What’s your big gamble? (Volume 3)

What’s your big gamble? (Volume 3)

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Adam.

27,272 posts

255 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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Luke. said:
Adam. said:
I forget who in here was in ALPP, have you kept in?
I was, but sold to pile more into AMBL on dip. You still in?
Nope, played the dips a bit bit all out now.

Do you mean ABML? Why that one rather than the many others?

l354uge

2,895 posts

122 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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DDDD announces a new experienced CFO and plummets... Counting down the days to the merger

Got into amigo just before its second surge, hopefully it can offset my pain on CBX after freetrade tricked me into buying ATH..

vulture1

12,245 posts

180 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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How funny, 2 weeks ago Amigo was sitting out of sight at the bottom of my list ( I have mine in order of %gain/loss)
Now it is miles out in front ahead of the pack. Still going to hold this for a while then may consider a half sell if it bags for me.

Meeten-5dulx

2,590 posts

57 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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vulture1 said:
How funny, 2 weeks ago Amigo was sitting out of sight at the bottom of my list ( I have mine in order of %gain/loss)
Now it is miles out in front ahead of the pack. Still going to hold this for a while then may consider a half sell if it bags for me.
What is it that is causing the rise in AMIGO?
I know that Thurs last week was a day when there was added interest.

I have some that I had bought and are now in the money having been in the dodrums, but trying to figure what to do with them ....


i4got

5,660 posts

79 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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l354uge said:
DDDD announces a new experienced CFO and plummets... Counting down the days to the merger
For those in DDDD - a question.

I see a SPAC is in place - LOAC ?

So to take advantage of any increase on NASDAQ listing is it better to buy DDDD or LOAC ?


vulture1

12,245 posts

180 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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Meeten-5dulx said:
vulture1 said:
How funny, 2 weeks ago Amigo was sitting out of sight at the bottom of my list ( I have mine in order of %gain/loss)
Now it is miles out in front ahead of the pack. Still going to hold this for a while then may consider a half sell if it bags for me.
What is it that is causing the rise in AMIGO?
I know that Thurs last week was a day when there was added interest.

I have some that I had bought and are now in the money having been in the dodrums, but trying to figure what to do with them ....
Long and the short of it is whether they will be allowed to operate again and how much liability they have for some debts of their customers (compensation scheme) Also last week JP Morgan bought into them.

ferrisbueller

29,343 posts

228 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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Can someone sanity check my rationale here please?

I'm looking at exit strategies for various holdings. Especially some companies that are trading at almost the same market cap as they were pre-covid.I'm looking at market cap as it gives a very different picture to share price due to dilution. Surely people aren't just assuming the prices are equivalent and the new norm will see a return to previous levels? For some companies to do that their market cap would have to increase massively. e.g. people previously looking at Aston going back to £19

Is there any reason why companies that have had to sell off assets or issued shares or increased debt or similar would come out of this being more valuable? I've thought of things like restructuring, elimination of competition, what other reasons would there be to look at please?

dom9

8,090 posts

210 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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vulture1 said:
Meeten-5dulx said:
vulture1 said:
How funny, 2 weeks ago Amigo was sitting out of sight at the bottom of my list ( I have mine in order of %gain/loss)
Now it is miles out in front ahead of the pack. Still going to hold this for a while then may consider a half sell if it bags for me.
What is it that is causing the rise in AMIGO?
I know that Thurs last week was a day when there was added interest.

I have some that I had bought and are now in the money having been in the dodrums, but trying to figure what to do with them ....
Long and the short of it is whether they will be allowed to operate again and how much liability they have for some debts of their customers (compensation scheme) Also last week JP Morgan bought into them.
Yeah, Bybrook and JP Morgan taking large positions... going to refer to them as that as I don't think it is clear 'why' yet or who really has the CFDs/shares.

Been on calls, took another look, now over 15p and breached 15.5p... on a mad run. So ~150% up-ish for me.

The board seem to have a lot of confidence they'll get past the FCA and get the SOA over the line and get to lending again.

That being the case; I suspect this is still VERY undervalued down here.

BUT, they may get neither FCA buy-in, nor the SOA done, which would likely result in them being finished. Perhaps no longer my "binary bet" but far from out of the woods.

So, still very much a gamble but suspect the chances of coming through it all are better than a month ago, hence 'someone' (or a number of folk) taking a position, which has meant an ongoing rerate, by the looks of things.

I was very happy to buy in at 6.36p... Would I have bought in now? Don't know... But then I'd have said that a week ago and it has been running on since then!

l354uge

2,895 posts

122 months

Monday 1st March 2021
quotequote all
i4got said:
l354uge said:
DDDD announces a new experienced CFO and plummets... Counting down the days to the merger
For those in DDDD - a question.

I see a SPAC is in place - LOAC ?

So to take advantage of any increase on NASDAQ listing is it better to buy DDDD or LOAC ?
They will operate in tandem, DDDD will be at a constant ratio to LBPS price. Currently you can get more shares per your £ on LOAC, but all my money is in DDDD to protect against FX effects. Also possible LOAC will rise more than DDDD just before merger if you're looking to swing trade ST

Aiminghigh123

2,720 posts

70 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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Had to double check my settings. I usually look at daily % change. Saw AMGO at 28% and assumed that was my total gain not daily!!!

