The wet and windy, with occasional snow, 2018/2019 thread

The wet and windy, with occasional snow, 2018/2019 thread

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RC1807

12,555 posts

169 months

Monday 17th December 2018
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I drove back from Windsor to Luxembourg yesterday.
Belgian Ardennes had quite some snow yesterday, and the uphill 'slow trucks' lane on the E411 southbound had a lot of slush there still. Got home and found there'd been about 8cm of snow on Sat night / Sun morning, but it's slush now.

Thank goodness for winter tyres. A but more reassuring on the drive home!

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,501 posts

249 months

Tuesday 18th December 2018
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Xmas Day update - remains cool across the UK. Pretty settled.

Charts are beginning to hint that the polar vortex might set up home over Scandinavia in the near future as a result of all the shenanigans up high in the atmosphere. This takes the coldest air and low pressure to nearby. Low pressure spins anti-clockwise... We could end up with a direct northerly soon after Christmas.

S100HP

12,699 posts

168 months

Tuesday 18th December 2018
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RicksAlfas said:
No snow. But the ice was indeed “baked on”. This was after 45 minutes or so of driving. Every so often a bit would drop off and clatter under the car. Most disconcerting.

It’s now 3 degrees and pissing it down. The ice has gone!
Great photo. I've only seen that once before round these parts. Think it was the cold winter of 2010. I lived on a hill then and I remember the road just being an ice-rink.

anonymous-user

55 months

Tuesday 18th December 2018
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Strange weather in Kent today. An almost balmy 10 degrees on the way in this morning which has subsequently plummeted, had a bit of rain just now and it was kinda thick rain, reckon we are about a degree out for it to be snow

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,501 posts

249 months

Tuesday 18th December 2018
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anonymous said:
[redacted]
It's a cold wind, so windchill - but still 9/10 degrees in Kent.

anonymous-user

55 months

Tuesday 18th December 2018
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Puggit said:
It's a cold wind, so windchill - but still 9/10 degrees in Kent.
Ah ok, thats some bloomin windchill smile baltic out there!

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,501 posts

249 months

Tuesday 18th December 2018
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Met Office Long Range Forecast - I appreciate that some of you think they're just hedging their bets - but they do not use language like this lightly. It's a long range forecast, they don't like going beyond 5 days!


Outlook for the UK over the next 6-30 days
UK Outlook for Sunday 23 Dec 2018 to Tuesday 1 Jan 2019:
Sunday will see a band of cloud and rain move northeastwards, followed by a mixture of sunny spells and further organised bands of rain or heavy showers. It'll be windy too, especially towards the coasts in the south and west. Temperatures will tend to stay mild for the time of year. The north and west is likely to stay rather wet and windy on Christmas Eve, with the rest of the UK looking drier. For Christmas Day itself, it may be drier, brighter and colder for most, followed by some rain later. As we head towards the New Year, dry cold and bright weather becomes more likely, with any weather systems becoming increasingly confined to the north or northeast.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 2 Jan 2019 to Wednesday 16 Jan 2019:
Through the first half of January, there is an increasing likelihood that colder weather may begin to dominate with a greater chance of seeing east or northeasterly winds. Should this occur, then wintry conditions are possible in eastern, southern and central areas with western parts of the UK staying relatively drier. Though should any Atlantic frontal systems try to make inroads western areas could also see some snow. Although signals suggest that a cold spell is the most likely scenario in early January, the extent and longevity of the cold weather is uncertain. Wet, windy and mild weather may still be possible at times.

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,501 posts

249 months

Tuesday 18th December 2018
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Plenty of weather types saying this is the most bullish long distance forecast (for cold/snow) they can remember since Dec 2009.

JakeT

5,448 posts

121 months

Tuesday 18th December 2018
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I've just been and bought 64 loaves of bread, 1,200 eggs, 212 pints of milk, and a Pineapple.


I'd like a 2009 repeat!

Laurel Green

30,784 posts

233 months

Tuesday 18th December 2018
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JakeT said:
I've just been and bought 64 loaves of bread, 1,200 eggs, 212 pints of milk, and a Pineapple in a Pear tree...


I'd like a 2009 repeat!

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,501 posts

249 months

Tuesday 18th December 2018
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JakeT said:
I'd like a 2009 repeat!
Keep an eye on post-Xmas weather. It's building up nicely.

schmalex

13,616 posts

207 months

Tuesday 18th December 2018
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My Panda 4x4 is finally going to become a hero bounce

micky metro

304 posts

187 months

Tuesday 18th December 2018
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Is a ssw still on the cards?

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,501 posts

249 months

Tuesday 18th December 2018
quotequote all
micky metro said:
Is a ssw still on the cards?
Very much so. Forecast soon. As always effects take at least a week.

There'll be high pressure on top or near the UK. A chance of something special coming up.

leglessAlex

5,478 posts

142 months

Tuesday 18th December 2018
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Puggit said:
JakeT said:
I'd like a 2009 repeat!
Keep an eye on post-Xmas weather. It's building up nicely.
Immediately post-Christmas would be ste, I gotta drive my summer tyred car down the country to London.

Second week of January would be ace, there are MSc exams I'd really like to have more time to study for.

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,501 posts

249 months

Tuesday 18th December 2018
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Alex- I think you'll be ok. High pressure for a while, and snow might never happen!

Paul Dishman

4,718 posts

238 months

Wednesday 19th December 2018
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The old janners used to come in to the pharmacy moaning about damp mild winters "T'aint seasonal, us needs cold weather to kill all the bugs".

I used to tell them that cold weather kills people, not bugs. I'm not sure they really believed me as they'd come in the next year and say exactly the same.

After a few years I gave up......

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,501 posts

249 months

Wednesday 19th December 2018
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Nothing new. High pressure for Xmas period, and the SSW happening around that time - so the effects felt 1-2 weeks later (normally, can be more!)

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,501 posts

249 months

Friday 21st December 2018
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Little change - apart from the high pressure for Xmas might be poorly aligned for some parts, in terms of cold. Southern half of UK currently forecast to have cloud and so some warmth.

SSW still modeled, but pushing back slightly. As per earlier in the year, a 2nd SSW is also on the cards.

jimmyjimjim

7,349 posts

239 months

Friday 21st December 2018
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Colorado. 17c today, -5c tomorrow with ~4cm snow.

Other positives; slight chance of snow tuesday/wednesday/thursday. Due to start late Tuesday, so it won't be a white Chrimbo, alas.

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