Will Coronavirus hit used car prices? (Vol 2)

Will Coronavirus hit used car prices? (Vol 2)

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Discussion

Milemuncher

514 posts

116 months

Friday 27th May 2022
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Yes, sometimes possible to buy from stock - was offered a showroom Boxster in 2007 for immediate delivery - even had a discount attached.

Edited by Milemuncher on Friday 27th May 14:31

av185

18,514 posts

128 months

Friday 27th May 2022
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Venisonpie said:
I bought a brand new Cayman 981 3 days before Christmas in 2013, 9 mths after they were launched.

Was guards red stock car and I managed a discount of just under 11% on list.

Try that in the next 3 years for a similar car. No chance.
I bought a mint 1 owner 3 month old black 62 plate 911 Turbo S 300 miles high spec c £150k new for £92k in 2013 direct from Porsche Finance.

Huge initial depreciation relatively for the cars age and low mileage.

But as you say those days are long gone. Whilst 997 TTs were heavy depreciators the 991 improved the 991.2 was better and the 992 Turbo S is still currently on decent premiums over list ££.

Tomanybikes

987 posts

27 months

Friday 27th May 2022
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Lexington59 said:
Sounds like people that need the money imo.

Earthdweller

13,595 posts

127 months

Friday 27th May 2022
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Tomanybikes said:
Lexington59 said:
Sounds like people that need the money imo.
I’m not quite sure what to make of that report, to me it reads that 10k agreements are being paid off every month … early .. and the cars are being kept by the people who paid them off

I don’t read the article as 10k extra cars entering the used market every month or being traded in for new ones

Now I could be interpreting it wrongly .. but if 10k are stepping off the pcp wheel every month and deciding to keep their cars, that is significant

Perhaps there is a significant uplift in private sales of cars and numbers offered for sale ? New and used dealer sales are down .. so it seems these cars aren’t going back into the trade .. so where are they going ?

Most likely, people have changed working habits, using their cars less, having savings and deciding to settle the finance and stick with their current car having effectively been priced out of the market

Venisonpie

3,283 posts

83 months

Friday 27th May 2022
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Tomanybikes said:
Lexington59 said:
Sounds like people that need the money imo.
Or moving to more competitive finance options?

PCP has worked really well recently due to rising prices meaning it's virtually risk free motoring.

The finance company put a bottom level on the depreciation exposure and the customer can take advantage of any market over performance.

Ahonen

5,017 posts

280 months

Friday 27th May 2022
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av185 said:
Yep 981 GT4s with 25k miles at 7 years old still selling over list price.
In fairness they only just dropped below list price in 2020. Right now they're pretty much where they were in September/October last year.

Earthdweller

13,595 posts

127 months

Friday 27th May 2022
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Venisonpie said:
Or moving to more competitive finance options?

PCP has worked really well recently due to rising prices meaning it's virtually risk free motoring.

The finance company put a bottom level on the depreciation exposure and the customer can take advantage of any market over performance.
You would only do that if you were planning on keeping the car beyond the PCP term though surely ?

Venisonpie

3,283 posts

83 months

Friday 27th May 2022
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Earthdweller said:
Venisonpie said:
Or moving to more competitive finance options?

PCP has worked really well recently due to rising prices meaning it's virtually risk free motoring.

The finance company put a bottom level on the depreciation exposure and the customer can take advantage of any market over performance.
You would only do that if you were planning on keeping the car beyond the PCP term though surely ?
Maybe but not necessarily. If there was a manufacturer incentive to take the finance which you took advantage of despite an uncompetitive interest rate you.might choose to move to a cheaper finance product once the incentive is secured.

