The wet and windy, with occasional snow, 2018/2019 thread

[Puggit]

VEA said:

When's the snow coming?

It's been

[Puggit]

MentalSarcasm said:

Swinging back to warm here today, Netweather suggesting highs of 17 degrees!

Yep, large area of low pressure of our Atlantic coast sucking the warmth up from down south. A temporary blip - similar to Ophelia last year.

Indications remain for high pressure to remain to our NE - normally this would amplify the chances of cold (and snow...) significantly, but the season is early and I suspect Europe/Russia isn't cold enough.

[Puggit]

Amber warning for rain for SW Wales for 13:00-23:00 today.

[Puggit]

Scabutz said:

Puggit said:

Amber warning for rain for SW Wales for 13:00-23:00 today.

But, but...It always rains in Wales.

So if it's amber, it's going to be biblical!

[Puggit]

High pressure starting to arrive. This will bring some stonking autumn weather, and a risk of fog.

[Puggit]

S100HP said:

Stonking how?

Crisp sunny days, and hopefully still some colour on the trees.

[Puggit]

Models are pointing to a massive Scandi high forming in a week or so.

Nirvana for cold fans in deep winter. Will be interesting to see what it delivers this early in winter.

Last winter's Sudden Stratospheric Warming is still influencing the weather.

[Puggit]

steveT350C said:

Rumble of thunder in Gerrards Cross just now

Nothing in Athens

[Puggit]

SeeFive said:

The currant bun seems to agree with you.

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/uknews/7726008/uk-we...

The models are beginning to show alignment for a beast from the east. I'm yet to be convinced in its potency so early in the season.

[Puggit]

Paddy_N_Murphy said:

Has anyone a more unfortunate name :
" Piers Corbyn, forecaster for WeatherAction"


Anyway, anyone want to buy a part worn set of Snow tyres ? 235/55 R18 V ...... appreciating assets ;-)

Hmmm, pretty sure they'll fit on my Octavia vRS...

[Puggit]

MetOffice on board:

https://twitter.com/metoffice/status/1062351524087...

[Puggit]

Forget the easterly. Signs of a long term northerly forming. Watch this space...

[Puggit]

colin_p said:

What does that possibly equate to;

1947
1963
2009/10
2017/18

Just a potent blast.

There are positive signals for a 2009/2010 winter. The polar vortex is smashed to pieces. There is no sign of the jet stream establishing. Signals for high pressure in the north Atlantic.

[Puggit]

Plenty of charts pointing towards Greenland highs, northerly winds, easterly winds. Signs remain VERY positive. But they are just signs - 6 days and more away.

So a positive outlook for cold after today's warmth. But no snow forecast, at this point. Cold charts can disappear as quickly as they come - especially when it's the GFS.

[Puggit]

Melman Giraffe said:

A little bird told me we might have snow in the south next week

You read the wrong rags.

[Puggit]

[Puggit]

Next week cooler - proper cold will arrive on the continent but not really make itself felt here. That's a good building block for any subsequent cold and again, another good signal for a cold winter for us.

Many charts show mouth-watering cold developing for the following week. Plenty of caution, as not all charts are on board, and it's more than a week out.

[Puggit]

Brrrrrrr: https://twitter.com/DerekTheWeather/status/1063411...

[Puggit]

Lots of flip flopping, but generally the charts are improving.

No one is saying a true taste of winter is coming, plan remains the same. Cool weather arriving within 1-2 days. Possible cold follows next week.

[Puggit]

Might be some light snow on Thurs: