WBAC - Not buying cars now.

WBAC - Not buying cars now.

Author
Discussion

Jimmy Recard

17,540 posts

180 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
Deep Thought said:
I dont think i am - particularly given the government is now stepping in to pay wages.

Granted a tiny minority may be forced to take their price, but how much bad PR will they get to do so?
It’s not “We Force You to Sell Us Your Car”, it’s We Buy Any Car”

If somebody chooses to get an offer and then accept it, why should there be a problem?

Jimmy Recard

17,540 posts

180 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
cuprabob said:
InitialDave said:
XIII said:
InitialDave said:
hyphen said:
demand for car is going to be lowe
People are getting robbed?
How are they being robbed? You dont have to sell to WBAC, you know. But if you do, they'll give you the cash for it. Where else are you going to go for it?
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rob_Lowe
Nah, he meant Arthur Lowe smile
You gotta be cruel to be kind

Deep Thought

35,842 posts

198 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
Jimmy Recard said:
Deep Thought said:
I dont think i am - particularly given the government is now stepping in to pay wages.

Granted a tiny minority may be forced to take their price, but how much bad PR will they get to do so?
It’s not “We Force You to Sell Us Your Car”, it’s We Buy Any Car”

If somebody chooses to get an offer and then accept it, why should there be a problem?
Totally agree with you.

However from a PR perspective it "could" be interpreted as exploiting the situation. That might stick in peoples minds.


Trevor555

4,457 posts

85 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
Has anyone seen any drastic reductions in retail cars on forecourts yet?

My guess is that dealers will just sit on their stock for a couple of months without reductions in the hope business returns to normal.

If it drags on over 2 months I guess some will have to cash out and sell off their stock.

I wonder how CAP and glasses guide are going to value stuff at the moment?

Are the auctions going to close?

Are people going to get so desperate that they'll accept the lowball offers from WBAC?

Let's just hope this shutdown gets a grip on it in a few weeks.

Very worrying times for all.

Deep Thought

35,842 posts

198 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
Trevor555 said:
Has anyone seen any drastic reductions in retail cars on forecourts yet?

My guess is that dealers will just sit on their stock for a couple of months without reductions in the hope business returns to normal.

If it drags on over 2 months I guess some will have to cash out and sell off their stock.

I wonder how CAP and glasses guide are going to value stuff at the moment?

Are the auctions going to close?

Are people going to get so desperate that they'll accept the lowball offers from WBAC?

Let's just hope this shutdown gets a grip on it in a few weeks.

Very worrying times for all.
Apparently CAP and Glass's were up fractionally in Jan / Feb, but they are bound to tank for March.

Agreed RE: car dealers. They wont feel an urge to firesale just yet. A lot of them track prices online so we might see some variance because of that. I think price drops on stock will be negotiated on individual cars in stock rather than a sudden £3K drop on sticker prices across the forecourt.


vulcanX

4 posts

50 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
Deep Thought said:
Trevor555 said:
Has anyone seen any drastic reductions in retail cars on forecourts yet?

My guess is that dealers will just sit on their stock for a couple of months without reductions in the hope business returns to normal.

If it drags on over 2 months I guess some will have to cash out and sell off their stock.

I wonder how CAP and glasses guide are going to value stuff at the moment?

Are the auctions going to close?

Are people going to get so desperate that they'll accept the lowball offers from WBAC?

Let's just hope this shutdown gets a grip on it in a few weeks.

Very worrying times for all.
Apparently CAP and Glass's were up fractionally in Jan / Feb, but they are bound to tank for March.

Agreed RE: car dealers. They wont feel an urge to firesale just yet. A lot of them track prices online so we might see some variance because of that. I think price drops on stock will be negotiated on individual cars in stock rather than a sudden £3K drop on sticker prices across the forecourt.
When do you believe would be a good time to hit a dealership to negotiate discounts for stock cars? Any tips?

On one hand I kinda agree with Trevor555 that dealers might just sit on stock and pray for the best, but might come to firesale prices in May time.

On the other hand - with nearly all of European auto production shut down, how do you guys think that factors into values for stock automobiles? Surely the dealerships see that better than we do.

Deep Thought

35,842 posts

198 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
vulcanX said:
When do you believe would be a good time to hit a dealership to negotiate discounts for stock cars? Any tips?

On one hand I kinda agree with Trevor555 that dealers might just sit on stock and pray for the best, but might come to firesale prices in May time.

On the other hand - with nearly all of European auto production shut down, how do you guys think that factors into values for stock automobiles? Surely the dealerships see that better than we do.
Is the car you are interested in on Autotrader?

You can read the date the ad was put up from the URL. That will give you an indication of how long its been in stock.

Many dealers operate a 90 day stocking cycle so dont consider blowing cars out until after that time has passed.

stevemcs

8,672 posts

94 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
I've not seen anything drop on an indi forecourt drop, rare stuff a suspect will always sell. I found a Fiesta RST Thursday evening and it was gone by mid morning the next day.

Main dealers, a couple of Minis i've been watching have dropped between £500 and £1000 in a week.

Trevor555

4,457 posts

85 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
vulcanX said:
When do you believe would be a good time to hit a dealership to negotiate discounts for stock cars? Any tips?

On one hand I kinda agree with Trevor555 that dealers might just sit on stock and pray for the best, but might come to firesale prices in May time.

On the other hand - with nearly all of European auto production shut down, how do you guys think that factors into values for stock automobiles? Surely the dealerships see that better than we do.
I'm talking to three of my dealer friends at the moment. I retired from the game a few years back.

