Williams F1

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sgtBerbatov

2,597 posts

82 months

Wednesday 17th April 2019
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Petrus1983 said:
In all seriousness do you think they’ve started focusing on their 2020 car knowing this one is so far gone it’s not worth bothering with too much?
They did that last year, now look where they are.

Petrus1983

8,754 posts

163 months

Wednesday 17th April 2019
quotequote all
sgtBerbatov said:
Petrus1983 said:
In all seriousness do you think they’ve started focusing on their 2020 car knowing this one is so far gone it’s not worth bothering with too much?
They did that last year, now look where they are.
Oh! 2021??

cuprabob

14,657 posts

215 months

Wednesday 17th April 2019
quotequote all
Petrus1983 said:
sgtBerbatov said:
Petrus1983 said:
In all seriousness do you think they’ve started focusing on their 2020 car knowing this one is so far gone it’s not worth bothering with too much?
They did that last year, now look where they are.
Oh! 2021??
I don't think the regulations are fixed for 2021 yet.

CoolHands

18,671 posts

196 months

Wednesday 17th April 2019
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They’re banking on the new regs to help them. I think that’s a poor mindset

Vaud

50,572 posts

156 months

Wednesday 17th April 2019
quotequote all
CoolHands said:
They’re banking on the new regs to help them. I think that’s a poor mindset
They are banking on new regs and cost cap to survive.

tigerkoi

2,927 posts

199 months

Wednesday 17th April 2019
quotequote all
Vaud said:
CoolHands said:
They’re banking on the new regs to help them. I think that’s a poor mindset
They are banking on new regs and cost cap to survive.
Vaud, I agree, but I think the team are also inured with a poor mindset too, or at least a position that Claire has openly projected for too long.

The attitude has seemed to be one of, ‘bringing everybody down to their level and then everything will be like Sesame Street again’.

They need to cut their cloth accordingly. There’s no point about them being arrogant about their history, if bending their knee to the Haas model might actually buy them more/better years in the sport.

Vaud

50,572 posts

156 months

Wednesday 17th April 2019
quotequote all
tigerkoi said:
Vaud, I agree, but I think the team are also inured with a poor mindset too, or at least a position that Claire has openly projected for too long.

The attitude has seemed to be one of, ‘bringing everybody down to their level and then everything will be like Sesame Street again’.

They need to cut their cloth accordingly. There’s no point about them being arrogant about their history, if bending their knee to the Haas model might actually buy them more/better years in the sport.
I agree. I think they need to be brave and follow that model, Frank should retire and just be chairman. Get rid of Claire and in exchange for a significant % of the business, lure a TP and lead designer from another team.

TheDeuce

21,662 posts

67 months

Wednesday 17th April 2019
quotequote all
Vaud said:
tigerkoi said:
Vaud, I agree, but I think the team are also inured with a poor mindset too, or at least a position that Claire has openly projected for too long.

The attitude has seemed to be one of, ‘bringing everybody down to their level and then everything will be like Sesame Street again’.

They need to cut their cloth accordingly. There’s no point about them being arrogant about their history, if bending their knee to the Haas model might actually buy them more/better years in the sport.
I agree. I think they need to be brave and follow that model, Frank should retire and just be chairman. Get rid of Claire and in exchange for a significant % of the business, lure a TP and lead designer from another team.
I agree also. Frank/Claire hanging on to their 'traditional family racing business' is going to result in them losing the whole thing at some point. Much better to accept the obvious and sell sooner rather than later. He can still own part of it, just not have control anymore. I can't see anyone coming in with the sort of money needed to carry the team through the next few years and affect a turnaround, unless that person gets the shares required to have overall control of the company.

If they carry on as they are doing, then complete failure will surely occur if they can't raise sponsorship budget for next season, sufficient to build a new car. If they can't build and field a car they lose payments from F1, and whatever sponsorship they had will be pulled. With a wage roll of about 700, the company simply can't survive for very long at all. This season their budget is around £125m I recall. And that's very modest given the size of the organisation, and it has showed. I'd imagine any drop in revenue next year, with the size of the operation they maintain, and it simply wouldn't be enough.

