Gordon Brown's 10 worst financial gaffes

Gordon Brown's 10 worst financial gaffes

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FourWheelDrift

Original Poster:

88,556 posts

285 months

Tuesday 11th August 2009
quotequote all
Timesonline said:
1. Taxing dividend payments

Before 1997, dividends issued by UK companies and paid to pension funds were tax-free - that is, the tax could be claimed back via a system of tax credits. Not any more, decided Brown. Tax relief was scrapped, reducing the amount collected by pension funds by around £5 billion a year. Pension funds holding the cash that you, me and almost everyone else in the country plan to use for our retirement have lost around £100 billion over the last 12 years. That's one hell of a stealth tax.

2. Selling our gold

In May 1999 Gordon Brown had a plan to sell some gold. There were two problems with this, which concerned his economic advisers deeply. The price of gold had slumped after a decade of stagnation, but was likely to increase in the proceeding years. Added to this, the announcement of a major sell-off would drive the price down further. Little of this worried Gordon. Experts believe that the poorly timed decision to flog our national treasure has cost us all around £3 billion. Granted, that doesn't seem much nowadays, but more of that later.

3. Tripartite financial regulation

The system of financial regulation dividing powers between the Treasury, the Bank of England and the Financial Services Authority, established by Brown as Chancellor in 2000, missed what amounted to the biggest financial crisis of our lifetime. Whoops. This has led some glass-half-empty commentators to conclude that the system set up by Brown failed and should be replaced. The Commons Treasury Select Committee’s report on the collapse of Northern Rock said that the Financial Services Authority had “systematically failed in its duty” to oversee the troubled bank’s activities. Little did it realise at the time that Northern Rock was the over-leveraged tip of the securitised iceberg.

4. Tax credits

“Gordon Brown claims the tax credits system lifts children out of poverty,” says Simon Blackmore, 38, who was pursued for £6,057 in over-paid tax credits. “Maybe it does, but only to plunge them and their families into debt two years later.” Millions of low-income families have had to pay back the Treasury after receiving too much money in tax credits, putting them under huge financial and emotional strain. Meanwhile, 40 per cent of workers and families who deserved tax credits left billions of pounds unclaimed in the 2008-09 tax year for fear of being chased for the cash later on. Introduced in 1999, reformed in 2000, tax credits have been "a complete disaster zone", according to tax experts.

5. The £10,000 corporation tax threshold

In 2002, Gordon Brown introduced a new tax regime to help small businesses. He announced a new zero per cent rate of corporation tax on profits below £10,000. It was designed to boost the ability of small businesses to grow and prosper. It didn't quite work out this way. It became advantageous for sole traders such as taxi drivers or plumbers to turn themselves into limited companies to take advantage of the new rules. A Treasury Minister later commented that "the Government did not realise how many people would engage in abusive tax avoidance", despite the fact that it was "blindingly obvious" to tax experts "within 5 seconds" of the budget announcement that this would happen. Gordon scrapped the rules a few years later, raising the rate from 0 per cent to 19 per cent when he released how much money was being lost.

6. Abolition of the 10p tax rate

Mr Brown rarely apologises. In fact, he never apologises. But occasionally he acknowledges "mistakes", albeit begrudgingly. Over the abolition of the 10p tax rate in 2007, Mr Brown told Radio 4's Today programme that "we made two mistakes. We didn't cover as well as we should that group of low-paid workers who don't get the working tax credits and we weren't able to help the 60 to 64-year-olds who didn't get the pensioner's tax allowance." Experts use stronger language to describe the Budget of 2007, which was designed to produce positive headlines for the 2p cut in income tax. Accountants calculated that the scrapping of the 10 per cent tax rate, coupled with the increase in the proportion of tax credits withdrawn from higher earners, would leave 1.8 million workers earning between £6,500 and £15,000 paying an effective tax rate of up to 70 per cent.

7. Failing to spot the housing bubble

Gordon Brown said he ended boom and bust, and in those innocent days before the collapse of the global finance system we believed him. In 1997, he outlined his plans. "Stability is necessary for our future economic success", he wisely informed an audience at the CBI. "The British economy of the future must be built not on the shifting sands of boom and bust, but on the bedrock of prudent and wise economic management." The other components of that bedrock including a trillion-pound debt mountain and a decade of unchecked and unparalleled house price inflation presumably slipped his mind. In 2003 a mild-mannered Liberal Democrat MP by the name of Vince Cable dared to question the mantra of "the end of boom and bust". He asked Gordon Brown: "Is it not true that...the growth of the British economy is sustained by consumer spending pinned against record levels of personal debt, which is secured, if at all, against house prices that the Bank of England describes as well above equilibrium level?" Gordon replied: "The Honourable Gentleman has been writing articles in the newspapers, as reflected in his contribution, that spread alarm, without substance, about the state of the economy..." We all know what happened next.

