Russia Invades Ukraine. Volume 5

Russia Invades Ukraine. Volume 5

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Bathroom_Security

3,477 posts

125 months

Friday 29th November
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I see Joe Bloggs on YT is going all in with accusations that Russia is finally starting to fail as a state. Food crisis. Financial crisis.

borcy

5,633 posts

64 months

Friday 29th November
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Bathroom_Security said:
I see Joe Bloggs on YT is going all in with accusations that Russia is finally starting to fail as a state. Food crisis. Financial crisis.
He says that in most of his videos that I've seen.

magpie215

4,605 posts

197 months

Friday 29th November
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Sway said:
.

I do think it's likely this is a new-ish developed warhead though, as frankly everyone else dismissed conventional MIRVs decades ago as being essentially useless or a sign of failure in other areas.
I don't even think those warheads even carried a charge.

Literally test warheads I.e lumps of concrete.

cliffords

1,867 posts

31 months

Friday 29th November
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trickywoo said:
borcy said:
Makes sense as NK is apparently awash with weapon systems to rival ATACMS and Storm Shadow.
I think you got asked before, how do you know this ?

BikeBikeBIke

10,274 posts

123 months

Friday 29th November
quotequote all
Bathroom_Security said:
I see Joe Bloggs on YT is going all in with accusations that Russia is finally starting to fail as a state. Food crisis. Financial crisis.
He's brilliant at clear explanations of economics and well worth a watch, but he's been predicting a collapse of the Russian economy for years.

I don't know what a collapse would really look like but I can't see it stopping this war. They have food and energy and a massive security service to keep the people under.

trickywoo

12,390 posts

238 months

Friday 29th November
quotequote all
cliffords said:
I think you got asked before, how do you know this ?
Because you told me you saw it on Reuters, or something….

It makes a lot of sense now I think about it. An isolationist state with nothing better to do will have technology in advance of the US and the rest of Western Europe. We might as well all give in now and prepare for our demise.

glazbagun

14,508 posts

205 months

Friday 29th November
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borcy said:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6nJ5ZvRV4O0

Steve Rosenberg's daily review of the papers in Russia. This one covers the papers reactions to the fall in the Ruble.
I'll never complain about interest rates again (I hope!) If it stays like this for a couple of years, how would it compare to the post USSR collapse ? They surely can't be that bad yet?

airbusA346

1,187 posts

161 months

Friday 29th November
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On Sky News...

"Zelenskyy suggests he's prepared to end 'hot phase' of Ukraine war in return for NATO membership, even if Russia doesn't immediately return seized land"

https://news.sky.com/story/zelenskyy-suggests-hes-...

trickywoo

12,390 posts

238 months

Friday 29th November
quotequote all
glazbagun said:
I'll never complain about interest rates again (I hope!) If it stays like this for a couple of years, how would it compare to the post USSR collapse ? They surely can't be that bad yet?
It’s not an economy like we are used to though. If that happened here there would be a revolution, complete change of life compared to what we are used to. The way their economy works means it’s much less significant.

Still not good but nothing like it would be here.

hairykrishna

13,606 posts

211 months

Friday 29th November
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Sway said:
Agreed - except it's 'every' long range ballistic missile that'll be hypersonic by definition.

There's no sign of any manoeuvring, and tbh whilst it's the current buzzword, it's exceedingly unlikely that one can be developed with current technology - physics being physics.

I do think it's likely this is a new-ish developed warhead though, as frankly everyone else dismissed conventional MIRVs decades ago as being essentially useless or a sign of failure in other areas.
The manoeuvring, if any, would be way higher up in the atmosphere than the clip of them coming in through the cloud cover could show. I don't understand what you think the physics limitation which prevents manoeuvring is?

BikeBikeBIke

10,274 posts

123 months

Friday 29th November
quotequote all
airbusA346 said:
On Sky News...

