JWST launch delayed to 2019

JWST launch delayed to 2019

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MartG

Original Poster:

20,693 posts

205 months

Wednesday 22nd December 2021
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Beati Dogu

8,896 posts

140 months

Thursday 23rd December 2021
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Good job the French usually open their presents on Christmas Eve.

Everything crossed it all goes OK.



Now rolled out to the pad.

Edited by Beati Dogu on Thursday 23 December 18:51

andy_s

19,404 posts

260 months

Friday 24th December 2021
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"JWST can look so far back in time it can see its own original launch date" biggrin

Fingers crossed for tomorrow - and the next few weeks...

shouldbworking

4,769 posts

213 months

Friday 24th December 2021
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Wonder what odds the bookies are giving on this thing successfully making its way to orbit and working when it gets there..

Love science but I will be surprised if this turns out to be a success

Eric Mc

122,053 posts

266 months

Friday 24th December 2021
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shouldbworking said:
Wonder what odds the bookies are giving on this thing successfully making its way to orbit and working when it gets there..

Love science but I will be surprised if this turns out to be a success
It's not going into orbit in the way the Hubble space telescope did. The JWST will be placed into an orbit around the sun, rather than in an orbit around the earth. It will be "parked" at one of the stable La Grange Points about 1 million miles from earth.

Putting all objects into space, especially something as large and as sophisticated as this, is always risky with all sorts of failure points which can compromise or even scupper the mission. I heard this morning on Radio 4 that the JWST has 178 hinge points as part of the unfurling process that have to work for the whole assembly to open up properly. In all, there are 300 failure points which could severely hamper or stop the mission from succeeding.

And, unlike Hubble, if the JWST fails to operate properly, it is much too far away for any sort of manned rescue mission.

But one thing NASA is very good at is salvaging missions when the technology doesn't work as it was intended to.

LostM135idriver

657 posts

32 months

Friday 24th December 2021
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Because of the mission, and 5e instrument that’s being launched, the approach taken here - make sure everything works first time - makes sense. It looks a bit old and weird now, next to space x and their boosters, but for a telescope that won’t be reachable in orbit, this long winded process is probably the best way to go.

The Ariane rockets are quite reliable and so the launch going wrong would be a surprise.

LostM135idriver

657 posts

32 months

Friday 24th December 2021
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Beati Dogu said:
The space telescope being prepared for encapsulation:



It’s a big fellah.
Cor look at the mirrors on that.

MartG

Original Poster:

20,693 posts

205 months

Friday 24th December 2021
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GTO-3R

7,491 posts

214 months

Friday 24th December 2021
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I’m more nervous of it unfolding properly than I am the launch itself! Fingers crossed it all goes well and we see what it can discover/uncover smile

shouldbworking

4,769 posts

213 months

Friday 24th December 2021
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For me it's not the complexity of the telescope or booster that attracts particular concern, it's how long the things been knocking about! Not sure how long things typically sit before launch but I'd wager 12-13 years is longer than most

Beati Dogu

8,896 posts

140 months

Friday 24th December 2021
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It's the complexity that worries me. Hubble was sat around for years before launch too and then they found the mirror hadn't been made properly. It took another 3 years and an expensive, dedicated Shuttle mission to fix its myopia.


The latest weather forecast is good, so they're "Go" for launch at 12.20 pm UK time.

rxe

6,700 posts

104 months

Friday 24th December 2021
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Hands up - who is watching this in preference to the Queen’s speech?

Otispunkmeyer

12,606 posts

156 months

Friday 24th December 2021
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rxe said:
Hands up - who is watching this in preference to the Queen’s speech?
Absolutely

Stan the Bat

8,935 posts

213 months

Friday 24th December 2021
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Goes without saying.

ChocolateFrog

25,469 posts

174 months

Saturday 25th December 2021
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GTO-3R said:
I’m more nervous of it unfolding properly than I am the launch itself! Fingers crossed it all goes well and we see what it can discover/uncover smile
Yep.

300+ points of failure during the unfolding and commissioning, any one of which would render JWST expensive space junk.

ChocolateFrog

25,469 posts

174 months

Saturday 25th December 2021
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I make it about $1600 per gram of telescope

I really hope it's successful.

S100HP

12,687 posts

168 months

Saturday 25th December 2021
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Otispunkmeyer said:
rxe said:
Hands up - who is watching this in preference to the Queen’s speech?
Absolutely
Is that even a question?

BorkBorkBork

731 posts

52 months

Saturday 25th December 2021
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The Ariane rocket has a 95% success rate, so getting it beyond earths atmosphere hopefully shouldn’t be a problem. The deployment though, is a different matter. Over 300 processes have to go without hitch for it to be deployed properly. All those latches, hinges and motors have to work perfectly after that flight in order for a successful deployment.

And there’s no sending a team up there to fix it, like we did with the Hubble. It’ll be a million miles away, four times more distant than the moon.

If it does all go without a hitch, the 25 years and $10 billion price tag will be well worth it.

Juanco20

3,214 posts

194 months

Saturday 25th December 2021
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As someone who didn't pay enough attention during science lessons at school, please can someone clarify something for me.

This telescope will be taking images of galaxies and stars billions of light years away. So the image we actual see is what it was like billions of years ago. As we know, our own planet has changed dramatically in that time so how much use is it knowing what these galaxies and stars were like such a long time ago? They could be completely different now or even no longer exist.

rxe

6,700 posts

104 months

Saturday 25th December 2021
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Juanco20 said:
As someone who didn't pay enough attention during science lessons at school, please can someone clarify something for me.

This telescope will be taking images of galaxies and stars billions of light years away. So the image we actual see is what it was like billions of years ago. As we know, our own planet has changed dramatically in that time so how much use is it knowing what these galaxies and stars were like such a long time ago? They could be completely different now or even no longer exist.
That’s the whole point of it!

We’re not really that interested in distant galaxies “now” - they’re hundreds of light years away, and even if we could see a sign saying “We’re aliens”, there is absolutely nothing we could do about it. If we could see them “now” it would be merely interesting - they would be a bit like our galaxy (presumably). This aspect IS interesting for objects that are close enough for us to actually reach. For example, if this telescope could spot a habitable planet round Alpha Centauri, then we might be able to discern life and possibly even communicate with it - albeit with an 8 year round trip. However, our current capabilities have pretty much ruled out discoveries like this.

If you can look at a variety of objects at different distances, you can build a chronology of what is happening to the universe. One minute you can be looking at light that took a million years to get here. Then you’re looking at light that took a thousand years. You can go and look for a star like our sun, but billions of years older - oh, it’s become a red dwarf, our theories are correct.

If you can look back far enough, you can start to work out what happened as the universe was created - which gets into really deep st like “why are we here?” and “is the universe actually a charm hanging round an alien cat’s neck”….