RE: Hybrids are the 'next diesel': Tell Me I'm Wrong

RE: Hybrids are the 'next diesel': Tell Me I'm Wrong

Author
Discussion

ging84

8,899 posts

146 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
Yipper said:
Electric will not be the future.

There is not enough lithium, new or recyclable, in the land, sea or space to electrify the world's billion vehicles for the next century. Like diesel, electric will have a couple of hot decades and then fade away.

Remember where you read it first.
complete myth
it's 25th most abundant element on earth
worlds existing mining reserves might struggle to meet demand, but that is because no one has ever needed to look that hard for it in the past
230 billion tons are estimated to be in the seas, enough to meet the battery demands of trillions of electric vehicles.

liner33

10,691 posts

202 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
bobtail4x4 said:
it must be your driving style or you had the hamdbrake on. I drove to see friends yesterday from rural Yorks to Very rural Lincs, 130 mile round trip ok I kept to the speed limits but the 2.0 A3 was showing 68mpg when we got home.
No i just based mine on fill to fill results rather than the ambitious display

robemcdonald

8,800 posts

196 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
ging84 said:
Yipper said:
Electric will not be the future.

There is not enough lithium, new or recyclable, in the land, sea or space to electrify the world's billion vehicles for the next century. Like diesel, electric will have a couple of hot decades and then fade away.

Remember where you read it first.
complete myth
it's 25th most abundant element on earth
worlds existing mining reserves might struggle to meet demand, but that is because no one has ever needed to look that hard for it in the past
230 billion tons are estimated to be in the seas, enough to meet the battery demands of trillions of electric vehicles.
Watch it. Coming on here with your facts.

RobDickinson

31,343 posts

254 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
robemcdonald said:
Evanivitch said:
Krikkit said:
stuckmojo said:
The Panamera might not be the best example, but the transition to electric is definitely being played out by petrol/electric hybrids. Forget Hydrogen, it's dead in the water (pun intended) unless they can crack the molecule of H2O without spending massive amounts of energy. Good luck with that.
If we crack fusion in the next few decades the battery-powered car will be gone, and Hydrogen will be in. Almost unlimited electricity would be a complete revolution in terms of general usage.
If we crack Fusion, and it's a big if, then Hydrogen will live alongside EV because EV will still be more convenient for many (like myself with a driveway) and have less of an infrastructure problem. And don't pretend that Fusion energy will be cheap, even if it's supposedly abundant.

Hydrogen will be a good option for haulage, long distance drivers and range extenders. But it's not the answer to all the questions.
Wide spread energy production from fusion is probably 50 years away. From memory there is a trial reactor being built in Europe, but even that won't be operational for a couple of decades.

Edited for flipping iPad keyboard.

Edited by robemcdonald on Sunday 19th March 15:24
ITER won't start full testing until 2027 and some point later, if it works. They will build a trial commercial version.

Imo they will get beaten to it by others but it's a huge project.

Even given fusion batteries are still more efficient than hydrogen and far easier and safer

hairyben

8,516 posts

183 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
Yipper said:
Electric will not be the future.

There is not enough lithium, new or recyclable, in the land, sea or space to electrify the world's billion vehicles for the next century. Like diesel, electric will have a couple of hot decades and then fade away.

Remember where you read it first.
Apart from anything else, electricity is not dependant on lithium as the sole power reserve, lithiums just the current best based on various market factors.

Evanivitch

20,094 posts

122 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
Yipper said:
Electric will not be the future.

There is not enough lithium, new or recyclable, in the land, sea or space to electrify the world's billion vehicles for the next century. Like diesel, electric will have a couple of hot decades and then fade away.

Remember where you read it first.
I love it when people look at current reserves and demand and get the wrong answer.

Lithium is in demand and as the price rises so does the investment in exploration and extraction. In Chile alone there's a potential reserve greater than the current known reserves.

Oil is a perfect example of this, especially when you consider the way increase in price led to the shale oil boom.

Leggy

1,019 posts

222 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
I'm a recent petrol hybrid convert due to better BIK. But also I genuinely wanted a car for my often shortish commutes where I could go emission free in town.
I was really p1ssed off when I had to switch to my first diesel company car several years ago because we all knew how much crap came out of the tail pipe.
It's not a perfect solution but the way you can harvest braking and lift off coasting energy is very clever. And the technology will get better.
My average mpg hasn't changed since swapping from a 2.0 TDI.

JonnyVTEC

3,005 posts

175 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
steve1386 said:
I'm sorry, but a Prius will never achieve the same real word economy as a diesel, nor will any hybrid. If the battery is fully charged, then they are only useful in short, stop-start city traffic.

Take one on a motorway for a long journey and you'll be lucky to see 40mpg.

On top of that you have to tell someone you drive a Prius!
2001 Honda Insight owner checking in.

suffolk009

5,406 posts

165 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
I've no problem with the idea of having hybrid as a means of reducing fossil fuel consumption. All the kinetic energy in slowing an IC car is simply wasted. That doesn't make sense.

I think there is a seperate problem that sees hybrids and electric cars as an environmental solution. I think it was Gordon Murray who wrote an essay about the whole life-cycle polution of a Prius being greater than an all petrol Fiat Panda. IIRC it was by a considerable margin.

As mentioned a few posts above there is (apparently) as much polution produced by the 15 biggest ships as all the cars in the world. The real environmental problem in the world is that we all buy far too much stuff. Cars are no different, and the new ones with the new tech inside are marketed to the rich, early adopters, as something to clear their conscience. Of course, it's just marketing smoke and mirrors. I'd be interested to know the lifecycle polution of cars in Cuba, big well built, American gas guzzlers that had to be kept running - there was no alternative.

