Asteroid impact , 2/1/14

Asteroid impact , 2/1/14

Author
Discussion

Mojocvh

Original Poster:

16,837 posts

263 months

Thursday 2nd January 2014
quotequote all
http://www.minorplanetcenter.net/mpec/K14/K14A02.h...




These are based on half-arcsecond Monte Carlo noise?: [no me neither but http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monte_Carlo_method gives an idea ]

The corresponding calculated impact times and locations are listed at

http://www.projectpluto.com/temp/impact.txt

as the tumbler came late to the party!!

Mo.

Eric Mc

122,128 posts

266 months

Thursday 2nd January 2014
quotequote all
I haven't a clue what you are talking about.

Vipers

32,921 posts

229 months

Thursday 2nd January 2014
quotequote all
Eric Mc said:
I haven't a clue what you are talking about.
First off Eric, Happy New Year, and secondly, may I join you in saying -

I haven't a clue what you are talking about.




smile

Pixelpeep

8,600 posts

143 months

Thursday 2nd January 2014
quotequote all
Eric Mc said:
I haven't a clue what you are talking about.
+ 0.5

i think they are saying we've 7 hours left to live.

Pixelpeep

8,600 posts

143 months

Thursday 2nd January 2014
quotequote all
geeky science site said:
It is virtually certain that 2014 AA hit the Earth's atmosphere on
2014 Jan. 2.2 +/- 0.4, as demonstrated by independent calculations by
Bill Gray, the MPC and Steve Chesley (JPL). According to Chesley, the
impact locations are widely distributed, most likely falling on an arc
extending from Central America to East Africa, with a best-fit location
just off the coast of West Africa on Jan. 2.10. 2014 AA was unlikely to
have survived atmospheric entry intact, as it was comparable in size to
2008 TC3, the only other example of an impacting object observed
prior to atmospheric entry.
hmm!

Pixelpeep

8,600 posts

143 months

Thursday 2nd January 2014
quotequote all
AA was unlikely to have survived atmospheric entry intact

phew?

Eric Mc

122,128 posts

266 months

Thursday 2nd January 2014
quotequote all
Pixelpeep said:
+ 0.5

i think they are saying we've 7 hours left to live.
Fantastic. That means I won't have to worry about the Self Assessment filing deadline.

Mojocvh

Original Poster:

16,837 posts

263 months

Thursday 2nd January 2014
quotequote all
Eric Mc said:
I haven't a clue what you are talking about.
No surprise there. If it ain't plastic & comes out of a box Eric has little time for anything else.

Apart from the "superior" comeback 'natch.

Terminator X

15,172 posts

205 months

Thursday 2nd January 2014
quotequote all
Big meteor strike due "soon" give or take a few million years wink take cover!

TX.

eldar

21,860 posts

197 months

Thursday 2nd January 2014
quotequote all
The OP's pic looks rather like the Asteroids game. Co-incidence..


Eric Mc

122,128 posts

266 months

Thursday 2nd January 2014
quotequote all
Mojocvh said:
Eric Mc said:
I haven't a clue what you are talking about.
No surprise there. If it ain't plastic & comes out of a box Eric has little time for anything else.
That's a bit unfair.

I'll use resin and photoetch if necessary.

Simpo Two

85,723 posts

266 months

Thursday 2nd January 2014
quotequote all
It's nowhere near Monte Carlo.

Mornington Crescent. QED.

Mojocvh

Original Poster:

16,837 posts

263 months

Thursday 2nd January 2014
quotequote all
eldar said:
The OP's pic looks rather like the Asteroids game. Co-incidence..
Except it's not my picture, it a developing plot of impact points.

If you had readit, you would have realised that the importance of lil old AA2014 was the fact that not one of the "agencies" caught it until 20 hours before Earth impact. Because it arrived over a period of "celebration" and the "agencies" were, initially, non functional.


Mojocvh

Original Poster:

16,837 posts

263 months

Thursday 2nd January 2014
quotequote all
Eric Mc said:
Mojocvh said:
Eric Mc said:
I haven't a clue what you are talking about.
No surprise there. If it ain't plastic & comes out of a box Eric has little time for anything else.
That's a bit unfair.

I'll use resin and photoetch if necessary.
Glad you got the message.

Mojocvh

Original Poster:

16,837 posts

263 months

Thursday 2nd January 2014
quotequote all
Pixelpeep said:
geeky science site said:
It is virtually certain that 2014 AA hit the Earth's atmosphere on
2014 Jan. 2.2 +/- 0.4, as demonstrated by independent calculations by
Bill Gray, the MPC and Steve Chesley (JPL). According to Chesley, the
impact locations are widely distributed, most likely falling on an arc
extending from Central America to East Africa, with a best-fit location
just off the coast of West Africa on Jan. 2.10. 2014 AA was unlikely to
have survived atmospheric entry intact, as it was comparable in size to
2008 TC3, the only other example of an impacting object observed
prior to atmospheric entry.
hmm!
coffee

http://minorplanetcenter.net/blog/the-mpc-talks-at...

http://www.oosa.unvienna.org/oosa/en/COPUOS/stsc/w...

scratchchin



Mojocvh

Original Poster:

16,837 posts

263 months

Friday 3rd January 2014
quotequote all
http://www.skyandtelescope.com/news/Small-Asteroid...

"It was New Year's Eve, but that didn't stop observer Richard Kowalski from scanning the sky for near-Earth objects (NEOs).

He hadn't been using the 60-inch telescope on Arizona's Mount Lemmon for long when he noticed a 19th-magnitude blip skimming through northern Orion in a seven-image series begun at 5:16 p.m. (1:16 Universal Time on January 1st). After confirming that it was a new find, Kowalski dutifully submitted positions and times to the IAU's Minor Planet Center. Then he went back to the night's observing run."

Jules360

1,949 posts

203 months

Wednesday 8th January 2014
quotequote all
Mojocvh said:
Except it's not my picture, it a developing plot of impact points.

If you had readit, you would have realised that the importance of lil old AA2014 was the fact that not one of the "agencies" caught it until 20 hours before Earth impact. Because it arrived over a period of "celebration" and the "agencies" were, initially, non functional.
and why is this important ?

Mojocvh

Original Poster:

16,837 posts

263 months

Wednesday 8th January 2014
quotequote all
Jules360 said:
Mojocvh said:
Except it's not my picture, it a developing plot of impact points.

If you had readit, you would have realised that the importance of lil old AA2014 was the fact that not one of the "agencies" caught it until 20 hours before Earth impact. Because it arrived over a period of "celebration" and the "agencies" were, initially, non functional.
and why is this important ?
clap clever boy.

Jules360

1,949 posts

203 months

Friday 10th January 2014
quotequote all
Mojocvh said:
clap clever boy.
informative answer. Thanks. clapclap

Jules360

1,949 posts

203 months

Friday 10th January 2014
quotequote all
Mojocvh said:
clap clever boy.
informative answer. Thanks. clapclap