SpaceX Tuesday...

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Efbe

9,251 posts

167 months

Wednesday 4th October 2017
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RobDickinson said:
"An Airbus A380 carries up to 271 tons of fuel. BFR's takeoff weight is quoted as 4400 tons - 2nd stage dry mass is 85 tons, payload 150 tons, propellant 1100 tons; this leaves 3065 tons for the fully-fueled first stage - assuming an optimistic propellant fraction of 95%, this gives another 2900 tons of propellant, for a total of 4000 tons. At the ratio listed in the propellant numbers for second stage, this comes out to 900 tons of methane and 3100 tons of oxygen. Jet-A costs a dollar per kg. Google says natural gas cost for electricity producers is $2.99 per thousand cubic feet - there's about 19.45kg of methane in there unless my math is off, so the lower bound cost for methane is about 15 cents a kilogram, or 150 dollars a ton; let's say purifying and liquefying it will double the cost. Top Google search result for liquid oxygen cost gives an old (2001) NASA figure of 16 cents a kilogram, but whatever, let's go with that. $464k for oxygen and $270k for methane to fuel a BFR compared to $270k to fuel an A380."

BFR and A380 have about the same volume/capacity.

And personally i dont think you would mistake a spacex BFR stage 2 for a small icbm nuke.. Especially with published schedules etc
Rob

When you say BFR and A380 have the same capacity, is this just fuel you are talking about or also payload?

AshVX220

5,929 posts

191 months

Wednesday 4th October 2017
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I'm hoping to see the launch on Saturday, I imagine it will get scrubbed if the wind gets too high, or if there's a lightning storm nearby, but do they scrub launches due to rain?

Eric Mc

122,043 posts

266 months

Wednesday 4th October 2017
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It depends. Rain can damage rockets as they accelerate through the droplets. Rain always stopped Shuttle launches because the tiles were very sensitive to water droplet damage.

There is also the issue of a rocket generating its own lightning discharge as it flies through cloud. That's what happened with Apollo 12.


Flooble

5,565 posts

101 months

Wednesday 4th October 2017
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RobDickinson said:
This won't be flying through contested air space..

It'll only be in air space of the launching and landing countries, the rest of the time it'll be in orbit.
Shooting down something in orbit is pretty fkin hard only the USA and probably Russia could at the moment and it wouldn't happen by accident
Didn't China knock down one of their own satellites too?

Eric Mc

122,043 posts

266 months

Wednesday 4th October 2017
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You don't "knock down" a satellite. You disable it.

RobDickinson

31,343 posts

255 months

Wednesday 4th October 2017
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Efbe said:
Rob

When you say BFR and A380 have the same capacity, is this just fuel you are talking about or also payload?
Musk said it had the same internal volume.

Also said 150 tons to Leo. Not sure how that compares to an A380 Leo capacity..

annodomini2

6,862 posts

252 months

Wednesday 4th October 2017
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Flooble said:
RobDickinson said:
This won't be flying through contested air space..

It'll only be in air space of the launching and landing countries, the rest of the time it'll be in orbit.
Shooting down something in orbit is pretty fkin hard only the USA and probably Russia could at the moment and it wouldn't happen by accident
Didn't China knock down one of their own satellites too?
They didn't knock it down they blew it up

Efbe

9,251 posts

167 months

Wednesday 4th October 2017
quotequote all
RobDickinson said:
Efbe said:
Rob

When you say BFR and A380 have the same capacity, is this just fuel you are talking about or also payload?
Musk said it had the same internal volume.

Also said 150 tons to Leo. Not sure how that compares to an A380 Leo capacity..
ok, so by your calcs, about 4x more expensive for rocket over plane?

If so, I think that's pretty good really.

RobDickinson

31,343 posts

255 months

Wednesday 4th October 2017
quotequote all
Efbe said:
ok, so by your calcs, about 4x more expensive for rocket over plane?

If so, I think that's pretty good really.
On fuel..

SpaceX would need to build its own launch/landing fuel/terminal infrastructure - not shared with others
I'm pretty sure such a large orbital rocket would cost more to build and certify than an A380 ($400 million)?
Then you have to deal with 3g launches and weightlessness..

Wonder what the turnaround time is? I guess typical A380 would do at most 2 flights a day?

Beati Dogu

8,896 posts

140 months

Wednesday 4th October 2017
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LivingTheDream said:
Attempting 2 launches and landings in 48 hrs this weekend
Should be fun. They did the same thing successfully in June.

