Northern Ireland

Author
Discussion

Roderick Spode

3,170 posts

51 months

Tuesday 28th February 2023
quotequote all
ArmaghMan said:
The deal is doomed.
A border "of any type" in the Irish Sea was unacceptable. They have to be as British as Scotland.
Unfortunately a huge swathe of DUP voters cannot grasp that N.I is different from the rest of the UK.
This is the bit that gets me. Northern Irish born and raised, but I've lived in Scotland since 2000.

Why should NI be treated any differently to Scotland, England or Wales? It's a Sovereign part of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.

Okay, it shares a land border with "The EU" under the guise of the Irish Free State, but why should the United Kingdom endure internal borders between it's constituent parts merely to appease the European Union demands? This is madness in my mind. Any border should be between the United Kingdom as a complete entity and the European Union, in whatever form that may present itself. Why should trade between GB and NI be subject to separate terms, simply to appease the EU and Eire?

soupdragon1

4,114 posts

99 months

Tuesday 28th February 2023
quotequote all
Roderick Spode said:
ArmaghMan said:
The deal is doomed.
A border "of any type" in the Irish Sea was unacceptable. They have to be as British as Scotland.
Unfortunately a huge swathe of DUP voters cannot grasp that N.I is different from the rest of the UK.
This is the bit that gets me. Northern Irish born and raised, but I've lived in Scotland since 2000.

Why should NI be treated any differently to Scotland, England or Wales? It's a Sovereign part of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.

Okay, it shares a land border with "The EU" under the guise of the Irish Free State, but why should the United Kingdom endure internal borders between it's constituent parts merely to appease the European Union demands? This is madness in my mind. Any border should be between the United Kingdom as a complete entity and the European Union, in whatever form that may present itself. Why should trade between GB and NI be subject to separate terms, simply to appease the EU and Eire?
Long story short, the good Friday agreement was made with everyone within the EU. There was no provision for Brexit.

Brexit has changed the optics of the GFA. Its as simple as that. Once Brexit landed, it was down to politicians to find a way through, and here we are.

nicanary

9,830 posts

148 months

Tuesday 28th February 2023
quotequote all
ArmaghMan said:
The deal is doomed.

Rishi and Ursula gave it a good go but I fear to no avail.
Listening to a vox pop on BBC radio ulster from an Orange Hall and they could not accept the deal.
A border "of any type" in the Irish Sea was unacceptable. They have to be as British as Scotland.
I can't see the DUP accepting the deal if their base don't accept it. Electoral suicide. Unfortunately a huge swathe of DUP voters cannot grasp that N.I is different from the rest of the UK. Like it or not NI is part of the island of Ireland and a sizeable number of NI residents do not consider themselves British.
The DUP and its voters will have to come to terms with that and what it means for them and Northern Ireland.
Difficult times ahead.
It's almost like the Irish Sea has only existed for the last 100 years. NI has always been separate from GB. They should have thought about that back in 1921.

Looks like a new GFA is needed or at least revised provisions.

soupdragon1

4,114 posts

99 months

Tuesday 28th February 2023
quotequote all
ArmaghMan said:
The deal is doomed.

Rishi and Ursula gave it a good go but I fear to no avail.
Listening to a vox pop on BBC radio ulster from an Orange Hall and they could not accept the deal.
A border "of any type" in the Irish Sea was unacceptable. They have to be as British as Scotland.
I can't see the DUP accepting the deal if their base don't accept it. Electoral suicide. Unfortunately a huge swathe of DUP voters cannot grasp that N.I is different from the rest of the UK. Like it or not NI is part of the island of Ireland and a sizeable number of NI residents do not consider themselves British.
The DUP and its voters will have to come to terms with that and what it means for them and Northern Ireland.
Difficult times ahead.
DUP are between a rock and a hard place now.

