Will Coronavirus hit used car prices? (Vol 2)

Will Coronavirus hit used car prices? (Vol 2)

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Toyoda

1,557 posts

101 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
e-honda said:
You forgot about the vat qualifying Vauxhall Astra elite navs
Holding strong those 1.6 Elite Navs. Still fetching £13K to £14k for a 3.5 year old model with 20k on the clock. I have to say I'm one of those people referred to above who HAS to buy a car and may well have to take a punt on one of these very soon. Where else can you get 200bhp in manual at 3 years old for that sort of money in todays climate?!

av185

18,524 posts

128 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
e-honda said:
You forgot about the vat qualifying Vauxhall Astra elite navs
Ah yes the humble Astra that I correctly predicted would rise in value by over 50% and actually did.

Even though you incorrectly claimed it didn't.
rolleyes

A reminder.


ghost83

5,485 posts

191 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
Toyoda said:
Holding strong those 1.6 Elite Navs. Still fetching £13K to £14k for a 3.5 year old model with 20k on the clock. I have to say I'm one of those people referred to above who HAS to buy a car and may well have to take a punt on one of these very soon. Where else can you get 200bhp in manual at 3 years old for that sort of money in todays climate?!
I’m lucky that I don’t need to buy a car and when I do it will be on a want basis rather than need! My missus wants a new car but the current car she’s got is absolutely fine

So we are holding station, for now just pumping money into paying the mortgage off and got a 15k bill to pay for florida for next year, already got a 20k deposit for a car though so just holding onto that

Inky81

282 posts

97 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
This place has turned into the home of the humble brag.

av185

18,524 posts

128 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
Toyoda said:
Holding strong those 1.6 Elite Navs. Still fetching £13K to £14k for a 3.5 year old model with 20k on the clock. I have to say I'm one of those people referred to above who HAS to buy a car and may well have to take a punt on one of these very soon. Where else can you get 200bhp in manual at 3 years old for that sort of money in todays climate?!
Yes said this before they are excellent value compared to e.g. the Focus and have held up very well residually.

Interesting to note that CAP clean on the model you mention is still rising in line with others primarily due to restricted used supplies:

18 68 with 18k miles trade values

Jan 21 £9500
Jan 22 £12250
Feb 22 £12400
March 22 £12500
April 22 £12550
May 22 £12600



e-honda

8,929 posts

147 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
av185 said:
e-honda said:
You forgot about the vat qualifying Vauxhall Astra elite navs
Ah yes the humble Astra that I correctly predicted would rise in value by over 50% and actually did.

Even though you incorrectly claimed it didn't.
rolleyes

A reminder.

You actually claimed that they had the same car would have gone up over 50% despite being a year older, when all the various articles you pointed to were comparing like with like. Eg a 2019 in 2021 and a 2020 in 2022 not at all what you were talking about.
Your figures were only up 50% on the same cars because you claimed the year before were for buying and selling at about 20% less than book, when I asked if they were Vat qualifying you as usual ignored me.

av185

18,524 posts

128 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
You are overthinking it again.

MG CHRIS

9,087 posts

168 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
Demand has slumped for us way down on sales and enquires from this time last year only reason why car prices are remaining high is supply and dealers not willing too drop prices that won't last long.
When UK officially enters a recession which is looking increasingly likely and we in the grips of winter with yet another increase in energy cost and who knows where petrol and diesel cost will reach it's going to get very messy indeed.

AlexNJ89

2,485 posts

80 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
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It's gotten to the stage now where we may as well just submit our predictions on a postcard, then lock this thread until 2023 and we'll re-convene to see who was right.

av185

18,524 posts

128 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
eliot said:
av185 said:

Average prices still being dragged down by 4x4 and larger SUV falling prices particularly on gas guzzlers and overall demand reducing due to warmer weather.
My 2012 TDV8 Full Fat was around 18k at the peak of the madness having bought it for 12k the same year - since then it's tanked in the last 6 months:
30/12/2021 - 15,265
31/03/2022 - 14,225
11/05/2022 - 10,635

Interesting figures this typifes their market price falls which is dragging down other sector averages too but pre euro 6 are showing the biggest drops in this sector.

At least it hasn't cost you that much in real ££ depreciation.

anonymous-user

55 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
I ordered a new car last month and was given an estimated delivery date for the beginning of October. I received an email from the dealer yesterday telling me my car is due to arrive in the UK at the end of June.

No idea what has happened for it to potentially arrive three months earlier than predicted.


ghost83

5,485 posts

191 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
MG CHRIS said:
Demand has slumped for us way down on sales and enquires from this time last year only reason why car prices are remaining high is supply and dealers not willing too drop prices that won't last long.
When UK officially enters a recession which is looking increasingly likely and we in the grips of winter with yet another increase in energy cost and who knows where petrol and diesel cost will reach it's going to get very messy indeed.
Good to know first hand dealer knowledge

I’ve said the same come winter when energy goes up again it’s going to start to hit hard then when energy goes up again in January even harder!
I suspect fleet and motability sales will be the main buyers through q4 2022 and q1 2023 as supply gets chance to pick itself back up, something will defiantly have to give! Manufacturers will need to sell cars to keep their own money flowing otherwise they will have to let their workforces go, so it will be either lowering the price of cars which I doubt or attractive discounts and finance coupled with a scrap page scheme to get people buying again

ghost83

5,485 posts

191 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
Inky81 said:
This place has turned into the home of the humble brag.
No brag just being extremely sensible
Priorities n all that

MG CHRIS

9,087 posts

168 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
ghost83 said:
MG CHRIS said:
Demand has slumped for us way down on sales and enquires from this time last year only reason why car prices are remaining high is supply and dealers not willing too drop prices that won't last long.
When UK officially enters a recession which is looking increasingly likely and we in the grips of winter with yet another increase in energy cost and who knows where petrol and diesel cost will reach it's going to get very messy indeed.
Good to know first hand dealer knowledge

