2021 Budget Predictions

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Discussion

turbobloke

111,634 posts

275 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
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TriumphStag3.0V8 said:
turbobloke said:
Fittster said:
Venisonpie said:
Digga said:
UK needs to improve productivity. The key route is through investment; one man with a shovel can only do so much, give him a mini digger he can do a whole lot more. biggrin
Yup. Encourage economic growth and shrink the debt rather than strangle GDP potential.
OBR forecast of 4% loss in productivity as a result of non-tariff barriers erected between UK and EU trade by TCA particularly in services

So more damage to the UK economy because of Brexit.
It's a forecast not a forgone conclusion, sorry to disappoint.

Try this for size - they got it wrong after the referendum and may well do just as good a job this time.

OBR Explains Errors in Forecasting Impact of Brexit
https://www.ft.com/content/d140f26e-f7b9-11e8-af46...
Essence of the article for those with no FT access - OBR admits that UK public finances deterioration it forecast after the EU referendum result has not materialised.

The OBR really should apologise to remainers for getting their hopes up.
Gives them all something to get frothy about, so they are happy. Doesn't have to be true, or correct, just as long as it is Grrrrrr Brexit. They will move on to the next incorrect prediction or sob story as soon as this one is proven incorrect.
yes
If any pessimism gap emerges we can always be reminded about the yachties "won't somebody think of the yachties".

Murph7355

40,175 posts

271 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
quotequote all
snuffy said:
There we go, as I said, all those predicted massive tax raids did not happen (with the exception of corporation tax).
Isn't the Corp Tax rise also tapered between 50k profit to 250k profit, so the 25% rate kicks in over 250k (profit)?

Cue Amazon et al making even less profit each year biggrin

Fundoreen

4,180 posts

98 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
quotequote all
Freeports , they keep pushing them but never explain it to the public and the public are stupid so dont care.
One idea is buy lots of meds and store the containers at the freeport. You know whats coming due to data input from everywhere and AI doing the brainwork.
Sell it all for vast profits when it becomes scarce due to latest pandemic. UK doesnt benefit at all apart from maybe tax on the storage costs.
Individuals get really rich.
Could be some other reason for freeports im not aware of.

Actually should have just said 'like del boys lockup'

turbobloke

111,634 posts

275 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
snuffy said:
There we go, as I said, all those predicted massive tax raids did not happen (with the exception of corporation tax).
Isn't the Corp Tax rise also tapered between 50k profit to 250k profit, so the 25% rate kicks in over 250k (profit)?

Cue Amazon et al making even less profit each year biggrin
Bezos Skintos Notafkingchanceos.

snuffy

11,216 posts

299 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
snuffy said:
There we go, as I said, all those predicted massive tax raids did not happen (with the exception of corporation tax).
Isn't the Corp Tax rise also tapered between 50k profit to 250k profit, so the 25% rate kicks in over 250k (profit)?

Cue Amazon et al making even less profit each year biggrin
Indeed that is how it works. So for the majority of businesses, it will not be the full 6% (i.e. 19% to 25%) and then only from 2023.

As I say, the predictions on here, and in the media, failed to happen.





Murph7355

40,175 posts

271 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
quotequote all
snuffy said:
Murph7355 said:
snuffy said:
There we go, as I said, all those predicted massive tax raids did not happen (with the exception of corporation tax).
Isn't the Corp Tax rise also tapered between 50k profit to 250k profit, so the 25% rate kicks in over 250k (profit)?

Cue Amazon et al making even less profit each year biggrin
Indeed that is how it works. So for the majority of businesses, it will not be the full 6% (i.e. 19% to 25%) and then only from 2023.

As I say, the predictions on here, and in the media, failed to happen.
Accountants will be making hay over the next 12mths I suspect smile

Eric Mc

123,842 posts

280 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
Isn't the Corp Tax rise also tapered between 50k profit to 250k profit, so the 25% rate kicks in over 250k (profit)?

Cue Amazon et al making even less profit each year biggrin
Explained by me above.

Corporation Tax worked like this for many years. It was "simplified" to a single rate a number of years ago.

It's just been made complicated again.