Bloxxcreative

521 posts

46 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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ferrisbueller said:
Can someone sanity check my rationale here please?

I'm looking at exit strategies for various holdings. Especially some companies that are trading at almost the same market cap as they were pre-covid.I'm looking at market cap as it gives a very different picture to share price due to dilution. Surely people aren't just assuming the prices are equivalent and the new norm will see a return to previous levels? For some companies to do that their market cap would have to increase massively. e.g. people previously looking at Aston going back to £19

Is there any reason why companies that have had to sell off assets or issued shares or increased debt or similar would come out of this being more valuable? I've thought of things like restructuring, elimination of competition, what other reasons would there be to look at please?
In my limited view, there could be a number of reasons.
They could be in a better position than competitors, not just from a liquidity view but from a merger/acquisition view.
Cost to enter market high (eg you can't just start building aeroplane engines).
Future share buy backs.
Market sentiment - I'm sure there will be a short term boom in many sectors, while others will dip.

Chris Type R

8,039 posts

250 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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JustinF said:
AMGO has confused IG into showing a reversed spread sell 15.62 buy 14.72 biggrin
Doesn't this sometimes happen during auction ?

dom9

8,090 posts

210 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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Chris Type R said:
Doesn't this sometimes happen during auction ?
Yes, been happening a lot recently! Looks like regular auctions.

Getting very sweaty palms... £3150 in early Feb, £7500ish now... mindset changing rapidly. Suddenly feels a lot to lose but cant help but think there's another TR1 waiting in the wings...

The refresh key about to burn out on my keyboard.

vulture1

12,245 posts

180 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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I have been looking for a while and I put a bit into the Russel 2000 this morning. I'm convinced the tech sell off will continue and that drags the S&P everytime it does.

Hardly a big gamble when you buy 2000 companies but I see it as a safe 10-20% per year

JustinF

6,795 posts

204 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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Volumes on AMGO increasing in the last 90 mins, hit a resistance as some take profit but can't see it reversing

JustinF

6,795 posts

204 months

Monday 1st March 2021
quotequote all
Chris Type R said:
JustinF said:
AMGO has confused IG into showing a reversed spread sell 15.62 buy 14.72 biggrin
Doesn't this sometimes happen during auction ?
Thanks, every day's a school day smile

Aiminghigh123

2,720 posts

70 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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dom9 said:
Yes, been happening a lot recently! Looks like regular auctions.

Getting very sweaty palms... £3150 in early Feb, £7500ish now... mindset changing rapidly. Suddenly feels a lot to lose but cant help but think there's another TR1 waiting in the wings...

The refresh key about to burn out on my keyboard.
I hate being in that situation. Almost like a lose lose unless it drops after selling. Kick yourself if you sell and it rises or kick yourself if it drops and you didn’t sell.

I have started selling my initial plus 10% but I still feel cheated

dom9

8,090 posts

210 months

Monday 1st March 2021
quotequote all
Aiminghigh123 said:
I hate being in that situation. Almost like a lose lose unless it drops after selling. Kick yourself if you sell and it rises or kick yourself if it drops and you didn’t sell.

I have started selling my initial plus 10% but I still feel cheated
Dropped below 15p now but still a huge rise on the day... suspect there are a few on lunch break and few PIs selling during their lunch break.

I am going to keep watching it like a hawk. A nice TR1 could set things off again.

Usual regrets of not putting more in setting in - LOL. Damned if you do, damned if you don't. Would be far more annoyed if it was now 5p.

But, yes, if I come out now and it is 20p tomorrow, that would hurt!

This is part of the reason they come off my watch list when I sell, never to be viewed again (unless I catch something in the news that re-sparks my interest).

Skyedriver

17,898 posts

283 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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Sat on the fence this morning with finger hovering over a few top up on either AMGO or EUA. in the end did neither as son wanted the lap top for school video meeting. Could have had AMGO at 13p,oh well, still have my holding at 9p so nicely up on a £3k investment. Lot more to come for AMGO I'm sure, despite the nay sayers. EUA slipped back this morning. KIST and PHE moving up slowly.
Should be happy but gave my wife a lift into the hospital, car failed to start in hospital car park which resulted in a walk across town for a new battery... £90down..

Luke.

11,002 posts

251 months

Monday 1st March 2021
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Skyedriver said:
Sat on the fence this morning with finger hovering over a few top up on either AMGO or EUA. in the end did neither as son wanted the lap top for school video meeting. Could have had AMGO at 13p,oh well, still have my holding at 9p so nicely up on a £3k investment. Lot more to come for AMGO I'm sure, despite the nay sayers. EUA slipped back this morning. KIST and PHE moving up slowly.
Should be happy but gave my wife a lift into the hospital, car failed to start in hospital car park which resulted in a walk across town for a new battery... £90down..
Re laptop, why not use an app on your phone?
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