You mention their 'base'

Their 'base' isn't a single entity of joined up thinking. It spans from hardline Unionism right through to moderate unionism. They now have to figure out how to ride 2 horses at the same time. Moderate unionism won't tolerate much more 'hardline' unionism and hardline unionism won't accept 'moderate' unionism.

What do they do next?

If they had any wit or strategy, they would leverage NI's unique position between EU and GB to drive economic prosperity. Get behind the Windsor protocol and push the Tory Govt on levelling up, investing and supporting NI's unique position for growth.

Thats their best hope of avoiding a United Ireland and thats at the very core of their mission. Thats got to be the long term strategy for NI unionism. Its like having an open net from 5 yards out.,,,but I would place a sizeable bet that they stop and complain that the net isn't wide enough.

Roderick Spode

3,170 posts

51 months

Tuesday 28th February 2023
quotequote all
nicanary said:
It's almost like the Irish Sea has only existed for the last 100 years. NI has always been separate from GB. They should have thought about that back in 1921.
Considered Brexit back in 1921? Sure.

Anyway, Eire has been an economic basket case from 1921 to present, until the EU took pity and rescued it. Most of my childhood in the 1980s and 90s Eire was the poor man of Europe, until the Tiger economy came along in the late 2000s. Then the prosperity of the South threatened the nordies, and equivocality was demanded.

ArmaghMan

2,435 posts

182 months

Tuesday 28th February 2023
quotequote all
Roderick Spode said:
ArmaghMan said:
The deal is doomed.
A border "of any type" in the Irish Sea was unacceptable. They have to be as British as Scotland.
Unfortunately a huge swathe of DUP voters cannot grasp that N.I is different from the rest of the UK.
This is the bit that gets me. Northern Irish born and raised, but I've lived in Scotland since 2000.

Why should NI be treated any differently to Scotland, England or Wales? It's a Sovereign part of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.

Okay, it shares a land border with "The EU" under the guise of the Irish Free State, but why should the United Kingdom endure internal borders between it's constituent parts merely to appease the European Union demands? This is madness in my mind. Any border should be between the United Kingdom as a complete entity and the European Union, in whatever form that may present itself. Why should trade between GB and NI be subject to separate terms, simply to appease the EU and Eire?
Roderick.
Perfectly legitimate view.
Why should it be treated differently?
Because many people here do not consider themselves British
Why should the UK endure ( your word) internal borders...why should Irish nationalists endure a border on the island of Ireland would be the obvious retort.
It's not to appease the EU, it's to make sure there is no hard border on the island.

That is the nub of the problem. Wherever the border is a huge proportion of the population of NI will not accept it.

Mortarboard

5,861 posts

57 months

Tuesday 28th February 2023
quotequote all
Look on it as NI having the best of both worlds, rather than being isolated from either. thumbup

M.

TwigtheWonderkid

43,626 posts

152 months

Tuesday 28th February 2023
quotequote all
soupdragon1 said:
Long story short, the good Friday agreement was made with everyone within the EU. There was no provision for Brexit.

Brexit has changed the optics of the GFA. Its as simple as that. Once Brexit landed, it was down to politicians to find a way through, and here we are.
I recall being told this many times during the referendum campaign, and leading Brexiteers telling us it was part of Project Fear.

soupdragon1

4,114 posts

99 months

Tuesday 28th February 2023
quotequote all
TwigtheWonderkid said:
soupdragon1 said:
Long story short, the good Friday agreement was made with everyone within the EU. There was no provision for Brexit.

Brexit has changed the optics of the GFA. Its as simple as that. Once Brexit landed, it was down to politicians to find a way through, and here we are.
I recall being told this many times during the referendum campaign, and leading Brexiteers telling us it was part of Project Fear.
John Major and Tony Blair joined up to articulate the risk. Seemed nobody wanted to listen.

Eric Mc

122,185 posts

267 months

Wednesday 1st March 2023
quotequote all
Roderick Spode said:
Considered Brexit back in 1921? Sure.

