SpaceX Tuesday...

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RobDickinson

31,343 posts

255 months

Friday 17th January 2020
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Window starts at 2am here let's hope it's at the end lol

Beati Dogu

8,896 posts

140 months

Saturday 18th January 2020
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RobDickinson said:
Window starts at 2am here let's hope it's at the end lol
Looks like it will be:

"Latest weather data suggests sustained winds and rough seas in the recovery area during the top of tomorrow’s four-hour launch escape test window; now targeting toward the end of the window. Will continue to monitor weather and update the T-0 accordingly in the morning"

- SpaceX


MartG

20,693 posts

205 months

MartG

20,693 posts

205 months

Saturday 18th January 2020
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Scrubbed frown

"SpaceX is standing down from today's in-flight Crew Dragon launch escape test attempt due to sustained winds and rough seas in the recovery area. We are now targeting Sunday, January 19 from Launch Complex 39A (LC-39A) at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center in Florida. This test, which does not have NASA astronauts onboard the spacecraft, is intended to demonstrate Crew Dragon’s ability to reliably carry crew to safety in the unlikely event of an emergency on ascent.

Sunday's six-hour test window opens at 8:00 a.m. EST, or 13:00 UTC. A backup test opportunity is available on Monday, January 20.

Weather will remain a watch item for Sunday so keep an eye on our website and social media for additional updates as new data becomes available
"

Beati Dogu

8,896 posts

140 months

Saturday 18th January 2020
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Thanks, I had a feeling that might happen. They may just have to take advantage of a gap in the weather to launch. Visibility and cloud cover are also factors. They don't normally launch through cumulus or thick cloud anyway.

https://www.nasa.gov/centers/kennedy/pdf/531435mai...


Some other things about this flight:

The booster was the first Block 5 built.

They expect the most force an astronaut would face during the abort would be 4g.

The automatic flight termination system will be armed, but they don't expect it to activate.

The Dragon capsule is fully functional, but doesn't have all the interior fittings that an operational one would.

Eric Mc

122,053 posts

266 months

Saturday 18th January 2020
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I think they require better visibility than for a normal launch as they need to have good visuals of the Dragon capsule after it separates to ensure they can see if it behaves as predicted.

MartG

20,693 posts

205 months

Saturday 18th January 2020
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Eric Mc said:
I think they require better visibility than for a normal launch as they need to have good visuals of the Dragon capsule after it separates to ensure they can see if it behaves as predicted.
They also need fairly calm seas for recovery of the Dragon

Flooble

5,565 posts

101 months

Saturday 18th January 2020
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Eric Mc said:
I think they require better visibility than for a normal launch as they need to have good visuals of the Dragon capsule after it separates to ensure they can see if it behaves as predicted.
Would that not mostly be via telemetry? I imagine video is a very crude mechanism (especially with nothing but the sky for contrast) for fault-finding compared to hard values from the instruments.

Although since there's no pressure to launch I can see that you may as well gather data from as many sources as possible, and since they are also testing whether the capsule will keep the crew safe in the water until the rescue boats reach and recover it, and hence need wind/sea conditions to be as good as they would be for a crewed launch, I can see your point that they may as well wait.

Eric Mc

122,053 posts

266 months

Saturday 18th January 2020
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Telemetry is important too. But you can't beat a direct sight of what is going on. And telemetry is just another piece of technology that could go wrong.

MartG

20,693 posts

205 months

Saturday 18th January 2020
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If something goes catastrophically wrong telemetry tends to stop, whereas remote cameras keep going smile

Eric Mc

122,053 posts

266 months

Saturday 18th January 2020
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And abort tests, CAN go wrong -

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AqeJzItldSQ

Gandahar

9,600 posts

129 months

Saturday 18th January 2020
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It's the winds rather than the visibility.

You don't want any more forces than you need to have with guidance and shear forces if you can put it off to tomorrow.