"Zelenskyy suggests he's prepared to end 'hot phase' of Ukraine war in return for NATO membership, even if Russia doesn't immediately return seized land"

https://news.sky.com/story/zelenskyy-suggests-hes-...
I'm sure he would but Putin ain't gonna buy that. The last thing he wants is a functioning prosperous Ukraine and with that kind of security there would be a ton of inward investment to Ukraine.

hidetheelephants

27,903 posts

201 months

Friday 29th November
quotequote all
hairykrishna said:
The manoeuvring, if any, would be way higher up in the atmosphere than the clip of them coming in through the cloud cover could show. I don't understand what you think the physics limitation which prevents manoeuvring is?
Unless there's more fuel onboard than warhead they aren't manoeuvring worth a damn, the physics don't allow it.

RichFN2

3,721 posts

187 months

Friday 29th November
quotequote all
BikeBikeBIke said:
Bathroom_Security said:
I see Joe Bloggs on YT is going all in with accusations that Russia is finally starting to fail as a state. Food crisis. Financial crisis.
He's brilliant at clear explanations of economics and well worth a watch, but he's been predicting a collapse of the Russian economy for years.

I don't know what a collapse would really look like but I can't see it stopping this war. They have food and energy and a massive security service to keep the people under.
I agree he provides economic information that is short and direct to the point, you have to remember that he is a popular YouTube content creator and that relys on dramatic headlines to increase viewings (and revenue).


Sway

29,428 posts

202 months

Friday 29th November
quotequote all
hairykrishna said:
Sway said:
Agreed - except it's 'every' long range ballistic missile that'll be hypersonic by definition.

There's no sign of any manoeuvring, and tbh whilst it's the current buzzword, it's exceedingly unlikely that one can be developed with current technology - physics being physics.

I do think it's likely this is a new-ish developed warhead though, as frankly everyone else dismissed conventional MIRVs decades ago as being essentially useless or a sign of failure in other areas.
The manoeuvring, if any, would be way higher up in the atmosphere than the clip of them coming in through the cloud cover could show. I don't understand what you think the physics limitation which prevents manoeuvring is?
That's the missile, not the warheads. There's no gamechanger in manoeuvring up there, as it doesn't materially change interceptability.

The warheads, the bit you really want to be able to shift, dodge and confuse, are too small and moving too fast in a thick atmosphere surrounded by plasma for them to have any meaningful delta v capability with our current means of propulsion.

Cheib

23,785 posts

183 months

Friday 29th November
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borcy said:
I read somewhere a week or two ago that SK can not or will not supply arms to Ukraine directly and were looking at ways of supplying Ukraine via a third party. I think this has happened previously maybe with 155 ammuntion.

SK may indeed refuse sale of weapons to Ukraine. They might not refuse to supply via a third party.

Edit found this on Wiki re 155 shells



Edited by Cheib on Friday 29th November 23:15

Byker28i

68,348 posts

225 months

Saturday 30th November
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Russia being stretched thin doesn't help it's middle east allies. Anti-Assad forces on the march, entering Aleppo for the 1st time in 8 years.
Russia intervened in Syria 9 years ago, bombing to help Assad reclaim Aleppo and elsewhere, and help Assad militarily, but with Russia stretched thin and allocating all resources to Ukraine?
https://apnews.com/article/syria-attack-clashes-al...

myvision

1,992 posts

144 months

Saturday 30th November
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Digga

41,447 posts

291 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
Byker28i said:
Russia being stretched thin doesn't help it's middle east allies. Anti-Assad forces on the march, entering Aleppo for the 1st time in 8 years.
Russia intervened in Syria 9 years ago, bombing to help Assad reclaim Aleppo and elsewhere, and help Assad militarily, but with Russia stretched thin and allocating all resources to Ukraine?
https://apnews.com/article/syria-attack-clashes-al...
Yes, it’s going largely unnoticed in the media, given the magnitude of both the Ukraine and the present UK government’s clusterfkery, but the situation in Syria seems more dynamic. There are allegations the rebels are being funnelled from Turkey, which in and of itself if probably unsurprising.

CoolHands

19,520 posts

203 months

Saturday 30th November
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The number of losses ^ is absolutely crazy.

TameRacingDriver

18,600 posts

280 months

Saturday 30th November
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I seem to see everything from 150K losses to 700K+ losses for the Russians depending where you read it, so which is it?