What’s your big gamble? (Volume 4)

What’s your big gamble? (Volume 4)

Author
Discussion

Luke.

10,999 posts

251 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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Greshamst said:
ARVL have reduced their predicteddelivery of 400 vehicles next year to just 20 vans.

Sell out, or hold?
Not next year. This year. And I'm still holding.

Been in touch with the chap supplying the robots and he's totally confident in it still.

Slightly nerve-racking at the mo meanwhile...

Premarket looking good.

ferrisbueller

29,341 posts

228 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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Luke. said:
Greshamst said:
ARVL have reduced their predicteddelivery of 400 vehicles next year to just 20 vans.

Sell out, or hold?
Not next year. This year. And I'm still holding.

Been in touch with the chap supplying the robots and he's totally confident in it still.

Slightly nerve-racking at the mo meanwhile...

Premarket looking good.
I'm thinking the rise ahead of the results was people speculating on good news.

I'm in the same boat as you. Worst case, I hope, is "just" more dilution.

Luke.

10,999 posts

251 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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ferrisbueller said:
I'm thinking the rise ahead of the results was people speculating on good news.

I'm in the same boat as you. Worst case, I hope, is "just" more dilution.
Boom or bust...

Adam.

27,260 posts

255 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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Greshamst said:
ARVL have reduced their predicteddelivery of 400 vehicles next year to just 20 vans.

Sell out, or hold?
Presumably that came out yesterday given the 25% fall? Seems a bit over done for 380 lost sales unless it hints at a general over optimism

Adam.

27,260 posts

255 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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DEC doing very well for me, the only share that is TBF

Very nice to see director buying shares at current level too (126-128 range)

Luke.

10,999 posts

251 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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Adam. said:
Presumably that came out yesterday given the 25% fall? Seems a bit over done for 380 lost sales unless it hints at a general over optimism
They're just ramping up their equipment and fine tuning stuff. Honestly the message I had from the CEO of KUKA the robotics factory just this morning was very encouraging.

egomeister

6,703 posts

264 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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Luke. said:
Adam. said:
Presumably that came out yesterday given the 25% fall? Seems a bit over done for 380 lost sales unless it hints at a general over optimism
They're just ramping up their equipment and fine tuning stuff. Honestly the message I had from the CEO of KUKA the robotics factory just this morning was very encouraging.
Sounds like they are doing ok on the "build it" part, but that doesn't necessarily translate to "and they will come". I'm wary about their lack of solid orders (assuming some of the non binding ones haven't been converted?).

Having said that, I previously didn't think they were as close to production as they appear to be so I've somewhat warmed to their potential. Early on it seemed a bit vapourware and the valuation at listing was way ahead of itself.

Luke.

10,999 posts

251 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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egomeister said:
but that doesn't necessarily translate to "and they will come". I'm wary about their lack of solid orders (assuming some of the non binding ones haven't been converted?).
They've got 149,000 MOUs. While non-binding, is certainly encouraging.

Luke.

10,999 posts

251 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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From the ER yesterday....

Our nonbinding MOUs and orders have continued to grow to 149,000 units, which, if all completed, is over $6 billion in potential revenue. We have moved away from referring to our demand pipeline as LOIs, since in actuality, the demand is captured in the MOUs we have in place to customers that are duly discussed, negotiated and signed by both companies.

Now that we have achieved certification and begin production imminently, the sales team is focused on conversion in addition to growth. And we have strong customer engagement, as evidenced by our large backlog, we are excited about this next evolution of our preorder sales into revenue. We see ourselves being capacity constrained rather than demand constraint.

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4533010-arrival-a...

vulture1

12,229 posts

180 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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Adam. said:
DEC doing very well for me, the only share that is TBF

Very nice to see director buying shares at current level too (126-128 range)
Yes still in it too. Though I sold half a while ago to fund something else

Mallard126

3,437 posts

158 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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Adam. said:
Skyedriver said:
Looked like a couple of RNS today and a 10% jump. Dipping slightly now, have I missed the boat?
I don't want to ramp, but its only back to the January SP, they have a very good product and are ripe for takeover.

I would rather it continues to grow and hits profitability before that happens though.

(and the RNS was a prominent invesot taking a 7% stake, which bodes well)
Yeah, that.

I don't want to ramp either, DYOR and all that but I think it's got legs yet. Provided the results on 7th September are break-even or better - and that's the guidance they've given the market to which they've held firm - then there's plenty of headroom. Directors were buying at ~0.54 in April so I'm confident that they had faith in the numbers.

Rob_125

1,434 posts

149 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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Nanoco back up to mid 40's. Samsung look to be on the back foot with the court case. Has been a gamble to be fair (I've started investing from around 16p, before things began to firm up), got the best part of 17000 shares; fingers crossed they are worth £1.50 or more in a couple months once the case has been settled.

Phooey

12,605 posts

170 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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I’ve still got some (not much) NGHT in my POS folder from last year.. I’m in 2 minds to drop the stonk as I think leisure (particularly bar) stocks are going get ripped to pieces in the coming (?) recession. Anyone else still crazy enough to hold entertainment/leisure stock?

vulture1

12,229 posts

180 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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Piedmont lithium up 20% today can't find any news why though.

Chris Type R

8,038 posts

250 months

Saturday 13th August 2022
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RPS takeover & positive sentiment has made for a decent week, +4%. Still a way behind the peak earlier in the year but the level of despair has diminished.

Skyedriver

17,886 posts

283 months

Saturday 13th August 2022
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vulture1 said:
Piedmont lithium up 20% today can't find any news why though.
EMH up about 30% this last week, ZNWD not doing quite as well

Maybe the call for Lithium is increasing

Chris Type R

8,038 posts

250 months

Tuesday 16th August 2022
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Recommended final cash offer for TED of 110p - https://www.lse.co.uk/rns/TED/recommended-final-ca...

Good for newish holders, but glad now that I sold out at 131 and 146 earlier in the year having bought in at various times over the offer price.


Skyedriver

17,886 posts

283 months

Tuesday 16th August 2022
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Chris Type R said:
Recommended final cash offer for TED of 110p - https://www.lse.co.uk/rns/TED/recommended-final-ca...

Good for newish holders, but glad now that I sold out at 131 and 146 earlier in the year having bought in at various times over the offer price.
Was in and out of TED a few times and think overall I was in profit although sold a few weeks ago at 88p thinking it wasn't going anywhere, having bought in at about 113p. The big question is why accept 110p when they've already refused 137 & 155 as undervaluing the company? Skulduggery!

Chris Type R

8,038 posts

250 months

Tuesday 16th August 2022
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Skyedriver said:
Was in and out of TED a few times and think overall I was in profit although sold a few weeks ago at 88p thinking it wasn't going anywhere, having bought in at about 113p. The big question is why accept 110p when they've already refused 137 & 155 as undervaluing the company? Skulduggery!
Yes, that does seem very odd - defeat snatched from the jaws of victory.

Earl of Hazzard

3,603 posts

159 months

Tuesday 16th August 2022
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Well done to anyone that's held Thungela mining this year