Climate Change - The Scientific Debate (Vol. II)

Climate Change - The Scientific Debate (Vol. II)

Author
Discussion

LimSlip

800 posts

55 months

Sunday 14th June 2020
quotequote all
robinessex said:
Oh yea, that useless average thing, +1 Deg C in 100 years. I can't say I noticed it. PS. What's making it rise anyway?
A good chunk of it seems to be from "correcting" temperature records.

anonymous-user

55 months

Sunday 14th June 2020
quotequote all
Gadgetmac said:
dickymint said:
Give it a rest Gadge try reading what you post.
Yet another "no science" post Dicky. A quick flick back over the last 30 pages or so will be enough for anybody to see that I've started the last 4 or 5 conversations on this thread by posting a link to a scientific report.

Whilst you've supplied what? Drive-by wumming. If you don't like the science posts I make why bother replying with inane comments all the time?
He’s obviously trying to get you banned like he did on the climate politics threads.

Following you around and constantly trying to make out you don’t post any science (whilst he posts none) and then trying to provoke you into doing whatever he got you banned from the other thread from too. Then reporting you again.

It’s very sad but also very transparent.

kerplunk

7,076 posts

207 months

Sunday 14th June 2020
quotequote all
LimSlip said:
robinessex said:
Oh yea, that useless average thing, +1 Deg C in 100 years. I can't say I noticed it. PS. What's making it rise anyway?
A good chunk of it seems to be from "correcting" temperature records.
Oh dear, not even close.

The adjustments REDUCE the amount of global warming over the last 100 years.

https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-data-adj...



PRTVR

7,133 posts

222 months

Sunday 14th June 2020
quotequote all
kerplunk said:
LimSlip said:
robinessex said:
Oh yea, that useless average thing, +1 Deg C in 100 years. I can't say I noticed it. PS. What's making it rise anyway?
A good chunk of it seems to be from "correcting" temperature records.
Oh dear, not even close.

The adjustments REDUCE the amount of global warming over the last 100 years.

https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-data-adj...
Carbonbrief are not independent, look where the people who they employ, look at there funding, you may as well have asked
Michael Mann .
If the "adjustments " reduced global warming, how did the pause disappear, you know the one that was per reviewed to have hidden in the deep oceans?

kerplunk

7,076 posts

207 months

Sunday 14th June 2020
quotequote all
PRTVR said:
kerplunk said:
LimSlip said:
robinessex said:
Oh yea, that useless average thing, +1 Deg C in 100 years. I can't say I noticed it. PS. What's making it rise anyway?
A good chunk of it seems to be from "correcting" temperature records.
Oh dear, not even close.

The adjustments REDUCE the amount of global warming over the last 100 years.

https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-data-adj...
Carbonbrief are not independent, look where the people who they employ, look at there funding, you may as well have asked
Michael Mann .
If the "adjustments " reduced global warming, how did the pause disappear, you know the one that was per reviewed to have hidden in the deep oceans?
Suit yourself - I'm fine with Zeke Hausfather as a credible data analyst.

Feel free to post a credible analysis that supports Limslips claim that a 'good chunk' of the warming of the last 100 years comes from adjustments to the data. You won't find one, because it doesn't - it's a myth.

PRTVR

7,133 posts

222 months

Sunday 14th June 2020
quotequote all
kerplunk said:
PRTVR said:
kerplunk said:
LimSlip said:
robinessex said:
Oh yea, that useless average thing, +1 Deg C in 100 years. I can't say I noticed it. PS. What's making it rise anyway?
A good chunk of it seems to be from "correcting" temperature records.
Oh dear, not even close.

The adjustments REDUCE the amount of global warming over the last 100 years.

https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-data-adj...
Carbonbrief are not independent, look where the people who they employ, look at there funding, you may as well have asked
Michael Mann .
If the "adjustments " reduced global warming, how did the pause disappear, you know the one that was per reviewed to have hidden in the deep oceans?
Suit yourself - I'm fine with Zeke Hausfather as a credible data analyst.

Feel free to post a credible analysis that supports Limslips claim that a 'good chunk' of the warming of the last 100 years comes from adjustments to the data. You won't find one, because it doesn't - it's a myth.
Was it a myth? what about all the scientific papers that explained away the pause that were not needed after the adjustments,

Is there an independent analyst, because Hausfather is anything but, he is a climate scientist , go look at the team over at carbonbrief, its basically a PR outlet for matters concerning climate change, whitewash central.
https://www.carbonbrief.org/about-us

Gadgetmac

14,984 posts

109 months

Sunday 14th June 2020
quotequote all
El stovey said:
Gadgetmac said:
dickymint said:
Give it a rest Gadge try reading what you post.
Yet another "no science" post Dicky. A quick flick back over the last 30 pages or so will be enough for anybody to see that I've started the last 4 or 5 conversations on this thread by posting a link to a scientific report.

