S&P500 at record highs - time to stay in or pull out?

S&P500 at record highs - time to stay in or pull out?

Author
Discussion

okgo

40,474 posts

213 months

Friday 28th March
quotequote all
ThingsBehindTheSun said:
Both, when you hear about it going up 20% a year I am stressed that I am not in it, and when I am in it I am stressed that it went down 10 to 15% in a month.

I am in situation 2 because of situation 1, I just want to recover some of my loss and get the hell out. I am exactly the sort of people savings accounts paying 4.3% were designed for.

And FFS it dropped another 1.5% today.
Those rates will diminish fairly quickly given there’s more base rate cuts forecast for this year.

Crudeoink

1,072 posts

74 months

Friday 28th March
quotequote all
Cheese on Toast with Worcestershire Sauce said:
When would you consider going back in? I'm pretty relaxed with it, the market will price in 2 April outcome, doubt there'll be anything unexpected. Perhaps some short term vol w1/2 of Apr but I expect it to be business as usual.
Not sure when I'll get back in. I'm more than happy with my gains so far and currently earning 4.6% on my cash holding in T212. I'll see how things go for the next couple of months and re-evaluate

ThingsBehindTheSun

2,064 posts

46 months

Friday 28th March
quotequote all
okgo said:
Those rates will diminish fairly quickly given there’s more base rate cuts forecast for this year.
I really hope this happens as I gambled on a Two year fix for this very reason.

Like every financial gamble I make, I guarantee it will be wrong.

Box Fresh

18,075 posts

215 months

Friday 28th March
quotequote all
You guys play shorter timeframes than me.
Month on month, YtD etc isn’t relevant.
12mth is my key metric and comfortably ahead of any fixed rate ISAs I could have achieved.
And the tax benefit of most being in pension funds makes the cushion before things are negative even more palatable.

Recent months performance just a blip in the grand scheme of things, sleeping easy.

Hustle_

25,604 posts

175 months

Friday 28th March
quotequote all
ThingsBehindTheSun said:
okgo said:
Those rates will diminish fairly quickly given there’s more base rate cuts forecast for this year.
I really hope this happens as I gambled on a Two year fix for this very reason.

Like every financial gamble I make, I guarantee it will be wrong.
In the same boat mate, I fear they’re just not going to come down that much.

Could’ve had a 5 year at a smidge over 4%…

Cabbage Patch

275 posts

102 months

Friday 28th March
quotequote all
ThingsBehindTheSun said:
av185 said:
Usual story rather depends if you are more stressed being out of the market than being in which I find is more often the case.
Both, when you hear about it going up 20% a year I am stressed that I am not in it, and when I am in it I am stressed that it went down 10 to 15% in a month.

I am in situation 2 because of situation 1, I just want to recover some of my loss and get the hell out. I am exactly the sort of people savings accounts paying 4.3% were designed for.

And FFS it dropped another 1.5% today.
I don’t think the finance forum is the place for you. You're getting stressed and caught up in all the noise over a minor correction. I’d take a step away, calm down, not try to time the market and check the performance of your investments no more than twice a year.

ThingsBehindTheSun

2,064 posts

46 months

Friday 28th March
quotequote all
Hustle_ said:
In the same boat mate, I fear they’re just not going to come down that much.

Could’ve had a 5 year at a smidge over 4%…
Same, wish I had gone for that instead.

lizardbrain

2,836 posts

52 months

Friday 28th March
quotequote all
I'm similarly stressed by being in/out, but find hovering around a 50/50 to be optimal for sanity

I know i've missed out, but it's hard to be that upset either way if you are exactly on the fence


RSTurboPaul

12,033 posts

273 months

Saturday 29th March
quotequote all
av185 said:
What is the consensus on buying gold funds/ETCs atm.

Quite a bit in Blackrock Gold and General and Ninety One Global Gold which have done and are continuing to do well in the turbulance etc is it worth buying say Invesco Physical Gold ETC (SGLP) in addition or just more of the two funds?

Thanks.
You could buy actual physical and remove third party risk?

Hustle_

25,604 posts

175 months

Saturday 29th March
quotequote all
Stayed invested and bought the dip but I am considering trying to reduce my exposure in the next couple of months pre-empting the recession

av185

20,464 posts

142 months

Saturday 29th March
quotequote all
RSTurboPaul said:
av185 said:
What is the consensus on buying gold funds/ETCs atm.

Quite a bit in Blackrock Gold and General and Ninety One Global Gold which have done and are continuing to do well in the turbulance etc is it worth buying say Invesco Physical Gold ETC (SGLP) in addition or just more of the two funds?

Thanks.
You could buy actual physical and remove third party risk?
Needs to be ETC or funds

RSTurboPaul

12,033 posts

273 months

Saturday 29th March
quotequote all
av185 said:
RSTurboPaul said:
av185 said:
What is the consensus on buying gold funds/ETCs atm.

Quite a bit in Blackrock Gold and General and Ninety One Global Gold which have done and are continuing to do well in the turbulance etc is it worth buying say Invesco Physical Gold ETC (SGLP) in addition or just more of the two funds?

