Climate Change - The Scientific Debate (Vol. II)

Climate Change - The Scientific Debate (Vol. II)

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Discussion

durbster

10,288 posts

223 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
Jinx said:
Page unavailable? Yep that's convinced me.

Oh and quoting wiki for a character assassination of Dr Willie Soon? Poor form dear boy - you may as well quote verbatim desmogblog.
For balance - https://www.heartland.org/about-us/who-we-are/will...
Another Heartland person. What a surprise. Most denial organisations lead there.

budgie smuggler

5,397 posts

160 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
robinessex said:
So why no planet Armageddon when the CO2, in the past, was higher? Dinosaurs thrived on it for 50,000,000 years or so! Which it always has been. Opps, nearly forgot. Does it mattered if the planet get a miniscule amount warmer? Question never answered here so far, despite what Durbcter claims, just lots of evasion and blinkers on.



No correlation there !!

Edited by robinessex on Friday 28th April 09:47
It's not just the absolute, it's the rate of change.

Jinx

11,398 posts

261 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
durbster said:
Another Heartland person. What a surprise. Most denial organisations lead there.
Just read the article - as it is a nice counter to the wiki/desmogblog character assassination.

Jinx

11,398 posts

261 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
budgie smuggler said:
It's not just the absolute, it's the rate of change.
Erm you do know CO2 has a Diurnal and seasonal rate of change?

Convert

3,747 posts

219 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
durbster said:
PRTVR said:
There is no certainties in climate change, the whole thing is full of maybe probably and other such vague wording, they are so unsure of what is happening that it has to be kept vague
Good grief, you've sunk to the robinessex level of argument!

There are no certainties in any field of science. That's how it works.
Unless the science is settled...


robinessex

11,074 posts

182 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
" There is no dispute at all about the fact that even if punctiliously observed, (the Kyoto Protocol) would have an imperceptible effect on future temperatures -- one-twentieth of a degree by 2050. "

Dr. S. Fred Singer, atmospheric physicist
Professor Emeritus of Environmental Sciences at the University of Virginia,
and former director of the US Weather Satellite Service;
in a Sept. 10, 2001 Letter to Editor, Wall Street Journal

" I can only see one element of the climate system capable of generating these fast, global changes, that is, changes in the tropical atmosphere leading to changes in the inventory of the earth's most powerful greenhouse gas-- water vapor. "

Dr. Wallace Broecker, a leading world authority on climate
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University,
lecture presented at R. A. Daly Lecture at the American Geophysical Union's
spring meeting in Baltimore, Md., May 1996.

PRTVR

7,128 posts

222 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
DapperDanMan said:
PRTVR said:
DapperDanMan said:
Silver Smudger said:
durbster said:
Silver Smudger said:
You really think this is a useful way to present information?

Burning a coniferous forest of size X produces the same amount of CO2 as the total of all the fossil fuels being burnt by man.

How big is that fire, a total of all the little explosions in petrol and diesel engines, all the gas jets in the world's central heating boilers, all the coal furnaces heating water for power stations, all the wood burning stoves in summer houses in gardens all added together into one big fire?

Is that fire bigger than Africa?

Why a chose a coniferous forest for this illustration? Why not some other substance that releases less CO2 when burnt?

You could select any substance to burn on your imaginary fire, and then you could have a fire as large or small as you like!

Burn something with large CO2 content = Fire the size of a squirrel
Burn something with tiny CO2 content = Fire the size of the planet

The whole article is pointless and illustrates nothing to anyone, as there is no frame of reference to compare it to.
I'm afraid I don't know what you're rambling about. The article is simply using something easy to understand to illustrate something. It's directed at people who believe that human activity has little or no impact on the planet.
You said it was "...a nice and simple visualisation of the amount of CO2 we're putting into the atmosphere..." when it is in fact no such thing - It is an alarmist scare story using an imaginary fire the size of Africa - I cannot visualise anything based on that.

Perhaps someone else here can understand my questions above and can explain them to you?
Have you considered the possibility that it is you that is the problem here. You want the world to be what you believe it to be but when something comes along to challenge that world model your mind rejects it.

The article states that it is trying to put the level of emissions into a context that most people can understand. So on current output they say Africa + 30% as a constantly burning forest fire is equivalent to the fossil fuel CO2 emissions. Now that is a very sobering thought for anyone to read and if it is alarming then maybe that is because it is something to be concerned about.
Not quite, CO2 is a colourless odourless inert gas, that is important to life on earth as a component of photosynthesis and still the amount added to the atmosphere is a small addition to trace gas in the atmosphere, alarming ? You must be easily scared, perhaps the extra plant growth is an issue to you ? More food better crops, green house growers use CO2 to increase crop yields,
personally I am more worried about the rise in log burners due to worries about power cuts, a few people I know have you them for this reason, what use to be smokeless zones now have the lots of wood burning stoves pumping out their waste .
Are you replying to someone else and just quoted me by mistake as your response doesn't correlate with anything I wrote (although we both used CO2)?
That was the point, you were talking about CO2 emissions as been a worry, I was pointing out it was not.

