A bit close

[Stan the Bat]

An asteroid coming close to Earth this weekend. !

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-650...

[annodomini2]

40-90m isn't that big in asteroid terms.

Will it make mess if it the Earth, of course, but the ones we need to be very aware of are the 1km+ rocks

[Fiestapop11]

annodomini2 said:

40-90m isn't that big in asteroid terms.

Will it make mess if it the Earth, of course, but the ones we need to be very aware of are the 1km+ rocks

It's the other way around, you are more likely to be killed by a small meteorite than a large one that wipes out millions. Statistically wise. As time moves on this bias will increase.

Edited by Fiestapop11 on Monday 27th March 20:41

[Simpo Two]

Fiestapop11 said:

It's the other way around, you are more likely to be killed by a small meteorite than a large one that wipes out millions. Statistically wise.

That would be a good question for QI: 'What's more likely to kill you, a small meteorite or a big meteorite?'

[Fiestapop11]

Another interesting argument would be

"But how large is the historical data set? "

I'm guessing both are incredibly small to non existent.

So how much weight can you give to catastrophe modelling on both scales, both personal and species global?