Fundsmith

Author
Discussion

BlackG7R

683 posts

182 months

Tuesday 7th January 2020
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I have a significant part of my pension pot with Fundsmith, and Terry Smith is very credible. His strategy / ethos makes sense to me, I love watching the shareholder meetings on Youtube, and he also has a good track record with Tullett Prebon.

But history seems to say that this outperformance is unlikely to carry on indefinitely, and the more I read the more I'm convinced that low cost Global Index funds are the way to go for the long term, and for just being able to forget about them, and knowing you will get the market return at a lower cost.

That said I'm not going to sell any FS at the moment, I'm just not putting anymore in. All my future contributions will be going to Vanguard.

BlackG7R

683 posts

182 months

Tuesday 7th January 2020
quotequote all

6/1/19 to 6/1/20 Fundsmith is showing +27.42%

Which to my mind is brilliant. So those saying it's not done well recently are obviously not looking long term enough. This has got to be considered an investment for a minimum of 5 yrs I would say.

Terry Smith has said himself that the performance will come in spurts.

croyde

23,003 posts

231 months

Tuesday 7th January 2020
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I pulled out of Woodford early last year and stuck it and more into Fundsmith.

At one point I was up 16% within weeks but now still 12% up.

Makes up and more for my Woodford loss.

2Btoo

3,434 posts

204 months

Wednesday 8th January 2020
quotequote all
BlackG7R said:
6/1/19 to 6/1/20 Fundsmith is showing +27.42%

Which to my mind is brilliant. So those saying it's not done well recently are obviously not looking long term enough. This has got to be considered an investment for a minimum of 5 yrs I would say.

Terry Smith has said himself that the performance will come in spurts.
Interesting point, thanks. I hadn't spotted that. (An aside, but I don't think it's quite as good as you say; 6/1/19 was a Sunday so no price, quoted price on 7/1/19 was 371.95. Quoted price on 6/2/20 was 464.44, hence an increase of 24.9%) My concern was based on losses since the summer. I need to look more long-term.

I didn't know that Terry had said the performance would be in spurts. Thanks for pointing that out!

Maybe I'll stick with it after all. I do like his investment style and he does have an excellent track record with TP and elsewhere.

CrossMember

2,993 posts

140 months

Wednesday 8th January 2020
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I don't understand why anyone would expect the performance NOT to come in spurts.

Can somebody please point me at some stocks or funds which always go up?

btdk5

1,853 posts

191 months

Wednesday 8th January 2020
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CrossMember said:
I don't understand why anyone would expect the performance NOT to come in spurts.

Can somebody please point me at some stocks or funds which always go up?
Personally I would separate the idea that stocks and funds are to be treated similarly. I wouldn’t short term trade a fund, they are meant as long term holdings.

Condi

17,283 posts

172 months

Thursday 9th January 2020
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CrossMember said:
I don't understand why anyone would expect the performance NOT to come in spurts.

Can somebody please point me at some stocks or funds which always go up?
Property funds or bonds tend to be less volatile, but also tend to yield lower returns over a long period. Swings and roundabouts.

BlackG7R

683 posts

182 months

Thursday 9th January 2020
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Talking of spurts, up 1.4% today.

How's that for you ?

CzechItOut

2,154 posts

192 months

Thursday 9th January 2020
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BlackG7R said:
Talking of spurts, up 1.4% today.

How's that for you ?
"The only problem you’re going to have is that you didn’t buy more."

vindaloo79

963 posts

81 months

Thursday 9th January 2020
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CrossMember said:
I don't understand why anyone would expect the performance NOT to come in spurts.

Can somebody please point me at some stocks or funds which always go up?
This one is worth a watch. https://www.hl.co.uk/shares/shares-search-results/...

I topped up as prices fell in August, wish I was braver in October now. I add to my holdings a few times a year but did sell out around brexit.

bitchstewie

Original Poster:

51,549 posts

211 months

Thursday 9th January 2020
quotequote all
Scottish Mortgage Trust most definitely does not always go up.

I frequently see people on forums freaking out because they've put money into it and it's shed 10% very quickly even if it can also put it back on very quickly.

2Btoo

3,434 posts

204 months

Thursday 9th January 2020
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BlackG7R said:
Talking of spurts, up 1.4% today.

How's that for you ?
Balances out being down 1.1% on Monday .... smile

Stedman

7,228 posts

193 months

Thursday 9th January 2020
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jonny70 said:
This.

The majority of Fundsmiths shares are based in the USA and a fair % of the last few years growth was due to the weak GBP, as the GBP strengthens them some of these gains from a weak GBP will be reversed.
'Only' about 7% wasn't it?

BlackG7R

683 posts

182 months

Thursday 9th January 2020
quotequote all
Stedman said:
jonny70 said:
This.

The majority of Fundsmiths shares are based in the USA and a fair % of the last few years growth was due to the weak GBP, as the GBP strengthens them some of these gains from a weak GBP will be reversed.
'Only' about 7% wasn't it?
Will GBP strengthen ??

JulianPH

9,918 posts

115 months

Friday 10th January 2020
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BlackG7R said:
Stedman said:
jonny70 said:
This.

The majority of Fundsmiths shares are based in the USA and a fair % of the last few years growth was due to the weak GBP, as the GBP strengthens them some of these gains from a weak GBP will be reversed.
'Only' about 7% wasn't it?
Will GBP strengthen ??
It already has. Last year my US based investment portfolio (PH Equity) was up nearly 30% in dollars, but this return was reduced to 24% in sterling due to the rise in the value of the pound.

Macron

9,916 posts

167 months

Friday 10th January 2020
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vindaloo79 said:
CrossMember said:
Can somebody please point me at some stocks or funds which always go up?
This one is worth a watch. https://www.hl.co.uk/shares/shares-search-results/...

...prices fell in August...
rofl

Condi

17,283 posts

172 months

Friday 10th January 2020
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Macron said:
vindaloo79 said:
CrossMember said:
Can somebody please point me at some stocks or funds which always go up?
This one is worth a watch. https://www.hl.co.uk/shares/shares-search-results/...

...prices fell in August...
rofl
Continued falling into November too, he didnt mention that bit!

emicen

8,600 posts

219 months

Friday 10th January 2020
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bhstewie said:
Scottish Mortgage Trust most definitely does not always go up.

I frequently see people on forums freaking out because they've put money into it and it's shed 10% very quickly even if it can also put it back on very quickly.
I’ve heard that fund mentioned but never really looked at it before. Last couple of years have been quite a roller coaster there!

Skyedriver

17,936 posts

283 months

Friday 10th January 2020
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emicen said:
I’ve heard that fund mentioned but never really looked at it before. Last couple of years have been quite a roller coaster there!
As you, interesting graph.

Highway Star

3,576 posts

232 months

Saturday 11th January 2020
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emicen said:
I’ve heard that fund mentioned but never really looked at it before. Last couple of years have been quite a roller coaster there!
I invested around £5k in SMT in 2017 at around 400 - its 600 now, so 50% in two and three quarter years. Not amazing, but not a disaster. I haven't bought any more though!