Is it me but does the Funds market look a bit frothy

Is it me but does the Funds market look a bit frothy

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Discussion

Sheepshanks

32,764 posts

119 months

Monday 24th February 2020
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98elise said:
Stocks like Easyjet have taken the biggest battering though.
Good. They left one of my daughters at Schiphol yesterday.

Phooey

12,600 posts

169 months

Monday 24th February 2020
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98elise said:
Dr Mike Oxgreen said:
98elise said:
If the situation with corona looks like it's going to impact the stock market then I want to be far less exposed while things settle.
Eh?

What on earth do you mean “if the situation with corona looks like it’s going to impact the stock market”?

Have you been living under a rock for the last three or four weeks?!

Corona has been probably the single biggest impact on global stock markets over the last month. We’ve already been through the worst of it and more-or-less come out the other side - had you not noticed?
FTSE down 3% today as Corona cases rise in Europe. That's the impact I was hoping to avoid by being out of equities. It may still just be a blip, but if we start having to lock down cities then I can see bigger drops coming.

Stocks like Easyjet have taken the biggest battering though.
It'll all be forgotten about and back to normal this time next week

bitchstewie

51,210 posts

210 months

Monday 24th February 2020
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Phooey said:
It'll all be forgotten about and back to normal this time next week
I have no idea if a week is going to be sufficient but I probably wouldn't go on Bloomberg or CNN Money right now if you're easily spooked hehe

mikeiow

5,368 posts

130 months

Monday 24th February 2020
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bhstewie said:
Phooey said:
It'll all be forgotten about and back to normal this time next week
I have no idea if a week is going to be sufficient but I probably wouldn't go on Bloomberg or CNN Money right now if you're easily spooked hehe
LOL!
Indeed. It *might* all be gone in a week.....or it could be a downward lurch for a while....who knows.

bitchstewie

51,210 posts

210 months

Monday 24th February 2020
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mikeiow said:
LOL!
Indeed. It *might* all be gone in a week.....or it could be a downward lurch for a while....who knows.
Worth a read from a wise level head.

Warren Buffett says ‘don’t buy or sell’ on the headlines as coronavirus sends stocks plunging

Dr Mike Oxgreen

4,119 posts

165 months

Monday 24th February 2020
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98elise said:
FTSE down 3% today as Corona cases rise in Europe. That's the impact I was hoping to avoid by being out of equities.
If a 3% drop scares you, perhaps equities are not the investment for you.

We had comparable drops on and off through January and the early part of this month, interspersed with continued strong performance on the S&P. It’s just turbulence.

And it’s hardly surprising that travel firms are being hit hardest. It’s not all bad though; my Fresnillo shares did very nicely today as everyone retreated into precious metals and pushed the prices up.

Seriously, you have to expect periods like this at least a couple of times a year. It’s all part of the rich tapestry of stock market investing!


mikeiow said:
It *might* all be gone in a week.....or it could be a downward lurch for a while....who knows.
And if it is a downturn that lasts a few months, say, I challenge you to remember it towards the end of this year when equities have put in another year of pretty decent returns. Let’s face it, Trump’s going to get in again, and the markets will love that.

Edited by Dr Mike Oxgreen on Monday 24th February 18:53

bmwmike

6,949 posts

108 months

Monday 24th February 2020
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Think of it as a sale

Dr Mike Oxgreen

4,119 posts

165 months

Monday 24th February 2020
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bmwmike said:
Think of it as a sale
Very true.

Be greedy when others are fearful, and be fearful when others are greedy.

It’s potentially a good buying opportunity.

mikeiow

5,368 posts

130 months

Monday 24th February 2020
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Dr Mike Oxgreen said:
bmwmike said:
Think of it as a sale
Very true.

Be greedy when others are fearful, and be fearful when others are greedy.

It’s potentially a good buying opportunity.
Possibly.....but didn't you say "We’ve already been through the worst of it and more-or-less come out the other side - had you not noticed?" ? A fairly broad ~3% dip today feels worse than much we've seen this year, I'd say!

I'm not convinced there aren't lower depths to plumb.....but of course markets are cyclical, and will bounce back. Whether that is 1 week, 1 month, 1 year.....who knows!

greygoose

8,261 posts

195 months

Monday 24th February 2020
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3% isn't that catastrophic, might be time to invest in funeral homes...…..