Thanks.
You could buy actual physical and remove third party risk?
Needs to be ETC or funds
Does the Sprott PSLV fall under either of those?

{Not an investor, as you can tell wink )

Much talk (always... lol) about Silver potentially doing better than gold in a PMs bull market / global SHTF situation.

av185

20,464 posts

142 months

Saturday 29th March
quotequote all
RSTurboPaul said:
av185 said:
RSTurboPaul said:
av185 said:
What is the consensus on buying gold funds/ETCs atm.

Quite a bit in Blackrock Gold and General and Ninety One Global Gold which have done and are continuing to do well in the turbulance etc is it worth buying say Invesco Physical Gold ETC (SGLP) in addition or just more of the two funds?

Thanks.
You could buy actual physical and remove third party risk?
Needs to be ETC or funds
Does the Sprott PSLV fall under either of those?

{Not an investor, as you can tell wink )

Much talk (always... lol) about Silver potentially doing better than gold in a PMs bull market / global SHTF situation.
Problems with Sprott are its quoted in USD it has high charges and a management fee and there is no dividend.


RSTurboPaul

12,033 posts

273 months

Saturday 29th March
quotequote all
av185 said:
RSTurboPaul said:
av185 said:
RSTurboPaul said:
av185 said:
What is the consensus on buying gold funds/ETCs atm.

Quite a bit in Blackrock Gold and General and Ninety One Global Gold which have done and are continuing to do well in the turbulance etc is it worth buying say Invesco Physical Gold ETC (SGLP) in addition or just more of the two funds?

Thanks.
You could buy actual physical and remove third party risk?
Needs to be ETC or funds
Does the Sprott PSLV fall under either of those?

{Not an investor, as you can tell wink )

Much talk (always... lol) about Silver potentially doing better than gold in a PMs bull market / global SHTF situation.
Problems with Sprott are its quoted in USD it has high charges and a management fee and there is no dividend.
But it does have the actual physical silver behind each bit of paper it issues - I imagine the fees cover storage costs!

av185

20,464 posts

142 months

Saturday 29th March
quotequote all
RSTurboPaul said:
av185 said:
RSTurboPaul said:
av185 said:
RSTurboPaul said:
av185 said:
What is the consensus on buying gold funds/ETCs atm.

Quite a bit in Blackrock Gold and General and Ninety One Global Gold which have done and are continuing to do well in the turbulance etc is it worth buying say Invesco Physical Gold ETC (SGLP) in addition or just more of the two funds?

Thanks.
You could buy actual physical and remove third party risk?
Needs to be ETC or funds
Does the Sprott PSLV fall under either of those?

{Not an investor, as you can tell wink )

Much talk (always... lol) about Silver potentially doing better than gold in a PMs bull market / global SHTF situation.
Problems with Sprott are its quoted in USD it has high charges and a management fee and there is no dividend.
But it does have the actual physical silver behind each bit of paper it issues - I imagine the fees cover storage costs!
Quite. Think I will stick with gold and keep topping up Ninety One Gobal.

Incidentally looks like Jupiter India is clawing back nicely atm and one of the few funds to rise yesterday.

macron

11,780 posts

181 months

Monday 31st March
quotequote all
Hustle_ said:
Stayed invested and bought the dip but I am considering trying to reduce my exposure in the next couple of months pre-empting the recession
Which one?

Sheepshanks

37,186 posts

134 months

Monday 31st March
quotequote all
macron said:
Hustle_ said:
Stayed invested and bought the dip but I am considering trying to reduce my exposure in the next couple of months pre-empting the recession
Which one?
smile. The Asian markets weren’t pretty this morning and US market futures aren’t looking good. Doesn’t seem any end to this at the moment.

g4ry13

19,590 posts

270 months

Monday 31st March
quotequote all
macron said:
Hustle_ said:
Stayed invested and bought the dip but I am considering trying to reduce my exposure in the next couple of months pre-empting the recession
Which one?
All of them wink

g4ry13

19,590 posts

270 months

Monday 31st March
quotequote all
Sheepshanks said:
macron said:
Hustle_ said:
Stayed invested and bought the dip but I am considering trying to reduce my exposure in the next couple of months pre-empting the recession
Which one?
smile. The Asian markets weren’t pretty this morning and US market futures aren’t looking good. Doesn’t seem any end to this at the moment.
Wait until 2 April when Trump pulls the Uno Reverse card and delays tariffs being implemented.

Peterpetrole

737 posts

12 months

Monday 31st March
quotequote all
g4ry13 said:
Sheepshanks said:
macron said:
Hustle_ said:
Stayed invested and bought the dip but I am considering trying to reduce my exposure in the next couple of months pre-empting the recession
Which one?
smile. The Asian markets weren’t pretty this morning and US market futures aren’t looking good. Doesn’t seem any end to this at the moment.
Wait until 2 April when Trump pulls the Uno Reverse card and delays tariffs being implemented.
He's a chaos agent BUT that doesn't mean that the markets automatically go down. I stand by my view that everything going on has already been priced in and there's nothing to be done about it. Still gonna stick my ISA limit on the S+P in a few days.