Old trick.

e-honda

8,917 posts

147 months

Friday 27th May 2022
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Earthdweller said:
I’m not quite sure what to make of that report, to me it reads that 10k agreements are being paid off every month … early .. and the cars are being kept by the people who paid them off

I don’t read the article as 10k extra cars entering the used market every month or being traded in for new ones

Now I could be interpreting it wrongly .. but if 10k are stepping off the pcp wheel every month and deciding to keep their cars, that is significant

Perhaps there is a significant uplift in private sales of cars and numbers offered for sale ? New and used dealer sales are down .. so it seems these cars aren’t going back into the trade .. so where are they going ?

Most likely, people have changed working habits, using their cars less, having savings and deciding to settle the finance and stick with their current car having effectively been priced out of the market
Finance company won't know.
Chance are most are paying off the finance with a payment from a dealer / car buyer but who knows if that is to pocket the equity because they don't need the car or because they are upgrading / downgrading early.

I can't imagine many will simply be settling the finance early to keep it, the amount of extra equity would be irrelevant to those people because they would need to find the exact same amount of money anyway.

Earthdweller

13,595 posts

127 months

Friday 27th May 2022
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e-honda said:
Earthdweller said:
I’m not quite sure what to make of that report, to me it reads that 10k agreements are being paid off every month … early .. and the cars are being kept by the people who paid them off

I don’t read the article as 10k extra cars entering the used market every month or being traded in for new ones

Now I could be interpreting it wrongly .. but if 10k are stepping off the pcp wheel every month and deciding to keep their cars, that is significant

Perhaps there is a significant uplift in private sales of cars and numbers offered for sale ? New and used dealer sales are down .. so it seems these cars aren’t going back into the trade .. so where are they going ?

Most likely, people have changed working habits, using their cars less, having savings and deciding to settle the finance and stick with their current car having effectively been priced out of the market
Finance company won't know.
Chance are most are paying off the finance with a payment from a dealer / car buyer but who knows if that is to pocket the equity because they don't need the car or because they are upgrading / downgrading early.

I can't imagine many will simply be settling the finance early to keep it, the amount of extra equity would be irrelevant to those people because they would need to find the exact same amount of money anyway.
Well …

The article says lots more people are settling off their finance ..

But new car sales are down, used car sales are down so if they are selling the cars where are they going ?

So are they settling to take out a new agreement on another car or just getting off the wheel ?

That’s why I said the article doesn’t make sense and gives no conclusions as to why thousands more people are settling finance

South tdf

1,530 posts

196 months

Friday 27th May 2022
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Earthdweller said:
Interesting,

So he’s saying 18 months plus wait now but likely to reduce to less than 12 months or even quicker than that for non GTS models

How does that compare to pre Covid delivery times ?

Re the 911 and two year wait .. likewise, haven’t they always had long lead times ?

The last two BMW’s I factory ordered ( pre Covid ) were 6 months and 10 months respectively)
Ordered a Macan GTS early 2020, we got a cancelled order car in September 2020 but kept the original order in place. The spec then changed so we moved to themnew model which has now arrived at the centre. We have agreed a px price of more than we paid in 2020.

Last year I ordered a company Taycan 4S, this just keeps getting delayed but I am told this could be due to not ordering many options, I hear you need to put £20k+ to get priority. Also have a decent spec Defender 110 arriving at the dealer any day now that we are going to sell as the Macan is such a good car.

Earthdweller

13,595 posts

127 months

Friday 27th May 2022
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South tdf said:
Ordered a Macan GTS early 2020, we got a cancelled order car in September 2020 but kept the original order in place. The spec then changed so we moved to themnew model which has now arrived at the centre. We have agreed a px price of more than we paid in 2020.

Last year I ordered a company Taycan 4S, this just keeps getting delayed but I am told this could be due to not ordering many options, I hear you need to put 20k+ to get priority. Also have a decent spec Defender 110 arriving at the dealer any day now that we are going to sell as the Macan is such a good car.
Did I read that land rover were doing sales contracts that forbade selling within a time frame, potentially with a clause about only selling back to Land Rover ?

Was there a thread here about it ?

