The Official F1 2025 silly season *contains speculation*

The Official F1 2025 silly season *contains speculation*

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Discussion

TheDeuce

24,387 posts

72 months

Saturday 3rd August
quotequote all
stemll said:
thegreenhell said:
Mazepin (jnr) was recently taken off the EU sanctions list.
Still on the UK sanctions list though so might make trips to Enstone tricky. He was denied entry to the UK last year and nothing has changed since then.
It should be reasonably easy to fight the UK sanction now though, unless a UK court can demonstrate that the basis of the EU decision is without merit - which will be difficult. The problem is he shouldn't be judged by association to his father alone. In an different situation, he could be estranged from his father and be a political activist against Putin - should the sanctions apply to him then 'just because Dad'? That's the problem with blame by association, it doesn't always make sense and therefore is difficult to defend as a blanket justification for sanctions.

It depends how serious he and the family are about getting him back into the world of motorsport/F1. Recent events suggest there is that intent.

Leithen

11,927 posts

273 months

Saturday 3rd August
quotequote all
Not that I feel any sympathy for Mazepin Snr, but it's a choice of supporting Putin or stepping out of a very high window.

Some awkward decisions for Liberty if he is going to be the money behind an Alpine takeover. Don't expect them to care though given HAAS.

stemll

4,258 posts

206 months

Saturday 3rd August
quotequote all
TheDeuce said:
stemll said:
thegreenhell said:
Mazepin (jnr) was recently taken off the EU sanctions list.
Still on the UK sanctions list though so might make trips to Enstone tricky. He was denied entry to the UK last year and nothing has changed since then.
It should be reasonably easy to fight the UK sanction now though, unless a UK court can demonstrate that the basis of the EU decision is without merit - which will be difficult. The problem is he shouldn't be judged by association to his father alone. In an different situation, he could be estranged from his father and be a political activist against Putin - should the sanctions apply to him then 'just because Dad'? That's the problem with blame by association, it doesn't always make sense and therefore is difficult to defend as a blanket justification for sanctions.

It depends how serious he and the family are about getting him back into the world of motorsport/F1. Recent events suggest there is that intent.
He is far from estranged and his dad is bankrolling it so, yes they should apply. A UK court shouldn't care less about the basis of the EU decision. If he still meets the criteria for UK sanctions then that's it. The presence, or otherwise, of EU sanctions is irrelevant.

Edited by stemll on Saturday 3rd August 18:04

vaud

Original Poster:

51,848 posts

161 months

Saturday 3rd August
quotequote all
stemll said:
thegreenhell said:
Mazepin (jnr) was recently taken off the EU sanctions list.
Still on the UK sanctions list though so might make trips to Enstone tricky. He was denied entry to the UK last year and nothing has changed since then.
There is no way any sponsors will want to be near him.

TheDeuce

24,387 posts

72 months

Sunday 4th August
quotequote all
stemll said:
TheDeuce said:
stemll said:
thegreenhell said:
Mazepin (jnr) was recently taken off the EU sanctions list.
Still on the UK sanctions list though so might make trips to Enstone tricky. He was denied entry to the UK last year and nothing has changed since then.
It should be reasonably easy to fight the UK sanction now though, unless a UK court can demonstrate that the basis of the EU decision is without merit - which will be difficult. The problem is he shouldn't be judged by association to his father alone. In an different situation, he could be estranged from his father and be a political activist against Putin - should the sanctions apply to him then 'just because Dad'? That's the problem with blame by association, it doesn't always make sense and therefore is difficult to defend as a blanket justification for sanctions.

It depends how serious he and the family are about getting him back into the world of motorsport/F1. Recent events suggest there is that intent.
He is far from estranged and his dad is bankrolling it so, yes they should apply. A UK court shouldn't care less about the basis of the EU decision. If he still meets the criteria for UK sanctions then that's it. The presence, or otherwise, of EU sanctions is irrelevant.

