The Official F1 2019 silly season *contains speculation*

The Official F1 2019 silly season *contains speculation*

Author
Discussion

Vaud

Original Poster:

50,648 posts

156 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
housen said:
mclaren are just lost mechanically

nice pay day but he wants to win
Of course. But if Mercedes and Ferrari seats aren't available - and with the rumours of Newey leaving, where would you go?

McLaren-Renault or risk RedBull-Honda with an uncertain engine and maybe without a Newey?

If he can't secure Mercedes or Ferrari, then a 2 year stint somewhere else?

HTP99

22,608 posts

141 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
Vaud said:
housen said:
mclaren are just lost mechanically

nice pay day but he wants to win
Of course. But if Mercedes and Ferrari seats aren't available - and with the rumours of Newey leaving, where would you go?

McLaren-Renault or risk RedBull-Honda with an uncertain engine and maybe without a Newey?

If he can't secure Mercedes or Ferrari, then a 2 year stint somewhere else?
And not forgetting a certain Max Verstappen, who the Red Bull team are firmly behind.

thegreenhell

15,465 posts

220 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
If Newey is leaving then he should be following him to wherever he goes. A works Renault seat with Newey's input wouldn't be a bad place to be.

If the Newey rumours are false, and it could just be another team trying to destabilise RBR or influence RIC's decision, then he probably needs to stay put for a couple more years until the end of the current rules cycle. By that time not only will the future path of F1's rules be more certain, but Hamilton and Vettel's current/expected contracts will be up for renewal, so he might have a genuine chance of being team leader at Mercedes or Ferrari then, if he carries his current form for another two years. And in the meantime he'd still be in a Newey Red Bull with a works engine in the back.

HustleRussell

24,745 posts

161 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
Vaud said:
housen said:
mclaren are just lost mechanically

nice pay day but he wants to win
Of course. But if Mercedes and Ferrari seats aren't available - and with the rumours of Newey leaving, where would you go?

McLaren-Renault or risk RedBull-Honda with an uncertain engine and maybe without a Newey?

If he can't secure Mercedes or Ferrari, then a 2 year stint somewhere else?
To my mind there is zero chance that the 2019 Mclaren will be better than the Red Bull so that’d be my mind made up.

That is unless Verstappen were to start drastically out-scoring me...

HustleRussell

24,745 posts

161 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
Ricciardo’s stocks are high, but Perez’ were pretty high before he went to McLaren, and so were Grosjean’s before he went to Haas...

He has no choice but to stay put IMO.

LaurasOtherHalf

21,429 posts

197 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
Do Red Bull actually want to keep him? All the chatter about DR to McLaren or Mercedes seems to come from Red Bull themselves so are they prompting the others to sign him up?

Do Red Bull think they have one too many No1s?

Do they want CSjnr back in, destabilising Renault at a key point?

As always in F1, nothing is ever as simple as it first seems!

Dr Z

3,396 posts

172 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
Well, if McLaren really did approach Ricciardo, it can mean Alonso is leaving.

If I were them, I'd put Norris in the car along with Vandoorne.

Put the extra $$$ into the car.

LaurasOtherHalf

21,429 posts

197 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
Dr Z said:
Well, if McLaren really did approach Ricciardo, it can mean Alonso is leaving.

If I were them, I'd put Norris in the car along with Vandoorne.

Put the extra $$$ into the car.
Not necessarily? It could mean Alonso is doing more Indy, a little or nothing at all. Norris could be FA's understudy should races clash but it could equally mean SvD is getting the boot as well.

Vaud

Original Poster:

50,648 posts

156 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
LaurasOtherHalf said:
Do they want CSjnr back in, destabilising Renault at a key point?
That is a very good point... at least back into TR.

MartG

20,700 posts

205 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
Dr Z said:
Well, if McLaren really did approach Ricciardo, it can mean Alonso is leaving.
I'd say it's odds on he'll be in an Andretti run Indycar next year, though possibly badged as a McLaren

Europa1

10,923 posts

189 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
MartG said:
I'd say it's odds on he'll be in an Andretti run Indycar next year, though possibly badged as a McLaren
It's not necessarily mutually exclusive, but will Andretti still be using Honda engines in 2019, whilst Alonso will still be racing a Toyota in the WEC superseason?

FourWheelDrift

88,574 posts

285 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
Are there any 2019 Indycar and WEC race clashes?

suffolk009

5,441 posts

166 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
HustleRussell said:
Vaud said:
housen said:
mclaren are just lost mechanically

nice pay day but he wants to win
Of course. But if Mercedes and Ferrari seats aren't available - and with the rumours of Newey leaving, where would you go?

McLaren-Renault or risk RedBull-Honda with an uncertain engine and maybe without a Newey?

If he can't secure Mercedes or Ferrari, then a 2 year stint somewhere else?
To my mind there is zero chance that the 2019 Mclaren will be better than the Red Bull so that’d be my mind made up.

