Petrol prices- when does the madness end?

Petrol prices- when does the madness end?

Author
Discussion

Dog Star

16,132 posts

168 months

Friday 5th August 2022
quotequote all
28Kapital said:
jrinns said:
Leicester Costco £1.60 Cheap 167 premium and 172 for diesel this morning .
local Costco is showing £1.55 seems to heading down every other day or so
I don't use a lot of fuel but had to fill two cars the other day - I actually filled neither as the price is dropping now at a rate that it would be a waste.

98elise

26,598 posts

161 months

Friday 5th August 2022
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
Mr Spoon said:
Like I've said many times, when the price of fuel settled around 1.50 everyone will be full of joy.

Then it will go 2.50 and settle at 2.00.

Then 3.00 and settle at 2.50.

You get the idea.

It's not cheap, good or affordable.

It is however, the new paradigm.
Explain how. Please give, clear, well thought out reasoning as to how this will work and who will be doing it.

Please also bear in mind that within the next 40 years the cheapest oil to extract on the planet will have been exhausted and so there won't be the $10 supply to keep the average market price anywhere near $100. But in the U.K. we will actually be one of the few countries to be OK as we will have accidentally transitioned mostly to EVs by then on the back of some silly eco drive.
I believe that post is the entire depth of his analysis.

Jawls

656 posts

51 months

Friday 5th August 2022
quotequote all
Harrison Bergeron said:
DonkeyApple said:
Or maybe the properties of the word 'protection' ring a squeeze will inhibit the customers for premium from downgrading to non premium and therefor already inferior fuel.

Anyway, BP have just posted massive quarterly profits from their production business so I suspect people will be more focussed today on why they can't take that money and pay off their debts with it because it's unfair or some such.
What's really funny is that at my local terminal there's only 4 additive tanks. MOGAS,SUPER,DIESEL and RED. which is weird as Asda and Morrisons uplift from there as well as BP. And the supermarkets sure aren't getting raw petrol/diesel.


[Think they're decommissioning the red tank and are going to fill it with diesel additive]
How do you know the supermarkets don’t get non-additised diesel/petrol?

There can also be agreements that let the oil company additive be used in lower doses for common users. So that can get round tankage constraints easily enough.

Edited by Jawls on Friday 5th August 10:25


Edited by Jawls on Friday 5th August 10:26

The spinner of plates

17,698 posts

200 months

Friday 5th August 2022
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
bigothunter said:
SidewaysSi said:
Esso 169.9 for E10 which doesn't seem terrible.
169.9p per litre is terrible, just not as terrible as before biglaugh

Traffic volumes have not reduced much even at elevated fuel prices. Wonder how far price could be pushed before traffic reduces significantly? £3 per litre perhaps?

Plenty of scope for more taxation on road fuel - the market is tolerant...
That's the risk. People have been frothing about how the evil corporates will keep fuel at £2 and then drive it ever upwards as they collude in the grand conspiracy against the poor downtrodden man. And they probably are still banging on about their tinfoil thickery despite watching prices step down and down as market forces and competition carries on working.

The true risk is that the last 6 months have created a completely new ONS dataset which will be used in transport and taxation policy calculations and decisions going forward by governments.

The last 6 months has shown that you could technically double fuel duty and very little would change. Raising fuel duty would be politically toxic which is why no one has risked it for years but there are plenty of other factors that this data will possibly work against us on such as the drive to EV, road pricing etc.

It's not the corporates that we should fear but what any future government will do on the back of the data.
Agreed.
Corporations are governed by the need to be competitive.
Government’s on the other hand… that’s the real elephant in the room on this one. They’ve been watching, reviewing data and thinking “interesting…”

98elise

26,598 posts

161 months

Friday 5th August 2022
quotequote all
The spinner of plates said:
DonkeyApple said:
bigothunter said:
SidewaysSi said:
Esso 169.9 for E10 which doesn't seem terrible.
169.9p per litre is terrible, just not as terrible as before biglaugh

Traffic volumes have not reduced much even at elevated fuel prices. Wonder how far price could be pushed before traffic reduces significantly? £3 per litre perhaps?

Plenty of scope for more taxation on road fuel - the market is tolerant...
That's the risk. People have been frothing about how the evil corporates will keep fuel at £2 and then drive it ever upwards as they collude in the grand conspiracy against the poor downtrodden man. And they probably are still banging on about their tinfoil thickery despite watching prices step down and down as market forces and competition carries on working.

The true risk is that the last 6 months have created a completely new ONS dataset which will be used in transport and taxation policy calculations and decisions going forward by governments.

The last 6 months has shown that you could technically double fuel duty and very little would change. Raising fuel duty would be politically toxic which is why no one has risked it for years but there are plenty of other factors that this data will possibly work against us on such as the drive to EV, road pricing etc.

It's not the corporates that we should fear but what any future government will do on the back of the data.
Agreed.
Corporations are governed by the need to be competitive.
Government’s on the other hand… that’s the real elephant in the room on this one. They’ve been watching, reviewing data and thinking “interesting…”
Governments are also driven by the need to stay in power. Big fuel bills is not a vote winner.


