Russia Invades Ukraine. Volume 5

Russia Invades Ukraine. Volume 5

Author
Discussion

lizardbrain

2,508 posts

45 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
one issue is the western figures includes wounded.
Russian figures tend to exclude them

king arthur

7,001 posts

269 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
Digga said:
Byker28i said:
Russia being stretched thin doesn't help it's middle east allies. Anti-Assad forces on the march, entering Aleppo for the 1st time in 8 years.
Russia intervened in Syria 9 years ago, bombing to help Assad reclaim Aleppo and elsewhere, and help Assad militarily, but with Russia stretched thin and allocating all resources to Ukraine?
https://apnews.com/article/syria-attack-clashes-al...
Yes, it’s going largely unnoticed in the media, given the magnitude of both the Ukraine and the present UK government’s clusterfkery, but the situation in Syria seems more dynamic. There are allegations the rebels are being funnelled from Turkey, which in and of itself if probably unsurprising.
There is also the rumour or suggestion here or there that there might be the odd Ukrainian or two helping out the rebels. That wouldn't surprise me either.

blueST

4,498 posts

224 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
TameRacingDriver said:
I seem to see everything from 150K losses to 700K+ losses for the Russians depending where you read it, so which is it?
The higher figure is killed, wounded, captured etc, the 150k is probably the estimate of just the killed?

hairykrishna

13,605 posts

211 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
Sway said:
That's the missile, not the warheads. There's no gamechanger in manoeuvring up there, as it doesn't materially change interceptability.

The warheads, the bit you really want to be able to shift, dodge and confuse, are too small and moving too fast in a thick atmosphere surrounded by plasma for them to have any meaningful delta v capability with our current means of propulsion.
But we've had manoeuvrable warheads for decades? Pershing II for example.

BrettMRC

4,519 posts

168 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
hairykrishna said:
But we've had manoeuvrable warheads for decades? Pershing II for example.
Not generally maneuverable for evasive action at those speeds pre-impact though, otherwise you've no hope of hitting a target.

Sway

29,428 posts

202 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
hairykrishna said:
Sway said:
That's the missile, not the warheads. There's no gamechanger in manoeuvring up there, as it doesn't materially change interceptability.

The warheads, the bit you really want to be able to shift, dodge and confuse, are too small and moving too fast in a thick atmosphere surrounded by plasma for them to have any meaningful delta v capability with our current means of propulsion.
But we've had manoeuvrable warheads for decades? Pershing II for example.
They're larger, and limited as they significantly bleed off speed as they manoeuvre.

What we're talking about is the concept of true MIRV, which actively evade and target at hypersonic speeds. Not pre-programmed jinks at given points of re-entry, which was good enough for early ABM countermeasures (but still poorer than just having more warheads splitting out from the initial booster stages) but useless against modern ones.

borcy

5,632 posts

64 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
Zelensky responds to lowering the age of conscription. Tldr, there's not enough weapons.


https://www.kyivpost.com/post/43097

pingu393

9,094 posts

213 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
The rebels are ripping through Syria.

Putin will have to either evacuate his troops and let Assad fall, or send more troops and dilute his Ukraine offensive.

The problems of being a dictator amongst dictators. The spinning plates are starting to wobble on their sticks.

BikeBikeBIke

10,269 posts

123 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
pingu393 said:
The rebels are ripping through Syria.

Putin will have to either evacuate his troops and let Assad fall, or send more troops and dilute his Ukraine offensive.

The problems of being a dictator amongst dictators. The spinning plates are starting to wobble on their sticks.
Trouble is, as bad as Assad is, I'm not convinced the other side are better.

Either way, sucks to be an Ally of Putin.

RichFN2

3,718 posts

187 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
BikeBikeBIke said:
pingu393 said:
The rebels are ripping through Syria.

Putin will have to either evacuate his troops and let Assad fall, or send more troops and dilute his Ukraine offensive.

The problems of being a dictator amongst dictators. The spinning plates are starting to wobble on their sticks.
Trouble is, as bad as Assad is, I'm not convinced the other side are better.

Either way, sucks to be an Ally of Putin.
They seem to be gaining momentum similar to the Taliban when they recaptured Afghanistan, Russian and Syrian jets have been bombing Aleppo but that hasn't slowed down the rebels pace.

What makes it more awkward is Turkey are backing the rebel fighters.

fourstardan

5,052 posts

152 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
Who was holding back the rebels in syria?

I'm not convinced the timing is not linked.

Have the west let it happen to drain every ounce of putins energy?

Or has putin pushed it to get more money from assad.

