Tesla and Uber Unlikely to Survive...

Tesla and Uber Unlikely to Survive...

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DonkeyApple

55,642 posts

170 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
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RobDickinson said:
Yep its a phev, counted in the NZ EV stats (and pretty much everywhere else) so I'll count it too.

I even got sent an 'EV' sticker from the government!
Rob. You’ve got to give honesty a shot. You’ll find it liberating.

You own a hybrid. You do not own an EV.

RobDickinson

31,343 posts

255 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
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DonkeyApple said:
blahblahblahblahblahblahblahblahblah

anonymous-user

55 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
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gangzoom said:
Heres Johnny said:
Can you point me to a Tesla you can buy for under 35k?

Can you point me to a new Tesla you can buy in the UK for under twice that?

Different horses for different courses.
So you actually think BMW will be able to release a 700km real life range EV by 2021?

There is BS and there is BS, the world is full of it.
You’re right there.........

anonymous-user

55 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
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RobDickinson said:
Outlander phev, and yeah the garage bit, that still exists biggrin

Still own the mx5 tho.

And yes I'm waiting for a decent full bev 4wd suv. I thought the Kona might be it (still waiting for a test drive) but its 2wd :/

Edited by anonymous-user on Thursday 11th October 08:28
So what the range on that on electric? 30 miles? And everything else you have burns oil?

Not very green Rob?

RobDickinson

31,343 posts

255 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
quotequote all
Burwood said:
If you go to autocar today there is a write-up on the E-Tron. 95kw/h battery 250 mile range. It’s an electric q8 basically. Big lump of a thing. Good enough? Anyone in the know care to point out the inadequacies.
Top Gear said:
Allow me to take a break from torturing that particular metaphor and give you the headlines, in case you haven’t watched my colleague Jack Rix’s rather excellent explanatory video. Audi’s first proper EV is a conspicuously inconspicuous – the company didn’t want to scare away its existing customers with something too futuristic – SUV that will cost about £70K when it reaches the UK next year. Far as size goes, it’s a five-seater somewhere between a Q5 and Q7, at 4,901mm long, 1,935mm wide and 1,616mm high. A more svelte ‘Sportback’ version is next.

A whopping 700kg battery (that’s heavier than an entire Ariel Atom) contributes to an overall weight well in excess of two tonnes, despite the extensive use of aluminium in the car’s construction. And yet, the e-Tron launches to 62mph with the characteristic punch of an EV (yes children, it does have launch control), hitting the milestone in 5.7 seconds before running into the buffers at 124mph. On the WLTP cycle, you’re looking at 250 miles or so between recharges.
Sounds smaller than a q8? iPace size/touch bigger ?

saaby93

32,038 posts

179 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
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RobDickinson

31,343 posts

255 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
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REALIST123 said:
So what the range on that on electric? 30 miles? And everything else you have burns oil?

Not very green Rob?
it does my commute on electric, I get 2500-3000kms on a tank , or 200-250mpg...

Smiljan

10,906 posts

198 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
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saaby93 said:
It really does show what can be done for a reasonable cost although it is vastly more expensive than the petrol powered Kona. If Hyundai can do it, I'm sure others can.


anonymous-user

55 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
quotequote all
RobDickinson said:
REALIST123 said:
So what the range on that on electric? 30 miles? And everything else you have burns oil?

Not very green Rob?
it does my commute on electric, I get 2500-3000kms on a tank , or 200-250mpg...
But you’re still burning oil..

saaby93

32,038 posts

179 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
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REALIST123 said:
But you’re still burning oil..
And you're burning hot air - can you give it a rest rolleyes

saaby93

32,038 posts

179 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
quotequote all
Smiljan said:
saaby93 said:
It really does show what can be done for a reasonable cost although it is vastly more expensive than the petrol powered Kona. If Hyundai can do it, I'm sure others can.
Pricing is about half an ipace


Burwood

18,709 posts

247 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
quotequote all
REALIST123 said:
RobDickinson said:
REALIST123 said:
So what the range on that on electric? 30 miles? And everything else you have burns oil?

Not very green Rob?
it does my commute on electric, I get 2500-3000kms on a tank , or 200-250mpg...
But you’re still burning oil..
What's wrong with burning 'some' oil. It beats burning a tank every 500km. In NZ, the average annual mileage is only 6500 miles.