HustleRussell

24,701 posts

160 months

Friday 5th August 2022
quotequote all
98elise said:
DonkeyApple said:
Mr Spoon said:
Like I've said many times, when the price of fuel settled around 1.50 everyone will be full of joy.

Then it will go 2.50 and settle at 2.00.

Then 3.00 and settle at 2.50.

You get the idea.

It's not cheap, good or affordable.

It is however, the new paradigm.
Explain how. Please give, clear, well thought out reasoning as to how this will work and who will be doing it.

Please also bear in mind that within the next 40 years the cheapest oil to extract on the planet will have been exhausted and so there won't be the $10 supply to keep the average market price anywhere near $100. But in the U.K. we will actually be one of the few countries to be OK as we will have accidentally transitioned mostly to EVs by then on the back of some silly eco drive.
I believe that post is the entire depth of his analysis.
yes

Shallow indeed when Petrol was £1.40 ten years ago and £1.07 just two years ago

M1C

1,833 posts

111 months

Friday 5th August 2022
quotequote all
Lowest i've seen is Unleaded, Super Unleaded and Diesel at Costco Gateshead 159.7, 168.7 and 176.9 respectively.

Pica-Pica

13,789 posts

84 months

Friday 5th August 2022
quotequote all
The spinner of plates said:
Agreed.
Corporations are governed by the need to be competitive.
Government’s on the other hand… that’s the real elephant in the room on this one. They’ve been watching, reviewing data and thinking “interesting…”
Corporations only need to be competitive if they have … well, competition.
British Broadcasting Corporation is perhaps an example.
Just don’t get me started on the Monopolies Commission - why was there only one of them?

bigothunter

11,266 posts

60 months

Friday 5th August 2022
quotequote all
98elise said:
Governments are also driven by the need to stay in power. Big fuel bills is not a vote winner.
Labour policy is to increase road fuel duty for environmental reasons.

Labour even suggested a Fuel Price Stabiliser where any reduction in retail prices would be balanced by permanently increased fuel duty. So pump prices would be 'stabilised' by staying the same or going up, never down. That suggestion proved unpopular and soon died.

More vote winning ideas from the left wing jokers hehe



alangla

4,795 posts

181 months

Friday 5th August 2022
quotequote all
bigothunter said:
Labour policy is to increase road fuel duty for environmental reasons.
It may be their policy now, but did it not originally start under John Major?

DonkeyApple

55,285 posts

169 months

Friday 5th August 2022
quotequote all
98elise said:
The spinner of plates said:
DonkeyApple said:
bigothunter said:
SidewaysSi said:
Esso 169.9 for E10 which doesn't seem terrible.
169.9p per litre is terrible, just not as terrible as before biglaugh

Traffic volumes have not reduced much even at elevated fuel prices. Wonder how far price could be pushed before traffic reduces significantly? £3 per litre perhaps?

Plenty of scope for more taxation on road fuel - the market is tolerant...
That's the risk. People have been frothing about how the evil corporates will keep fuel at £2 and then drive it ever upwards as they collude in the grand conspiracy against the poor downtrodden man. And they probably are still banging on about their tinfoil thickery despite watching prices step down and down as market forces and competition carries on working.

The true risk is that the last 6 months have created a completely new ONS dataset which will be used in transport and taxation policy calculations and decisions going forward by governments.

The last 6 months has shown that you could technically double fuel duty and very little would change. Raising fuel duty would be politically toxic which is why no one has risked it for years but there are plenty of other factors that this data will possibly work against us on such as the drive to EV, road pricing etc.

It's not the corporates that we should fear but what any future government will do on the back of the data.
Agreed.
Corporations are governed by the need to be competitive.
Government’s on the other hand… that’s the real elephant in the room on this one. They’ve been watching, reviewing data and thinking “interesting…”
Governments are also driven by the need to stay in power. Big fuel bills is not a vote winner.
Yes but what the latest data shows is that that issue is waning. There was once a time that road users would have protested over large and swift rises. This time they've just been happy to pay and haven't even bothered to slow down like previously.


DonkeyApple

55,285 posts

169 months

Friday 5th August 2022
quotequote all
bigothunter said:
98elise said:
Governments are also driven by the need to stay in power. Big fuel bills is not a vote winner.
Labour policy is to increase road fuel duty for environmental reasons.

Labour even suggested a Fuel Price Stabiliser where any reduction in retail prices would be balanced by permanently increased fuel duty. So pump prices would be 'stabilised' by staying the same or going up, never down. That suggestion proved unpopular and soon died.

More vote winning ideas from the left wing jokers hehe
No one quite hates the poor as much as a poor person who's tasted taxpayer subsidised champagne. biggrin

Labour hasn't represented working class values nor protected the working class for over 25 years.

