New bike prices crystal ball

[numtumfutunch]

Im a bit out of the loop however have just realised that a new 3 grand bike will be fitted with 105

Theres nothing wrong with 105, I have it on my current bike and its great however that bike cost 1500 quid not that long ago

Obvs Im aware of the supply issues over the last year mostly due to difficulty in sourcing components from closed factories and to a much lesser degree Brexit paperwork but I hadnt really clocked the significant hikes in prices.

Do we think this is sustainable, or a blip in a demand lead market and prices will readjust down on new bikes in a year or so?

For context a mate bought a Canyon last year for £2400
The same bike is now listed on Canyon UK for just under £3000 and on the German Canyon website for 2600 Euros

So in Germany at least theres been no price hike

Cheers

[numtumfutunch]

millen said:

A friend last week took delivery of a new 2020-spec Trek Domane 2x12 speed AXS from his LBS. Was a tad over £4k relative to a list price of £5k+ It certainly looks the biz, if somewhat heavier than I'd expected.

Good work, my research has hit a blank on discounts due to supply issues

Was the Domane an unusual size?
If not Id be very happy to hear how the discount was negotiated

Cheers

[numtumfutunch]

OP here

Vested interest in the thread is that best bike is 10y and despite there being nothing wrong with it I just fancied a change and was then shocked at the rapid inflation since I last looked, which wasnt that long ago

Fact is I took the bestie out this week in the sun and its still brilliant, for sure it needs some tlc (chain and cassette and tyres) but nothing major and the price to change to something similar is just crackers. By similar I mean a 10y newer frame which is prob worthwhile and 1 or 2 groupsets down the range which wont be besides having 11/12 speed over 10.

I honestly cant see things getting crazier over the next year although its possible the frenzy will die a little meaning Id get less for the current one SH but I'll take my chances.

Is it in any way possible that an Ultegra bike will be 6k next year ?
I cant see it................

Cheers

[numtumfutunch]

OP again

Slight swelling of excitement in my bib shorts tonight

Canyon are now showing as shipping Endurace and some Ultimate SLX models for July/August so things are not as catastrophic as Id concluded

Still 3k for an Ultegra Endurace though which is a lot more ££££ than last year, but better than 105 from mainstream bikes which are currently sold out on the UK high street at the same price point

Cheers