Share tips thread (Vol 2)

Share tips thread (Vol 2)

Author
Discussion

ATM

18,287 posts

219 months

Wednesday 9th October 2019
quotequote all
FredClogs said:
Sxx chat on LSE is in meltdown today after the company CEO had a go at amateur investors handing out advice to each other... Errr...
Totally lost all credibility if you ask me. The only people who will agree with him are these amateur investors who have lost their shirt here. And therefore is he telling them to invest more? Is he buying at these prices then? Lets see some buying from him now.

Greshamst

2,061 posts

120 months

Friday 11th October 2019
quotequote all
Haven’t seen this much green in one day in a long time. Makes me realise how uk weighted my holdings are. Whoops.

Shnozz

27,475 posts

271 months

Friday 11th October 2019
quotequote all

FredClogs

14,041 posts

161 months

Friday 11th October 2019
quotequote all
Greshamst said:
Haven’t seen this much green in one day in a long time. Makes me realise how uk weighted my holdings are. Whoops.
The FTSE250 put on nearly 4% presumably on the hint that a Brexit deal is in sight. Although its not that much above where it was last Friday, and still lower than last month so don't get carried away.

Burwood

18,709 posts

246 months

Friday 11th October 2019
quotequote all
FredClogs said:
Greshamst said:
Haven’t seen this much green in one day in a long time. Makes me realise how uk weighted my holdings are. Whoops.
The FTSE250 put on nearly 4% presumably on the hint that a Brexit deal is in sight. Although its not that much above where it was last Friday, and still lower than last month so don't get carried away.
Probably a tonne of short covering-same with FX. It will drift back down. After all there are other macro issues playing out. Id be very cautious between now and Christmas.

guindilias

5,245 posts

120 months

Saturday 12th October 2019
quotequote all
I shorted Levi with a stupidly large amount of money before their earnings, and it worked out great. x5 leverage, so as soon as they dived I was done.
That is literally all the trading I have done recently - the Nasdaq is so daft, random, and volatile at the minute that I have absolutely nothing on - just my capital sitting there. I got really bored with not trading at all, then Levi popped up. So I put a load on it as a short, I was pretty sure they would drop after earnings, but didn't expect that much... so one big profit to report, and no losses as I have nowt on the board - I cashed out my Levi position at a pretty huge low and that's it.
It's frustrating, this earning season has been pretty useless and I'm glad it's over. not long till the start of the last season, traditionally the worst, but I think there are a few diamonds in there that are about to be revealed as polished glass - short them into the ground.

I hope...

alistair1234

1,131 posts

146 months

Tuesday 15th October 2019
quotequote all
Good couple of weeks for PREM, up 825%.

VAST up 350% over the last month and should hopefully double in price from here with the expected RNS’s this week

guindilias

5,245 posts

120 months

Tuesday 15th October 2019
quotequote all
Netflix earnings report tomorrow... not sure how it will go - "The Irishman" might just save them. I could see a lot of people joining up just for that film, and then never getting round to cancelling.

Burwood

18,709 posts

246 months

Tuesday 15th October 2019
quotequote all
guindilias said:
Netflix earnings report tomorrow... not sure how it will go - "The Irishman" might just save them. I could see a lot of people joining up just for that film, and then never getting round to cancelling.
But won’t be reflected in last quarters earnings.

guindilias

5,245 posts

120 months

Tuesday 15th October 2019
quotequote all
Nope, but future guidance has a huge effect on the earnings result - it can flip the share price completely the other way. I lost an absolute stack on Facebook once at earnings - they had a great quarter, and then Zuckerburg the zombie said in the conference call that they were going to have to spend billions in the next quarter to fix the data leaks, fake accounts, "toxic" accounts (white power stuff and the like) - it sank like a stone. I think I lost £30k on that one... and then the next quarter made it back and more - in 9 seconds.
Went to the moon on opening, I sold at a peak, and job done. Fastest cash I ever earned.

The Irishman is going to a massive hit, I haven't seen a bad review yet - and if that's what Netflix are going to do more of, the share price should rocket. If their future guidance is to do more of that, bulls win, shorts lose.

I can take out the CFD any time tomorrow before closing - it'll be interesting to see how the day goes.

guindilias

5,245 posts

120 months

Wednesday 16th October 2019
quotequote all
guindilias said:
Nope, but future guidance has a huge effect on the earnings result - it can flip the share price completely the other way.
See ASOS for an example - utterly shcensoredit earnings, but the guidance bounced it up 17% - didn't have anything on that, and I'm glad I didn't, because I would have shorted it!

Burwood

18,709 posts

246 months

Wednesday 16th October 2019
quotequote all
guindilias said:
guindilias said:
Nope, but future guidance has a huge effect on the earnings result - it can flip the share price completely the other way.
See ASOS for an example - utterly shcensoredit earnings, but the guidance bounced it up 17% - didn't have anything on that, and I'm glad I didn't, because I would have shorted it!
One could do well in this market. smile


Burwood

18,709 posts

246 months

Wednesday 16th October 2019
quotequote all
guindilias said:
Netflix earnings report tomorrow... not sure how it will go - "The Irishman" might just save them. I could see a lot of people joining up just for that film, and then never getting round to cancelling.
Hope you didn’t short it buddy

guindilias

5,245 posts

120 months

Wednesday 16th October 2019
quotequote all
Nope - bought. with quite a lot of money. And it bounced literally right after the closing bell, 5% up. But the conference call is yet to take place, which could murder the price and send things spiralling downwards. See me lose money, LIVE on CNBC!

Burwood

18,709 posts

246 months

Wednesday 16th October 2019
quotequote all
I’ve always been a fan of Netflix. You can go back 18 months in this thread for my comments when it was a lot lower. I was laughed at of course.

guindilias

5,245 posts

120 months

Wednesday 16th October 2019
quotequote all
I shorted them in the summer earnings and bounced up 60% - hopefully, they'll break the 10% rise aftermarket and hold it until opening tomorrow... that will be a 50% minimum return. they might keep going up when the market opens, or do a quick peak and then sink as people profit-take, which is the usual.

guindilias

5,245 posts

120 months

Thursday 17th October 2019
quotequote all
And, all done and dusted at a return of +34.8% on my original stake.
Looked like a bit of swing trading might be up for grabs, but not much action so far - so probably call it a day for now. Furry muff for a CFD bought last night and killed not long after opening - I should have bought in earlier yesterday, but thought the price might drop to a better entry point - it didn't!

Condi

17,195 posts

171 months

Thursday 17th October 2019
quotequote all
guindilias said:
Nope - bought. with quite a lot of money. And it bounced literally right after the closing bell, 5% up. But the conference call is yet to take place, which could murder the price and send things spiralling downwards. See me lose money, LIVE on CNBC!
Ok, so why did you think you wanted to be short and then take a long position - presumably ahead of earnings release? What made you change your mind?

p1stonhead

25,549 posts

167 months

Thursday 17th October 2019
quotequote all
Condi said:
Ok, so why did you think you wanted to be short and then take a long position - presumably ahead of earnings release? What made you change your mind?
Internet bragging points? hehe

Condi

17,195 posts

171 months

Thursday 17th October 2019
quotequote all
p1stonhead said:
Condi said:
Ok, so why did you think you wanted to be short and then take a long position - presumably ahead of earnings release? What made you change your mind?
Internet bragging points? hehe
Hence the question wink