Bit like the fatcat Union leaders who haven't got their members a proper pay rise for 20 years despite taking all their subs and paying themselves nice salaries. It's like they've suddenly realised they need to something before they get busted.

bigothunter

11,266 posts

60 months

Friday 5th August 2022
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
No one quite hates the poor as much as a poor person who's tasted taxpayer subsidised champagne. biggrin

Labour hasn't represented working class values nor protected the working class for over 25 years.

Bit like the fatcat Union leaders who haven't got their members a proper pay rise for 20 years despite taking all their subs and paying themselves nice salaries. It's like they've suddenly realised they need to something before they get busted.
Bob Crow was a legend. Living in a council house despite his £145k income without a pang of conscience (in 2013). Bob was brilliant on HIGNFY. Great shame he died at just 52 frown

DonkeyApple

55,285 posts

169 months

Friday 5th August 2022
quotequote all
bigothunter said:
Bob Crow was a legend. Living in a council house despite his £145k income without a pang of conscience (in 2013). Bob was brilliant on HIGNFY. Great shame he died at just 52 frown
His best quality was that he was genuinely more intelligent than the bulk of his opposition. Just a shame he took a home from a family that needed it and achieved little for his subscribers.

It'll be interesting to see if the current incarnation can create the Momentum revolution and seize all the money and power this time around. biggrin

anonymous-user

54 months

Friday 5th August 2022
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
Mr Spoon said:
Like I've said many times, when the price of fuel settled around 1.50 everyone will be full of joy.

Then it will go 2.50 and settle at 2.00.

Then 3.00 and settle at 2.50.

You get the idea.

It's not cheap, good or affordable.

It is however, the new paradigm.
Explain how. Please give, clear, well thought out reasoning as to how this will work and who will be doing it.

Please also bear in mind that within the next 40 years the cheapest oil to extract on the planet will have been exhausted and so there won't be the $10 supply to keep the average market price anywhere near $100. But in the U.K. we will actually be one of the few countries to be OK as we will have accidentally transitioned mostly to EVs by then on the back of some silly eco drive.
If you can't work this out from my post, then I'm afraid Mr donkey apple, you aren't all that clever.



anonymous-user

54 months

Saturday 6th August 2022
quotequote all
Mr Spoon said:
DonkeyApple said:
Mr Spoon said:
Like I've said many times, when the price of fuel settled around 1.50 everyone will be full of joy.

Then it will go 2.50 and settle at 2.00.

Then 3.00 and settle at 2.50.

You get the idea.

It's not cheap, good or affordable.

It is however, the new paradigm.
Explain how. Please give, clear, well thought out reasoning as to how this will work and who will be doing it.

Please also bear in mind that within the next 40 years the cheapest oil to extract on the planet will have been exhausted and so there won't be the $10 supply to keep the average market price anywhere near $100. But in the U.K. we will actually be one of the few countries to be OK as we will have accidentally transitioned mostly to EVs by then on the back of some silly eco drive.
If you can't work this out from my post, then I'm afraid Mr donkey apple, you aren't all that clever.
Just because you say the same thing “many times” doesn’t make it correct. The only person you’ve convinced is yourself.

anonymous-user

54 months

Saturday 6th August 2022
quotequote all
Roman Rhodes said:
Mr Spoon said:
DonkeyApple said:
Mr Spoon said:
Like I've said many times, when the price of fuel settled around 1.50 everyone will be full of joy.

Then it will go 2.50 and settle at 2.00.

Then 3.00 and settle at 2.50.

You get the idea.

It's not cheap, good or affordable.

It is however, the new paradigm.
Explain how. Please give, clear, well thought out reasoning as to how this will work and who will be doing it.

Please also bear in mind that within the next 40 years the cheapest oil to extract on the planet will have been exhausted and so there won't be the $10 supply to keep the average market price anywhere near $100. But in the U.K. we will actually be one of the few countries to be OK as we will have accidentally transitioned mostly to EVs by then on the back of some silly eco drive.
If you can't work this out from my post, then I'm afraid Mr donkey apple, you aren't all that clever.
Just because you say the same thing “many times” doesn’t make it correct. The only person you’ve convinced is yourself.[/quote

touche. ]

ingenieur

4,097 posts

181 months

Sunday 7th August 2022
quotequote all
In to the 1.50s now...!

159.1 for unleaded at my local

Antony Moxey

8,065 posts

219 months

Sunday 7th August 2022
quotequote all
Not quite reached Cornwall yet. Here on holiday at the moment and nowhere this week (we’re touring the north coast) have I seen anywhere advertising unleaded for less than high £1.80s or diesel for low to mid £1.90s.

Fortunately I filled up (at high £1.80s for diesel) before I left last weekend anticipating the Cornish being behind the times.

Fusion777

2,230 posts

48 months

Sunday 7th August 2022
quotequote all
Oil prices are so bizarre. WTI is now $89, was over $120 in June. What's changed? Is demand really much lower two months later, or is more just coming on stream? Perhaps much of it has been driven by speculation?

I'm not complaining...