Silver Smudger

3,306 posts

168 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
DapperDanMan said:
Silver Smudger said:
...snip...
Have you considered the possibility that it is you that is the problem here. You want the world to be what you believe it to be but when something comes along to challenge that world model your mind rejects it.

The article states that it is trying to put the level of emissions into a context that most people can understand. So on current output they say Africa + 30% as a constantly burning forest fire is equivalent to the fossil fuel CO2 emissions. Now that is a very sobering thought for anyone to read and if it is alarming then maybe that is because it is something to be concerned about.
You seem to be trying to read my mind instead of my reply - Whichever side of the debate you are on, that article says no more than "CO2 is as big as a really big thing!"

I was pointing out how arbitrary and meaningless it was as a comparison - No-one can picture the CO2 output of a fire the size of Africa

One can try and imagine a fire that big, but it will tell you nothing

Toltec

7,161 posts

224 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
Einion Yrth said:
durbster said:
PRTVR said:
What is also amazing is that all it does is contribute a small addition to a trace gas in the atmosphere, that is necessary for photosynthesis in plant which sustains life on earth,
yikes indeed.
"all it does"

What makes you think "a small addition to a trace gas in the atmosphere" wouldn't have a big effect? You don't accept the greenhouse effect exists?
Do you not accept the Beer-Lambert law?
Do you mean that for a given path length once the concentration reaches a certain level any further increase makes little difference as all the radiation of a particular wavelength has been absorbed?

DapperDanMan

2,622 posts

208 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
Silver Smudger said:
DapperDanMan said:
Silver Smudger said:
...snip...
Have you considered the possibility that it is you that is the problem here. You want the world to be what you believe it to be but when something comes along to challenge that world model your mind rejects it.

The article states that it is trying to put the level of emissions into a context that most people can understand. So on current output they say Africa + 30% as a constantly burning forest fire is equivalent to the fossil fuel CO2 emissions. Now that is a very sobering thought for anyone to read and if it is alarming then maybe that is because it is something to be concerned about.
You seem to be trying to read my mind instead of my reply - Whichever side of the debate you are on, that article says no more than "CO2 is as big as a really big thing!"

I was pointing out how arbitrary and meaningless it was as a comparison - No-one can picture the CO2 output of a fire the size of Africa

One can try and imagine a fire that big, but it will tell you nothing
Well I can imagine it and find it appalling, it told me something so your theory already has 1 result that contradicts it so I guess you need a new theory.

Jinx

11,398 posts

261 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
DapperDanMan said:
Well I can imagine it and find it appalling, it told me something so your theory already has 1 result that contradicts it so I guess you need a new theory.
Imagine it without the smoke, heat, light and destruction - a colourless gas emitted over the entire planet (you know like what is actually happening over the entire planet (at night time))
Still appalling or merely Gaia breathing out.

DapperDanMan

2,622 posts

208 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
Jinx said:
DapperDanMan said:
Well I can imagine it and find it appalling, it told me something so your theory already has 1 result that contradicts it so I guess you need a new theory.
Imagine it without the smoke, heat, light and destruction - a colourless gas emitted over the entire planet (you know like what is actually happening over the entire planet (at night time))
Still appalling or merely Gaia breathing out.
Do you lot get paid to patrol this post or something?



plunker

542 posts

127 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
Jinx said:
DapperDanMan said:
Well I can imagine it and find it appalling, it told me something so your theory already has 1 result that contradicts it so I guess you need a new theory.
Imagine it without the smoke, heat, light and destruction - a colourless gas emitted over the entire planet (you know like what is actually happening over the entire planet (at night time))
Still appalling or merely Gaia breathing out.
Out of those two I'd have to for appaling I think, or perhaps Gaia having the mother of all belches - it's a massive sudden injection of sequestered carbon into the atmosphere at a speed and scale that's quite probably unprecedented in earth's entire history. Millions and millions of years of carbon sequestration released in the blink of an eye, like a firework going off - poof!

Jinx

11,398 posts

261 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
plunker said:
Out of those two I'd have to for appaling I think, or perhaps Gaia having the mother of all belches - it's a massive sudden injection of sequestered carbon into the atmosphere at a speed and scale that's quite probably unprecedented in earth's entire history. Millions and millions of years of carbon sequestration released in the blink of an eye, like a firework going off - poof!
Which is fantastic for the plants that have been CO2 starved for years. It isn't just solar death that could cause the end of life on this planet - lack of CO2 via carbon sequestration by sea creatures into the ocean depths could theoretically cause the end of all life (much more plausible than Hansen's "boiling oceans")
Thankfully mankind has found a way to release CO2 back into the atmosphere which without any positive feedback from water vapor has no net downside. Way to go mankind!


