The wet and windy, with occasional snow, 2019/2020 thread

The wet and windy, with occasional snow, 2019/2020 thread

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jimmyjimjim

7,345 posts

239 months

Saturday 9th November 2019
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23c today. Naturally it'll be snowing on Monday.

BertieWooster

3,295 posts

165 months

Sunday 10th November 2019
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rossub said:
BertieWooster said:


View from the office yesterday at the top of Hoosier Pass. It was a bit cold but the scenery was more than worth it.
To be fair, it looked like that in June biggrin
True smile

fttm

3,692 posts

136 months

Sunday 10th November 2019
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jimmyjimjim said:
23c today. Naturally it'll be snowing on Monday.
You fking what ? High of -8 and snow until 3 pm here .

jimmyjimjim

7,345 posts

239 months

Sunday 10th November 2019
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Canada is renowned for being an ice cube; winter sets in, you put your electrically heated underwear on, set the stop watch for 6 months until it warms up again.

Colorado...well, it's a bit fking odd here.

onlynik

3,978 posts

194 months

Monday 11th November 2019
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Snow at Glenshee. Fingers crossed for a good season.

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,476 posts

249 months

Monday 11th November 2019
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Thursday's rain warning is interesting - Met Office talking about snow chances. But of course, mostly on higher ground...

FiF

44,134 posts

252 months

Monday 11th November 2019
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Thursday's rain warning is interesting, there are many catchment areas that are absolutely saturated, and the relatively few mm of rain in last 24 hours shown some interesting river level rises in various places.

colin_p

4,503 posts

213 months

Tuesday 12th November 2019
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Without anything to back it up, scientific or otherwise;

Temps have been below average and it has been kin wet. BBC news animations showing pockets of snow inside the wide bands of rain quite far down South and it isn't even mid November.

I might soon have to revise my warm'ish, wet and windy prediction.


Any more news on the models and what long range stuff is showing Pug?


rossub

4,464 posts

191 months

Tuesday 12th November 2019
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It's definitely cold for November. Not so much the minimum temps - more the max.

RicksAlfas

13,408 posts

245 months

Tuesday 12th November 2019
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It was sleeting on my way home last night, or certainly "thick rain". Absolutely bounced it down this morning as well. (Halifax, West Yorkshire). Really feel for the people in South Yorkshire who are flooded out and more rain on the way. Must be a terrible situation. frown

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-50372839

If ever a village had a more unfortunately apt name I haven't seen it.

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,476 posts

249 months

Tuesday 12th November 2019
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colin_p said:
Any more news on the models and what long range stuff is showing Pug?
Things are shaping up, but no absolute clear direction. There is an inching towards northern blocking. A repeat of 2010 era is possible, but not certain.

Bill

52,830 posts

256 months

Tuesday 12th November 2019
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RicksAlfas said:
If ever a village had a more unfortunately apt name I haven't seen it.
I was trying to guess what it might be. Sopping or Moistbeyondbelief maybe. But they win. frown

FiF

44,134 posts

252 months

Tuesday 12th November 2019
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Bill said:
RicksAlfas said:
If ever a village had a more unfortunately apt name I haven't seen it.
I was trying to guess what it might be. Sopping or Moistbeyondbelief maybe. But they win. frown
Thing is we could be in more problems in the Midlands too. A lot will depend on exact location of forecast heavy rain. The area has had so much rain that catchment area is saturated, rivers are running very high, and reacting very rapidly to quite small falls of rain.

Rainfall map. Figure is % vs normal.



River flow rates, every major Midlands river had exceptionally high flows in October, some approaching 500% of normal.


colin_p

4,503 posts

213 months

Tuesday 12th November 2019
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Puggit said:
colin_p said:
Any more news on the models and what long range stuff is showing Pug?
Things are shaping up, but no absolute clear direction. There is an inching towards northern blocking. A repeat of 2010 era is possible, but not certain.
"That" snow event back then was when I started using winter tyres. That was a nippy one overall as well if I recall. In fact, wasn't the snow event 09-10 and then 10-11 was the cold one?