Just a back of a fag packet calculation on the wage roll alone gets me to around £35m (including Lowe) Add in general running costs and the HUGE expense of logistics and travel for each race, and you end up with not much left to build a car. HAAS, by comparison, have a similar budget and less than 100 staff I think. I can't see how the ends can continue to meet if there is any further reduction in revenue, and I can't see how they can hope to match the revenue of this, or last season moving forward.

Sell it, Frank.

A205GTI

750 posts

167 months

Wednesday 17th April 2019
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They are actually floated on the stock market as a way to get cash in.

TheDeuce

21,662 posts

67 months

Wednesday 17th April 2019
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A205GTI said:
They are actually floated on the stock market as a way to get cash in.
Yea... that's going well...

skwdenyer

16,512 posts

241 months

Wednesday 17th April 2019
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TheDeuce said:
A205GTI said:
They are actually floated on the stock market as a way to get cash in.
Yea... that's going well...
It wasn't a way to get cash in to the business, mainly; it was a way for Patrick Head to exchange his holding for cash, in a way that avoided having to sell a large chunk to a single buyer, and in a way that created a somewhat liquid market for shares (allowing share-based compensation etc. to be worthwhile).

Of course Williams could run a rights issue, but that would just dilute the family holding and result in a loss of control. It is hard to see that happening right now. And honestly, if they had more cash but no clue would they not just spend more cash chasing problems?

TheDeuce

21,662 posts

67 months

Wednesday 17th April 2019
quotequote all
skwdenyer said:
TheDeuce said:
A205GTI said:
They are actually floated on the stock market as a way to get cash in.
Yea... that's going well...
It wasn't a way to get cash in to the business, mainly; it was a way for Patrick Head to exchange his holding for cash, in a way that avoided having to sell a large chunk to a single buyer, and in a way that created a somewhat liquid market for shares (allowing share-based compensation etc. to be worthwhile).

Of course Williams could run a rights issue, but that would just dilute the family holding and result in a loss of control. It is hard to see that happening right now. And honestly, if they had more cash but no clue would they not just spend more cash chasing problems?
Yes, money can't fix the problem. Taking the team away form the control of a TP that at any other team would have been fired several times by now would be a start. That and slashing the size of the operation down to a reasonable level. You don't need a several hundred staff to field the slowest car on the grid, other teams have far smaller operations and do far better.

Frank and Claire are sadly proven over a very long period to not be effective. There have been upward moments in recent history but the general trajectory has been downwards. And the fact is, they now have a factory and staff count that you would expect to see from a top team, but with no equal result. They have essentially ended up with a machine that eats a massive amount of money each season and then spits out a comedy F1 car. To say it's 'poor value for money' would be a drastic understatement.

Blib

44,165 posts

198 months

Wednesday 17th April 2019
quotequote all
I know nothing about this. But, that's never stopped me in the past.

I wonder who in their right mind would put their company name, logo and reputation in the hands of Williams in the short to mid term?

How are they going to attract big buck sponsorship?

TheDeuce

21,662 posts

67 months

Thursday 18th April 2019
quotequote all
Blib said:
I know nothing about this. But, that's never stopped me in the past.

I wonder who in their right mind would put their company name, logo and reputation in the hands of Williams in the short to mid term?

How are they going to attract big buck sponsorship?
That's the issue this thread keeps returning to. It's obviously not working as it is and sponsors only get harder to find if the car is a snail. The fact they replaced last years snail car with a new even slower snail car can't possibly be a good thing when it comes to hunting for millions of pounds of sponsorship.

This season, they played a pretty smart card by taking on Kubica, who bought money via his own sponsorship and also an interesting and positive newsworthy story, so at least there were positive headlines even though the car is useless. Next year...? Who knows what can be blagged - all we know for sure is that it can only become harder to scrape sponsorship so long as they keep running last in each race.

They will find a headline sponsor for 2020 but I'm willing to bet the deal will be less than they would hope for, or need. Whoever sponsors them won't be a big name brand with big name money. The bottom line is, that you have to bankroll and show performance to attract big sponsors - you can't expect sponsors to pay in advance of performance. At very least you need to be able to show some upwards momentum. Fat chance of that though, they seem to have already given up on this years car - so there isn't really very much intent left to attract a sponsor moving forwards.