8. 50 per cent tax rate

Robert Chote, director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies, has said the tax hike which heralded the end the new Labour may actually end up losing the Government money. "If you look at what happened when higher rates were last changed in the 1980s, that might lead you to suggest that such a move might actually lose you revenue, rather than gain it, as people actually declare less income for tax," he said.

9. Cutting VAT

"It would be funny if it wasn’t so serious," said a tax accountant when asked about the Brown-Darling brainwave to cut VAT by 2.5 percentage points. As a nation of shoppers, rather than shopkeepers, a chopped down sales tax sounds like a good idea, providing a vital boost to hard-pressed families at a time of financial hardship. There were two problems. It costs £12.5 billion a year and it has made little discernable difference to those hard-pressed families because it is shopkeepers, rather than shoppers, who have pocketed much of the benefit.

10. Public-sector borrowing

If Gordon had only saved a little more in the good times, we might have had a little more to fall back on in the bad, economists sigh. Last month saw public-sector net borrowing hit £19.9 billion, the highest on record, according to the Office for National Statistics. The chancellor of the exchequer, Alistair Darling, has forecast that Government borrowing will reach £175 billion this year. It is forecast that total government debt will double to 79 per cent of GDP by 2013, the highest level since World War 2. Mr Chote recently warned that "the scale of the underlying problem that the Treasury’s detailed forecasts identify will require two full parliaments of mounting austerity to repair.”

Even after he leaves office in 2010, as is almost certain, it seems that we will all be paying for Gordon's gaffes for many years to come.

By James Charles
Written in June but not posted on here.

I'm surprised he managed to limit it to only 10.

FourWheelDrift

Original Poster:

88,556 posts

285 months

Tuesday 11th August 2009
quotequote all
NoelWatson said:
NoelWatson said:
TonyToniTone said:
NoelWatson said:
How do you know in advance that it is an all time low?
by looking at an index?
Does this magic index look into the future and determine that it was indeed the low point?
And can you confirm that it was the all time low please - Bloomberg doesn't show me this
In comparative prices of what you could buy with it, it might well have been an all time low. Yes gold was cheaper in price in 1979 ($216) and before but you could buy more with $216 back then compared to 1999's price of $252. Prices had been going up since 1980 ($474) fluctuated a bit and then started slowly dropping to the low of 1999 ($252) after which it started going up again to it's current high level.

FourWheelDrift

Original Poster:

88,556 posts

285 months

Tuesday 11th August 2009
quotequote all
NoelWatson said:
But who had any idea in 1999 which way gold was going to go? If anyone does/did know, please PM me.
The way the gold prices were going to go in 1999 has nothing to do with this example because he didn't need to sell, but he sold at a low rate that had been driven lower for the last few years (because gold had been double the price only a few years before), acting like a panicking new trader. Yes they might have gone lower, not much, but history and simple logic would say the price would go back up and we were in the position to hang onto it to sell when the price was higher again. Or not sell at all.

FourWheelDrift

Original Poster:

88,556 posts

285 months

Tuesday 11th August 2009
quotequote all
NoelWatson said:
FourWheelDrift said:
NoelWatson said:
But who had any idea in 1999 which way gold was going to go? If anyone does/did know, please PM me.
The way the gold prices were going to go in 1999 has nothing to do with this example because he didn't need to sell, but he sold at a low rate that had been driven lower for the last few years (because gold had been double the price only a few years before), acting like a panicking new trader. Yes they might have gone lower, not much, but history and simple logic would say the price would go back up and we were in the position to hang onto it to sell when the price was higher again. Or not sell at all.
I am not debating the fact that announcing he was going to sell was stupid. What I don't understand is how people are determining that gold would not have gone any lower. How are you measuring its value in the absence of P/E or yield? And how do we know that the price was going to go back up? I think someone has found a risk free arbitrage and are not telling me about it.
Gold could have gone lower, but Gordon is not a gold trader looking to make money in a short period of trading, he was selling off the family silver for no good reason. Of course gold would go up again, markets fall and rise, nothing stays down for long certainly not gold prices, whether that took 2 months, 2 years or 10 years but the fact remains he was an idiot to sell it then when prices were lower than they had been for 19 years.

