Covid19 science

Author
Discussion

Beati Dogu

8,912 posts

140 months

Tuesday 26th May 2020
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We are starting to reopen in May as I said. The holy NHS god has been appeased and further delays are now just political arse covering.

steveT350C

6,728 posts

162 months

anonymous-user

55 months

Thursday 28th May 2020
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They now believe 6.8% have had it. So:

1. We go through another 15 of these episodes

2. They alter the care pathway to get a higher recovery rate and reduce lockdown (including antiviral remedies) to keep the NHS within limits. This would mean fewer episodes or a continual low/medium infection rate

3. A targeted antiviral is found


anonymous-user

55 months

Friday 5th June 2020
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From the BBC:

‘More than 11,000 patients with Covid-19 are taking part, with 1,542 patients given hydroxychloroquine.
Due to mounting controversy about the drug, the UK's drugs regulator last night asked the Oxford researchers to review their data.
The results showed 25.7% of people taking hydroxychloroquine had died after 28 days. This compared with 23.5% who were given standard hospital treatment’

Is this the first admission that the hospital death rate is around 25% ??

geezerbutler

525 posts

143 months

steveT350C

6,728 posts

162 months

Monday 8th June 2020
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“Norway Scientist Claims Report Proves Coronavirus Was Lab-Made” https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidnikel/2020/06/07...

Article links to this study which I have tried to read but is beyond my understanding...

https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambri...


randytusk

1,897 posts

227 months

Monday 8th June 2020
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https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.01...


Study shows that Covid 19 is well adapted to human transmission. Note is is pre print.

Some are suggesting that the Wuhan sea food market was a super-spreader event and that the origins of the virus come from elsewhere - most likely infected human or livestock. Tissue samples from Wuhan livestock did not reveal infection and I recall reading that infection is far less likely in non human hosts.

It does lend weight to the theory that the disease emerged much earlier and elsewhere....

randytusk

1,897 posts

227 months

Monday 8th June 2020
quotequote all
V6 Pushfit said:
From the BBC:

‘More than 11,000 patients with Covid-19 are taking part, with 1,542 patients given hydroxychloroquine.
Due to mounting controversy about the drug, the UK's drugs regulator last night asked the Oxford researchers to review their data.
The results showed 25.7% of people taking hydroxychloroquine had died after 28 days. This compared with 23.5% who were given standard hospital treatment’

Is this the first admission that the hospital death rate is around 25% ??
It may look high, but that rate represents only the percentage of severe hospitalised cases that either needed ICU are or were too frail/weak to even qualify for ICU.

By the time you get to this grave stage, it's only a fraction of the those infected. Thing is, the further you fall down the rabbit hole, the less chance of you getting out. An extensive stay in ICU means that your chances of emerging are slim - even if you do make it out, you won't be quite the same....

Does anyone know the current rolling number of those cared for in ICU and maximal stay for covid?

llewop

3,602 posts

212 months

Monday 8th June 2020
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randytusk said:
Does anyone know the current rolling number of those cared for in ICU and maximal stay for covid?
Friend of a friend is in ICU (or at least still in hospital) 80+ days after falling ill. Improving, but not yet enough to go home.

randytusk

1,897 posts

227 months

Monday 8th June 2020
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llewop said:
Friend of a friend is in ICU (or at least still in hospital) 80+ days after falling ill. Improving, but not yet enough to go home.
Good to hear he/she is on the road to recovery. Whilst the CFR isn't apocalyptically high, the road to recovery and the sheer resources needed to nurse patients back to health is concerning. Whilst the young and healthy are unlikely to perish, the infection does carry consequences...

Steve Campbell

Original Poster:

2,144 posts

169 months

Wednesday 10th June 2020
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Interesting article using models to predict number of averted deaths based on interventions taken.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2405-7_...