Edited by Jinx on Friday 28th April 15:45

Jinx

11,398 posts

261 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
DapperDanMan said:
Do you lot get paid to patrol this post or something?
Didn't you know big oil pays a fortune for this kind of thing.......

Though I think I must have been missed from the mailing list as I haven't had a penny frown

DapperDanMan

2,622 posts

208 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
Jinx said:
plunker said:
Out of those two I'd have to for appaling I think, or perhaps Gaia having the mother of all belches - it's a massive sudden injection of sequestered carbon into the atmosphere at a speed and scale that's quite probably unprecedented in earth's entire history. Millions and millions of years of carbon sequestration released in the blink of an eye, like a firework going off - poof!
Which is fantastic for the plants that have been CO2 starved for years. It isn't just solar death that could cause the end of life on this planet - lack of CO2 via carbon sequestration by sea creatures into the ocean depths could theoretically cause the end of all life (much more plausible than Hansen's "boiling oceans")
Thankfully mankind has found a way to release CO2 back into the atmosphere which without any positive feedback from water vapor has no net downside. Way to go mankind!


Edited by Jinx on Friday 28th April 15:45
Please explain your water vapour theory to us all......

plunker

542 posts

127 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
Jinx said:
plunker said:
Out of those two I'd have to for appaling I think, or perhaps Gaia having the mother of all belches - it's a massive sudden injection of sequestered carbon into the atmosphere at a speed and scale that's quite probably unprecedented in earth's entire history. Millions and millions of years of carbon sequestration released in the blink of an eye, like a firework going off - poof!
Which is fantastic for the plants that have been CO2 starved for years. It isn't just solar death that could cause the end of life on this planet - lack of CO2 via carbon sequestration by sea creatures into the ocean depths could theoretically cause the end of all life (much more plausible than Hansen's "boiling oceans")
Thankfully mankind has found a way to release CO2 back into the atmosphere which without any positive feedback form water vapor has no net downside. Way to go mankind!
Yeah we might get that lucky, or maybe not. Fingers and toes crossed then!

Jinx

11,398 posts

261 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
DapperDanMan said:
Please explain your water vapour theory to us all......
It's all in the IPCC reports. For dangerous AGW to occur the theoretical warming from a doubling of CO2 requires a positive feedback from an increase in water vapor; this turns the pleasant for everyone 1 degree per doubling into the dangerous "we're all gonna die" 3 degrees. Without the feedback there is no dangerous AGW. As yet there is no evidence of this positive feedback and with cloud formation and it's apparent unknowable sign (so we'll just ignore them in the GCMs) we have the situation where all models run hot.
The climate isn't responding to CO2 as expected, water vapor isn't responding as expected, the Antarctic isn't behaving as expected - isn't it time to re-visit the expectations?

plunker

542 posts

127 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
DapperDanMan said:
Jinx said:
plunker said:
Out of those two I'd have to for appaling I think, or perhaps Gaia having the mother of all belches - it's a massive sudden injection of sequestered carbon into the atmosphere at a speed and scale that's quite probably unprecedented in earth's entire history. Millions and millions of years of carbon sequestration released in the blink of an eye, like a firework going off - poof!
Which is fantastic for the plants that have been CO2 starved for years. It isn't just solar death that could cause the end of life on this planet - lack of CO2 via carbon sequestration by sea creatures into the ocean depths could theoretically cause the end of all life (much more plausible than Hansen's "boiling oceans")
Thankfully mankind has found a way to release CO2 back into the atmosphere which without any positive feedback from water vapor has no net downside. Way to go mankind!


Edited by Jinx on Friday 28th April 15:45
Please explain your water vapour theory to us all......
It mainly consists of saying 'ffs it's a WATER planet!' a lot - like nobody has noticed.

plunker

542 posts

127 months

Friday 28th April 2017
quotequote all
Jinx said:
DapperDanMan said:
Please explain your water vapour theory to us all......
It's all in the IPCC reports. For dangerous AGW to occur the theoretical warming from a doubling of CO2 requires a positive feedback from an increase in water vapor; this turns the pleasant for everyone 1 degree per doubling into the dangerous "we're all gonna die" 3 degrees. Without the feedback there is no dangerous AGW. As yet there is no evidence of this positive feedback and with cloud formation and it's apparent unknowable sign (so we'll just ignore them in the GCMs) we have the situation where all models run hot.
The climate isn't responding to CO2 as expected, water vapor isn't responding as expected, the Antarctic isn't behaving as expected - isn't it time to re-visit the expectations?
How much surface warming has there been in the last 50 years would you say?