Eric Mc

123,842 posts

280 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
Accountants will be making hay over the next 12mths I suspect smile
No - just doing our normal jobs.

hyphen

26,262 posts

105 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
quotequote all
FT took Rishi to task in his press conference just now. They advised that have analyzed and found the location based grants mostly favour Tory constituencies. Including Rishi's own

Naughty boy rofl


Biggy Stardust

7,068 posts

59 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
quotequote all
hyphen said:
FT took Rishi to task in his press conference just now. They advised that have analyzed and found the location based grants mostly favour Tory constituencies. Including Rishi's own

Naughty boy rofl
Maybe there are more tory than labour constituencies due to the election result....................?

ant1973

5,693 posts

220 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
quotequote all
According to the Budget report, the cost of the "super deduction" will be just under £25bn.

That is more than the increase in corporation tax is estimated to raise by 2025 - 2026 (c. 17bn).

So this is in effect a tax transfer from non-capital intensive businesses to capital intensive businesses.

DeejRC

7,526 posts

97 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
quotequote all
Yes Ant. Cos he wants/needs the money being spent! I thought we all understood this?

ant1973

5,693 posts

220 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
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DeejRC said:
Yes Ant. Cos he wants/needs the money being spent! I thought we all understood this?
How about incentivising people to take on employees? I get that investing in capital drives productivity but I would have thought that a direct employment subsidy may have been useful as well.

NRS

23,999 posts

216 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
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Biggy Stardust said:
Scootersp said:
Biggy Stardust said:
The other side to what he was saying earlier is that if the hypothetical renter actually bought the house then he's denying the landlord any capital gain, so it's as broad as it's long. The argument is based on jealousy wrapped up in a veneer of social 'fairness'.
A veneer of social fairness? It's too late now but I do think that some form or legislation to limit this business would have been of benefit overall.

If buy to let had been restricted then the more wealthy couldn't have put as much of their money into it and so the only ones left to buy would have been the less wealthy and so prices would have been suppressed. My argument would be that an affordable place to live gives stability and the excess capital of others would be put to other more creative uses/investments, more risky yes perhaps but if you didn't like that you could just save it or spend it.

Then a persons home would be more affordable, and then not increased at such a rate above wages which makes it ever harder for the ones that follow.

If it makes me lefty so be it, but I think you can be lefty about certain issues without hating rich people or the capitalist system. I don't blame people for doing it (I have friends that have) as it's performed better than most other routes and at a reasonably low risk, I just believe had there been some form or restriction it would have been better for the country as a whole.
Are you aware that there are about a hundred laws & 400 regulations on BTL plus licensing and similar?
Are you aware of the new rules & regulations pretty much every week, from special taxation to banning eviction?
Are you aware that if the government didn't raise tax from BTL then it would have to tax 'proper' people a bit more?
Are you aware that this still sounds like jealousy in the veneer of social 'fairness'?
Are you aware you've missed his/her point by picking on random details? You don't have to choose a BTL you know...

anonymous-user

69 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
quotequote all
ant1973 said:
DeejRC said:
Yes Ant. Cos he wants/needs the money being spent! I thought we all understood this?
How about incentivising people to take on employees? I get that investing in capital drives productivity but I would have thought that a direct employment subsidy may have been useful as well.
Similar to furlough?

Murph7355

40,175 posts

271 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
quotequote all
purplepenguin said:
Similar to furlough?
Probably more like in work benefits biggrin

ant1973

5,693 posts

220 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
purplepenguin said:
Similar to furlough?
Probably more like in work benefits biggrin
I was actually thinking about reduced NI contributions. If you have looked at my other posts, I favour tax and NI (of all flavours) being merged to bring simplicity and coherence to what is a needlessly complex area of tax. Taxing employment in the form of employer's NI is a dumb idea. It's even dumber in the face of what looks like a pretty unpleasant economic environment.

Alucidnation

16,810 posts

185 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
quotequote all
purplepenguin said:
ant1973 said:
DeejRC said:
Yes Ant. Cos he wants/needs the money being spent! I thought we all understood this?
How about incentivising people to take on employees? I get that investing in capital drives productivity but I would have thought that a direct employment subsidy may have been useful as well.
Similar to furlough?
From what I remember, he has allocated resources for more apprenticeships etc./

m3jappa

6,739 posts

233 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
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What exactly is the sliding scale for corp tax or hasn’t it been released yet?

TriumphStag3.0V8

4,624 posts

96 months

Wednesday 3rd March 2021
quotequote all
Alucidnation said:
What the actual fking point is Kier trying to prove exactly?
He just came across as an utter prick, throwing insults and coming out with fluffy soundbite bits and pieces. Nothing of substance to attack this budget on (it's decent given the circumstances) so all he could do was try to make himself sound clever and superior. He failed!