto Currency Thread

TOPIC CLOSED
TOPIC CLOSED
Author
Discussion

Kent Border Kenny

2,219 posts

61 months

Monday 2nd November 2020
quotequote all
g4ry13 said:
Ok, come back in 6 months and we'll talk about the past again wink
What’s the point, you’re not willing to make any claims about what will happen over that period.

g4ry13

17,021 posts

256 months

Monday 2nd November 2020
quotequote all
Kent Border Kenny said:
g4ry13 said:
Ok, come back in 6 months and we'll talk about the past again wink
What’s the point, you’re not willing to make any claims about what will happen over that period.
I think it will perform better than the financial markets. It will make more / lose less than an investment on Wall Street / FTSE will return.

Kent Border Kenny

2,219 posts

61 months

Monday 2nd November 2020
quotequote all
g4ry13 said:
I think it will perform better than the financial markets. It will make more / lose less than an investment on Wall Street / FTSE will return.
Ok, at last, some meat on the bones.

So, if we want to be able to come back and compare, should we pick the closing price tonight, and use the S&P 500 total return index as the relevant comparison?

p_k_n

185 posts

92 months

Monday 2nd November 2020
quotequote all
Chamon_Lee said:
Never understand why people feel the need to insult someone who has done so much so well with his life. W Buffet is a credit to his field and has done very well. I don't discount warren or Cathy and both are excellent in their fields. People act as if Warren doesn't invest in tech at all yet he does and a good chunk too. Even if he didn't I think it’s ridiculous to insult someone so accomplished; it’s akin to calling Cathy Woods from ARK a quack with fantasy of what the future will look like!
Let’s be respectful for all that have done well in their fields.
Really? It's not like he's going to be reading this thread and become offended. A book could be written about his mistakes (Dexter, missing Google IPO etc etc) and the HUGE fed bailouts he's benefited from. There's no question he has done well in his lifetime but that's in the past. Your comparison with Cathie Wood is interesting - IMO she has foresight with regards to where cryptocurrency is going yet Buffett thinks Bitcoin is "rat poison squared" hence my belief that he's a dinosaur. Time will tell if he is right or wrong.

g4ry13

17,021 posts

256 months

Monday 2nd November 2020
quotequote all
Kent Border Kenny said:
g4ry13 said:
I think it will perform better than the financial markets. It will make more / lose less than an investment on Wall Street / FTSE will return.
Ok, at last, some meat on the bones.

So, if we want to be able to come back and compare, should we pick the closing price tonight, and use the S&P 500 total return index as the relevant comparison?
When does the BTC market close?

Count it however you like if it's important to you to mark off 6 months on the calendar so you may have the opportunity to say "I told you so".

g4ry13

17,021 posts

256 months

Monday 2nd November 2020
quotequote all
p_k_n said:
Chamon_Lee said:
Never understand why people feel the need to insult someone who has done so much so well with his life. W Buffet is a credit to his field and has done very well. I don't discount warren or Cathy and both are excellent in their fields. People act as if Warren doesn't invest in tech at all yet he does and a good chunk too. Even if he didn't I think it’s ridiculous to insult someone so accomplished; it’s akin to calling Cathy Woods from ARK a quack with fantasy of what the future will look like!
Let’s be respectful for all that have done well in their fields.
Really? It's not like he's going to be reading this thread and become offended. A book could be written about his mistakes (Dexter, missing Google IPO etc etc) and the HUGE fed bailouts he's benefited from. There's no question he has done well in his lifetime but that's in the past. Your comparison with Cathie Wood is interesting - IMO she has foresight with regards to where cryptocurrency is going yet Buffett thinks Bitcoin is "rat poison squared" hence my belief that he's a dinosaur. Time will tell if he is right or wrong.
He also got Tesco rather wrong during the accounting scandal and bailed far too early.

Buffett has failed to evolve with the world.

x5x3

2,424 posts

254 months

Monday 2nd November 2020
quotequote all
g4ry13 said:
Taking into account stability and performance - it is one of the best performing investments.
Have you looked at the chart history for BTC - its not exactly stable and although I am a fan I would not recommend it to anyone on the basis it is stable.

g4ry13

17,021 posts

256 months

Monday 2nd November 2020
quotequote all
x5x3 said:
g4ry13 said:
Taking into account stability and performance - it is one of the best performing investments.
Have you looked at the chart history for BTC - its not exactly stable and although I am a fan I would not recommend it to anyone on the basis it is stable.
Similar can be said for other instruments when you are selective with timeframes.

On a day-to-day basis it does have larger moves than more conventional instruments. Even some weeks. Over the last few years it has been gradually appreciating in price (albeit with some sizeable corrections).

I made the claim based on the performance it delivers AND the stability. If you want stable, go put money in an NS&I 1 year fixed rate bond .

Condi

17,231 posts

172 months

Monday 2nd November 2020
quotequote all
g4ry13 said:
Similar can be said for other instruments when you are selective with timeframes.

On a day-to-day basis it does have larger moves than more conventional instruments. Even some weeks. Over the last few years it has been gradually appreciating in price (albeit with some sizeable corrections).

I made the claim based on the performance it delivers AND the stability. If you want stable, go put money in an NS&I 1 year fixed rate bond .
By whichever measure you use (VIX being the common one) Bitcoin is by far one of the most unstable assets out there.

Kent Border Kenny

2,219 posts

61 months

Monday 2nd November 2020
quotequote all
g4ry13 said:
When does the BTC market close?

