The windy winter and occasional snow thread 2017/2018

The windy winter and occasional snow thread 2017/2018

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Puggit

Original Poster:

48,468 posts

249 months

Saturday 17th February 2018
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Keeping an eye on the Beast from the East. Charts are alternating between beast, whimper, nothing... currently we're in a pretty good place for cooler air to arrive around Thursday...

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,468 posts

249 months

Sunday 18th February 2018
quotequote all
Ian Fergusson said:
The latent risk here is that there is *potential* for something far from regular. However, until that manifests as an inescapable outcome being clearly forecast at closer lead time, it's foolhardy (& unhelpful) to go 'scaring the horses'.

MentalSarcasm

6,083 posts

212 months

Sunday 18th February 2018
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Alright everyone, time to horse whisper the snow!

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,468 posts

249 months

Sunday 18th February 2018
quotequote all
MentalSarcasm said:
Alright everyone, time to horse whisper the snow!
I haven't been posting the charts but they are eye wateringly good (and cold).

7 days away....

JonChalk

6,469 posts

111 months

Sunday 18th February 2018
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Puggit said:
I haven't been posting the charts but they are eye wateringly good (and cold).

7 days away....
Go on. You know you want to........

jmorgan

36,010 posts

285 months

Sunday 18th February 2018
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MentalSarcasm said:
Alright everyone, time to horse whisper the snow!
Got quite a bad cold, I can do it.........

MrsMiggins

2,811 posts

236 months

Sunday 18th February 2018
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I've been waiting for decent snow all winter. Sod's law that it will likely arrive when I'm away!

cptsideways

13,551 posts

253 months

Sunday 18th February 2018
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The Scottish ski resorts have so much snow! Glencoe had to dig out the upper lift yesterday the powder was nearly level with top of the tows in places, mostly due to drifting. I have never fallen over so much skiing, than yesterday due to the viz not being ideal. Powder everywhere, looks like it will be bloody awesome for the rest of the week.

Other resorts are reporting huge dumps of the stuff & its forecast for inversion for the rest of the week - so get yer skates on

wibble cb

3,611 posts

208 months

Sunday 18th February 2018
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Its terrible here in Canada...






Oh hang on....this was Jamaica (last week)

biggrin

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,468 posts

249 months

Sunday 18th February 2018
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Tonight's charts continue to be stunning. We are talking 2010 levels here.

Cold to arrive midweek. Potential extreme cold Sunday. Lots of caution needed as these things can and almost always do go wrong. Some hints of the worst cold missing us and heading to the Costas.

SS9

382 posts

160 months

Sunday 18th February 2018
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Puggit said:
Tonight's charts continue to be stunning. We are talking 2010 levels here.

Cold to arrive midweek. Potential extreme cold Sunday. Lots of caution needed as these things can and almost always do go wrong. Some hints of the worst cold missing us and heading to the Costas.
beerbounceblabla

Chicken Chaser

7,812 posts

225 months

Monday 19th February 2018
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Late to the party on this weather thread this year, but is this a winter appreciation area or can we moan about it? Up in the North East we've had a lot of snow fall, plenty of sleet and most days barely above 4 Deg. I've had my fill of this winter, probably because autumn was so short (Winter arrived in November) and there's rarely been a high pressure period where it's been clear and cold and dry. Summer was a fairly cool and cloudy affair so it's compounding the effect!

Can't wait now for the temps to start to rise to double figures and it all dries out a bit.

Wills2

22,869 posts

176 months

Monday 19th February 2018
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Don't hold your breath if the charts are right the next 2 weeks will be cold, very.


ukbabz

1,549 posts

127 months

Monday 19th February 2018
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As long as we don't get snowmageddon around 2/3rd then I'm good with cold. Due to fly out to Austria for a week skiing, and it'd be rather frustrating to get stuck in the UK due to a bit of snow..

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,468 posts

249 months

Monday 19th February 2018
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Wills2 said:
Don't hold your breath if the charts are right the next 2 weeks will be cold, very.
Cold definitely, I have a nagging feeling the very cold will head south frown

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,468 posts

249 months

Monday 19th February 2018
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Time for some meat on the bones:

The SSW often allows a Scandi high to form - and as you can see from the first image, this shows a lovely East-West sausage shape high dragging cold air westwards along it's southern flank - directly at us in this case. Now, high pressure by itself is unlikely to bring anything but bone dry winds from a continental source, so we either hope for lake effect snow or some instability. Lake effect snow (ie Thames/Kent Streamer) is best formed when the land is cold and the sea is warm - so December is best for this. We may need to hope for some small low pressure systems or troughs to materialise (ie France 2 weeks ago).

With this chart (the GEM model, not the best), the really cold stuff is only hitting the South/SE. For once we are better lined up than the North. ECM also pushes the air south. GFS/ICON are more of a smack in the UK face style.

Interesting to see the permanent Azores High replaced by a low! Best conditions normally have a low pressure around the Italian peninsular too.



These are the upper air temperatures, -8 is required for almost certain snow (conditions can vary). Some charts have shown -20 reaching he UK and -14 hitting Ireland. Typically add 8 degrees for sea level temps.


Melman Giraffe

6,759 posts

219 months

Monday 19th February 2018
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So Snow this weekend?

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,468 posts

249 months

Monday 19th February 2018
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Melman Giraffe said:
So Snow this weekend?
Colder this weekend. No snow on the horizon at this moment.

Paul Dishman

4,710 posts

238 months

Monday 19th February 2018
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Roll on spring!

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,468 posts

249 months

Monday 19th February 2018
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Paul Dishman said:
Roll on spring!