DonkeyApple

55,642 posts

170 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
quotequote all
saaby93 said:
Looks like a very useful suburban runabout. But if you rule out pensioners and people who do not own a driveway, how Hyundai customers are left?

dukeboy749r

2,736 posts

211 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
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saaby93 said:
Hasnt he already tried that with some cave rescue plan?
That didn't go well...

dukeboy749r

2,736 posts

211 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
Maybe the mindset of the mainstream manufacturers is that all the real and stable money over the next couple of decades is from hybrids and that they are only currently getting involved in EVs ruluctantly as they know that commercially they don’t make sense yet?

Just because the Tesla business model stipulates that spending billions on a charger network is right for them doesn’t per se equate to it being right or wrong for other firms who are not start-ups burning investor capital but established enterprises that require different types of return from any investment.

The next decade is going to be highly volatile for pure EVs. They are currently a luxury purchase, not a necessity so highly prone to changes in any economic cycle and on top of that the defining underlying cost of the battery packs is at the mercy of a very feeble and under developed supply chain.

If you were Tesla then you can see that you absolutely need to invest in a charging network as part of your plan but if you were BMW, Mercedes or any of the major multinationals then you’d have a very different view which is that the billions you go to the bond market to borrow must yeild a strong return and that does mean backing hybrids over EVs. All the legislation to 2040 is to push urban consumers into either hybrids or EVs, few consumers can afford EVs but all can afford hybrids. The incumbents know that hybrids are where they will be competing against each other. Their EV offerings are more akin to marketing efforts than real consumer profit drives.

I do think it’s important to understand the huge difference between the two types of company, what they can and can’t do with raised money and that their objectives over the next decade are really very, very different.
This...

Burwood

18,709 posts

247 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
quotequote all
For me i'll get a PHEV first but it will have to be able to do 100 miles on electric.

Burwood

18,709 posts

247 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
quotequote all
dukeboy749r said:
DonkeyApple said:
Maybe the mindset of the mainstream manufacturers is that all the real and stable money over the next couple of decades is from hybrids and that they are only currently getting involved in EVs ruluctantly as they know that commercially they don’t make sense yet?

Just because the Tesla business model stipulates that spending billions on a charger network is right for them doesn’t per se equate to it being right or wrong for other firms who are not start-ups burning investor capital but established enterprises that require different types of return from any investment.

The next decade is going to be highly volatile for pure EVs. They are currently a luxury purchase, not a necessity so highly prone to changes in any economic cycle and on top of that the defining underlying cost of the battery packs is at the mercy of a very feeble and under developed supply chain.

If you were Tesla then you can see that you absolutely need to invest in a charging network as part of your plan but if you were BMW, Mercedes or any of the major multinationals then you’d have a very different view which is that the billions you go to the bond market to borrow must yeild a strong return and that does mean backing hybrids over EVs. All the legislation to 2040 is to push urban consumers into either hybrids or EVs, few consumers can afford EVs but all can afford hybrids. The incumbents know that hybrids are where they will be competing against each other. Their EV offerings are more akin to marketing efforts than real consumer profit drives.

I do think it’s important to understand the huge difference between the two types of company, what they can and can’t do with raised money and that their objectives over the next decade are really very, very different.
This...
I largely agree, too. And DA is making this point but to state the obvious, If 'they' dove in with both feet, what will that say about the 100s of billions invested in ICE tech. They aren't writing that off any time soon. The Germans believe it's a loss maker for some time and it appears they will watch from the sidelines and allow Tesla et al bleed cash until the economics become viable. I believe the ICE engine will still be around in 50 years. It may be hybrid but there will be a hard core market for it

RobDickinson

31,343 posts

255 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
quotequote all
REALIST123 said:
But you’re still burning oil..
Yes, and I'll stop as soon practically possible... I'm ok with that, reducing my fuel use from 2500 litres to around 200 this year, what are you doing?

RobDickinson

31,343 posts

255 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
quotequote all
Burwood said:
For me i'll get a PHEV first but it will have to be able to do 100 miles on electric.
tbh 50 or 100 wouldnt make that much difference to me

50 covers my commute, 100 would be wasted most of the time, and the rest I'd still end up burning some petrol.

The number of trips I do that is 50-100km is few.


RobDickinson

31,343 posts

255 months

Thursday 11th October 2018
quotequote all
Smiljan said:
saaby93 said:
It really does show what can be done for a reasonable cost although it is vastly more expensive than the petrol powered Kona. If Hyundai can do it, I'm sure others can.
yeah this, the 60kwh leaf and the niro are good, but again yes the kona is twice its ICE 2wd variant cost here in NZ. ($70k vs $35k) and fuel saving wont make that up in a hurry.

Assume the model 3 SR next year and the VW ID in 2020 will be similar range/price.
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