That is unless Verstappen were to start drastically out-scoring me...
To my mind there is zero chance that the 2019 Red Bull Honda will be better than the 2019 McLaren Renault.

And that's before you even consider Newey leaving.

LaurasOtherHalf

21,429 posts

197 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
suffolk009 said:
HustleRussell said:
Vaud said:
housen said:
mclaren are just lost mechanically

nice pay day but he wants to win
Of course. But if Mercedes and Ferrari seats aren't available - and with the rumours of Newey leaving, where would you go?

McLaren-Renault or risk RedBull-Honda with an uncertain engine and maybe without a Newey?

If he can't secure Mercedes or Ferrari, then a 2 year stint somewhere else?
To my mind there is zero chance that the 2019 Mclaren will be better than the Red Bull so that’d be my mind made up.

That is unless Verstappen were to start drastically out-scoring me...
To my mind there is zero chance that the 2019 Red Bull Honda will be better than the 2019 McLaren Renault.

And that's before you even consider Newey leaving.
Renault offered Red Bull their engines be badged as Aston Martin for their commercial benefit which tells me two things-Renault wanted to keep Red Bull as a customer but Red Bull preferred Honda.

What we haven't got a clue about is why?

HustleRussell

24,745 posts

161 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
suffolk009 said:
To my mind there is zero chance that the 2019 Red Bull Honda will be better than the 2019 McLaren Renault.

And that's before you even consider Newey leaving.
Bold statement IMO, I think it's likely that Honda will continue to lose out slightly to Renault in terms of reliability particularly when Red Bull has shrink wrapped a car around it but the talk these days is that the Renault and the Honda are pretty much equal on power, I bet the Honda is lighter and smaller- and the Red Bull car would appear to be light years ahead of the McLaren this year. McLaren are having a particularly dismal season and have had a rude awakening but a lap pace deficit of around two seconds on average is not going to evaporate over the winter.

P.S. I have only heard the 'Newey leaving' rumour from Vaud so far hehe

HustleRussell

24,745 posts

161 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
LaurasOtherHalf said:
Renault offered Red Bull their engines be badged as Aston Martin for their commercial benefit which tells me two things-Renault wanted to keep Red Bull as a customer but Red Bull preferred Honda.

What we haven't got a clue about is why?
Because if the Red Bull isn't Renault powered then Renault power units are going to completely disappear from the podium.

Dr Z

3,396 posts

172 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
LaurasOtherHalf said:
Renault offered Red Bull their engines be badged as Aston Martin for their commercial benefit which tells me two things-Renault wanted to keep Red Bull as a customer but Red Bull preferred Honda.

What we haven't got a clue about is why?
Honda have matched Renault with their spec 2, and have similar steps in performance planned as Renault for the future. We are getting into the realms of small gains now with these PUs and I expect it will be about who can build the best chassis in the next two years while having a close partnership with an engine manufacturer. RBR have not had the closest relationship with Renault, as I'm sure we are aware.

The Honda engine also presumably comes for free and some extra funds in the coffers for RBR, like McLaren had. The Honda also might offer some packaging benefits over Renault with the split turbo layout and the opportunity to work closely with a PU manufacturer should surely get Newey's juices flowing.

However, I'm not sure I believe Horner when he says that this is a pure engineering decision, especially when they have signed for only 2 years. That doesn't smack of huge confidence in Honda's abilities to me.

HustleRussell

24,745 posts

161 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
Dr Z said:
LaurasOtherHalf said:
Renault offered Red Bull their engines be badged as Aston Martin for their commercial benefit which tells me two things-Renault wanted to keep Red Bull as a customer but Red Bull preferred Honda.

What we haven't got a clue about is why?
Honda have matched Renault with their spec 2, and have similar steps in performance planned as Renault for the future. We are getting into the realms of small gains now with these PUs and I expect it will be about who can build the best chassis in the next two years while having a close partnership with an engine manufacturer. RBR have not had the closest relationship with Renault, as I'm sure we are aware.

The Honda engine also presumably comes for free and some extra funds in the coffers for RBR, like McLaren had. The Honda also might offer some packaging benefits over Renault with the split turbo layout and the opportunity to work closely with a PU manufacturer should surely get Newey's juices flowing.

However, I'm not sure I believe Horner when he says that this is a pure engineering decision, especially when they have signed for only 2 years. That doesn't smack of huge confidence in Honda's abilities to me.
I'm sure you know this anyway but Red Bull's headline sponsor Aston Martin have been posturing from the fringes for years now about building an F1 engine so if they put their money where their mouth is we can expect the Red Bull to be Aston Martin powered from 2021. That said I'm sceptical that AM will ever enter the fray.

cuprabob

14,716 posts

215 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
Why would you sign for more than 2 years when the new engine regs are due to come in 2021 and therefore limit your possible options going forward.

Deesee

8,469 posts

84 months

Thursday 21st June 2018
quotequote all
Red bull with the Honda money could afford Vettel or Hamilton...