LivingTheDream

1,753 posts

180 months

Thursday 5th October 2017
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Beati Dogu said:
LivingTheDream said:
Attempting 2 launches and landings in 48 hrs this weekend
Should be fun. They did the same thing successfully in June.
To add the details for these:

Oct. 7 Falcon 9 • SES 11/EchoStar 105
Launch window: 2253-0053 GMT (6:53-8:53 p.m. EDT)
Launch site: LC-39A, Kennedy Space Center, Florida

A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket will launch the SES-11/EchoStar 105 hybrid communications satellite to replace the AMC-15 and AMC-18 satellites. As SES-11, the spacecraft’s C-band capacity will provide replacement capacity for SES of Luxembourg for AMC-18. EchoStar Corp. of Englewood, Colorado, will market the Ku-Band transponder capacity, with coverage of the 50 U.S. states, the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean, as EchoStar 105, replacing AMC-15. The Falcon 9 rocket will launch with a previously-flown first stage. Delayed from October, November, July and Sept. 27. [Sept. 22]

Oct. 9 Falcon 9 • Iridium Next 21-30
Launch time: 1237 GMT (8:37 a.m. EDT; 5:37 a.m. PDT)
Launch site: SLC-4E, Vandenberg Air Force Base, California

A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket will launch 10 satellites for the Iridium next mobile communications fleet. Delayed from October, December, April, August, Sept. 30 and Oct. 4. [Sept. 26]

shakotan

10,709 posts

197 months

Thursday 5th October 2017
quotequote all
Eric Mc said:
RobDickinson said:
As Arthur C Clarke once said of such forms of transport, half the time the toilets will be out of order and the other half the toilets will be inaccessible.
It's another fantasy proposal from Musk, along with the Hyperloop. Stick to electric cars and solar panels.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j4KR4-TN-Yo

LivingTheDream

1,753 posts

180 months

Thursday 5th October 2017
quotequote all
LivingTheDream said:
Beati Dogu said:
LivingTheDream said:
Attempting 2 launches and landings in 48 hrs this weekend
Should be fun. They did the same thing successfully in June.
To add the details for these:

Oct. 7 Falcon 9 • SES 11/EchoStar 105
Launch window: 2253-0053 GMT (6:53-8:53 p.m. EDT)
Launch site: LC-39A, Kennedy Space Center, Florida

A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket will launch the SES-11/EchoStar 105 hybrid communications satellite to replace the AMC-15 and AMC-18 satellites. As SES-11, the spacecraft’s C-band capacity will provide replacement capacity for SES of Luxembourg for AMC-18. EchoStar Corp. of Englewood, Colorado, will market the Ku-Band transponder capacity, with coverage of the 50 U.S. states, the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean, as EchoStar 105, replacing AMC-15. The Falcon 9 rocket will launch with a previously-flown first stage. Delayed from October, November, July and Sept. 27. [Sept. 22]

Oct. 9 Falcon 9 • Iridium Next 21-30
Launch time: 1237 GMT (8:37 a.m. EDT; 5:37 a.m. PDT)
Launch site: SLC-4E, Vandenberg Air Force Base, California

A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket will launch 10 satellites for the Iridium next mobile communications fleet. Delayed from October, December, April, August, Sept. 30 and Oct. 4. [Sept. 26]
First launch is now targeted for Oct 11th

MartG

20,685 posts

205 months

Thursday 5th October 2017
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LivingTheDream said:
First launch is now targeted for Oct 11th
Guessing it's due to today's Atlas V launch being delayed to tomorrow at the earliest due to weather

Beati Dogu

8,896 posts

140 months

Sunday 8th October 2017
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The Falcon 9 at Vandenberg is vertical on the launchpad now. The weather is looking good for Monday's launch from 1.37 pm UK time.


Meanwhile they're still tinkering around with the Atlas V at Cape Canaveral, but hopefully they'll get that away on Monday too. It's a classified payload, so they're always cagey about launch times. paperbag

Meanwhile, on the pad next door on Wednesday, the Falcon 9 is likely to launch (probably from 10.53 pm UK time).

They've had the bonnet up on this rocket recently. It needed to some “minor engine rework” on this pre-flown rocket.


If SpaceX are successful, these will be launches number 14 and 15 so far this year, with the target of 20 in sight. Last year they managed 8 before the pad explosion in September screwed the pooch somewhat.

MartG

20,685 posts

205 months

Monday 9th October 2017
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Video link for today's launch

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SB4N4xF2B2w

LivingTheDream

1,753 posts

180 months

Monday 9th October 2017
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launch window of 1 second!!

Wow!

anonymous-user

55 months

Monday 9th October 2017
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X marks the spot yet again!

Great job.

LivingTheDream

1,753 posts

180 months

Monday 9th October 2017
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Nice landing!!

Everything looks so clinical now - really impressive stuff

Eric Mc

122,043 posts

266 months

Monday 9th October 2017
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Bugger - got carried away parcelling up some books for postage and missed the launch. Life gets too exciting sometimes.
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