98elise

26,599 posts

161 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Dr Mike Oxgreen said:
98elise said:
FTSE down 3% today as Corona cases rise in Europe. That's the impact I was hoping to avoid by being out of equities.
If a 3% drop scares you, perhaps equities are not the investment for you.

We had comparable drops on and off through January and the early part of this month, interspersed with continued strong performance on the S&P. It’s just turbulence.

And it’s hardly surprising that travel firms are being hit hardest. It’s not all bad though; my Fresnillo shares did very nicely today as everyone retreated into precious metals and pushed the prices up.

Seriously, you have to expect periods like this at least a couple of times a year. It’s all part of the rich tapestry of stock market investing!


mikeiow said:
It *might* all be gone in a week.....or it could be a downward lurch for a while....who knows.
And if it is a downturn that lasts a few months, say, I challenge you to remember it towards the end of this year when equities have put in another year of pretty decent returns. Let’s face it, Trump’s going to get in again, and the markets will love that.

Edited by Dr Mike Oxgreen on Monday 24th February 18:53
I didn't say a 3% drop scares me. It's the potential for a period of falls as Corona spreads across Europe.

As to equities not being for me, it's funding my early retirement so I'm happy with my investment choices.

I broadly agree that this will blow over, and be forgotten in a year, but in the short term I'm happy to dilute my exposure to dampen any sharp changes.


Jon39

12,826 posts

143 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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Dr Mike Oxgreen said:
It’s potentially a good buying opportunity.

Potentially is your important word, otherwise it would be glass globe, tent and Blackpool beach.
I am always careful never to forecast and always take the view, that we never really know until afterwards.

Nothing wrong though with gradually adding to the holding in a good business, when the share price declines. As long as the business is progressing, the share price will eventually respond to increasing profitability.

Are you a medical doctor?
If so, do you see the present worst case scenario, as the horrific 1918 Spanish flu ?
If so, yesterday's price declines might be just the beginning.





Mr Pointy

11,221 posts

159 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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superlightr said:
JulianPH said:
You should enjoy checking PH Equity this morning then!

Up just shy of 2% on the day totalling a 14.48% rise over the last 13 weeks.

S&P 500 achieved just 6.9% over the same period, so we doubled this!
quickly checks the dashboard - smile
wow - that a nice jump on the PH equity over the last few days let alone the last few months.

Hope to meet up with you and the team if you are at Brands Hatch later in the year.
Ouch! Today is not a good day to be checking your dashboard.

bitchstewie

51,210 posts

210 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
Seems about right.

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/02/25/investing/prema...

When you look at the graph and realise where this "plunge" has taken us (so far) I think it puts it in perspective a bit.

Mr Pointy

11,221 posts

159 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
bhstewie said:
Seems about right.

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/02/25/investing/prema...

When you look at the graph and realise where this "plunge" has taken us (so far) I think it puts it in perspective a bit.
I suppose so. Things had been bimbling along nicely for the last month or so & today I'm down by six months living expenses.

anonymous-user

54 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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Oh I had assumed it was all priced in already. If its in the news it's too late etc. Looking at the graph it looks like the market only recently turned. Does this mean the market initially ignored China basically shutting down? Maybe I should invest actively after all!

98elise

26,599 posts

161 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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Sambucket said:
Oh I had assumed it was all priced in already. If its in the news it's too late etc. Looking at the graph it looks like the market only recently turned. Does this mean the market initially ignored China basically shutting down? Maybe I should invest actively after all!
Things change when it starts getting close to home.

Dr Mike Oxgreen

4,119 posts

165 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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Jon39 said:
Are you a medical doctor?
Say my forum name out loud a few times and the penny will drop.

dreamcracker

3,216 posts

217 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
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My first S&S ISA went live today, and so far has only lost 30p out of a £20k investment, so it's not all bad. smile

It's just some spare cash that I moved from an account earning just 0.5% interest.

It will be interesting to see what tomorrow brings.




bmwmike

6,949 posts

108 months

Tuesday 25th February 2020
quotequote all
dreamcracker said:
My first S&S ISA went live today, and so far has only lost 30p out of a £20k investment, so it's not all bad. smile

It's just some spare cash that I moved from an account earning just 0.5% interest.

It will be interesting to see what tomorrow brings.
What did you invest the 20k in?