SpaceX (Vol. 2)

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Discussion

Beati Dogu

9,281 posts

154 months

Friday 26th April 2024
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Falcon 9 B1060 will soon launch for its 20th and final time. It is being expended to get two Galileo-L12 Satellites up to their desired orbit. They were originally going to fly on Ariane 6, but that is still delayed.

Beati Dogu

9,281 posts

154 months

Sunday 28th April 2024
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^ That one went off ok. Satellites delivered and 20th flight booster now giving the Atlantic sea life something to check out.

This launch was also the 200th mission to use flight-proven fairings. Quite a revolutionary cost saving it its own right.


SpaceX also said:

"We’re working toward qualifying our fleet of Falcon boosters and fairings to support 40 missions each. Increasing Falcon's flight count provides valuable information on repeated reuse, a critical element for making life multiplanetary with Starship"

40 flights per booster? That just happens to be one more than Space Shuttle Discovery's record.


Meanwhile the CRS-30 Cargo Dragon has left the ISS after about 5 weeks. It is due to splash down on Tuesday.

Dog Star

16,972 posts

183 months

Monday 29th April 2024
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Toaster said:
Are we there yet...I mean hundreds and hundreds of posts and still we are not there......Makes NASA and Apollo look an absolute brilliant achievement. They not only had to design and invent new technologies but the Math that went along with with it. They also had to invent the computers as they went along. This bunch have the technology the Math and previous experience so I will ask again are we there yet wink
How much did Apollo and a Saturn cost to develop? Was it even partially reusable and designed from the outset to be reusable? All the got back was a charred CM. That’s the lot from a 363’ stack.

Not even a valid comparison. If SpaceX were just building some huge, dumb, expendable rockets they’d have done so years ago and they’d probably cost 30p each.

Few posts above that one “they’re having trouble with Starship re entry”. Eh? They’ve had one single shot at it with IFT3 and what was clearly no attitude control, so in fact they didn’t even get a proper go. I think it will be very difficult and a flip and soft can “landing” won’t be this year. I hope it is though.

I think they’ll have the booster sorted in the next couple of flights; they’re masters at this, it’s just scaled up and getting the Raptors to relight and survive that descent.

Arnold Cunningham

4,265 posts

268 months

Monday 29th April 2024
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His post was clearly just trying to evoke a response.

MartG

21,806 posts

219 months

Monday 29th April 2024
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Arnold Cunningham said:
His post was clearly just trying to evoke a response.
Yes - unfurtunately he pops up every so often with his jaundiced view of the world frown

hidetheelephants

30,251 posts

208 months

Monday 29th April 2024
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Dog Star said:
How much did Apollo and a Saturn cost to develop? Was it even partially reusable and designed from the outset to be reusable? All the got back was a charred CM. That’s the lot from a 363’ stack.
Apollo required ~5% of the US GDP for a decade-ish. Mental amounts of money.

I thought that seems a bit large on reflection and having factchecked myself it is; spending peaked around 1965 at 5% of govt spending or about 0.66% of GDP, ~$5bn with total expenditure on spaceflight to 1972 being ~$30bn. Still a mental amount of money.

Expenditure on the Vietnam war over the same period was $178bn, although subsequent cost of pensions, veteran treatment and disability payments etc is $270bn. War; what is it good for? Profit for the MIC, who also did well out of Apollo contracting.

Edited by hidetheelephants on Monday 29th April 23:03

Beati Dogu

9,281 posts

154 months

Monday 29th April 2024
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At the height of the Vietnam War as well.

Talksteer

5,282 posts

248 months

Monday 29th April 2024
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ridds said:
I think a lot of it boils down to what is defined as a "vacuum" and what Hyperloop would actually need to run in to be able to achieve the claimed speeds.

I've delved into Turbomolecular Vacuum Pumps and it is a world away from vac filling your car engine with coolant for example. That last few percent is incredibly hard to achieve.

Containing air under extreme pressure or vacuum is very hard and very dangerous. I try and keep as far away as possible from either. laugh

In terms of risk, I'm not sure it's overly different to High Speed Rail. TGVs in France and the Shinkansen in Japan regularly run at speeds that would result in a very nasty events if someone were to attack it. At least Hyperloop would have been in a steel tube.

I think the real issue is the power needed to achieve the required vacuum, how you transition the pod into said tube and the cost associated with maintaining the integrity of the tube over massive distances, including coping with thermal expansion/contraction.

Then add in the power for the MagLev (if that's the motive system of choice). There's a reason there's only a few operational transport systems using this tech across the world.
His original comments were on the "V1" design that SpaceX proposed. In that there was a fan on the front of it which was intended to allow the tube to be smaller and also power the vehicle once it had been accelerated to speed. This removed the need to electrify the whole tube. In this circumstances the pod would essentially be "flying" at about 130,000ft the compressor would work essentially like an electric powered jet engine with a relatively low pressure ratio. No cleverness would be required for this compressor.

In practice once teams started looking at the idea most of them went with a slightly larger tube and maglev propulsion all the way. The compressor idea needed each pod to have water/steam cooling board to stop the air in the tube heating up excessively.

As for maintaining the vaccum, the use of the word is highly dependent on what you are doing with it. In the case of human health anything above the Armstrong limit is basically the same, in the case of vacuum vessel structural design they are all the same. However as far as the pods go they are essentially travelling in something akin to high altitude flight and as far as the vaccum pumps go the difficulty pretty much doubles every time you halve the pressure. Ergo 0.1% atmosphere is ~3x more difficult to maintain than 1% atmosphere.