FourWheelDrift

Original Poster:

88,556 posts

285 months

Tuesday 11th August 2009
quotequote all
AshVX220 said:
Do we know why he sold the Gold? Was it used to fund anything particular or just to inflate the government wallet?
A face lift, it didn't work. So used it to buy Euros instead in a possibly way to get us into a single market economy.

This is the story
Telegraph 1999 said:
Telegraph

Brown to Sell Half UK Gold Reserves
By George Trefgarne and Robert Shrimsley

Saturday 8 May 1999

GORDON BROWN was accused last night of trying to take Britain into the European single currency by stealth after surprising the City with an announcement that he was selling more than half of the country's gold reserves, leaving Britain the lowest bullion holdings of any major country.

The £4 billion of gold reserves - 415 tonnes - will be converted into euros, dollars and yen over the next few years. The sale will see the proportion of reserves held in gold falling from 17 per cent to 7 per cent. The Chancellor's announcement triggered a fall in the price of gold and provoked Tories and Euro-sceptic businessmen to claim the decision was politically motivated to prepare Britain's entry into the euro.

Their suspicions were fuelled by the timing of the announcement on a Friday afternoon when most MPs were away from Westminster and news coverage was dominated by the outcome of the elections for the Scottish Parliament, Welsh Assembly and English local councils.

The Treasury issued a bland, three-paragraph statement, saying the sale was intended to achieve "better balance" in Britain's reserve portfolio by increasing the percentage held in currency rather than gold but gave no suggestion that the move was linked to preparations for the single currency. Sources in the gold market claimed that Mr Brown had acted against the advice of Eddie George, the governor of the Bank of England, but this was denied.

The City greeted the news with dismay. Haruko Fukuda, chief executive of the World Gold Council, said: "This is a political decision, in preparation for joining the euro. This move appears to be pre-empting the promised referendum. Gold has special characteristics. It has been held as a reserve for thousands of years. Its value does not rely on anybody else's promise to pay, unlike cash, and it builds public confidence."

Francis Maude, the shadow chancellor, said: "Gordon Brown is trying to drag Britain into the single currency by stealth by making it appear inevitable. This could be another step along that road. It is time Gordon Brown started running the British economy in the interests of Britain and not in the interests of Europe."

After the sale, Britain will hold just 300 tonnes of bullion - a minimal amount when compared with other major economies. Around 40 per cent of the gold will be converted into euros; the same amount into dollars and the remaining 20 per cent into yen.

The sale of the reserves was seen at Westminster as a further attempt by the Treasury to bring Britain's economy into line with those states already signed up to the single currency. The Chancellor has made no secret of his desire to get Britain into a position where it can join the single currency early in the next Parliament - probably by 2002 - with the minimum of financial upheaval.

The European Central Bank, which adminsters the euro, has been encouraging those countries in the single currency to sell some of their huge gold reserves. It believes gold is a bad investment. The price peaked at $835 an ounce in 1980, but it has been struggling along at around $300 for the last 10 years. Yesterday, the price dropped sharply from $289.25 an ounce to $282.40 (£178.70).

However, a spokesman for the Treasury said: "This has nothing whatever to do with joining the euro. It is about efficient asset allocation within the foreign exchange reserves." The sale, to start next year, will bring to an end the Bank of England's 300-year-old practice of holding gold as a significant part of Britain's foreign exchange reserves.

A spokesman for the anti-euro group Business for Sterling said: "Since we know it is a political decision and we know that the European Central Bank has said that countries that want to join the euro have to sell off their gold reserves, it looks like another part of the Government's stealth policy."
Edited by FourWheelDrift on Tuesday 11th August 15:31

FourWheelDrift

Original Poster:

88,556 posts

285 months

Tuesday 11th August 2009
quotequote all
Ps. Most of our gold is now in China, if they haven't already sold it on for a big profit.

FourWheelDrift

Original Poster:

88,556 posts

285 months

Tuesday 11th August 2009
quotequote all
Digga said:
Dunk76 said:
HiRich said:
You do know that the EU introduced a law limiting gold sales by member states, because of GB? Even the EU underestimated how stupid people can be.
Now that I didn't know.

For all I criticise the EU, at least they can spot a moron and his actions.
The EU is a collection of morons. In action.
Makes it easier for them to spot another one then smile