The PH Demographic as shown in Brexit threads

The PH Demographic as shown in Brexit threads

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Discussion

Pan Pan Pan

9,898 posts

111 months

Saturday 12th January 2019
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Max_Torque said:
Let me explain Brexit and the voting with a simple thought experiment:


In the high street of a large city we set up two identical shipping containers clearly labelled A and B.

There is know way of knowing what is inside the containers

We ask people who pass to vote for opening container A or container B.




The voters will make up a load of reasons why they voted as they have, and at the end of the day the results, well they'll be pretty close to 50:50 just like the Brexit vote, and we won't know what we will actually get until the winning door is opened, and we'll never know what was in the other container............
In just the same way that people did not know what they were voting for in 1975 when they asked to vote whether or not they wanted the UK to remain in the EEC.How could the ordinary UK citizen possibly know what they were voting for in 1975, when in 1975 the EU did not even exist let alone know what it would mean for the UK. Not a single person in the UK voted, or was even given the chance to vote on whether or not they wanted the UK to be a member of the EU.....Until 2016 that is, when the majority vote was to leave the EU.

alfie2244

11,292 posts

188 months

Saturday 12th January 2019
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anonymous said:
[redacted]
Snap.

Pan Pan Pan

9,898 posts

111 months

Saturday 12th January 2019
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anonymous said:
[redacted]
Unfortunately not just that. How many trade agreements do you know, where one side charges the other billions of pounds before they will even let you talk about trade with them, let alone do any trade with them, (and seize some of your unique natural assets for which they pay nothing), after which they take billions of pounds off you for years, whilst at the same time selling you 90+ billion pounds worth of their goods and services a year more, than your goods and services companies are allowed to sell to them.That sounds like a great deal... Not.

AshVX220

5,929 posts

190 months

Monday 14th January 2019
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I have posted very rarely in the Brexit threads, because in the main they seem to be a pissing contest. The remainers are absolutely sure of themselves and their superiority and trot out the same old responses. The leavers (of which I am one) do the same. The remainers have their thoughts on why we voted leave, and in the main have it very wrong.

For me, I'm 46, educated to GCSE level (and not doing very well at that), joined the Royal Navy, bummed around in some pretty crap jobs until my attention to detail and knowledge of Combat Systems was spotted and I was given a Golden Opportunity to improve myself, which I've done very well. Now a professional and succeeding in a business predominantly occupied by degree or greater educated people. I'm doing far better than I ever thought I could. So, although poorly educated I think I'm fairly switched on, nowhere near as bright as many, but certainly smarter than average at a guess (though, no-one likes to admit they're thick, so we all probably think we're brighter than average).

I've been a Tory voter my whole life, with one exception when I voted UKIP, I didn't like the direction the EU was taking from the moment the Euro was brought in and wanted to do what I could show my dislike (hence the UKIP vote).

So I guess what I'm saying is that I'm the living embodiment of the stereotypical leaver.

Turfy

1,070 posts

181 months

Monday 14th January 2019
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Kermit power said:
Afternoon all,

First and foremost, please could people try to not turn this into just another actual Brexit thread?

On one of those other Brexit threads recently, someone posted up the YouGov survey findings below.....



This got me thinking about the typical PH - or at least NP&E - demographic.

If the findings are even remotely accurate, then even if every single member of PH was a Septuagenarian Tory thicko who never made it past CSEs, you'd expect probably 25-30% of contributors to Brexit threads to be Remain voters, yet this isn't the case!

Firstly, not every single PHer is a Septuagenarian Tory thicko. Overwhelmingly right of centre certainly, but far from uniformly old or stupid. There are plenty of people on here in their forties and younger with degree or higher levels of education.

This makes it all the more puzzling to me that despite a demographic which should probably throw up relatively balanced volumes of contributors to any Brexit thread, the reality is that they are all overwhelmingly populated by Leave voters to a far greater extent than any statistics suggest they should be.

Does anyone have any thoughts on why that would be? Equally importantly, is anyone able to discuss that without actually arguing about Brexit itself? smile
Older people have taken the Austin Allegro for a test drive, hated it. Younger generation lining up for their go, naively thinking it will be great. At what point does the "no substitute for experience" tried and tested adage fail here?

Kermit power

Original Poster:

28,642 posts

213 months

Monday 14th January 2019
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wiggy001 said:
I was just scanning through the posts to say exactly this.

"Young people overwhelmingly voted to remain" is the oft told mantra. But that does depend on the definition of "old" and how you spin the figures. For example, if we listed every age from 18 to 100, most age groups voted to leave. If we say that people are either "young" or "old" then surely the cut off should be at the half way mark (call it 50)... how does that stat look?

It's like the argument that people will now vote remain because the old leavers have died off, ignoring the fact that the young remainers have now grown up into leavers.

But statistics are like a lamp post to a drunk...
I'm inclined to think that that is a "fact" which can be safely ignored.

If you're looking for somewhere to draw the line on young vs old, I'd be inclined to suggest people born before/after about 1950. Anyone born after then has no real adult recollection of life before the '73 referendum, which I would imagine might make quite a difference to your outlook on things.

I'm 48, and the reality is that I've never known life outside Europe. Why would the simple fact of getting older make me become progressively more in favour of leaving?