Count it however you like if it's important to you to mark off 6 months on the calendar so you may have the opportunity to say "I told you so".
But I’m making no prediction, so I’ll not really get to say I told you anything.

Hopefully I’ve just made one of the crypto evangelists put a little bit of thought into what they mean when they hype it.

g4ry13

17,021 posts

256 months

Monday 2nd November 2020
quotequote all
Kent Border Kenny said:
g4ry13 said:
When does the BTC market close?

Count it however you like if it's important to you to mark off 6 months on the calendar so you may have the opportunity to say "I told you so".
But I’m making no prediction, so I’ll not really get to say I told you anything.

Hopefully I’ve just made one of the crypto evangelists put a little bit of thought into what they mean when they hype it.
I'm hardly an evangelist and it sounds like you were doing fine without me seeing as you already owned some Bitcoin!

I personally have very little Bitcoin and most of my exposure is in other crypto assets.

Mr Whippy

29,068 posts

242 months

Tuesday 3rd November 2020
quotequote all
x5x3 said:
g4ry13 said:
Taking into account stability and performance - it is one of the best performing investments.
Have you looked at the chart history for BTC - its not exactly stable and although I am a fan I would not recommend it to anyone on the basis it is stable.
It’s unstable at higher frequency, but the trend is clear.

If you cost average bought into BTC over the last decade at £1 a month you’d be a multi-millionaire now.

Only if you buy like a melon at a spike would or sell in a dip like a plonker would you have lost on BTC.

Condi

17,231 posts

172 months

Tuesday 3rd November 2020
quotequote all
Mr Whippy said:
Only if you buy like a melon at a spike would or sell in a dip like a plonker would you have lost on BTC.
That is the same for any asset which has increased in value.

Oh, wait. HODL, everyone HODL!!!!!!!! To the mooooooooooon.

There is some absolute nonsense posted in here at times. I'm glad non of you have to explain your trading strategies or analysis to a risk department. hehe They'd tear you apart.

Why can people not admit it's a complete punt; you're buying into a totally unregulated and opaque market where even the number of trades, let alone the trade price and counterparties are complete guesses. If you want to gamble that is totally fine, but don't dress it up with any kind of fundamental analysis which you are then correlating with a price movement.

Kent Border Kenny

2,219 posts

61 months

Tuesday 3rd November 2020
quotequote all
Condi said:
That is the same for any asset which has increased in value.

Oh, wait. HODL, everyone HODL!!!!!!!! To the mooooooooooon.

There is some absolute nonsense posted in here at times. I'm glad non of you have to explain your trading strategies or analysis to a risk department. hehe They'd tear you apart.

Why can people not admit it's a complete punt; you're buying into a totally unregulated and opaque market where even the number of trades, let alone the trade price and counterparties are complete guesses. If you want to gamble that is totally fine, but don't dress it up with any kind of fundamental analysis which you are then correlating with a price movement.
And that's leaving aside that the strategies that some seem to favour would have seen them completely wiped out on each of the pull-backs.

bigandclever

13,795 posts

239 months

Tuesday 3rd November 2020
quotequote all
Condi said:
Why can people not admit it's a complete punt; you're buying into a totally unregulated and opaque market where even the number of trades, let alone the trade price and counterparties are complete guesses. If you want to gamble that is totally fine, but don't dress it up with any kind of fundamental analysis which you are then correlating with a price movement.
I’m sure I’ve read there are over a thousand crypto currencies that have failed. It might have been on here, I know nothing about them smile

x5x3

2,424 posts

254 months

Tuesday 3rd November 2020
quotequote all
Kent Border Kenny said:
Condi said:
That is the same for any asset which has increased in value.

Oh, wait. HODL, everyone HODL!!!!!!!! To the mooooooooooon.

There is some absolute nonsense posted in here at times. I'm glad non of you have to explain your trading strategies or analysis to a risk department. hehe They'd tear you apart.

Why can people not admit it's a complete punt; you're buying into a totally unregulated and opaque market where even the number of trades, let alone the trade price and counterparties are complete guesses. If you want to gamble that is totally fine, but don't dress it up with any kind of fundamental analysis which you are then correlating with a price movement.
And that's leaving aside that the strategies that some seem to favour would have seen them completely wiped out on each of the pull-backs.
HODL'ers would have been fine wink

dimots

3,094 posts

91 months

Tuesday 3rd November 2020
quotequote all
How can we still be having this discussion haha.

Yeah crypto is a flash in the pan, it'll all blow over by Christmas. See ya lads biggrin

Condi

17,231 posts

172 months

Tuesday 3rd November 2020
quotequote all
dimots said:
How can we still be having this discussion haha.

Yeah crypto is a flash in the pan, it'll all blow over by Christmas. See ya lads biggrin
Have you found a use for it yet? biggrin

Wasn't it used by half of Venezuela? Then it was going to become the new gold standard? Maybe you could buy a pizza with it? Even drug dealers are moving on to something else now. hehe

Kent Border Kenny

2,219 posts

61 months

Tuesday 3rd November 2020
quotequote all
x5x3 said:
HODL'ers would have been fine wink
Only if they weren’t employing any leverage though. If they were, it could have seen a very painful exit.

Fortunately all of their strategies are invented after the event, so it wasn’t too likely.

anonymous-user

55 months

Tuesday 3rd November 2020
quotequote all
I’m glad I took my punt when I did and that my thoughts on btc have been taken on by Paul Tudor Jones. I don’t need to repeat myself, just refer to his comments.
TOPIC CLOSED
TOPIC CLOSED