I’ve said the same come winter when energy goes up again it’s going to start to hit hard then when energy goes up again in January even harder!
I suspect fleet and motability sales will be the main buyers through q4 2022 and q1 2023 as supply gets chance to pick itself back up, something will defiantly have to give! Manufacturers will need to sell cars to keep their own money flowing otherwise they will have to let their workforces go, so it will be either lowering the price of cars which I doubt or attractive discounts and finance coupled with a scrap page scheme to get people buying again
ATM fiesta and focus models are hard to get same with commercial however puma Kuga and EcoSport are coming through nicely now. But we just aren't getting the orders through now so the slump will be felt into 2023. Used car stock is down and what we normal have mainly down to waiting for part ex vehicles to come through as they waiting for new orders. Some models and sectors will remain high others will slump big time. Only time will tell.

ghost83

5,485 posts

191 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
MG CHRIS said:
ATM fiesta and focus models are hard to get same with commercial however puma Kuga and EcoSport are coming through nicely now. But we just aren't getting the orders through now so the slump will be felt into 2023. Used car stock is down and what we normal have mainly down to waiting for part ex vehicles to come through as they waiting for new orders. Some models and sectors will remain high others will slump big time. Only time will tell.
Like anything it will be the lower and middle sectors hit the hardest which is the average person buying the average car (upto 40k)

Nefos

252 posts

85 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
Just to add for the up-beat doom and gloom in this thread, inflation is at 9% for this month, and we expect another jump in October when the new energy caps will be introduced. While I understand how the used car supply is not perfect (I work in the electronics industry, I am painfully aware of the wavey chip supply) I just cannot see how for the "normal" (the around £20k and below) used car market can go up, or even hold these inflated prices.
For the past couple of months the prices held as mentioned here many times, but the general economy looks a bit bleak, with the fact that many rents has a CPI clause in them, which means the rent will go up with CPI for many people.
I wish the gravy train keeps on chugging, and it might for some people, but for the majority it seems tough times are ahead. I hope this assessment by me is wrong.

cedrichn

812 posts

52 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
mrdanbartlett said:
NelsonM3 said:
Same. I pay £166 a month for a brand new £40k car and 15p a mile. Assuming I owned my own car and it did around 40mpg. I'd be paying around 18p a mile.

I'm sure there will be a crossover point in which our scheme catches up (and I have the funds from my old car waiting), but as the saying goes, make hay while the sun shines.
Sorry to drag off topic but how does that work? I get a travel allowance at work but just pocked it, my friend got a Telsa he said for £7 a month but had to give up his allowance (2-3k PA), mine is quite a bit higher so I wouldn't want to give that up. But I'd gladly pay £166 for a family car.
I think this is not too badly explained here:
https://www.rac.co.uk/business/news-advice/how-doe...
And examples here : https://www.autocar.co.uk/car-news/advice-company-...

To sum up, you pay tax on the company car, based on the CO2 emission + price of the car new + your tax band.
EV are, at the moment, really advantaged as they produced no CO2 when being driven. So, even if you have a high tax band and EV have high price when new, you pay low tax. Any "german diesel" is at the opposite of the scale with huge tax.

So with a company car : £7 * 12 for the Tesla = £84 per year
With PA : £3k - £300 per month for an average PCP/lease = 3 000 - 3 600 = £600 per year

So either you spend £84 per year for a "premium EV" which cost nothing to run, either you spend £600 per year for an average-to-low car on which you spend a lot of money on fuel to run. (if the PA is before tax, then it is even worse!)

Pommy

14,268 posts

217 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
Toyoda said:
e-honda said:
You forgot about the vat qualifying Vauxhall Astra elite navs

Holding strong those 1.6 Elite Navs. Still fetching 13K to 14k for a 3.5 year old model with 20k on the clock. I have to say I'm one of those people referred to above who HAS to buy a car and may well have to take a punt on one of these very soon. Where else can you get 200bhp in manual at 3 years old for that sort of money in todays climate?!
I have one (well it's a Holden Astra RSV here in Oz but same thing).

Had its since 1600 miles in 2018 and now at 53000 miles.

The only thing that has gone wrong is it chucked a sensor code but reset it it and it went away. Nothing was actually wrong.

Bit scrappy if you boot it from the line and 1st to 2nd is a but crunchy sometimes but get going and it goes ok alright. In fact it's nicely punchy from 50-100mph in 3rd to 4th.

Kit wise it's got everything you need, comfy, nothing squeeks. Does 38mpg (my average since I had it) and I do a fair bit of short and city trips.

Only costs me $220 a year to service or about £140 and took me 25,000 to go through a set of tyres. Still on original brakes.

Headlights are a bit crap so do a bulb change but apart from that it's got a lot of kit, it goes ok and it's reliable and is good value for money.

carparkno1

1,432 posts

159 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
MG CHRIS said:
Demand has slumped for us way down on sales and enquires from this time last year only reason why car prices are remaining high is supply and dealers not willing too drop prices that won't last long.
When UK officially enters a recession which is looking increasingly likely and we in the grips of winter with yet another increase in energy cost and who knows where petrol and diesel cost will reach it's going to get very messy indeed.
Demand slump there is interesting

carparkno1

1,432 posts

159 months

Wednesday 18th May 2022
quotequote all
Joey Deacon said:
I ordered a new car last month and was given an estimated delivery date for the beginning of October. I received an email from the dealer yesterday telling me my car is due to arrive in the UK at the end of June.

No idea what has happened for it to potentially arrive three months earlier than predicted.

And a sped up delivery also interesting.

Wonder what these twin things could do to use cars