The choice of vacuum pressure for most systems concepts is basically trade between energy usage for moving the pods and cost of generating the vaccum. The pump units have been built and tested for representative scale systems. Those wouldn't be where I'd look for the maximum technical risk. The same would go around expansion, there are solutions the fact that Thuderfoot doesn't understand them is why he's making essentially a straw man argument. The big issue with the above ground solution is that due to the speed its likely that a real system would have to be so straight as to make the civil engineering excessive expensive along with the planning and land acquisition.

Regarding the ends of the line for a high capacity system I would assume that they will end up looking something like the breach of an automatic firearm. The pod gets encapsulated in a space filler that makes it a near perfect cylinder and excludes most of the air before it gets loaded into a "cartridge", residual air is removed in the cartridge (this may not be necessary). The cartridge gets loaded onto the end of the system and the pod passes through an pressure door. The encapsulation is then removed and sent to be placed around a departing pod which reverses the process. There is no reason why multiple breaches couldn't serve a single tube.

The issue with 99% of commenters on the Hyperloop is that they are looking for some sort of "gotcha". There isn't one, there is nothing wrong with the concept from a physics basis, people will then generally try to find some sort of "gotcha" from an engineering basis which generally take the form of picking on a novel bit of it throwing a rubbish semi analogous solution at it and then saying it can't work. The people working on it aren't idiots and have spent longer thinking about solutions than the commentators.

What is a lot more reasonable is to say that the cost of developing a viable solution is currently unknown (it is higher than the early developers thought hence the bankruptcies), there are relatively few bodies who are in a position to fund development on that basis.

However given that such a system is basically a teleporter there is a good argument for people to be working on such a system as well as trying to make commercial products that utilise some of the technological building blocks. Specifically improvements in tunneling and backwards compatible maglev for existing rail.

Looking a previous technology adoption is likely that early adopters will be left with something which is incompatible with later systems, is difficult to maintain in the long term and will be unreliable initially. Finding a client who is ok with that in the public transport realm is likely to be difficult which is why the first ones will likely be built in either China or the Gulf.

skwdenyer

18,275 posts

255 months

Tuesday 30th April 2024
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Splendid post.

I recall a book I had as a child: “Spacecraft 2000 to 2100 AD.”

amongst the “spacecraft” was a trans-Atlantic evacuated tunnel, featuring a craft riding (or rather, levitating) on 3 rails (at approximately 120 degree angles). I’ve wondered if Musk read the same book? smile

It turns out the Internet Archive has the book at https://archive.org/details/terrantradeauthorityha... from which we find:


RustyMX5

8,636 posts

232 months

Tuesday 30th April 2024
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It's been a significant number of years since I did anything in fluid mechanics but I wonder if the goal of pressure reduction rather than creation of a vacuum within the tube might be a sensible alternative. Just a thought.

C n C

3,809 posts

236 months

Wednesday 1st May 2024
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skwdenyer said:
Splendid post.

I recall a book I had as a child: “Spacecraft 2000 to 2100 AD.”

amongst the “spacecraft” was a trans-Atlantic evacuated tunnel, featuring a craft riding (or rather, levitating) on 3 rails (at approximately 120 degree angles). I’ve wondered if Musk read the same book? smile

It turns out the Internet Archive has the book at https://archive.org/details/terrantradeauthorityha... from which we find:

Sorry it's O/T but it reminds me of this toy I had many, many years ago..



Arnold Cunningham

4,265 posts

268 months

Wednesday 1st May 2024
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I had one too! Dinky toys were cool.

Hill92

4,915 posts

205 months

Saturday 4th May 2024
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SpaceX have revealed their Extravehicular Activity (EVA) space suit to be used on by the astronauts on Jared Issacman's Polaris Dawn flight:

https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/1786759044948189...

https://twitter.com/PolarisProgram/status/17867603...

SpaceX on X said:
At ~700 km above Earth, the EVA suit will support the @PolarisProgram’s Polaris Dawn crew in the vacuum of space during the first-ever commercial astronaut spacewalk.

Evolved from the Intravehicular Activity (IVA) suit, the EVA suit provides greater mobility, a state-of-the-art helmet Heads-Up Display (HUD) and camera, new thermal management textiles, and materials borrowed from Falcon’s interstage and Dragon’s trunk.

Building a base on the Moon and a city on Mars will require millions of spacesuits. The development of this suit and the execution of the spacewalk will be important steps toward a scalable design for spacesuits on future long-duration missions as life becomes multiplanetary.

Beati Dogu

9,281 posts

154 months

Wednesday 8th May 2024
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March 2004 edition cover of Aviation Week magazine:



Why yes, I think they can.

Eric Mc

123,878 posts

280 months

Wednesday 8th May 2024
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They didn’t rock Boeing. Boeing self destructed.

Beati Dogu

9,281 posts

154 months

Thursday 9th May 2024
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Boeing were forced into a shotgun wedding with Lockheed to form ULA. Now they’re only really surviving as a second source launch provider. Their lunch having very much been eaten along with Roscosmos and Arianespace’s by SpaceX.

xeny

4,997 posts

93 months

Saturday 11th May 2024
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In case anyone isn't aware, the reason for the wedding is described here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vyxLAezc9k0&t=... . Shotgun is one way to describe it....

skwdenyer

18,275 posts

255 months

Saturday 11th May 2024
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Interesting projections that Starlink will be a $6bn revenue business this year. Which is pretty strong result. There are already 2.7m subscribers. Which will undoubtedly help with funding Starship.

LivLL

11,598 posts

212 months

Sunday 12th May 2024
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3-5 weeks before the next Starship launch apparently, can’t wait for another one which will hopefully go further than the lasts

Step by step.

annodomini2

6,944 posts

266 months

Sunday 12th May 2024
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LivLL said:
3-5 weeks before the next Starship launch apparently, can’t wait for another one which will hopefully go further than the lasts

Step by step.
They haven't submitted the mishap report to the FAA yet, so it may be some time.