Whilst you've supplied what? Drive-by wumming. If you don't like the science posts I make why bother replying with inane comments all the time?
He’s obviously trying to get you banned like he did on the climate politics threads.

Following you around and constantly trying to make out you don’t post any science (whilst he posts none) and then trying to provoke you into doing whatever he got you banned from the other thread from too. Then reporting you again.

It’s very sad but also very transparent.
Exactly!

Mods: I hope you're watching this.thumbup

Toltec

7,164 posts

224 months

Sunday 14th June 2020
quotequote all
Gadgetmac said:
robinessex said:
PRTVR said:
Gadgetmac said:
PRTVR said:
Toltec said:
Gadgetmac said:
Jet stream: Is climate change causing more ‘blocking’ weather events?
No, but maybe yes in some areas and possibly longer lasting, it's complicated. biggrin

That was indeed an interesting article and well explained.
Quite, it typifies the whole climate change science in one article,
Thanks Gadgetmac, I can see why you put your "faith " in scientists like this. hehe
You expect climate change to be simple then? biggrin

And please do let me have your list of scientists and scientific institutions I can trust.. laugh
Read it objectively, from the point of being told the probability of man made climate change is high, do you see the problem?
Because the subject is complex is the point that is been made,
remember we are looking for the evidence of change brought about from a small addition to a trace gas in the atmosphere, when the variables ,known and possibly unknown are complex,
note that they are relying upon models for their predictions, this brings us back to GIGO, if the models are running incomplete data, given the complexity of a chaotic system a high probability , the outcome that is necessary for predictions becomes inevitably inaccurate but are still held up as the answer,
No news there then laugh
There never is any news there...But still the temperature rises. biggrin
In itself the temperature rising, or indeed more energy being retained, is not the critical thing. It is how this will affect how we and other creatures live on the planet. As this article makes clear this a very complex and making accurate predictions is difficult if not impossible at present. The scientists are working to close the gap obviously.

kerplunk

7,076 posts

207 months

Monday 15th June 2020
quotequote all
PRTVR said:
kerplunk said:
PRTVR said:
kerplunk said:
LimSlip said:
robinessex said:
Oh yea, that useless average thing, +1 Deg C in 100 years. I can't say I noticed it. PS. What's making it rise anyway?
A good chunk of it seems to be from "correcting" temperature records.
Oh dear, not even close.

The adjustments REDUCE the amount of global warming over the last 100 years.

https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-data-adj...
Carbonbrief are not independent, look where the people who they employ, look at there funding, you may as well have asked
Michael Mann .
If the "adjustments " reduced global warming, how did the pause disappear, you know the one that was per reviewed to have hidden in the deep oceans?
Suit yourself - I'm fine with Zeke Hausfather as a credible data analyst.

Feel free to post a credible analysis that supports Limslips claim that a 'good chunk' of the warming of the last 100 years comes from adjustments to the data. You won't find one, because it doesn't - it's a myth.
Was it a myth? what about all the scientific papers that explained away the pause that were not needed after the adjustments,

Is there an independent analyst, because Hausfather is anything but, he is a climate scientist , go look at the team over at carbonbrief, its basically a PR outlet for matters concerning climate change, whitewash central.
https://www.carbonbrief.org/about-us
The putative pause was a short period and thus immaterial. There's quite a few credible citizen bean counters out there so you would have no problem finding support for the claim, if it were genuine.

PRTVR

7,133 posts

222 months

Monday 15th June 2020
quotequote all
kerplunk said:
The putative pause was a short period and thus immaterial. There's quite a few credible citizen bean counters out there so you would have no problem finding support for the claim, if it were genuine.
If it was immaterial why were scientific papers produced and peer reviewed to explain the event, why were the numbers adjusted to remove the pause, obviously some thought it was important to expend a lot of energy on.
Citizen bean counters? Are you serious, who is going to pay them, who is going to explain the whole complex system to them, how is the data going to be verified when it isn't open source, remember for it to have any credibility trust would have to exist and that would be the hardest part.