I have a friend who is one of those early adopter, one-percenters - she drives a Tesla Model S. I call it her Coal Powered car. She does not find it amusing.

robemcdonald

8,800 posts

196 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
suffolk009 said:
I've no problem with the idea of having hybrid as a means of reducing fossil fuel consumption. All the kinetic energy in slowing an IC car is simply wasted. That doesn't make sense.

I think there is a seperate problem that sees hybrids and electric cars as an environmental solution. I think it was Gordon Murray who wrote an essay about the whole life-cycle polution of a Prius being greater than an all petrol Fiat Panda. IIRC it was by a considerable margin.

As mentioned a few posts above there is (apparently) as much polution produced by the 15 biggest ships as all the cars in the world. The real environmental problem in the world is that we all buy far too much stuff. Cars are no different, and the new ones with the new tech inside are marketed to the rich, early adopters, as something to clear their conscience. Of course, it's just marketing smoke and mirrors. I'd be interested to know the lifecycle polution of cars in Cuba, big well built, American gas guzzlers that had to be kept running - there was no alternative.

I have a friend who is one of those early adopter, one-percenters - she drives a Tesla Model S. I call it her Coal Powered car. She does not find it amusing.
That's probably because only around 22% of UK power is generated from coal, still let's not let facts get in the way of a nice joke eh?

Willy Nilly

12,511 posts

167 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
And172940 said:
Surely the whole point of hybrids is to harvest the kinetic energy of the vehicle when slowing down and then reuse it, rather than turning it into heat with the brakes. Indisputable common sense.
Bingo!

A hybrid would suit the journey type I do well, it's just they are a bit salty still and my Jazz is showing 53mpg for this tank full.

I'd quite like a Prius and am lead to believe that they are staggeringly reliable, even for a Toyota.

The whole point of them was to reduce local emissions in built up areas.

thegreenhell

15,361 posts

219 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
thelawnet1 said:
rxe said:
Every Uber-ist in London drives a Prius for one reason - they aren't expensive, they are reliable, economical, and they also hit the emissions targets.
Not only London, much of the world.

The Prius is clearly genuinely more environmentally tax friendly than other vehicles for the given job (driving around cities picking people up and dropping them off), otherwise it wouldn't be so popular with people who count every penny of the bottom line.

This Porsche is not environmentally friendly at all, and does not deserve any tax incentives.

The problem is with the official drive cycle, which was defined in 1997 and is the responsibility of the UN (not even the EU).
Well clearly the reason for the Prius' popularity as a minicab has nothing at all to do with it being environmentally friendly. As you you state, it's all to do with their owners' penny-pinching. If a financial loophole suddenly opened up that meant that a carburated V8 was the cheapest car to run that's what you'd see every taxi driver using.

Yipper

5,964 posts

90 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
ging84 said:
Yipper said:
Electric will not be the future.

There is not enough lithium, new or recyclable, in the land, sea or space to electrify the world's billion vehicles for the next century. Like diesel, electric will have a couple of hot decades and then fade away.

Remember where you read it first.
complete myth
it's 25th most abundant element on earth
worlds existing mining reserves might struggle to meet demand, but that is because no one has ever needed to look that hard for it in the past
230 billion tons are estimated to be in the seas, enough to meet the battery demands of trillions of electric vehicles.
Lol. If all vehicle companies copy Tesla, the world will run out of lithium in under 20 years. Ocean lithium is not high enough quality for commercial vehicle batteries.

https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/Is-Th...

mybrainhurts

90,809 posts

255 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
I do wish one little item in the article would go away and die in a corner.

VW SCANDAL?

It was nothing of the sort, it was just a sensible and clever move to avoid pointless regulations. Nothing to do with mpg...everybody knows those figures are always over optimistic.

liner33

10,691 posts

202 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
thegreenhell said:
Well clearly the reason for the Prius' popularity as a minicab has nothing at all to do with it being environmentally friendly. As you you state, it's all to do with their owners' penny-pinching.
Exactly the reason for the rise in diesel cars, penny pinching

anonymous-user

54 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
loose cannon said:
falling for the latest bullst fashionable celebrity driven drivel
You think hybrids are this? wt actual f?

anonymous-user

54 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
liner33 said:
Exactly the reason for the rise in diesel cars, penny pinching
I'd rather have that, than the BS eco argument!

mfp4073

1,946 posts

174 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
Why the bloody hell bother?

Evanivitch

20,094 posts

122 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
Yipper said:
Lol. If all vehicle companies copy Tesla, the world will run out of lithium in under 20 years. Ocean lithium is not high enough quality for commercial vehicle batteries.

https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/Is-Th...
Another example of poor reporting that doesn't accept that the investment in lithium reserves is only just ramping up and that extraction is still a developing process. Take shale oil as a perfect example of opening new resources through investment. It made the US a net exporter of oil almost overnight.

RobDickinson

31,343 posts

254 months

Sunday 19th March 2017
quotequote all
mybrainhurts said:
I do wish one little item in the article would go away and die in a corner.

VW SCANDAL?

It was nothing of the sort, it was just a sensible and clever move to avoid pointless regulations. Nothing to do with mpg...everybody knows those figures are always over optimistic.
Breaking the law for financial gain and likely causing deaths is sensible now?