Edited by stemll on Saturday 3rd August 18:04
You have misunderstood. The current basis for the sanction is affiliation to his father. It doesn't matter what the specific situation is, because judgement hasn't been based upon specifics - it's just attachment to his dad, who is obviously sanctioned against.

That can be challenged and would likely be successful.

They would need to find a new reason to sanction him that didn't rely upon who his dad is - which is obviously a factor of life that nobody has any forward thinking control over.

You didn't choose your dad.

Sandpit Steve

11,233 posts

80 months

Sunday 4th August
quotequote all
TheDeuce said:
You have misunderstood. The current basis for the sanction is affiliation to his father. It doesn't matter what the specific situation is, because judgement hasn't been based upon specifics - it's just attachment to his dad, who is obviously sanctioned against.

That can be challenged and would likely be successful.

They would need to find a new reason to sanction him that didn't rely upon who his dad is - which is obviously a factor of life that nobody has any forward thinking control over.

You didn't choose your dad.
Well no-one is giving him a drive on his own merits, and no sponsor wants to be associated with anyone of his nationality - which leaves only his father to write the cheques, hence the problems.

TheDeuce

24,387 posts

72 months

Sunday 4th August
quotequote all
Sandpit Steve said:
TheDeuce said:
You have misunderstood. The current basis for the sanction is affiliation to his father. It doesn't matter what the specific situation is, because judgement hasn't been based upon specifics - it's just attachment to his dad, who is obviously sanctioned against.

That can be challenged and would likely be successful.

They would need to find a new reason to sanction him that didn't rely upon who his dad is - which is obviously a factor of life that nobody has any forward thinking control over.

You didn't choose your dad.
Well no-one is giving him a drive on his own merits, and no sponsor wants to be associated with anyone of his nationality - which leaves only his father to write the cheques, hence the problems.
Indeed. He can't be a beneficiary of, or business activities enabled by his dads money, even indirectly, in any country which uphold sanctions against his Dad.

What is less clear is if Hitech, who have received significant investment from Mazepin snr, amongst many others, can now be prevented from 'choosing' to employ Mazepin jnr, simply because 'some' investment came from a person that has current sanctions placed upon them. The issue is that Hitech is a going concern, has obviously been able to continue in the sport despite the sanctions, and is not officially under control/influence of Mazepin snr - even though we can imagine that in reality, it is.

It's possible a Chinese car company (or maybe even not car) could offer sponsorship.. It's perhaps not accurate to say that 'no sponsor' would go for a Russian driver with close ties to Putin.

vaud

Original Poster:

51,848 posts

161 months

Sunday 4th August
quotequote all
TheDeuce said:
It's possible a Chinese car company (or maybe even not car) could offer sponsorship.. It's perhaps not accurate to say that 'no sponsor' would go for a Russian driver with close ties to Putin.
Possible but then you have the secondary sponsors who won't want the association, and let's not forget this:

https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2020/dec/09/haas...

TheDeuce

24,387 posts

72 months

Sunday 4th August
quotequote all
vaud said:
TheDeuce said:
It's possible a Chinese car company (or maybe even not car) could offer sponsorship.. It's perhaps not accurate to say that 'no sponsor' would go for a Russian driver with close ties to Putin.
Possible but then you have the secondary sponsors who won't want the association, and let's not forget this:

https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2020/dec/09/haas...
I'll ignore the video of him being grabby... That's old news, albeit pretty shameful stuff. Not really relevant to his future.

As for sponsorship, it really depends how much money they need as a team in order to achieve their goals. One major Chinese, or other friendly countries sponsor could easily fund the team including top three salaries for a season. They would also no doubt be able to get other minor sponsors from friendly countries. It really depends what motivates the sponsors, which in that part of the world won't always be obvious - there's all sorts of influence and politics at play.

Some sponsors might attach high value to their sponsorship being considered controversial and the subsequent press interest. F1 has had no shortage of controversial sponsors and dodgy drivers being indirectly funded to enter the sport at almost any expense. Hopefully the Mazepins won't find their way back in - but I wouldn't be all that shocked if they did!