RichFN2

3,718 posts

187 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
fourstardan said:
Who was holding back the rebels in syria?

I'm not convinced the timing is not linked.

Have the west let it happen to drain every ounce of putins energy?

Or has putin pushed it to get more money from assad.
Assad's government forces, backed by Russia, Iran and Hezbollah.

essayer

9,664 posts

202 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
We’ll see them launching Storm Shadows soon wink

isaldiri

20,370 posts

176 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
Digga said:
Yes, it’s going largely unnoticed in the media, given the magnitude of both the Ukraine and the present UK government’s clusterfkery, but the situation in Syria seems more dynamic. There are allegations the rebels are being funnelled from Turkey, which in and of itself if probably unsurprising.
It's a slightly ironic quirk of fate that the nasty country we don't like (Russia) has got distracted from being able to help out their ally (another nasty dictator we don't like, Assad) and that has resulted in the latter now coming under serious pressure from a bunch we really don't like (Isis and affiliates) who are...supported by one of our most important Nato allies (Turkey).....

Digga

41,447 posts

291 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
isaldiri said:
Digga said:
Yes, it’s going largely unnoticed in the media, given the magnitude of both the Ukraine and the present UK government’s clusterfkery, but the situation in Syria seems more dynamic. There are allegations the rebels are being funnelled from Turkey, which in and of itself if probably unsurprising.
It's a slightly ironic quirk of fate that the nasty country we don't like (Russia) has got distracted from being able to help out their ally (another nasty dictator we don't like, Assad) and that has resulted in the latter now coming under serious pressure from a bunch we really don't like (Isis and affiliates) who are...supported by one of our most important Nato allies (Turkey).....
Yes, although this:

BikeBikeBIke said:
Trouble is, as bad as Assad is, I'm not convinced the other side are better.

Either way, sucks to be an Ally of Putin.
The potential demise of Assad has shades of Hussein and Gaddafi about it. The potential for unintended consequences is high.

Cheib

23,785 posts

183 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
isaldiri said:
Digga said:
Yes, it’s going largely unnoticed in the media, given the magnitude of both the Ukraine and the present UK government’s clusterfkery, but the situation in Syria seems more dynamic. There are allegations the rebels are being funnelled from Turkey, which in and of itself if probably unsurprising.
It's a slightly ironic quirk of fate that the nasty country we don't like (Russia) has got distracted from being able to help out their ally (another nasty dictator we don't like, Assad) and that has resulted in the latter now coming under serious pressure from a bunch we really don't like (Isis and affiliates) who are...supported by one of our most important Nato allies (Turkey).....
I know very little about Syria apart from the obvious involvement of Russia etc.

From what I have read today about the fact that Assad’s main backers are Iran, Russia and Hezbollah you can see what now if a good time to strike. Will be very interesting to see how things develop. I wouldn’t be surprised if Putin isn’t talking Assad’s calls.

BikeBikeBIke

10,269 posts

123 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
isaldiri said:
Digga said:
Yes, it’s going largely unnoticed in the media, given the magnitude of both the Ukraine and the present UK government’s clusterfkery, but the situation in Syria seems more dynamic. There are allegations the rebels are being funnelled from Turkey, which in and of itself if probably unsurprising.
It's a slightly ironic quirk of fate that the nasty country we don't like (Russia) has got distracted from being able to help out their ally (another nasty dictator we don't like, Assad) and that has resulted in the latter now coming under serious pressure from a bunch we really don't like (Isis and affiliates) who are...supported by one of our most important Nato allies (Turkey).....
And Iran are on Assad's side.

Complicated or what....

Hopefully Turkey won't want utter nutters on their border so maybe it will all be OK. Or maybe the logic is that Syria will now keep Iran busy.

bmwmike

7,398 posts

116 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
isaldiri said:
It's a slightly ironic quirk of fate that the nasty country we don't like (Russia) has got distracted from being able to help out their ally (another nasty dictator we don't like, Assad) and that has resulted in the latter now coming under serious pressure from a bunch we really don't like (Isis and affiliates) who are...supported by one of our most important Nato allies (Turkey).....
Turkey supports ISIS?

borcy

5,632 posts

64 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
https://x.com/officejjsmart/status/186294689050279...

Talking of assad, rumours of a coup.

bristolracer

5,648 posts

157 months

Saturday 30th November
quotequote all
borcy said:
https://x.com/officejjsmart/status/186294689050279...

Talking of assad, rumours of a coup.
Just what the world needs
Another Middle East country going down the stter and another humanitarian catastrophe.