Eric Mc

122,053 posts

266 months

Saturday 18th January 2020
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I think it was the wind that was the deciding factor today. However, they did also say in the pre-test press conference yesterday that they were also concerned about cloud cover and sea state. So all these areas need to be taken into account before deciding to launch.

annodomini2

6,867 posts

252 months

Saturday 18th January 2020
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Chester35 said:
Eric Mc said:
Chester35 said:
I have to say that I am still dubious that they can get a welded steel vehicle into space and landed again. Normally things don't fail at Max Q but this might ... and then has to do a re-entry.

Perhaps I am being over pessimistic though. What are other peoples thoughts?

Falcon series rockets are so well tuned now, why did they not just extrapolate that for this?
Original Atlas rockets were mainly of steel construction. That's why they were so shiny.

True, but that's like saying the Mosquito was made out of balsa wood but I wouldn't suggest a B21 Raider be made out of that nowadays. As I said, they are going for return to base too with new semi gliding trajectory, that is really pushing the envelope.

I don't get good vibes that after all this time they are changing the welding process so much to make it stronger. if you are going welding then picking the right type right at the very beginning seems like a no brainer, I think their welding tech / experience is still catching up with the requirements.

Well let's see what happens. You can never say Space X are boring.



Edited by Chester35 on Monday 13th January 22:11
Lighter materials offer efficiency benefits in terms of payload.

CF is much more expensive, takes longer to make, it also has issues with long term space travel (resin breakdown in high intensity UV being the most obvious).

The other aspects we have to consider are more than just getting into orbit. If you're more than a few minutes away from atmosphere, we need the capability to repair in flight, welding is a lot easier than trying to cure resin in vacuum. There is probably a lot more I've missed.

I'm not saying you're wrong with regards to their experience, but if Elon wants to go to Mars, CF is probably the wrong path.

Eric Mc

122,053 posts

266 months

Saturday 18th January 2020
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Has anybody ever tried outside welding in space? I know that various "in spacecraft/space station" welding experiments have been carried out over the years. But I'm not sure anyone has had to a welding job on the outside.

It's a rather dangerous activity to conduct in space, whether inside or outside the spacecraft.

Flooble

5,565 posts

101 months

Saturday 18th January 2020
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Eric Mc said:
Has anybody ever tried outside welding in space? I know that various "in spacecraft/space station" welding experiments have been carried out over the years. But I'm not sure anyone has had to a welding job on the outside.

It's a rather dangerous activity to conduct in space, whether inside or outside the spacecraft.
Isn't there also the thing where you end up with "cold welds" in space, so they have to actually put effort into stopping things from welding?

http://esmat.esa.int/Publications/Published_papers...

I haven't managed to find any "in anger" welding either, only experiments.

Stussy

1,850 posts

65 months

Sunday 19th January 2020
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Everyday astronaut is now live

Chester35

505 posts

56 months

Sunday 19th January 2020
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I find it interesting that they wanted to get an abort with conditions perfect so kept putting it off. The full test of an abort probably needs to be done at the worst scenario ever, which means doing it in conditions you would not normally launch at.

That's a rather a crossing all the t's and I's to the nth degree though...


MartG

20,693 posts

205 months

Sunday 19th January 2020
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Chester35 said:
I find it interesting that they wanted to get an abort with conditions perfect so kept putting it off. The full test of an abort probably needs to be done at the worst scenario ever, which means doing it in conditions you would not normally launch at.

That's a rather a crossing all the t's and I's to the nth degree though...
They need to do the test in good conditions to maximise the amount of data they can get from it e.g. high quality video from ground cameras

Einion Yrth

19,575 posts

245 months

Sunday 19th January 2020
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MartG said:
Chester35 said:
I find it interesting that they wanted to get an abort with conditions perfect so kept putting it off. The full test of an abort probably needs to be done at the worst scenario ever, which means doing it in conditions you would not normally launch at.

That's a rather a crossing all the t's and I's to the nth degree though...
They need to do the test in good conditions to maximise the amount of data they can get from it e.g. high quality video from ground cameras
There's also not a lot of point in conducting a launch abort test in conditions when you'd have scrubbed the launch anyway.
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