Anyway, Eire has been an economic basket case from 1921 to present, until the EU took pity and rescued it. Most of my childhood in the 1980s and 90s Eire was the poor man of Europe, until the Tiger economy came along in the late 2000s. Then the prosperity of the South threatened the nordies, and equivocality was demanded.
Overly simplistic review of the history of the Irish economy since 1921 I would suggest. It was indeed a basket case for a very long time. However, it's gradual emergence as a decent place to live started in the 1960s with fairly far sighted government policies. Yes, joining the EEC definitely helped but also some very clever government schemes and competitive tax rates (often counter to EU policy) have also helped. Ireland is in a much better place today than it was and is becoming a more attractive place to do business in. Aside from that, the general social climate in Ireland is a world away from what it was even 30 years ago.

As Ireland becomes more liberal and prosperous, at some point the citizens of NI might very well realise that it might be a better place to be rather than hitched to a fast fading and chaotic UK.

vaud

50,790 posts

157 months

Wednesday 1st March 2023
quotequote all
soupdragon1 said:
John Major and Tony Blair joined up to articulate the risk. Seemed nobody wanted to listen.
To be fair to both of them, it was one of their best contributions to society as PMs. Much of the ground work was done under Major; Blair pushed it over the line?

I grew up in the 80s and 90s with the various bombings; my dad was in Birmingham during the pub bombings. GFA was a great thing (in my view)

Vanden Saab

14,207 posts

76 months

Wednesday 1st March 2023
quotequote all
Eric Mc said:
Overly simplistic review of the history of the Irish economy since 1921 I would suggest. It was indeed a basket case for a very long time. However, it's gradual emergence as a decent place to live started in the 1960s with fairly far sighted government policies. Yes, joining the EEC definitely helped but also some very clever government schemes and competitive tax rates (often counter to EU policy) have also helped. Ireland is in a much better place today than it was and is becoming a more attractive place to do business in. Aside from that, the general social climate in Ireland is a world away from what it was even 30 years ago.

As Ireland becomes more liberal and prosperous, at some point the citizens of NI might very well realise that it might be a better place to be rather than hitched to a fast fading and chaotic UK.
Exchange Ireland for the rest of the world and UK for EU and you have the brexit argument in a nutshell...

JuniorD

8,643 posts

225 months

Wednesday 1st March 2023
quotequote all
If the DUP were in a restaurant, just about to get served a lovely baked Alaska, and they looked over and noticed that over on the mainland UK's table guests were getting served fly-blown st pie, they'd demand to have what they're having ffs.

Eric Mc

122,185 posts

267 months

Wednesday 1st March 2023
quotequote all
JuniorD said:
If the DUP were in a restaurant, just about to get served a lovely baked Alaska, and they looked over and noticed that over on the mainland UK's table guests were getting served fly-blown st pie, they'd demand to have what they're having ffs.
That's my view of their attitude too. If the UK ship is sinking, they are determined to go down with that ship rather than make use of any available lifeboats.

JuniorD

8,643 posts

225 months

Wednesday 1st March 2023
quotequote all
Eric Mc said:
JuniorD said:
If the DUP were in a restaurant, just about to get served a lovely baked Alaska, and they looked over and noticed that over on the mainland UK's table guests were getting served fly-blown st pie, they'd demand to have what they're having ffs.
That's my view of their attitude too. If the UK ship is sinking, they are determined to go down with that ship rather than make use of any available lifeboats.
yes

And the reason is that they can't countenance the thought of a decent, harmonious, and prosperous society in NI as their whole existence relies on division, misplaced fear, and disharmony. The DUP bringing about a better situation for all in NI would be like turkeys voting for Christmas.

soupdragon1

4,114 posts

99 months

Wednesday 1st March 2023
quotequote all
Interesting to hear Jim Allister from the TUV talking about the Windsor agreement being simply not good enough, living under EU law etc.

No surprise at that of course, but people within the DUP will be well aware of what a vote influence that can be and as I mentioned on the thread yesterday, DUP are trying to ride 2 horses - hardline unionism and moderate unionism.