None of them know.

They'll be able to weather the storm for a couple of months, loss of sales, salaries to pay etc..

There is talk of Government help, but in these early stages not sure how much.

But yes, I think May time will see some drastic action from dealers who are not cash rich and depend on financing/stocking loans etc..


jonah35

3,940 posts

158 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
They won’t drop for quite some time

It will take at least 2 months for the masses to figure out what’s going on and then they will plummet

Dave Hedgehog

14,568 posts

205 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
jonah35 said:
They won’t drop for quite some time

It will take at least 2 months for the masses to figure out what’s going on and then they will plummet
once their cash flow dries up and they cant make payroll they will start dumping stock, especially if they can restock for 50% of what they paid for the current inventory, they will take the hit and look to recoup it on the cheaper stock

its probably not helped they have just had 2/3 terrible years either


Just been quoted 50% of what i sold my A45 for 6 months ago


my gawd i moved car at the perfect time

Edited by Dave Hedgehog on Saturday 21st March 15:35

Jibaro

210 posts

182 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
av185 said:
Hitch said:
General demand on BCA must be through the floor
Not really.

Strong bids yesterday at BCA just behind Cap clean.
Trevor555 said:
Are the auctions going to close?
Prices should be lower from next week, physical bidding from the "Hall" ceases, and the doors will be shut with sales continuing online only. This means all auctions become trade-only for account holders who meet the eligibility for BCA Live Online. They've confirmed to me on Friday that they will not be relaxing eligibility for online bidding access, so although I've bought a few cars from them in the last few months and seriously bid on several others just losing out to "the Net" bidders, from next Thurs I am unable to participate.

I think (Less Bidders + Less Demand) x (More Caution + More Uncertainty) = Lower Prices at auction

With less volume, dealers will try hard to maintain margin.

M4cruiser

3,654 posts

151 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
jonah35 said:
They won’t drop for quite some time

It will take at least 2 months for the masses to figure out what’s going on and then they will plummet
I guess there's no point in the forecourts selling now at a loss. May as well keep it and not get any income.
Could try a punt at well below sticker price, but I think they'd prefer to move it around within the trade rather than take on the additional risk of a retail buyer at less money than they paid trade a few weeks ago.
As for me, I'm in no mood to buy anything right now. Only if my current car(s) fail completely, beyond repair.



55palfers

5,911 posts

165 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
Another G Wagen

WBAC £27845 on with main dealer at £55560

https://shop.mercedes-benz.co.uk/vehicle-detail/g-...

Wilmslowboy

4,214 posts

207 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
Trevor555 said:
Has anyone seen any drastic reductions in retail cars on forecourts yet?

My guess is that dealers will just sit on their stock for a couple of months without reductions in the hope business returns to normal.
.............
In the case of used cars, the finance Cos will be shy of unrealistic GFVs, plus financing anything that could be in negative equity day 1.

So either realistic retail prices or large deposits.







HTP99

22,579 posts

141 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
55palfers said:
Another G Wagen

WBAC £27845 on with main dealer at £55560

https://shop.mercedes-benz.co.uk/vehicle-detail/g-...
Means absolutely nothing.

confused_buyer

6,624 posts

182 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
Both BCA and Manheim are moving online only.

They'll struggle to get bids on the cheaper stuff with the current standard of their condition and mechanical reports which in many cases are either non-existent or useless.

Both are sitting on very large numbers of cars. BCA obviously have thousands of WBAC cars stacked up all over the place they now own and both have systems where they have advanced money as pre-sales to various dealer groups.

On top of that both have extensive stocking finance arms where they will find dealers who are closed or have no customers will quickly run out of cashflow and will not be able to make their margin payments.

PorkInsider

5,889 posts

142 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
If dealer cars are on stocking finance agreements are the cars security for that, or is it the business in general?

And does the stock value get depreciated by the finance co' - i.e. are they re-evaluating the security v outstanding loan as time goes on?

Just wondering whether the financing dictates whether dealers will sit tight or have no option but to offload.

Dolf Stoppard

1,323 posts

123 months

Saturday 21st March 2020
quotequote all
Just been offered more for my part ex than the WBAC price a month ago! Not yet tried for movement on the sale price so it could be meaningless. But, I'm not desperate to change, so will see what they say. If the cost to change is a decent bit better than it would have been six months ago, then I'll probably go for it. When I next go to sell the market will have normalised and I'll be a bit better off. That's fine.

confused_buyer

6,624 posts

182 months

Sunday 22nd March 2020
quotequote all
PorkInsider said:
If dealer cars are on stocking finance agreements are the cars security for that, or is it the business in general?

And does the stock value get depreciated by the finance co' - i.e. are they re-evaluating the security v outstanding loan as time goes on?

Just wondering whether the financing dictates whether dealers will sit tight or have no option but to offload.
Usually secured against cars but the BCA style ones they pay off 10% of the value of each car per month or so.

Problem for the likes of BCA is they probably can't dispose of the cars at their "book" value at the moment and if they kill all their dealers they won't have anyone to buy their cars at the end of all of this.

I think there is a very big "head in sand" approach by some of the majors as to where this might be heading. The car market here relies on cash and turnover and once one bit falls out the whole house of cards falls down.

Having said that new cars sales will collapse so no part exchanges and no cars being made. So, if/when this ends there will probably be a huge shortage and prices will rocket. If you're brave and can afford to sit on stock for 6-9 months it is probably a great time to buy,