Gadgetmac

14,984 posts

109 months

Monday 15th June 2020
quotequote all
PRTVR said:
kerplunk said:
The putative pause was a short period and thus immaterial. There's quite a few credible citizen bean counters out there so you would have no problem finding support for the claim, if it were genuine.
If it was immaterial why were scientific papers produced and peer reviewed to explain the event, why were the numbers adjusted to remove the pause, obviously some thought it was important to expend a lot of energy on.
Citizen bean counters? Are you serious, who is going to pay them, who is going to explain the whole complex system to them, how is the data going to be verified when it isn't open source, remember for it to have any credibility trust would have to exist and that would be the hardest part.
Any chance you could take your conspiracy theory nonsense to the other thread?

Cheers.

PRTVR

7,133 posts

222 months

Monday 15th June 2020
quotequote all
Gadgetmac said:
PRTVR said:
kerplunk said:
The putative pause was a short period and thus immaterial. There's quite a few credible citizen bean counters out there so you would have no problem finding support for the claim, if it were genuine.
If it was immaterial why were scientific papers produced and peer reviewed to explain the event, why were the numbers adjusted to remove the pause, obviously some thought it was important to expend a lot of energy on.
Citizen bean counters? Are you serious, who is going to pay them, who is going to explain the whole complex system to them, how is the data going to be verified when it isn't open source, remember for it to have any credibility trust would have to exist and that would be the hardest part.
Any chance you could take your conspiracy theory nonsense to the other thread?

Cheers.
Were not peer reviewed papers published?

durbster

10,291 posts

223 months

Monday 15th June 2020
quotequote all
PRTVR said:
kerplunk said:
The putative pause was a short period and thus immaterial. There's quite a few credible citizen bean counters out there so you would have no problem finding support for the claim, if it were genuine.
If it was immaterial why were scientific papers produced and peer reviewed to explain the event, why were the numbers adjusted to remove the pause, obviously some thought it was important to expend a lot of energy on.
Citizen bean counters? Are you serious, who is going to pay them, who is going to explain the whole complex system to them, how is the data going to be verified when it isn't open source, remember for it to have any credibility trust would have to exist and that would be the hardest part.
So in short, everyone qualified to analyse the data is committing a vast fraud for no particular reason, and anyone who has validated those results is not qualified enough.

In other words, to continue to reject AGW you're basically forced to reject all forms of evidence.

Given this is the science thread, do you want to post some basis for why we should believe any of these claims?

PRTVR

7,133 posts

222 months

Monday 15th June 2020
quotequote all
durbster said:
PRTVR said:
kerplunk said:
The putative pause was a short period and thus immaterial. There's quite a few credible citizen bean counters out there so you would have no problem finding support for the claim, if it were genuine.
If it was immaterial why were scientific papers produced and peer reviewed to explain the event, why were the numbers adjusted to remove the pause, obviously some thought it was important to expend a lot of energy on.
Citizen bean counters? Are you serious, who is going to pay them, who is going to explain the whole complex system to them, how is the data going to be verified when it isn't open source, remember for it to have any credibility trust would have to exist and that would be the hardest part.
So in short, everyone qualified to analyse the data is committing a vast fraud for no particular reason, and anyone who has validated those results is not qualified enough.

In other words, to continue to reject AGW you're basically forced to reject all forms of evidence.

Given this is the science thread, do you want to post some basis for why we should believe any of these claims?
I do not see a problem in getting truly independent verification of the numbers, if the subject is as important as it is,
When company accounts are completed at the end of the year do they not get independent accountants to verify they are correct,
I see no difference given the world wide importance of the subject.

Gadgetmac

14,984 posts

109 months

Monday 15th June 2020
quotequote all
durbster said:
PRTVR said:
kerplunk said:
The putative pause was a short period and thus immaterial. There's quite a few credible citizen bean counters out there so you would have no problem finding support for the claim, if it were genuine.
If it was immaterial why were scientific papers produced and peer reviewed to explain the event, why were the numbers adjusted to remove the pause, obviously some thought it was important to expend a lot of energy on.
Citizen bean counters? Are you serious, who is going to pay them, who is going to explain the whole complex system to them, how is the data going to be verified when it isn't open source, remember for it to have any credibility trust would have to exist and that would be the hardest part.
So in short, everyone qualified to analyse the data is committing a vast fraud for no particular reason, and anyone who has validated those results is not qualified enough.

In other words, to continue to reject AGW you're basically forced to reject all forms of evidence.

Given this is the science thread, do you want to post some basis for why we should believe any of these claims?
Exactly. What a waste of bandwidth not to mention polluting of this thread his argument is.