Jim Allister is already setting his stall out to gather up some of those hardline votes and should the DUP give the seal of approval to the Windsor agreement, he knows full well his party will collect a chunk of votes from the DUP.

DUP need all the votes they can get, but if they side with Jim Allister viewpoint, then they are risking the votes of the moderate unionist as basically, it means no more Stormont for quite some time, if ever....and that won't go down well with many people.

So they are kind of stuck between a rock and a hard place. Jamie Donaldson I think wants to agree to the Windsor agreement, as he's probably the most intelligent out of the senior figures and understands that its the right thing to do long term. But how much support can he get?

iphonedyou

9,276 posts

159 months

Wednesday 1st March 2023
quotequote all
Deep Thought said:
At some point the DUP are going to have to accept that a big wall between us and the republic isnt going to happen, therefore there is going to have to be some element of compromise. There could well be very strong financial advantages for NI coming out of all this but they seem more willing to see NI burn than let "them uns" get what they perceive as an advantage.
Plays to their portion of the electorate. Suffice it to say a large proportion of the DUP's core vote isn't the hard working, entrepreneurial, ambitious and go-getting type that would take real advantage of consistent, stable and sound governance and the benefits that would bring.

JuniorD

8,643 posts

225 months

Wednesday 1st March 2023
quotequote all
iphonedyou said:
Deep Thought said:
At some point the DUP are going to have to accept that a big wall between us and the republic isnt going to happen, therefore there is going to have to be some element of compromise. There could well be very strong financial advantages for NI coming out of all this but they seem more willing to see NI burn than let "them uns" get what they perceive as an advantage.
Plays to their portion of the electorate. Suffice it to say a large proportion of the DUP's core vote isn't the hard working, entrepreneurial, ambitious and go-getting type that would take real advantage of consistent, stable and sound governance and the benefits that would bring.
However, therein lies a potentially beautiful compromise...

Allow the rest of us enjoy a vibrant, prosperous and prima facie peaceful country, while they are appeased with the concession of being free to indulge in all those things that they hold most dear - i.e. marching, racketeering, intimidating, drug-pushing, bonfire building, fleg-waving, Ulster-Scots speaking...

TwigtheWonderkid

43,626 posts

152 months

Wednesday 1st March 2023
quotequote all
vaud said:
soupdragon1 said:
John Major and Tony Blair joined up to articulate the risk. Seemed nobody wanted to listen.
To be fair to both of them, it was one of their best contributions to society as PMs. Much of the ground work was done under Major; Blair pushed it over the line?

I grew up in the 80s and 90s with the various bombings; my dad was in Birmingham during the pub bombings. GFA was a great thing (in my view)
They both played big parts in it, but it was Mo Mowlem who actually made it happen. It should have been renamed the Mowlem Agreement upon her death.

JNW1

7,834 posts

196 months

Wednesday 1st March 2023
quotequote all
Roderick Spode said:
This is the bit that gets me. Northern Irish born and raised, but I've lived in Scotland since 2000.

Why should NI be treated any differently to Scotland, England or Wales? It's a Sovereign part of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.

Okay, it shares a land border with "The EU" under the guise of the Irish Free State, but why should the United Kingdom endure internal borders between it's constituent parts merely to appease the European Union demands? This is madness in my mind. Any border should be between the United Kingdom as a complete entity and the European Union, in whatever form that may present itself. Why should trade between GB and NI be subject to separate terms, simply to appease the EU and Eire?
I agree with you and have never understood why the EU couldn't just undertake any custom checks in the ROI (i.e. on the ROI side of the NI/ROI border). That would still protect the integrity of their single market (which is supposedly their concern) whilst also avoiding either a hard border on the island of Ireland or any disruption of trade between NI and the rest of the UK.

Protecting the EU single market doesn't mean custom checks for goods moving to the EU via NI have to be done in NI and (IMHO) it's something the UK government should never have agreed to.