Leithen

11,927 posts

273 months

Sunday 4th August
quotequote all
If he did get a drive, it would remove the last shred of credibility that Liberty think they possess.

vaud

Original Poster:

51,848 posts

161 months

Sunday 4th August
quotequote all
TheDeuce said:
I'll ignore the video of him being grabby... That's old news, albeit pretty shameful stuff. Not really relevant to his future.
It's relevant in terms of sponsor association. I've been part of a team assessing an F1 title sponsorship and the drivers are part of the assessment.

You build a large dossier on all the aspects - history of the team, leadership, management, drivers, assessment of ROI, drivers, positives, risk issues, etc as it is obviously a large investment.

If Mazepin had been part of the assessment we did, it would likely have been enough to deal the proposition on it's own. Mazepin would be a red flag, even before the Russia issue - it's a lot about brand and values alignment, plus risk to reputation.

Sandpit Steve

11,233 posts

80 months

Tuesday 20th August
quotequote all
An interesting car for Mr Bottas to post himself sitting next to during his summer road trip.

https://x.com/valtteribottas/status/18235121392916...


PRO5T

4,726 posts

31 months

Tuesday 20th August
quotequote all
He’s a seriously underrated driver mr Bottas, him and Hulk would do well while they’re building themselves up at Audi.

Sandpit Steve

11,233 posts

80 months

Tuesday 20th August
quotequote all
PRO5T said:
He’s a seriously underrated driver mr Bottas, him and Hulk would do well while they’re building themselves up at Audi.
yes

If you wanted one driver from the current 20 to be a development driver for a new team, it would have to be Valtteri no question. He knows everying there is to know about the sport from a driver’s perspective - and spent five years in one of the most successful teams of all time, until very recently.

hondajack85

211 posts

5 months

Tuesday 20th August
quotequote all
Sandpit Steve said:
An interesting car for Mr Bottas to post himself sitting next to during his summer road trip.

https://x.com/valtteribottas/status/18235121392916...

Haha just trashing the company car while he can.
Having said that he is probably the best driver left in a pool of available drivers.

FourWheelDrift

89,452 posts

290 months

Friday 23rd August
quotequote all
Jack Doohan will be racing for Alpine in F1 next year.

https://x.com/Formula2/status/1826877377089052698

PRO5T

4,726 posts

31 months

Friday 23rd August
quotequote all
FourWheelDrift said:
Jack Doohan will be racing for Alpine in F1 next year.

https://x.com/Formula2/status/1826877377089052698
New blood, great news and happy for the Doohan family. Jack and Pierre will make a great team together.

Muzzer79

10,865 posts

193 months

Friday 23rd August
quotequote all
Good to see a new driver being given a chance, rather than recycling old talent again.

So, just VCARB and Sauber left to confirm for next year then?

rallycross

13,218 posts

243 months

Friday 23rd August
quotequote all
Muzzer79 said:
Good to see a new driver being given a chance, rather than recycling old talent again.

So, just VCARB and Sauber left to confirm for next year then?
Agreed this is great news
Meanwhile sauber will be tugging around at the back while Bottas collects his pension - he should be booted out.

kambites

68,200 posts

227 months

Friday 23rd August
quotequote all
Muzzer79 said:
So, just VCARB and Sauber left to confirm for next year then?
Obviously it's not an official announcement, but Marko has said Lawson will definitely have a full-time drive next year in one of the teams. If one believes both Marko and the value of the current contracts that means at VCARB, but it would be a brave person who wagered too much on Perez still being at Redbull next season. Mot likely to me seems to be Ricciardo up to Redbull for one year while Lawson finds his feet at VCARB, then Lawson up to Redbull and one of their other juniors brought into VCARB for 2026?

It's a funny situation where it looks like Ricciardo is almost certain to either get fired or promoted.

Edited by kambites on Friday 23 August 09:14