Edited by TheDeuce on Thursday 18th April 00:21

skwdenyer

16,512 posts

241 months

Thursday 18th April 2019
quotequote all
TheDeuce said:
Blib said:
I know nothing about this. But, that's never stopped me in the past.

I wonder who in their right mind would put their company name, logo and reputation in the hands of Williams in the short to mid term?

How are they going to attract big buck sponsorship?
That's the issue this thread keeps returning to. It's obviously not working as it is and sponsors only get harder to find if the car is a snail. The fact they replaced last years snail car with a new even slower snail car can't possibly be a good thing when it comes to hunting for millions of pounds of sponsorship.

This season, they played a pretty smart card by taking on Kubica, who bought money via his own sponsorship and also an interesting and positive newsworthy story, so at least there were positive headlines even though the car is useless. Next year...? Who knows what can be blagged - all we know for sure is that it can only become harder to scrape sponsorship so long as they keep running last in each race.

They will find a headline sponsor for 2020 but I'm willing to bet the deal will be less than they would hope for, or need. Whoever sponsors them won't be a big name brand with big name money.
Hence why Lowe went; hence why Head is there. Even if Lowe was not at fault, being seen to do something is important.

When selling sponsorship, all one really has to sell is hope. Personnel changes can provide some of that to those predisposed to feel it.

TheDeuce

21,662 posts

67 months

Thursday 18th April 2019
quotequote all
skwdenyer said:
TheDeuce said:
Blib said:
I know nothing about this. But, that's never stopped me in the past.

I wonder who in their right mind would put their company name, logo and reputation in the hands of Williams in the short to mid term?

How are they going to attract big buck sponsorship?
That's the issue this thread keeps returning to. It's obviously not working as it is and sponsors only get harder to find if the car is a snail. The fact they replaced last years snail car with a new even slower snail car can't possibly be a good thing when it comes to hunting for millions of pounds of sponsorship.

This season, they played a pretty smart card by taking on Kubica, who bought money via his own sponsorship and also an interesting and positive newsworthy story, so at least there were positive headlines even though the car is useless. Next year...? Who knows what can be blagged - all we know for sure is that it can only become harder to scrape sponsorship so long as they keep running last in each race.

They will find a headline sponsor for 2020 but I'm willing to bet the deal will be less than they would hope for, or need. Whoever sponsors them won't be a big name brand with big name money.
Hence why Lowe went; hence why Head is there. Even if Lowe was not at fault, being seen to do something is important.

When selling sponsorship, all one really has to sell is hope. Personnel changes can provide some of that to those predisposed to feel it.
They had hope this season... Most of us hoped that the previous season was bad enough to affect major change.. But no, they have managed to cement the concerns, and amazingly produce an even less competitive car. From both drivers comments it appears to also be a car they're not really working on, it just is...what it is.

Right now, they have no hope to sell. All they have is a downward trajectory reinforced by a second season at the absolute back of the pack. I think last year they did manage to attract some money because it was feasible that they had a plan to turn their fate around. But they didn't, and they can't claim the same belief they can turn it around next season, when under the same conditions they failed last season and this season. It's clearly just not working.

Mr Tidy

22,393 posts

128 months

Thursday 18th April 2019
quotequote all
A sad demise, but I can't see them lasting more than a year - they're just going backwards.

Despite having arguably the best engine on the grid! How inept do you need to be to get to that situation?

tigerkoi

2,927 posts

199 months

TheDeuce

21,662 posts

67 months

Thursday 18th April 2019
quotequote all
tigerkoi said:
Interesting if accurate.. but either way it's exactly the next big thing I expect to see happen at Williams.

I'm sure quite a few people would be interested in buying in, on the proviso they take control.

rdjohn

6,186 posts

196 months

Thursday 18th April 2019
quotequote all
A third-hand report of a second-hand observation.

If it was a possibility, I think Stroll would have done it. The obstacles are probably all locked inside Frank’s head. Patrick Head could probably have turned the team around 20-years ago. But I doubt that he can now.