RicksAlfas said:
Really feel for the people in South Yorkshire who are flooded out and more rain on the way. Must be a terrible situation. frown
Especially for those who are not covered for flood on their insurance.

FiF said:
Thing is we could be in more problems in the Midlands too. A lot will depend on exact location of forecast heavy rain. The area has had so much rain that catchment area is saturated, rivers are running very high, and reacting very rapidly to quite small falls of rain.

Rainfall map. Figure is % vs normal.

River flow rates, every major Midlands river had exceptionally high flows in October, some approaching 500% of normal.
A huge worry.

Things appear to be ok here in the Thames Valley for now. We are ok in Maidenhead, which historically used to flood, but due to the Jubilee flood relief river no longer does. But what they've done is shifted the problem up and down stream on the Thames. If they hold the flow back Marlow floods, if they let it run, Datchet, Staines and Wraysbury flood.

I've heard of similar problems up North where flood relief works have shifted the issue up and down stream to areas which historically didn't flood.




chriscoates

791 posts

161 months

Wednesday 13th November 2019
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colin_p said:
Things appear to be ok here in the Thames Valley for now. We are ok in Maidenhead, which historically used to flood, but due to the Jubilee flood relief river no longer does. But what they've done is shifted the problem up and down stream on the Thames. If they hold the flow back Marlow floods, if they let it run, Datchet, Staines and Wraysbury flood.

I've heard of similar problems up North where flood relief works have shifted the issue up and down stream to areas which historically didn't flood.
You're quite right - my office is right next to the Upper River Don near Penistone, so we've been keeping a close eye on it in the past week. The theory is that one of two factors have caused the flooding near Doncaster:

1. The grouse moors in the Peak District being burnt, which reduces their capacity to retain water, meaning it runs off into the rivers more quickly. This is more noticeable at the upper end of the Don where I work - it was angrier than I've ever seen it last week. Yorkshire Water are supposedly reviewing the tenancies for grouse shooting so there may be changes coming to prevent the heather being burnt.

2. The flood defences built in Sheffield and Rotherham since the 2007 floods. By and large the defences did work - there was some overtopping in places but the large scale flooding in Sheffield was prevented this time, despite the fact we had more rain in a single day than 2007. But that water has to go somewhere - it's no coincidence that Fishlake had not flooded in 100 years before now.

Edited by chriscoates on Wednesday 13th November 14:40

Blib

44,188 posts

198 months

Wednesday 13th November 2019
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I read a couple of days ago that farmers local to the Don complained that the environment agency refused their requests to dredge the river. This was confirmed by an EA spokesman. Subsequently, their land flooded.

Shades of Somerset Levels?

colin_p

4,503 posts

213 months

Wednesday 13th November 2019
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Seems like it doesn't it.

It also seems like the EA's priority is to provide "habitats" for ducks rather than doing preventative works to stop peoples homes from flooding. Whilst at the same time councils granting planning permission willy-nilly all over flood plains.

RicksAlfas

13,408 posts

245 months

Wednesday 13th November 2019
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Blib said:
I read a couple of days ago that farmers local to the Don complained that the environment agency refused their requests to dredge the river. This was confirmed by an EA spokesman. Subsequently, their land flooded.

Shades of Somerset Levels?
Someone I was talking to said the Don used to be 40 feet deep when it was used for freight barges. Now it's down to 8 feet in places.

MG CHRIS

9,085 posts

168 months

Wednesday 13th November 2019
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Currently snowing in blackwood south wales don't think it will come to much as its been raining since 5pm but the cars have a good covering over them. Look on the bbc forecast and its currently predicting its raining atm and no snow forecast.

colin_p

4,503 posts

213 months

Wednesday 13th November 2019
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MG CHRIS said:
Currently snowing in blackwood south wales don't think it will come to much as its been raining since 5pm but the cars have a good covering over them. Look on the bbc forecast and its currently predicting its raining atm and no snow forecast.
Ged in there ! beer

Netweather radar is showing snow in the valleys..
https://www.netweather.tv/live-weather/radar

(toggle the weather type at the top)

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