The official summer sun, optimism and thunder thread 2022

[Puggit]

That gap...

[Puggit]

JakeT said:

Lots of thunder and biblical rain in Stuttgart.

I was sat outside at dinner and became quite drenched.

Some awful weather due tomorrow for you.

[Puggit]

Puggit said:

JakeT said:

Lots of thunder and biblical rain in Stuttgart.

I was sat outside at dinner and became quite drenched.

Some awful weather due tomorrow for you.

'Extremely Severe' just north of Stuttgart.

[Puggit]

I think it's been...

This is an outrageous video...

https://twitter.com/Met4CastUK/status/152773465672...

Search twitter for 'paderborn tornado' for more.

[Puggit]

Iffy week, jet stream hitting the NW while the SE remains a little better.

High pressure due for next weekend (of course, it's my birthday)...

[Puggit]

UTH said:

Cold enough in Surrey for me to be missing having the heating on! FFS it's nearly June.

Bad news for you then, after high pressure nudges in and brings a smidgin of warmth over Fri/Sat, it then promptly will nudge out and sit to our W/NW. This, as all weather people will know , will bring northerly winds and cloud.

[Puggit]

Dog Star said:

I’m sat in my office at home with my fleece on - it’s freezing and obviously, as I’m not a trillionaire, I can’t afford to put the heating on.

Mrs Puggit locked our energy costs in during Aug 2021 for 2 years. Everyone welcome around ours'!

(she is a legend for doing that)

[Puggit]

More sunshine and heavy showers today. High pressure making its presence felt for Thurs/Fri

[Puggit]

UTH said:

Yeah good point, I do feel much more trusting in the BBC forecast at the end of the News at 630.

Your trust is misplaced. The BBC use the previous edition of which ever weather model they use. So it's between 12-24 hours out of date. BBC forecasting has been mediocre since they ditched the Met Office.

[Puggit]

Evoluzione said:

Yep. A lot better today though and for the next few days too, no rain forecast until Sunday.

Hmmmm....

[Puggit]

colin_p said:

You lucky sods darn sarf.

Met office thunder warning for tomorrow.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-...

http://convectiveweather.co.uk/forecast.php?date=2...

[Puggit]

Getting hopeful...

[Puggit]

Scabutz said:

Down near Brighton today and no sign of anything so far.

Storms have fired up between Cherboug and Caen...

[Puggit]

Scabutz said:

Question for Puggit, or others.

Everytime there is the possibility of thunder I regularly look at Lightning Maps to see if anything is about and might be heading my way.

It seems whenever I check there is lightning somewhere in Northern France. Everytime. Is that just coincidence or does it regularly have a lot of activity and if so why?

I'm guessing here...

Thunderstorms tend to form when convection is present, cold upper air allowing warm lower air to move up (hence towering cumulonimbus clouds on stormy days). This requires slack wind, nothing breezy - which tends to be a southerly wind. The storms form in northern France after the suitable air mass has traversed most of mainland France and picked up enough energy to go kaboom.

Sadly for us, the sea then allows the storms to fall apart as the required conditions are not met to keep the storms energised (some storms will have formed high enough in the atmosphere to cross). Once they hit land, they can pick up energy again, which is why the M62 corridor and the NE does so well.


I grew up west of Paris, and the storms were amazing. There's nothing like a supercell.

[Puggit]

Humph

(yesterday's hours of sunshine for the non-francolinguists)

[Puggit]

Scabutz said:

How come Scotland getting all the good stuff? Something to do with the position of the Jet Stream?

Bingo

[Puggit]

UTH said:

Forecast yet again impossible to plan around. Pretty warm and sunny in Surrey for the last couple of hours. So much so I'm defrosting BBQ items......but forecast still says rain soon.

Heavy showers - hit or miss.

[Puggit]

Widespread risk of downpours and even small storms today. Storms will be more focused in eastern areas, but could pop up anywhere.

[Puggit]

Washing is out here - as usual, rain is passing on either side of us. Hills around here really mess things up.

[Puggit]

Not much change generally. N/S split staying in place: https://twitter.com/metoffice/status/1534581024398...