Gadgetmac

14,984 posts

109 months

Monday 15th June 2020
quotequote all
PRTVR said:
Gadgetmac said:
PRTVR said:
kerplunk said:
The putative pause was a short period and thus immaterial. There's quite a few credible citizen bean counters out there so you would have no problem finding support for the claim, if it were genuine.
If it was immaterial why were scientific papers produced and peer reviewed to explain the event, why were the numbers adjusted to remove the pause, obviously some thought it was important to expend a lot of energy on.
Citizen bean counters? Are you serious, who is going to pay them, who is going to explain the whole complex system to them, how is the data going to be verified when it isn't open source, remember for it to have any credibility trust would have to exist and that would be the hardest part.
Any chance you could take your conspiracy theory nonsense to the other thread?

Cheers.
Were not peer reviewed papers published?
Sorry are you saying that all of a sudden you're happy to accept peer reviewed papers? Or that the peer reviewed papers were part of the conspiracy?. Only you people appear to want it every which way.

This is what happens every time somebody posts a link to some science on here...the deniers bring it all back to this nonsense.

durbster

10,291 posts

223 months

Monday 15th June 2020
quotequote all
PRTVR said:
I do not see a problem in getting truly independent verification of the numbers, if the subject is as important as it is,
When company accounts are completed at the end of the year do they not get independent accountants to verify they are correct,
I see no difference given the world wide importance of the subject.
It's precisely because of the importance that everything has been scrutinised like no other. AGW is fundamentally a hugely expensive pain in the arse, so there's significant motivation to disprove it.

Also, there's absolutely no logical reason anyone would wilfully misrepresent data. You can't pretend temperatures are rising when they are not; you can't tell an ice sheet to melt to accommodate a Marxist plot (or whatever it is supposed to be today).

Don't you wonder why the people you're championing are exclusively bloggers and random people on YouTube? Mostly unqualified, all unaccountable, with nothing to lose yet books and advertising to sell.

If there were genuine grounds of corruption, why aren't the massive companies who stand to lose $billions leading the charge? Why do you think they have not used their resources to hire the best data analysts, scientists, investigators and lawyers and make this case, demand arrests and fraud charges?

kerplunk

7,076 posts

207 months

Monday 15th June 2020
quotequote all
PRTVR said:
kerplunk said:
The putative pause was a short period and thus immaterial. There's quite a few credible citizen bean counters out there so you would have no problem finding support for the claim, if it were genuine.
If it was immaterial why were scientific papers produced and peer reviewed to explain the event, why were the numbers adjusted to remove the pause, obviously some thought it was important to expend a lot of energy on.
It's immaterial to the claim that a good chunk of the warming of the last 100 years is due to corrections. Unless you can show different of course, but you can't because it isn't - you're just arm-waving. You're nowhere near putting forward a credible argument. You're just arm-waving.

PRTVR said:
Citizen bean counters? Are you serious, who is going to pay them, who is going to explain the whole complex system to them, how is the data going to be verified when it isn't open source, remember for it to have any credibility trust would have to exist and that would be the hardest part.
Quite serious, there are many - it's bizarre that you don't know that

Climate Audit (Steve McIntyre)
The Air Vent (Jeff ID)
Lucia's Blacboard
Moyhu (Nick Stokes)

Just a short list there's many more.

The data is freely available and it doesn't take huge chops to compare trends between raw vs adjusted datasets, it just need area weighting to be applied and that's it.

That you are terminally uncovincable and riddled with bad faith is neither here nor there - that's just you.




Edited by kerplunk on Monday 15th June 11:48

kerplunk

7,076 posts

207 months

Monday 15th June 2020
quotequote all
durbster said:
It's precisely because of the importance that everything has been scrutinised like no other. AGW is fundamentally a hugely expensive pain in the arse, so there's significant motivation to disprove it.

Also, there's absolutely no logical reason anyone would wilfully misrepresent data. You can't pretend temperatures are rising when they are not; you can't tell an ice sheet to melt to accommodate a Marxist plot (or whatever it is supposed to be today).

Don't you wonder why the people you're championing are exclusively bloggers and random people on YouTube? Mostly unqualified, all unaccountable, with nothing to lose yet books and advertising to sell.
Who is he championing? There's many bloggers doing credible work looking at the data. A lot of ste ones too of course.

durbster

10,291 posts

223 months

Monday 15th June 2020
quotequote all
kerplunk said:
Who is he championing? There's many bloggers doing credible work looking at the data. A lot of ste ones too of course.
That's true, and I shouldn't dismiss bloggers outright. I'm referring specifically to the ones who share a lot more opinion than insight.

I think I've seen PRTVR citing Tony Heller a lot, so that's who I had in mind.