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F430 Market Watch

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voicey

Original Poster:

2,239 posts

113 months

Tuesday 3rd September 2013
quotequote all
In response to requests on another thread, here is some data on F430 prices. First of all it's just a bit of fun so please don't take it too seriously. Secondly, I don't have the time to go into the figures in any real detail but will try to answer any specific requests.

For 360 price analysis please head over to my site: Aldous Voice Ferrari Blog

As per my 360 prices, I will create the Aldous Voice 430 Price Index (AV430PI). Re-basing August to 100 gives a September figure of 98.66 (ie: the average asking price has dropped by 1.34% MoM).

Here is a table of body style vs price. You can see that spiders are generally commanding a premium over coupes. One thing I noticed is that the spread of prices is much narrower for spiders.



Here's the numbers for transmission. No surprise that F1 is priced over the manual, the latter prices being skewed to the bottom of the market.



Here are the colours, red is the most popular. When I was compiling the data I was a little surprised with the amount of black cars out there.



Finally, here's mileage plotted against asking price. The data is far to concentrated to try and get a trendline going but you can see the floor at £60k, regardless of mileage.



If you want anything in particular please let me know and I'll do my best to get it out of the data.

Cheers...


Edited by voicey on Saturday 7th September 14:36

foreverfalling

346 posts

91 months

Tuesday 3rd September 2013
quotequote all
Thanks for this! they are still falling a lot faster than 360's then (1.91% vs 0.48% fall in price), although I can't imagine them being the same price as a 360 anytime soon.

Surprised Red Manuals are a lot cheaper. That's what I'd go for if possible! Look forward to seeing how the winter effects pricing.

Ps: Are the top end prices scuderia's? Are these distorting the averages a little?

voicey

Original Poster:

2,239 posts

113 months

Tuesday 3rd September 2013
quotequote all
It's hard to see any patterns with just two months worth of data.

No Scuds in this data - there are two cars priced well above £100k. Not sure why you'd buy one of those when you could be in a 458! Here are the 5 most expensive cars....

Edit: Updated top 5 table with the Scuds removed...



Edited by voicey on Wednesday 4th September 18:32

UH-Matt

2,154 posts

166 months

Tuesday 3rd September 2013
quotequote all
voicey said:
Not sure why you'd buy one of those when you could be in a 458!
Are you doing this for 458's ? Plotted over time it could get interesting over the next 12 months wink

Russell996

491 posts

55 months

Tuesday 3rd September 2013
quotequote all
voicey said:
It's hard to see any patterns with just two months worth of data.

No Scuds in this data - there are two cars priced well above £100k. Not sure why you'd buy one of those when you could be in a 458! Here are the 5 most expensive cars....

The two most expensive coupes are Scuds, they are distorting the figures.



Edited by Russell996 on Tuesday 3rd September 23:00


Edited by Russell996 on Tuesday 3rd September 23:01

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AngryApples

5,442 posts

191 months

Wednesday 4th September 2013
quotequote all
foreverfalling said:
Surprised Red Manuals are a lot cheaper. That's what I'd go for if possible!
Fair comment

Doing a restricted search throws up a 2006 red manual advertised 2 weeks ago at £58,995 - surprisingly, it's sold!

voicey

Original Poster:

2,239 posts

113 months

Wednesday 4th September 2013
quotequote all
Russell996 said:
The two most expensive coupes are Scuds, they are distorting the figures.



Edited by Russell996 on Tuesday 3rd September 23:00


Edited by Russell996 on Tuesday 3rd September 23:01
Apologies - I didn't have time to look at the data in detail. Scuds are supposed to be listed in a seperate category. I will tweak the program to weed out Scuds at the same time it dismisses replicas and wanted ads. I'll post up the amended charts when I get home tonight.

voicey

Original Poster:

2,239 posts

113 months

Wednesday 4th September 2013
quotequote all
UH-Matt said:
Are you doing this for 458's ? Plotted over time it could get interesting over the next 12 months wink
I had a feeling this might happen! Let me see if I have the time to alter the program to extract 458 prices.

leemanning

356 posts

78 months

Wednesday 4th September 2013
quotequote all
AngryApples said:
Fair comment

Doing a restricted search throws up a 2006 red manual advertised 2 weeks ago at £58,995 - surprisingly, it's sold!
That car was sold ages ago, just the dealer posted up a sold car to direct more traffic to their website!

f1ten

1,567 posts

79 months

Wednesday 4th September 2013
quotequote all
voicey good work! interesting reading that...
looking at the dots of the graph its amazing how many cars are at the top end of the pricing and done plenty miles. Although as we all have dicussed many times on here... I take the "low "mileage claimed on most of these cars with a pinch of salt! I would frankly rather a car with 30k + on it as its far more likely to be a straight car!

Slickhillsy

1,712 posts

69 months

Wednesday 4th September 2013
quotequote all
Jeeezzz... Someone needs a hobby or something! smile

Slarti

1,741 posts

80 months

Wednesday 4th September 2013
quotequote all
Interesting. I've got a rosso F1 coupe with nero interior, carbon sport racing seats, bluetooth etc, 2 years ferrari warranty (almost - i bought from stratstone in march). I was offered 55k last week - i didn't accept. what would the collective believe its value to be?

Slarti

1,741 posts

80 months

Wednesday 4th September 2013
quotequote all
Slarti said:
Interesting. I've got a rosso F1 coupe with nero interior, carbon sport racing seats, bluetooth etc, 2 years ferrari warranty (almost - i bought from stratstone in march). I was offered 55k last week - i didn't accept. what would the collective believe its value to be?
forgot to add 42k miles on the clock, previous owner was ferrari UK.

roygarth

2,600 posts

174 months

Wednesday 4th September 2013
quotequote all
Thanks Voicey, interesting stuff...

AngryApples

5,442 posts

191 months

Wednesday 4th September 2013
quotequote all
Slarti said:
Slarti said:
Interesting. I've got a rosso F1 coupe with nero interior, carbon sport racing seats, bluetooth etc, 2 years ferrari warranty (almost - i bought from stratstone in march). I was offered 55k last week - i didn't accept. what would the collective believe its value to be?
forgot to add 42k miles on the clock, previous owner was ferrari UK.
And.....................model year?


JFIVE

3,525 posts

200 months

Wednesday 4th September 2013
quotequote all
So it's not just me then .. I've been collecting this data for all Ferrari, Lamborghini and select Porsches for nearly 12 months ...

Craigwww

821 posts

95 months

Wednesday 4th September 2013
quotequote all
Appreciate you sharing your data with us, good work.

voicey

Original Poster:

2,239 posts

113 months

Wednesday 4th September 2013
quotequote all
Sorry for the Scuderia pollution - the data has been cleansed and I have updated all the tables in the OP.

Slarti

1,741 posts

80 months

Thursday 5th September 2013
quotequote all
AngryApples said:
And.....................model year?
d'oh! 2006.

aceparts

3,684 posts

167 months

Thursday 5th September 2013
quotequote all
FWIW, I purchased a 2008 black 13k with racing seats from a Ferrari dealer in June for 80k. Literally like brand new. Sold it 2 months later with 15k to another dealer for 4k cost