South tdf

1,530 posts

196 months

Friday 27th May 2022
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Earthdweller said:
Did I read that land rover were doing sales contracts that forbade selling within a time frame, potentially with a clause about only selling back to Land Rover ?

Was there a thread here about it ?
The dealer asked us to sign a document saying we would not resell the car but to date I have not signed or returned it. I know I will probably be blacklisted from future Land Rovers but my other half loves the Macan over her previous Evoque and being up £10k makes it worthwhile.

Venisonpie

3,283 posts

83 months

Friday 27th May 2022
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South tdf said:
The dealer asked us to sign a document saying we would not resell the car but to date I have not signed or returned it. I know I will probably be blacklisted from future Land Rovers but my other half loves the Macan over her previous Evoque and being up 10k makes it worthwhile.
Given your pipeline I don't think you need be concerned.

Earthdweller

13,595 posts

127 months

Friday 27th May 2022
quotequote all
South tdf said:
Earthdweller said:
Did I read that land rover were doing sales contracts that forbade selling within a time frame, potentially with a clause about only selling back to Land Rover ?

Was there a thread here about it ?
The dealer asked us to sign a document saying we would not resell the car but to date I have not signed or returned it. I know I will probably be blacklisted from future Land Rovers but my other half loves the Macan over her previous Evoque and being up 10k makes it worthwhile.
Ah right, ok

Let’s hope they don’t have that as part of the contract of sale and decide you’ve breached their terms and decline to sell a car to you

But then, even if you did sign it what redress they’d have against you is doubtful .. and you’d surely just buy the next one in your wife’s name

ghost83

5,481 posts

191 months

Friday 27th May 2022
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Surely when you buy a car it’s yours to do what u want with it

Tomanybikes

987 posts

27 months

Friday 27th May 2022
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South tdf said:
Earthdweller said:
Did I read that land rover were doing sales contracts that forbade selling within a time frame, potentially with a clause about only selling back to Land Rover ?

Was there a thread here about it ?
The dealer asked us to sign a document saying we would not resell the car but to date I have not signed or returned it. I know I will probably be blacklisted from future Land Rovers but my other half loves the Macan over her previous Evoque and being up 10k makes it worthwhile.
Did your document have a figure that you would have to pay if you broke the contract?
Mine was £18.6k if I remember correctly.

Pica-Pica

13,826 posts

85 months

Friday 27th May 2022
quotequote all
Tomanybikes said:
South tdf said:
Earthdweller said:
Did I read that land rover were doing sales contracts that forbade selling within a time frame, potentially with a clause about only selling back to Land Rover ?

Was there a thread here about it ?
The dealer asked us to sign a document saying we would not resell the car but to date I have not signed or returned it. I know I will probably be blacklisted from future Land Rovers but my other half loves the Macan over her previous Evoque and being up 10k makes it worthwhile.
Did your document have a figure that you would have to pay if you broke the contract?
Mine was 18.6k if I remember correctly.
Surely, if you purchase outright, it’s yours to do what you want with it?

Tomanybikes

987 posts

27 months

Friday 27th May 2022
quotequote all
Pica-Pica said:
Tomanybikes said:
South tdf said:
Earthdweller said:
Did I read that land rover were doing sales contracts that forbade selling within a time frame, potentially with a clause about only selling back to Land Rover ?

Was there a thread here about it ?
The dealer asked us to sign a document saying we would not resell the car but to date I have not signed or returned it. I know I will probably be blacklisted from future Land Rovers but my other half loves the Macan over her previous Evoque and being up 10k makes it worthwhile.
Did your document have a figure that you would have to pay if you broke the contract?
Mine was 18.6k if I remember correctly.
Surely, if you purchase outright, it’s yours to do what you want with it?
Not going by the contracts that they are making people sign.

Gweeds

7,954 posts

53 months

Saturday 28th May 2022
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I’d be amazed if they held up in court.